Colorado State vs. Air Force
Free Pick: Under 119.5 (-110 odds)
Tue February 9th 2010 10:00p
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If you are looking for exciting offense, do not expect to find any when the Colorado State Rams visit the Air Force Falcons in a game that may even put insomniacs to sleep, especially those that live on the East Coast given this late start time.

Air Force is not a particularly good shooting team, so in an attempt to hide that fact, they play at an extremely deliberate pace, with the thinking being that their best chance to win any game is to limit the amount of possessions for each team. Thus, their 9-13 record is really better than should be expected considering they average a paltry 59.7 points per game overall, and they actually have a winning 8-5 record at home.

More important though is the fact that the Under is 4-1-1 in their home games that have had posted totals. To give you an idea of just how slow Air Force plays, they average 59.7 possessions per game according to Pomeroy, which ranks 345 out of 347 Division I schools and is more than eight possessions per game less than the national average of 67.8. The only two teams that play at a slower pace than Air Force are Delaware State and Samford.

Now Colorado State is averaging 67.5 points per game overall, but their offense tapers off considerably on the road, where the Rams average just 61.1 points on a poor 39.0 percent shooting. Furthermore, most of that obviously came vs. normal paced teams, so you can probably deduct a couple of points from that road average here given the way Air Force plays.

This may seem like a rather low posted total at fist glance, but we do not see either team getting out of the 50s tonight, making Under the play.

CBB Free Pick: Colorado State, Air Force Under 119.5 (-110)

Kansas Jayhawks vs. Texas Longhorns
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The second leg of ESPN’s Big Monday telecast takes us to Austin, TX where the Texas Longhorns (19-4, 8-11 ATS) will look to secure their 20th win of the season when they host the #1 ranked Kansas Jayhawks (22-1, 9-10-1 ATS). The Jayhawks most recently sleepwalked to a 75-64 home win against the Nebraska Cornhuskers, but failed miserably for their betting backers by never coming close to covering the 21-point closing pointspread. Texas failed to sweep its two-game road stint through Oklahoma, as it was outhustled from the opening tip against the Sooners on Saturday and ultimately fell by an 80-71 final tally as 6.5-point road chalk.

KU enters tonight’s stiff road test winners of eight in a row after fending off the Huskers last Saturday, but they haven’t been kind to their CBB betting backers of late. The pointspread loss to Big Red marked the third straight contest in which they failed to get the job done against the closing pointspread. It’s hard to fault HC bill Self’s club though, as the Jayhawks have gone through the ringer in terms of a rough schedule. It also hasn’t helped that they’ve been taken to overtime in each of their L/2 road contests (@ K-State & Colorado). Thankfully for the city of Lawrence, their team is very deep this season. C Cole Aldrich only played 21 minutes against Nebraska, which should have the teams leading rebounder ready to bang with Texas’ “Bigs” tonight.

As for Texas, it’s alternated SU wins and losses its L/4 times out and enters tonight’s battle with the country’s top ranked team just 2-4 SU & 1-5 ATS its L/6 games. That said; they’re 12-1 SU at home this season with the lone loss occurring in OT to Baylor the last time they took to the Erwin Center hardwood. Their defense has been a problem of late (78.2 PPG allowed L/5), but with the home crowd enthusiastically backing them, look for them to pick it up at that end of the court tonight. They have the big men and depth to go toe-to-toe with the Jayhawks.

KU has taken each of the L/2 in this series both SU & ATS, but the Horns had covered 6 of the previous 8 meetings. Texas is also a solid 5-1 ATS the L/6 times it was dogged at home, so it’s highly possible the Horns protect their house and upend a Jayhawks team that comes into this battle running on fumes.

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Texas vs. Kansas
Free Prediction: Texas +2
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5* graded play on Texas as they host Kansas set to start at 9:00 EST in a huge Big-12 matchup. When Texas was ranked number 1 this game would have been lined at about Texas -4. With Texas losing the way they have since that number 1 rank the public is essentially throwing the baby out with the bath water. Texas has lost 9 of 10 ATS and are just 6-4 SU over that same span of games. Our proprietary sports handicapping mode/simulator shows a high probability that Texas will win this game. If there was ever a time for this vastly under rated team to get their act together it has to be playing a conference foe that just happens to be ranked number 1. Texas has been a solid investment in this role as they are 38-20 ATS (+16.0 Units) in home games versus excellent teams that are shooting >=45% with a defense of <=42% since 1997; 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in home games after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread since 1997. Kansas is ranked number 1 are certainly going to be a contender for the National Championship, but they are in a very bad spot tonight. They are just 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in home games after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread since 1997. Take Texas.

