Louisville vs. Cincinnati
Free Pick: Louisville -6
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Louisville’s press will be the difference in this game. They will force Cincinnati to eat up the shot clock on almost every possession they decide to press, and considering the Bearcats aren’t a very good shooting team, they won’t have enough time to run their offense and find good shots after breaking the press. Cincinnati is scoring just 62.5 points/game and shooting 39.8% from the field in road games this year. They are a completely different team away from home. Louisville still scores 72.0 points/game on the road on 44.2% shooting this season. The Bearcats struggled to beat Rutgers last night, one of the worst teams in the Big East, 69-68. Cincinnati is now 2-5 S.U. & 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall. They are not playing well down the stretch, while the Cardinals are playing excellent by winning 5 of their last 7, including two wins over Syracuse. Cincinnati is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons. Louisville won the first meeting 68-60 at home over Cincinnati. The Bearcats are only 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season. Take Louisville and lay the points.

Memphis Grizzlies vs. Boston Celtics
Free NBA Pick: Memphis +5 -110 odds
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Free NBA pick for Wednesday (Doc’s NBA is 8-0 in the last three nights and we have two member’s picks for Wednesday and we expect to sweep the board) - #607 Take Memphis +5 Over Boston (7:30 p.m. EST, Wednesday) – Memphis has a very strong history against the number in this series. They have cashed in the last nine meetings in Boston and they have covered in 13 of the last 18 meetings. We like them to continue this trend tonight. Boston is coming in on a back-to-back, a situation where this old team has struggled this season (5-7 ATS). The Grizzlies are well rested after having the night off. Boston is at home, where they have been draining the wallets of backers all season. They are a paltry 7-21-1 against the number in this building and at this point in the season it is clear this team is better on the road and the home court advantage built into their home spreads is moot. Memphis is the same way, they have struggled at home but have played great on the road, where they have won six straight. Even when Boston wins they have not been blowing teams out and we just expect this to be a pretty close game that should come down to the final seconds.

Charlotte Bobcats vs. Philadelphia 76ers
Free NBA Pick: Charlotte -1 -110 odds
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3* graded play on Philadelphia as they host Charlotte set to start at 7:00 EST. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that Charlotte will win this game by a minimum of 3 points. 76ers are averagig 14.5 turnovers per game and the model projection is calling for them to have 13 to 17 in this game. 76ers are just 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in home games in games where they commit 13 to 17 turnovers this season. Charlotte has posted 6 straight UNDERS and they are 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) after 4 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons. 76ers HC Jordan is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 73-17 for 81.1% on the money line since 2004. Play against dogs versus the money line off an upset loss as a road favorite and playing on back-to-back days. Take Charlotte.

Nicholls State vs. Sam Houston State
Free Pick: Sam Houston State -10 -110 odds
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Playing these small conference games can give us a lot of value as the linesmakers are simply making their best guesses for these numbers. We are going with Sam Houston St. tonight in the first round of the Southland Conference Tournament. This line may seem big but it is big for a reason as the top seed in this tournament pretty much cruised through the conference slate with a 14-2 record and both of those losses came in overtime in true road games. The last loss happened to come in the final game of the season but don’t read too much into that as a momentum killer as the Bearkats had nothing on the line as the number one seed in the tournament was already locked up. This team is solid on both ends of the floor as offensively, Sam Houston St. finished the season with the highest scoring offense in the Southland, averaging 81.8 ppg and it betted that with a 99 ppg average over its last three games. The Bearkats led the country in assists and its assist/turnover ratio is an incredible 1.56, fourth in the nation. Defensively, this is where they have shown steady improvement after some rough non-conference games. Guard play is extremely important this time of year and the Bearkats backcourt is a strength as proven by those assist numbers and ratios. The Bearcats are ranked 16th in the latest mid-major top 25 poll. They take on Nicholls St. who snuck into the tournament thanks to winning its final two games of the regular season and grabbing the final spot. The Colonels finished 7-9 in the conference but four of those wins came against teams that did not qualify for the postseason and the three that did were all by close margins. This team struggles on defense and that is a problem in this matchup. The Colonels defense allowed a league-worst 52.6 percent shooting from league opponents. Even though they went 4-1 down the stretch and improved that porous defense, the shooting percentage allowed was still 47.2 percent over those final five games and I consider that pretty weak still. The first meeting was a close one as Sam Houston St. snuck out with a six-point victory but that game was as in Thibodaux and was a complete aberration for the Bearkats. They committed an uncharacteristic 20 turnovers and that led to 11 more shot attempts for the Colonels. Despite this, Sam Houston outshot Nicholls St. 59.5 percent to 43.8 percent and if not for the miscues that led to a 17-4 Colonels run, it would have been a blowout. Sam Houston is 2-0 ATS in its two lined games this season, winning and covering against Oral Roberts and Rider. Nicholls St. meanwhile went 1-4 ATS with some ugly blowouts. 3* Sam Houston St. Bearkats

East Carolina vs. Houston
Free Pick: East Carolina +12.5 -110 odds
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A 10 seed vs. a 7 seed should not have a spread as large as we have here! In fact the #11 seeded Tulane is +6.5 against the #5 seeded Sothern Miss. The reason we have a spread so large here is that on their home court East Carolina lost by 19 to Houston. Houston has the #1 offense in the conference USA but they also have the worst defense.

