Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox
Betting Pick: Tigers +132 odds (July 24th 2016)
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Rickenbach MLB Game #921 – Free Pick – Detroit Tigers Money Line +130 @ Chicago White Sox @ 2:40 ET Sunday – This game will get started after the completion of last night’s suspended game and I see huge line value here with the underdog. With all the problems currently going on in the White Sox clubhouse it is hard to justify them being a favorite in this price range. The Chris Sale incident has thrown the clubhouse into a frenzy and let’s not forget that the ChiSox entered yesterday’s action having already lost 8 of their last 9 games. Jose Quintana gets the start for the White Sox here and he has allowed 28 hits in less than 18 innings of work spanning his last three starts against the Tigers. Also, the southpaw has allowed 4 earned runs in each of his last two home starts. Detroit will have Anibal Sanchez on the mound and he got the 2nd half of the season off to a strong start with his solid outing against the Twins. Though his overall numbers are not impressive this season, Sanchez has struck out 22 in his last 14 and 1/3 innings. Detroit is 22-16 (+8 net units) in day games this season. The White Sox entered yesterday’s action 14-21 in divisional games this season. Great line value here with the road dog. FREE PICK on DETROIT on the money line Sunday.
Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers
MLB Over-Under Pick: Under 8.5 runs -110 odds (July 24th 2016)
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The National League Central division leading Chicago Cubs visit the Milwaukee Brewers in the finale of the three-game series. The Cubs and Jon Lester are money line favorites over Junior Guerra and the Brew Crew.
The Cubs (58-38, 28-22 road) have built the best record in the majors in part because of their above average play on the road. The Brewers were less hospitable Saturday, handing Chicago a 6-2 loss as the Cubs managed just six hits. The Brewers (41-54, 24-23 home) are already in wait until next season mode with most of the exciting action happening in the front office. Milwaukee’s brain trust has been working the phones in search of trade partners ahead of the July 31 deadline.
Lester (10-4, 2.89 ERA) turned in a solid performance in his last outing holding the Mets to one run and four hits over 7.2 innings to earn his first win since June 18. Lester is 2-2 with a 2.22 ERA in four starts against the Brewers posting a 2-0 mark. He’s 5-2 with a 3.67 ERA in 10 road starts this season.
Guerra (6-2, 3.06 ERA) is a 31-year old rookie who has been one of the bright spots in a dismal season. He’s notched quality starts in nine of his 14 outings, including four of his past five. Guerra beat the Cubs on May 19, racking up a career-high 11 strikeouts while allowing three runs over seven frames.
Chicago is 23-9 in the past 22 series meetings and 9-3 in the last 12 meetings in Milwaukee.
The Cubs are 8-0 to the UNDER in their past eight games but just 2-7 to the south side in their last nine road games.
Cleveland Indians vs. Baltimore Orioles
MLB Over-Under Pick: Over 8.5 runs -110 odds (July 24th 2016)
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ASA Sunday MLB 6* OVER 8.5 in Baltimore vs Cleveland @ 1:35 ET – Vance Worley will be toeing the rubber for the Orioles Sunday afternoon. Though he held the Yankees to 3 earned runs on Tuesday, he certainly did not impress as he walked 4 in an outing that only lasted 4 and 1 / 3 innings! He has a 6.00 ERA in his limited action as a starter this season and he has given up a homer in all 3 of his starts this year. Corey Kluber will be on the mound for the Indians in this one and the over is 7-2 in his last 9 starts overall. On the season the over has cashed in all 5 of his last 5 road starts. Kluber is off of a strong road start but previously had given up 17 earned runs in his last 4 starts. He’s facing an Orioles lineup whose confidence is building with three straight wins and 29 hits and 14 runs in those 3 games. The Indians offense should have no trouble against an unproven Worley and the over is 19-12 in Indians day games this season and 17-9 in Orioles day games this year.
Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros
MLB Runline Pick: Angels +1.5 -110 odds (July 24th 2016)
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The Los Angeles Angels had opened the second half of the schedule with six consecutive wins before running into the Houston Astros. I like them to keep this a close game and possibly pull an upset following a pair of setbacks at Minute Maid Park.