New Orleans Hornets vs. Orlando Magic
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Amway Arena will be the site of the first of three Monday night NBA betting battles where the New Orleans Hornets (27-24, 24-27 ATS) will look to play the role of spoiler against the Southeast Division leading Orlando Magic (34-17, 26-24-1 ATS). The Hornets enter this game on the outside of the Western Conference playoff picture, but certainly within striking distance at just two games behind the Blazers for the final slot. Orlando can’t afford a slip in a very winnable game with the Hawks sitting right on its tail. Both teams proved victories SU as underdogs in their latest basketball wagering wars, as New Orleans took out Charlotte 104-99, while the Magic beat Boston 96-89 in the Garden.

With the franchise losing money hand over fist, there’s a big question about how much longer the Hornets will be together. There are rumors about basically everyone on the team being dealt before the NBA’s trading deadline, and it has arguably really had a negative effect on team chemistry. The Hornets have surrendered 105.0 points per game in their L/9 games, which is up almost four points from their season average. It also doesn’t help that G Chris Paul has been out of the lineup with a knee injury and won’t return for at least another month. F David West scored 21 points in New Orleans’ win over the Bobcats, and he’ll need to pick up the pace from his 17.9 points per game on the season for the Hornets to stay in the playoff picture.

Orlando responded to its head coach’s tirade following its loss to Washington with a big win at Boston Garden on Super Bowl Sunday. All five starters scored in double digits, led by G Vince Carter’s 20. Carter hasn’t always been integral in Orlando’s efforts down the stretch in games, as he’s often been left on the bench by HC Stan Van Gundy in crucial junctures. The former North Carolina Tar Heel is second on the team in scoring at 15.8 points per game, and he’ll need to continue to have a major impact on the Magic for them to succeed.

Both teams absolutely destroyed the other when hosting this series a year ago. The Hornets won 117-85 at New Orleans Arena, while Orlando scored an 88-68 victory at Amway Arena. Both favored teams won last year, but the underdog had gone 8-0-1 ATS in their previous nine basketball wagering duels.

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San Antonio Spurs vs. Los Angeles Lakers
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The Rodeo Road Trip continues for the San Antonio Spurs (29-20, 24-24-1 ATS) as they pay a visit to the Staples Center in an NBA betting affair with the Los Angeles Lakers (39-13, 23-27-2 ATS). The Spurs are already 2-1 SU on this eight-game roadie, but they logged their first win against the basketball point spreads on Saturday against the Clippers with a 98-81 victory. Without the services of G Kobe Bryant, the Lakers bounced the Blazers 99-82 on Saturday as 3.5-point choices of the oddsmakers.

San Antonio continues to look like a mortal team, and HC Gregg Popovich has to wonder whether his team is good enough to reach the postseason when it’s all said and done. Winning games like this one against the Lakers seems to be necessary at some point. G George Hill is coming off of a 22-point performance against the Clippers, and he is averaging 17.1 points per game in his L/10. Perhaps Hill could be the long-term compliment to F Tim Duncan, who is one of just two players on this team that is scoring more than 13 points per game (Tony Parker, 16.8 PPG). Duncan is putting up a double-double on a nightly basis, scoring 19.5 points and hauling in 10.7 boards per contest.

Not only were the Lakers without Bryant on Saturday, but they also lost C Andrew Bynum in the first quarter after he scored just three points. Neither Bryant nor Bynum is a certainty for the San Antonio game, which means both Fs Lamar Odom and Pau Gasol are going to need to be dominant for the hosts to be victorious. Odom tore down 22 rebounds against the Blazers and came just four assists shy of a triple-double. Gasol went for 13 points and eight rebounds, and he is averaging 16.9 points and 10.7 rebounds per basketball wagering war.

The Lakers have a score to settle with the Spurs after losing 105-85 at the Alamodome on January 12th. That snapped a five-game ATS winning streak for the Lakers between these Western Conference rivals. The Spurs are a rock solid 18-7-2 ATS in their L/27 games against the Pacific Division.

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Below are free NBA Picks and basketball predictions for February 8th 2010 from Touthouse.com handicappers. If you are looking for free NBA basketball picks on a daily basis or premium picks from our NBA basketball betting experts visit Touthouse.com each day.

Free NBA Pick: Orlando Magic -9 (Tom Freese)
New Orleans took a big blow when Chris Paul went down with an ankle injury. David West needs to step up his game. West scores 17.9 points a game and Peja Stojakovic scores 12.1 points a game while Emeka Okafor scores 12.4 points a game and Marcus Thornton scores 10.9 points a game. Nobody else scores more than 7.7 points a game. The Hornets are 9-23 ATS as road dogs of 5.0 to 10.5 points and they are 2-6 off a straight up win. Orlando is 34-17 this year and are led by Dwight Howard and his 17.8 points a game and his 13.4 rebounds a game. Rayshard Lewis scores 14.9 points a game. Vince Carter drops in 15.8 points a game and Jameer Nelson 11.8 points a night. Five other players score between 9.8 and 7.0 points a game. The Magic are 28-12-1 ATS their last 41 games their starting five combined to play for more than 160 minutes. PLAY ON ORLANDO -

