Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Ottawa Senators
Betting Line: Pittsburgh -125 Over/Under 5.5 (May 19th 2013)
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ATS Trends:
Senators are 13-6 in their last 19 home games. Senators are 1-9 in their last 10 vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Senators are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. Atlantic. Penguins are 6-0 in their last 6 Sunday games. Penguins are 22-6 in their last 28 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Penguins are 40-12 in their last 52 overall. Penguins are 40-12 in their last 52 vs. Eastern Conference. Penguins are 46-15 in their last 61 games following a win.

Over/Under Trends:
Under is 4-0-1 in Senators last 5 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. Under is 14-3-6 in Senators last 23 vs. Atlantic. Under is 7-2-2 in Senators last 11 Conference Semifinals games. Under is 35-15-11 in Senators last 61 overall. Under is 35-15-11 in Senators last 61 vs. Eastern Conference. Over is 5-1 in Penguins last 6 games playing on 1 days rest. Over is 4-1 in Penguins last 5 games following a win. Under is 8-2 in Penguins last 10 vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 16-6 in Penguins last 22 Sunday games. Under is 8-3 in Penguins last 11 vs. Northeast.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
Penguins are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings. Over is 12-5 in the last 17 meetings. Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Ottawa. Home team is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings.

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New York Rangers vs. Boston Bruins
Betting Line: Boston -122 Over/Under 5 (May 19th 2013)
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ATS Trends:
Bruins are 5-0 in their last 5 Conference Semifinals games. Bruins are 10-2 in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Bruins are 2-5 in their last 7 games following a win. Bruins are 2-6 in their last 8 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game. Rangers are 5-1 in their last 6 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game. Rangers are 17-4 in their last 21 Sunday games. Rangers are 7-2 in their last 9 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game. Rangers are 20-9 in their last 29 games playing on 2 days rest. Rangers are 3-9 in their last 12 vs. Northeast.

Over/Under Trends:
Under is 8-1-3 in Bruins last 12 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Over is 4-1-1 in Bruins last 6 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game. Under is 4-1 in Bruins last 5 Sunday games. Under is 8-2-1 in Bruins last 11 vs. Atlantic. Over is 4-1-1 in Bruins last 6 Conference Semifinals games. Under is 2-0-2 in Rangers last 4 overall. Under is 2-0-4 in Rangers last 6 Sunday games. Under is 2-0-2 in Rangers last 4 vs. Eastern Conference. Over is 2-0-2 in Rangers last 4 vs. Northeast. Under is 2-0-2 in Rangers last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
Under is 8-1-2 in the last 11 meetings in Boston. Under is 14-5-3 in the last 22 meetings. Rangers are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Boston. Rangers are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.

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Memphis Grizzlies vs. San Antonio Spurs
Point Spread: San Antonio -4.5 Over/Under 182 (May 19th 2013)
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ATS Trends:
Spurs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. Spurs are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 games playing on 2 days rest. Spurs are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall. Spurs are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 vs. Western Conference. Spurs are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games. Grizzlies are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Grizzlies are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games. Grizzlies are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Grizzlies are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Grizzlies are 17-4-1 ATS in their last 22 games overall.

Over/Under Trends:
Under is 4-0 in Spurs last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 10-1 in Spurs last 11 Sunday games. Under is 7-1 in Spurs last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Under is 11-2 in Spurs last 13 games playing on 2 days rest. Under is 4-1 in Spurs last 5 overall. Under is 7-2 in Grizzlies last 9 Sunday games. Under is 7-2-1 in Grizzlies last 10 vs. NBA Southwest. Over is 6-2 in Grizzlies last 8 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Over is 5-2 in Grizzlies last 7 road games. Over is 5-2 in Grizzlies last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings. Grizzlies are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Grizzlies are 1-3-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in San Antonio.