Mike Fiers (6-4, 4.75 ERA) takes the ball for Houston. He surrendered seven runs on eight hits and two walks over 3 2/3 innings in a 7-2 loss to the Halos on May 27. He’s 1-2 with a 6.75 ERA in three career starts against the Angels and 1-1 with a 6.23 ERA in his last four starts overall.
The Angels turn to Tim Lincecum (2-3, 6.59 ERA) who allowed five runs in 4 1/3 frames in a defeat to Houston on June 28, but he’s still 5-1 with a 1.60 ERA in 10 career starts against the club. Luis Valbuena and Colby Rasmus are a combined 2-for-21 with nine strikeouts in previous meetings with Lincecum.
The Astros are 17-32 against the run-line home at Minute Maid Park this season, the Halos 28-21 against the run-line on the road.
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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
MLB Prediction: Pittsburgh -150 odds (July 24th 2016)
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Two good-looking young pitchers square off on Sunday but I’m backing the home team…My free play is on the Pit Pirates at 1:35 ET.
Philadelphia and Pittsburgh have split the first two games of the series with the rubber match to be contested on Sunday. The Phillies’ best pitcher this season has been Vince Velasquez (8-2, 3.15 ERA) and he takes the mound. Velasquez won his last three starts before the break, despite dealing with some arm tiredness. His first start since the Phillies returned to play after the break came this past Tuesday when he pitched well (7 IP / 3 hits / 1 ER) but did not earn a decision this past Tuesday in Philadelphia’s 2-1, 10-inning loss to Miami. The bottom line is that Velasquez has been outstanding since spending nearly three weeks on the DL, going 3-0 (team is 3-1) in four starts, allowing just five ERs over 24 innings for a 1.88 ERA.
Pittsburg’s starting rotation is somewhat of a mess. Francisco Liriano and Gerrit Cole are the mainstays but neither has been consistent. Jonathan Niese and Juan Nicasio now find themselves in the bullpen plus Jeff Locke will have his start skipped this coming week with off days Monday and Thursday. However, it’s not as if everything is going well with the “new guys.” Rookie Tyler Glasnow left his second career start in the fourth inning with right shoulder discomfort in yesterday’s game. Chad Kuhl, another highly-touted prospect who made his big league debut last month (June 26), was pulled in the first inning of a Triple-A game Saturday for reasons that are unclear. Rookie Jameson Taillon (2-1, 3.44 ERA) makes the start this afternoon.
The Pirates are 4-2 in his six starts, after winning his last three (he’s allowed just one ER over each of his last two, going six innings in each with a 9-2 KW ratio). Taillon took a line drive off the head early in his outing against Milwaukee on Tuesday but stayed in the game and worked six innings of one-run ball in a no-decision. “To be honest, I was waiting for it to hurt when I was down,” said Jameson, who was placed in the league’s concussion protocol but is OK to start in this one. Two good-looking young pitchers square off in this one and I’m backing the home team.
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals
Over-Under Betting Pick: Over 7.5 runs -110 odds (July 23rd 2016)
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The Padres upset Washington in the series opener last night, thanks to a pair of home runs by Matt Kemp. The former Dodger is on fire, with six home runs in his last six games. Kemp and the Padres face Max Scherzer in Game 2, and Kemp is 1-for-27 with nine strikeouts lifetime versus the Nationals ace.
Scherzer (10-6, 2.94 ERA) has pitched well lately, despite the fact that the Nationals have lost four of his last six starts. He went six innings, allowing one run on four hits and striking out 10 in a no decision at San Diego earlier this year, but the Padres went on the win that game by a score of 7-3.
The Friars hand the ball to Edwin Jackson, who has struggled to stay in a major league rotation for the bulk of his 13 year career. Jackson (1-1, 4.76 ERA) walked five batters in 6 1/3 innings, but avoided a disaster giving up just three runs on one hit in a 5-3 win over the Giants in his first start of the season. He faces a Washington lineup with plenty of power, and could be punished if he continues to put men on base.
The Padres bullpen has really been knocked around this year, ranking near the bottom of the majors with an ERA of 4.54.
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox
Betting Line Pick: Tigers -145 odds (July 22nd 2016)
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The Detroit Tigers are 6-2 in the last eight meetings with the Chicago White Sox following a 2-1 victory on Thursday. Look for the Tigers to continue their dominance Friday night with Michael Fulmer on the mound.
