Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros
Betting Prediction: Astros -138 odds (August 26th 2016)
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The Houston Astros have won 5 of their last 6 games overall and had Thursday off. The Tampa Bay Rays are coming off back-to-back wins over the Boston Red Sox and are primed for a letdown here, and they didn’t have Thursday off like the Astros. Mike Fiers has been on his game at home this season, going 6-3 with a 3.36 ERA and 1.148 WHIP in 12 starts. Fiers is also 1-0 with a 2.57 ERA and 0.857 WHIP in one lifetime start vs. Tampa Bay, which came in a 4-3 victory on June 11 this season. Drew Smyly has been awful on the road for the Rays, going 3-5 with a 5.58 ERA and 1.529 WHIP in 12 starts. Smyly has never beaten the Astros, going 0-2 with an 8.22 ERA and 2.350 WHIP in 2 lifetime starts against them. The Rays are 7-20 in their last 27 road games. The Astros are 26-9 in their last 35 vs. a team with a losing record. Tampa Bay is 1-4 in Smyly’s last 5 road starts. The Astros are 5-1 in Fiers’ last 6 home starts. Take Houston.
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Atlanta Falcons vs. Miami Dolphins
NFL Preseason Point Spread Pick: Falcons +2 (August 25th 2016)
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We like the way the Falcons have been playing this preseason and they look like they have solid depth at QB with Schaub and Simms both looking good, though we’ll reserve full judgement until the real stuff begins. the Dolphins were awful last week (though they did help us land our 4* play of the week on the Cowboys). Atlanta’s secondary has been pretty good and we’re not sure the Dolphins are going to do any better than they did last week. They’ll need to if they are going to be competitive though – the Dolphin’s secondary put up 0 sacks, 0 interceptions, 0 forced fumbles last week….
Miami is 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games and 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games at home. Atlanta is 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
Not sure why we are getting the points here, but a good rule to follow in preseason football betting is to take the better team when they are getting points and that is exactly what is happening here.
For our free pick, take the Falcons +2 points.
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Chicago Fire vs. LA Galaxy
Soccer Betting Pick: Under 2.5 goals -110 odds (August 24th 2016)
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I like the look of under 2.5 goals in this game between La Galaxy and Chicago Fire.
Five of the last six games that LA Galaxy have played on the road in the MLS have ended under 2.5 goals, just once in that run have they featured in a game with at least three goals.
The last two Chicago home games have had more than 2.5 goals, however, prior to that over seven games only once was there more than 2.5 goals in Chicago, basically over the last nine home games 66% of them have been under 2.5 goals.
Another factor to consider is that Chicago are unbeaten in their last seven home games and despite their league position have proven to be a hard team to beat on their home patch.
LA are in good form, losing just once in their last ten MLS games and that was last weekend away to New York City.
So, we have a home side strong at home in recent weeks playing a team in good decent form, basically two teams capable of cancelling each other out based on recent home and away form respectively.
I do not see an open free flowing game and whoever scores first will probably attempt to shut up shop, especially Chicago who are playing a team that surprisingly tends to concede first against teams lower down in the league when they are away from home.
All things considered I am going under 2.5 goals in this one.
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays
MLB Betting Prediction: Red Sox -141 odds (August 24th 2016)
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Boston is worth a look here against the Rays on Wednesday. The Red Sox are clicking on all cylinders at the moment. They have won each of the first 2 games of this series and 10 of their last 12 overall. Hard to not like their chances in this one, as they send out Rick Porcello against the struggling Matt Andriese. Porcello is 17-3 with a 3.22 ERA in 25 starts and has a 1.64 ERA and 0.773 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Andriese on the other hand is heading in the wrong direction, posting a 8.40 ERA and 1.600 WHIP in his last 3 starts. It’s also worth noting that Porcello has owned the Rays this season. He’s faced them 3 times and allowed just 5 runs in 20 innings of work. All resulting in Red Sox wins by at least 3 runs. Give me Boston -141!
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Kansas City Chiefs vs. Chicago Bears
NFL Preseason Prediction: Chiefs -1 (August 27th 2016)
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The KC Chiefs have started this Preseason off at 0-2, but they’re playing much better than their record indicates. They lost their opener to Seattle, 17-16, after allowing a “Hail Mary” TD on the last play of the game. They followed that with a road loss in Los Angeles, 21-20, despite out-gaining the Rams 382 offensive yards to 264 total yards! Chiefs HC Andy Reid knows that you MUST build a “winning culture” during the exhibition season if you want to win during the Regular season, which is why these Chiefs went 4-0 during the 2015 NFL-X, scoring 24 points or more in 3 of those 4 games. The Bears offensive line is terrible and they have no talent at the RB position after losing All-Pro RB Matt Forte in the off-season. Expect the Chiefs to shut down this Bear’s offense and get their 1st victory of the season on Saturday.
California Golden Bears vs. Hawaii Warriors – 10:00pm ET August 26th 2016
Point Spread: The California Golden Bears are a 20 point favorite against the Hawaii Warriors. The over/under for this game is 63 total points.
Public Perception: As of August 22nd 2016, 55% of the betting public thinks that the Warriors will cover the 20 points. 73% of the public are favoring this game to go over the posted total of 63 points. (Source: Covers)
California was 8-5 SU and 6-7 ATS last season with an over/under record of 5-8. The Bears ranked 8th in total yards (529/game), 3rd in passing yards (375/game) and 92nd in rushing yards (153/game). The Golden Bears ranked a respectable 17th in the nation in points scored (19/game). Cal’s defense didn’t fare so well last year as they were ranked 109th in defense, giving up an average of 453 yards per game. California ended their season with some decent wins over, AF (55-36), ASU (48-46) and Oregon State (54-24)
Hawaii was 3-10 SU and 3-10 ATS last season with an over/under record of 7-6. The Warriors ranked 120th in total yards (318/game), 98th in passing yards (192/game) and 115th in rushing yards (126.4/game). Defensively, Hawaii ranked 105th in total yards allowed at 448/game in the ’15 season. Hawaii had a dismal end to their season going 1-9 SU and ATS in their last 10 games.
Recent meetings: It has been 22 years since these two teams took the field. Hawaii pulled the upset in that game in 1994 as a 14.5 underdog. Final Score: Hawaii 21 California 7
Betting Trends: Hawaii is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games and 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games overall. California is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games. The Under is 7-3 in Cal’s last 10 games overall. The Under is 6-1 in their warriors last 7 games vs. the Pac-12
Point Spread Pick: California Golden Bears -10
Over-Under Pick: Under 63 points