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Kansas City Royals vs. Oakland Athletics
MLB Prediction: Oakland -146 odds (May 19th 2013)
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This is an MLB prediction on the Oakland Athletics over the Kansas City Royals on May 19th 2013.

First off, congrats to all those who got in on yesterday’s free winner on the A’s. If you haven’t been following my free plays this year, you might want to check out the history here: 2013 Free Play History

After cashing in on Oakland last night, we’re going right back for more tonight as the A’s take on the Royals at home in the final game of this series. Oakland looks to complete the sweep, with A.J. Griffin on the mound versus Luis Mendoza.

Griffin (4-3, 3.48 ERA) allowed a single run on six hits over seven innings in a 5-1 win over Texas in his last start. He’s been very solid at home this year, going 2-1 with a 3.12 ERA in four starts. “Command-wise, I’d say it’s my best start in the major leagues,” said Griffin.

Mendoza (1-2, 6.00 ERA) picked up his first win of the season, allowing three runs on six hits over six innings against the Angels his last time out. The Royals won the game 11-4, but he can’t be expecting to get that sort of run support in Oakland today.

The last two games between these two teams were both very close, with Oakland scoring late to win by a score of 2-1 in each game. I wouldn’t be surprised to see a more one-sided score in tonight’s game.

Take the A’s.

Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangers
MLB Prediction: Detroit -119 odds (May 18th 2013)
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The Detroit Tigers have a massive edge on the mound Saturday. They should be a much heavier favorite as a result. I’ll gladly take advantage by backing them at an excellent price tonight.

Anibal Sanchez gets the ball for Detroit looking to continue his Cy Young-caliber 2013 campaign. He has gone 4-3 with a 2.05 ERA with 66 strikeouts over 52 2/3 innings this year. He has also posted a 1.82 ERA through four road starts.

Justin Grimm is 2-3 with a 4.28 ERA and 1.485 WHIP through six starts for Texas. He has really been knocked around the yard of late, going 0-3 with a 7.02 ERA and 1.800 WHIP in his last three starts.

The Tigers are 12-4 in their last 16 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. The Rangers are 3-10 in their last 13 games as a home underdog of +110 to +150. Bet the Tigers Saturday.

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Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees
MLB Prediction: Yankees -143 odds (May 17th 2013)
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Off back-to-back losses, I look for the New York Yankees (25-16) to bounce back with a blowout victory tonight over the Toronto Blue Jays (17-24). Given the edge they have on the mound in this one, that shouldn’t be a problem.

Hiroki Kuroda continues to be one of the most underrated starters in the big leagues. The right-hander has gone 5-2 with a 2.31 ERA and 1.046 WHIP through eight starts in 2013. Kuroda is 3-1 with a 3.82 ERA and 1.207 WHIP in five career starts against Toronto as well.

This play is as much of a fade against Mark Buehrle as anything. The left-hander is 1-2 with a 6.19 ERA and 1.479 WHIP through eight starts this season, including 0-1 with a 7.15 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in four road starts. Buehrle is also 1-9 with a 6.19 ERA and 1.613 WHIP in 14 career starts against New York.

The Blue Jays are 16-43 in their last 59 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Yankees are 40-18 in their last 58 home games vs. a left-handed starter. New York is 15-1 in Kuroda’s last 16 starts when working on 4 days of rest. Bet the Yankees Friday.

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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves
MLB Prediction: Atlanta -133 odds (May 17th 2013)
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The Dodgers have been a pretty big flop to start the season which is surprising when you look at the size of their payroll. They are averaging just 3 runs per game against left handed starters and they have a 6-9 road record combined to a 9-5 home record for Atlanta. The Braves will also face a lefty today and they are averaging 4.6 runs per game with a .337 on base percentage in the 14 games they have went against left handed starters this season.

Atlanta will have Paul Maholm on the mound today. Maholm has a 3.94 ERA with a 1.208 WHIP in his 8 starts but his numbers are significantly better when playing at home. In his home starts his ERA drops to 1.32 and he has a 0.878 WHIP. For the Dodgers Hyun-Jin Ryu will get the start. He is a big of an unknown as he does not have a single game in his career where he has went up against Atlanta.

