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Phillies vs. Braves Betting Odds & Prediction from Will Rogers: July 3rd 2015


Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves
Betting Prediction: Atlanta -162 odds (July 3rd 2015)

The Atlanta Braves upset Max Scherzer and the Nationals at Turner Field last night, and they’ve now won five of their last six home games. They should have an excellent chance to extend that winning streak tonight, hosting the last place Phillies. Philadelphia has lost four straight, and seven of it’s last eight overall.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Pitching – Julio Teheran will get the start for the Braves, and the 24 year old remains impressive at home. Teheran (5-4, 4.94 ERA) didn’t have his best stuff in a loss at Pittsburgh in his last outing. That’s no surprise though, as he’s struggled on the road all year. The right-hander is still 4-0 with a 2.35 ERA at home though. The Phillies counter with rookie Adam Morgan, who makes his second career start.

2. Previous History – The Braves have seen the total go under in eight of their last 10 overall, and 11 of their last 13 as a home favorite with Teheran on the mound.

3. X-Factor – Teheran hasn’t faced the Phillies in 2015, but he was 2-1 with a 1.17 ERA in four starts last season.

Selection: This is a play on the Atlanta Braves (Free)

Cleveland Indians vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Prediction from Matt Fargo: July 3rd 2015


Cleveland Indians vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Betting Prediction: Under 7.5 runs -110 odds (July 3rd 2015)

Both Cleveland and Pittsburgh are coming off high-scoring series sweeps but I expect that to change tonight. The Indians took all four games in Tampa Bay to open their roadtrip and all four of those games went over the total as well. Pitching was solid but the offense was the difference as Cleveland averaged 6.5 rpg after averaging 2.5 rpg in its previous 11 games. The Pirates are coming off a sweep in Detroit and all three of those games went over the total as well. The offense exploded for 22 runs over the three-game set but this has been a very inconsistent offense on the season. Pittsburgh came into that series scoring three runs or less in nine of their previous 12 games. The pitching matchup should keep this one low scoring. Trevor Bauer takes the hill for the Indians and while he is having a fairly solid season, he has been dominant on the road. He has a 1.69 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in six road starts with five of those being quality and most importantly, all six of those games went under the total. Charlie Morton has been roughed up in his last two starts after posting a 1.62 ERA through his first five starts. This is a great opportunity for a rebound as he has been dominant at home with a 1.98 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in four starts, three of which have stayed below the total. The under is 10-2-1 in the Indians last 13 games as an underdog while the under is 12-5 in the Pirates last 17 games as a home favorite. Play Under (929) Cleveland Indians/(930) Pittsburgh Pirates

Twins vs. Royals Betting Prediction from Brandon Lee: July 2nd 2015


Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals
Betting Prediction: Royals -142 odds (July 2nd 2015)

The Royals were just swept in 3 games at Houston and needless to say they will be all business when they take the field against the Twins tonight. Kansas City swept the Twins in the most recent series at Minnesota and are 15-6 in their last 21 home games against the Twins. Royals also own a strong 22-13 record at home, while Minnesota is just 16-22 on the road. Kansas City will start Chris Young, who has a 2.77 ERA over 7 career starts against the Twins. In his only start against them this season (6/9), he limited them to just 1 hit over 6 scoreless innings. Minnesota’s Kyle Gibson has faced the Royals twice this season and the Twins have lost both starts. In those 2 starts he allowed 9 runs on 9 hits and 6 walks in just 11 innings of work. It’s also worth noting that KC is 13-4 at home with a total of 7.5 or less. Roll the Royals -142!