Fulmer (9-2, 2.13 ERA) has allowed three or fewer hits in six of his 14 starts here in his rookie season while holding opposing batters to a .206 average. Pitching home or away makes little difference for the 23 year old who is 7-2 with a 2.43 ERA in 10 road starts on the year.
The White Sox turn to Jacob Turner (0-1, 18.00 ERA) who’ll make his second start of the year as he’s filling in for left-hander Carlos Rodon, who went on the disabled list earlier this month due to a sprained left wrist. Turner was knocked around for eight runs on seven hits in four innings of an 8-1 loss at Anaheim on July 17.
The White Sox are in free fall going 1-7 in their last eight overall and they’re 0-7 in their last seven Friday games with Jeff Nelson behind home plate.
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Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals
MLB Betting Pick: Royals -101 odds (July 22nd 2016)
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I’ll gladly take my chances on the Royals at home tonight. Kansas City owns one of baseballs best home records, as they have gone 30-15 at Kauffman Stadium this season. We are getting a great price here on the Royals due to the Rangers sending out Yu Darvish. While Darvish is one of baseball’s best starters when healthy, he’s making just his fifth start of the season. He was far from dominant in his last outing, walking 4 and only lasting 4 1/3 innings. Royals give the ball to Danny Duffy, who has a 3.34 ERA and 1.029 WHIP in 12 starts. KC has won 9 of his 12 starts and are 5-1 when he takes the mound at home. Cash the Royals -101!
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Tampa Bay Rays vs. Oakland Athletics
MLB Over-Under Pick: Under 8 runs -110 odds (July 21st 2016)
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Rickenbach Game #967/968 – Free MLB Pick UNDER 8 in Oakland vs Tampa Bay @ 10:05 ET – Each of these starting pitchers have higher ERAs on the season then what one would expect based on how well they have been pitching of late. As a result, we are getting fantastic line value here with this total sitting higher than it should be considering this game is also being played in a pitcher-friendly park in the cool, dense air of an evening game at Oakland Coliseum by the bay. The Rays Matt Moore has gone at least 6 innings in 8 straight starts. The southpaw “workhorse” has also allowed just 2 earned runs or less in 6 of his last 7 starts! The A’s Sonny Gray has pitched at least 6 innings in 7 straight starts. The Oakland right-hander has given up 3 earned runs or less in 6 of his last 8 starts. In 6 career starts against Tampa Bay, Gray has compiled a solid 3.11 ERA. The Rays do come into this game off of some stronger showing on offense but that’s because they were at hitter-friendly Coors Field facing the Rockies. Now they face a tough pitcher in a pitcher-friendly environment and the Rays, before winning 3 of their last 4 games, had lost 13 of their prior 15 games and averaged only 2.7 runs per game during that ugly stretch! The A’s are off of a shutout loss to Houston yesterday and have been held to 4 runs or less in 12 of their last 16 games. The Athletics are 3-1 to the under when off of a shutout loss this season. The Rays were 11-2-1 to the under in their last 14 games before yesterday’s game snuck over the total. Look for a return to “normal” for the Rays anemic offense tonight. FREE PICK on UNDER in Oakland Thursday from Scott “The Bulldog” Rickenbach. Best of luck always!
San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals
MLB Betting Pick: Padres +185 odds (July 21st 2016)
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I believe the San Diego Padres are worth a shot as massive road underdogs to the St. Louis Cardinals today. For starters, they have lost the first three games of this series, so they will be motivated to avoid the sweep.
Also, Adam Wainwright is coming off a complete game shutout against Miami in his last start, so he’s poised for a letdown and is likely tired from going 9 innings. Wainwright is 9-5 with a 4.15 ERA and 1.265 WHIP in 19 starts this season, so he has certainly struggled for the most part.
Andrew Cashner is coming off one of his best starts of the season. He struck out nine while allowing only four base runners and one earned run in 6 innings of a 4-1 victory over the Giants on July 15. But what really stands out is that Cashner has never lost to the Cardinals, going 2-0 with a 1.00 ERA and 0.889 WHIP in three career starts against them.
San Diego is 8-3 (+7.8 Units) against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 to 4.20 this season. The Padres are a perfect 5-0 in their last five games after losing the first three games of a series. San Diego is 8-2 in Cashner’s last 10 starts with 5 days of rest. Bet the Padres Thursday.
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