I believe in their coaches last game East Carolina will give that extra effort that gives them the cover. The key will be not turning the ball over because on every other level these two are pretty close to even. In the first match up Houston was just drilling threes at 41.7% and East Carolina defense on the road at 31.5%. I actually think theset wo teams are closer to even if they are on the road. East Carolina -7.9pts while Houston -2.6 points. The biggest differences are Houston -11.2 rebound margin and +7 turnover margin. If East Carolina can have a rebound advantage here this game stays close.

Cincinnati vs. Louisville - March 10th 2010
Odds: Louisville is currently set as a 6 point home favorite against Cincinnati with the games over/under betting total posted at 139 points.
Pick: Click here for expert college basketball picks
Betting: Click here to bet on this game at BetUS

Head-to-Head ATS Trends:
Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.

Team ATS Trends:
Bearcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Bearcats are 5-21 ATS in their last 26 vs. Big East.
Bearcats are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 Wednesday games.
Cardinals are 47-23-2 ATS in their last 72 vs. Big East.
Cardinals are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games overall.

Over-Under ATS Trends:
Cardinals are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
Cardinals are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
Under is 5-1 in Bearcats last 6 neutral site games.
Over is 4-1 in Bearcats last 5 games following a ATS loss.

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Seton Hall vs. Notre Dame - March 10th 2010
Odds: Notre Dame is currently set as a 1 point home favorite against Seton Hall with the games over/under betting total posted at 149 points.
Pick: Click here for expert college basketball picks
Betting: Click here to bet on this game at BetUS

Head-to-Head ATS Trends:
Over is 7-0-1 in the last 8 meetings.
Pirates are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
Underdog is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

Team ATS Trends:
Pirates are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game.
Pirates are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Fighting Irish are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
Fighting Irish are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Over-Under ATS Trends:
Over is 3-1-1 in Pirates last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
Over is 5-2 in Pirates last 7 games following a S.U. win.
Under is 4-0 in Fighting Irish last 4 overall.
Under is 4-0 in Fighting Irish last 4 vs. Big East.

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Marquette vs. St. John’s
Free Pick: Marquette -4
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St John’s is 14-42 SU as an underdog the past 3 years. Marquette is 45-11 SU last 3 years as a favorite. Marquette is 5-1 ATS this year after a loss against a conference opponent. Marquette is 9-2 ATS this year when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games. Marquette is allowing 63.6 points per game overall this year. Marquette is 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS overall vs St. John’s since 1997. Red Storm are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Red Storm are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 Wednesday games. Golden Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss. Golden Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss. Golden Eagles are 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning SU record. Golden Eagles are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Golden Eagles are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big East. Golden Eagles are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 neutral site games. Golden Eagles are 19-9-1 ATS in their last 29 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5. Favorite is 5-1-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Red Storm are 1-5-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. We’ll recommend a small play on Marquette today! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

St. John’s vs. Marquette - March 10th 2010
Odds: Marquette is currently set as a 2 point home favorite against St. John’s with the games over/under betting total posted at 128 points.
Pick: Click here for expert college basketball picks
Betting: Click here to bet on this game at BetUS

Head-to-Head ATS Trends:
Favorite is 5-1-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
Red Storm are 1-5-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

Team ATS Trends:
Red Storm are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Red Storm are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 Wednesday games.
Golden Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
Golden Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.

Over-Under ATS Trends:
Over is 4-0 in Golden Eagles last 4 games following a S.U. loss.
Under is 5-0 in Golden Eagles last 5 games as a favorite.
Under is 4-0 in Golden Eagles last 4 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5.
Under is 4-1 in Golden Eagles last 5 neutral site games as a favorite.

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South Florida vs. Georgetown - March 10th 2010
Odds: Georgetown is currently set as a 7 point home favorite against South Florida with the games over/under betting total posted at 135 points.
Pick: Click here for expert college basketball picks
Betting: Click here to bet on this game at BetUS

Head-to-Head ATS Trends:
Bulls are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

Team ATS Trends:
Bulls are 44-15 ATS in their last 59 games following a S.U. win.
Bulls are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 Wednesday games.
Hoyas are 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 Wednesday games.
Hoyas are 11-25 ATS in their last 36 vs. Big East.

Over-Under ATS Trends:
Under is 5-0 in Bulls last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Under is 5-0 in Bulls last 5 neutral site games as an underdog.
Under is 5-1 in Bulls last 6 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5.
Under is 4-1 in Bulls last 5 neutral site games.

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