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Yankees vs. Angels MLB Odds & Pick from Doc’s Sports: July 1st 2015


New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Angels
MLB Pick: Angels -113 odds (July 1st 2015)

Wednesday MLB Free Play from Doc’s Sports Take #914 Los Angeles Angels over New York Yankees (Wednesday, 7:05pm EST) The Los Angeles got off to a slow start to the 2015 season, but they’re finally playing like the team they were last season when they won the AL West with 98 victories. They are 9-5 over their last 14 games with the key being run prevention. The Angels have kept their opponents to four runs or less in 12 of those 14 contests. The pitching staff is obviously doing their part, but one of the underrated strengths of this team is their defense. The Halos have the top-rated defensive efficiency in the American League and that’s really given their staff the confidence to pitch to contact. The Yankees have exceeded expectations this season, but they are missing two key pieces right now – Jacoby Ellsbury and Andrew Miller. The Yanks haven’t been as productive offensively without Ellsbury at the top, and the bullpen is much thinner without one of the top closers in the game available in Miller. The pitching matchup in this one is fairly even, with Matt Shoemaker going up against Nathan Eovaldi. I think this game comes down to the respective offenses and bullpens. Given the injuries to the Yanks, I give the Angels the edge there. Take Los Angeles as our free play selection.

Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick from Mike Lundin: July 1st 2015


Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres
MLB Pick: Seattle -101 odds (July 1st 2015)

The Seattle Mariners shut out the San Diego Padres in the opener of a two game series at Petco Park last night, and I like the price we get on the visitors to take down tonight’s contest as well. James Shields will take the ball for the Padres but he’s struggled of late, compiling a 6.45 ERA over his last four starts with the Padres losing each. He’s 5-4 with a 3.87 ERA in 15 career starts against the Mariners and held them to one run in six innings at Safeco earlier this season, but one must imagine that he’s pretty low on confidence right now. The Mariners Taijuan Walker meanwhile must feel pretty good about himself, going 5-1 with a 1.91 ERA in his last six starts after a rough start to the year. He’s off four straight Ws, and conceded only two runs in six innings when matched up against Shields earlier this season.

Note that:
– Robinson Cano is is batting .402 with four homers, nine doubles and two triples over 87 lifetime at bats versus Shields.
– Seattle has won eight of its last 10 coming in as a road underdog.
– Seattle has won 17 of the last 25 meetings at Petco Park.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigers Betting Prediction from Jimmy Boyd: July 1st 2015


Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigers
Betting Prediction: Detroit -112 odds (July 1st 2015)

Detroit is showing some great value here as a small home favorite against the Tigers. While they lost 4-5 in yesterday’s series opener against the Pirates, it was just their 3rd loss in their last 8 games. Detroit hasn’t dropped 2 straight at home since their ugly 8-game losing streak that spanned the end of May and early June.

The Pirates will be sending out 38-year-old veteran A.J. Burnett, who was nothing short of spectacular in his first 13 starts, posting a 1.89 ERA. However, Burnett has lost his touch of late. He gave up 14 hits in 6 2/3 innings of a 1-4 loss at Washington and 8 hits hits in 6 innings of a 4-5 defeat at home against the Reds.

I think the struggles are going to continue for Burnett against this strong lineup from Detroit, while the Pirates offense struggles to get going against Alfredo Simon, who is 4-1 with a 2.33 ERA and 1.058 WHIP over 7 home starts. Simon also owns a 3-1 record with a 3.27 ERA and 0.970 WHIP in 5 career starts against the Tigers.

Burnett is just 4-17 in his last 21 road starts in the 2nd half of the season, while the Tigers are 13-2 in their last 15 after a game where they had 17 or more hits. Take Detroit!

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New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Angels Betting Prediction: June 29th 2015

YANKEES VS. ANGELS BETTING PREDICTIONNew York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Angels
Betting Prediction: Angels -123 odds (June 29th 2015)

The New York Yankees split a four game series versus the Astros in Houston, and they will head out west to take on the Angels in Anaheim tonight. The Angels are coming off a win over the Mariners last night, taking two of three at home in that series. I like the Halos at home as a small favorite in tonight’s series opener.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Pitching – While both starters are coming off very poor performances, I still give the edge to LA as Wilson has been having a far better season statistically. He didn’t have his best stuff in a loss to the Yankees in the Bronx earlier this year, but prior to that he had gone 4-0 with a 2.21 ERA in his previous six starts versus New York. Sabathia on the other hand hasn’t been fooling hitters at all this season, with an ERA of 5.65 and an opponent’s batting average of .308.