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New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners
MLB Prediction: Yanks -160 odds (May 16th 2013)
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This is a MLB Prediction on the New York Yankees for May 16th 2013.

The Yankees ran into a hot pitcher yesterday, while Phil Hughes failed to get out of the first inning. The result was a 12-2 throttling at the hands of Seattle. It might be their turn to return the favor today, as the Mariners send a struggling Aaron Harang to the mound in Game 2 in the Bronx.

Harang (1-4, 7.30 ERA) has been terrible all season, although he’s coming off consecutive quality starts. He allowed just a pair of runs on five hits over six innings his last time out, but lost 4-1 to the Pirates. His last two starts have come in parks that favor the pitcher, but his luck is due to run out at Yankee Stadium today.

Lyle Overbay has seen more of Harang than anyone else in New York’s lineup, and he hasn’t been fooled. Overbay was 2-for-3 with a double yesterday, and he’s hitting 4.58 in 24 career at bats versus Harang.

The Yankees hand the ball to veteran Andy Pettitte, who appears to be turning things around after going through a rough patch. Pettitte (4-2, 3.83 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on five hits over seven innings in a 3-2 win over the Royals his last time out. After an excellent start to the season, he had lost three straight prior to his last outing.

We can expect Pettitte to take care of business today, facing a Mariners team that ranks near last in the majors in runs scored. Harang on the other hand has his work cut out for him, and he might be looking at an early exit and another loss.

Take the Yankees.

Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs
Prediction: Chicago -132 odds (May 15th 2013)
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The Chicago Cubs have a big edge on the mound Wednesday with Jeff Samardzija over Jon Garland. I’ll back the Cubs at home at an excellent price as a result.

Samardzija is one of the best young starters in the game. He has posted a 3.70 ERA and 1.253 WHIP with 57 strikeouts over 48 2/3 innings in eight starts in 2013. He was the team’s opening day starter for good reason.

Jon Garland is washed up and far past his prime. The veteran right-hander has gone 3-3 with a 4.83 ERA and 1.488 WHIP in seven starts this season, including 1-2 with a 5.06 ERA and 1.750 WHIP in his last three.

The Rockies are 16-36 in their last 52 games as an underdog. Colorado is 0-8 in its last 8 games following a win. The Cubs are 4-0 in Samardzija’s last 4 starts as a home favorite. Bet the Cubs Wednesday.

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MLB Predictions: May 14th 2013
Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Pick: Nats -135 odds
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This is a complimentary MLB prediction on the Washington Nationals +1.5 on May 14th 2013

The Dodgers struggles continued last night, with a 6-2 loss to Washington in Game 1 of this series. L.A. can’t seem to get anything going at the plate, and the Dodgers rank 28th in the Majors in runs scored.

Scoring has been a major problem when Clayton Kershaw has been on the mound, and they have lost his last two starts. Kershaw (3-2, 1.62 ERA) has been dominant all year, and he’s allowed just four runs over his last four starts. Due to a lack of offense and a suspect bullpen, he’s only won one of those starts.

The Dodgers have just two wins in their last 11 games, yet they are hefty favorite in tonight’s game with their ace on the mound.

The Nat’s will hand the ball to Dan Haren, and he’s coming off three straight wins. Haren (4-3, 5.17 ERA) allowed four runs on nine hits over six innings in a 5-4 win over the Tigers in his last start. Prior to that he was very sharp in a 3-1 win over Atlanta, allowing a single run on four hits over eight innings.

While Haren has been a little up and down, he’s been much better lately, and a start in a pitcher-friendly park against one of worst offensive teams in baseball might be a good spot for him.

I like the Nats on the run line, I think the Nats can keep this one close, even against Kershaw.

Take Washington RL

GL,