2. Mike Trout – The Angels slugger is hitting lefties hard this season, batting .317 against them. He’s also hitting .364 with a home run in 11 career at bats versus Sabathia.

3. X-Factor – The Angels are 17-5 in Wilson’s last 22 home starts.

Selection: This is a play on the LAA (Free)

Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels Prediction from Mike Lundin: June 28th 2015

MARINERS VS. ANGELS MLB PREDICTIONSeattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels
MLB Prediction: Seattle -113 odds (June 28th 2015)

The Seattle Mariners and the Los Angeles Angels have split the first two games in this series, and I like the Mariners to clinch the rubber-match this afternoon when they send their ace King Felix to the mound. Hernandez has been rather inconsistent of late, but he’s dominated the Halos in recent meetings, with Seattle winning each of his last eight starts in the series behind a 0.64 ERA for the right-hander and he’s 2-0 with just two runs conceded in 14 innings over two meetings on the year. The Angels will turn to Hector Santiago who’s winless in his last five starts and 0-1 with a 4.57 ERA in four starts this month. He’s struggled in previous career meetings with the Mariners, going 1-2 with a 4.57 ERA in 10 career appearances, two starts as he’ll face them for the first time this season.

Note that:
– King Felix is 3-0 with a 1.93 ERA in four starts during the day on the year.
– Santiago has given up five homers in his last three games alone.
– Seattle is a massive 12-3 in Hernandez’s last 15 starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150.
– Los Angeles is 2-8 in its last 10 games as an underdog.

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Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants Over-Under Prediction from Mike Lundin: June 27th 2015

ROCKIES VS. GIANTS OVER UNDER PICK JUNE 27TH 2015Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants
Prediction: Over 7 runs -110 odds (June 27th 2015)

NL West rivals the Colorado Rockies and the San Francisco Giants will do battle at AT&T Park for the middle-game of a three-game set this afternoon. The Rockies won the opener 8-6 last night, and I expect another high-scoring encounter here when the struggling Tim Lincecum will take the mound for the Giants. He couldn’t even get out of the second inning at Dodger Stadium his last start, surrendering five runs on seven hits before being pulled after only 53 pitches. Admittedly he’s been rather sharp home in San Fran on the year, 2.14 ERA in seven starts, but his career 3.96 ERA against the Rockies is not that impressive, and they’ve already reached him for four runs, three earned, in five innings this season. The Rockies will turn to Chris Rusin to make his fifth appearance, sixth start, of the season. He’s posted a 6.00 road ERA in four outings and was lit up for seven runs on nine hits in four innings of an 8-5 loss at Houston his last start away from home.

Note that:
– Colorado’s Nolan Arenado has compiled a .380 AVG with 17 RBI during a 13-game hitting streak and he’s 5-for-12 with a double and a homer against Lincecum lifetime.
– Colorado’s Carlos Gonzalez was a perfect 5-for-5 with a double and a triple last night.
– The over is 9-2 in the Rockies last 11 overall.

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Yankees vs. Astros MLB Prediction from Brandon Lee: June 26th 2015

YANKEES VS. ASTROS PREDICTION JUNE 26TH 2015New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros
MLB Prediction: Over 8.5 runs (June 26th 2015)

The Astros and Yankees are No. 1 and No. 2 in all of baseball in team home runs, so scoring runs in bunches happens a lot for both of these teams. I look for a lot more offensive fireworks following yesterday’s mere 4 combined runs. A big reason for that is the starting pitching matchup. New York’s Nathan Eovaldi has a 6.31 ERA and 1.822 WHIP over 7 road starts, while Houston’s Vincent Velasquez allowed 5 runs on 7 hits in just 4 1/3 in his first career start at home. Yankees are averaging 7 runs/game over their last 7, while Houston is putting up a respectable 4.6 runs/game over their last 7. Too much value here to pass up. Roll the OVER 8.5!

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