Free NBA Pick: Mavericks vs. Warriors Over 218 (Jimmy Boyd)
The Warriors are scoring 110.2 ppg at home this season while allowing 110.6 so I think there is some value in the Over here. Plus, the Warriors have played to the Under in 3 straight and they are a perfect 8-0 Over in home games off 3 or more consecutive Unders over the last 3 seasons, combining with their opponent to average 233.5 total points in these spots. Additionally, the last 3 games played at Golden State between these two teams have gone Over, as they have combined to average 227.3 total points. These two teams just combined for 211 points in Dallas last week, and I expect the pace to be a little faster at Golden State tonight. Bet the Over.

Villanova vs. West Virginia
Free Pick: West Virginia -4.5 -110 odds
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1* Take West Virginia ATS, This pick falls into one of my NCAAB systems and the Mountaineers happen to be a 100% perfect 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games when the posted total is 150 to 159.5 points. West Virginia is also 36-7 SU in their last 43 home games and they are 18-7 ATS in their last 25 home games when favored by -0.5 to -6.5 points. The last time West Virginia was listed as a 4.5 point favorite at home against Villanova was actually last year and they won by 21 points. Although I do not expect a blowout tonight I do like them to win by 10 points because of their strong defensive play holding opponents to just 57.8 ppg at home this season. Take West Virginia ATS as my NCAAB Free Play for Monday night.

Kansas vs. Texas
Free Pick: Texas +1
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On Monday the free play is on Texas game 716 at 9:00 eastern. Texas is coming off a mediocre performance at Oklahoma getting down by as many as 18,before getting back into the game only to lose. Today the Get a solid Kansas team that is winning but nearly as convincing as last years team. Texas has won 4 of the last 6 at home vs the Jay hawks and won 80% of the time at home since 1997 when the total is 150 to 155. Look for Texas to bounce back and win this one. On The Monday card I have a 5 unit NCAAB Play with 4 Big Power angles. Hoops remain and hot, and tonight our team has big edges on both sides of the ball. Take Texas tonight as the free play. RV

Rider vs. Niagara
Free Pick: Niagara -1.5 (-110 odds)
Mon February 8th 2010 7:00p
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The Niagara Purple Eagles have been a huge disappointment this season, but they are now fully healthy and after winning their last two games, we look for them to continue a late-season run when they visit the Rider Broncs in Lawrenceville tonight.

Niagara was expected to compete for the MAAC title as usual at the start of the year, but they have gone just 13-12 overall and they are still under .500 at 6-7 inside the conference. However, the Eagles are a different team when they are fully healthy, which they are now for the first time in a while, and they are showing positive signs, winning their last two games including a nice victory on the road at Loyola-Maryland.

That is the same Loyola team that the Broncs lost to here at home on Friday, and the Broncs have been burning a lot of money as of late, going just 2-5 against the spread in their last seven games. They have also done a poor job in general of protecting their home court, going only 5-4 straight up and a terrible 1-6 ATS in their lines home games while actually getting slightly outscored by an average of -1.0 points per game vs. Division I home foes.

Niagara is also ranked considerably higher than Rider in the Pomeroy Ratings despite their disappointing record, as they rank 149 compared to 210 for the Broncs. The Purple Eagles should also be able to score more than usual here vs. a poor Rider defense that ranks a terrible 270 in the country in two-point defense, generously allowing a 50.3 percent success rate.

Finally, a fully healthy is simply the better team here, and the fact that the Broncs have had basically no home court advantage makes us like the Purple Eagles even more.

CBB Free Pick: Niagara -1.5 (-110)

Notre Dame vs. South Florida
Free Pick: Notre Dame -8 -110 odds
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On Super Bowl Sunday the free NCAAB Play is on Notre Dame. Game 806 at 12;00 eastern. Notre Dame ifs 14-2 at home this year and 9-0 the last 3 years when the total is 145 to 150. As a home favorite in this range they have won all 3 times with 2 covers. They were able to beat South Florida on the road earlier in the year and now catch them at the right time. South Florida has covered 5 straight games as an underdog including 4 straight upset wins. The last one was a big one. South Florida went into Georgetown and beat a flat Hoya team that was coming off a huge win at home vs Duke and gladly took advantage. Today its the Irish who look to capitalize on what should be a flat S. Florida team who will be hard pressed to put up another big performance. The Numbers prove it too. South Florida is 3-13 revenging a home loss, 3-19 and 8-14 ats as a road dog from 6.5 to 9 and have been a bad team in the month of February the past few years going 3-12. Look for Notre Dame to win this one and cover today. On the Sunday Card I have the Triple System Super Bowl wager. This play is backed with full analysis and is guaranteed. I also have Triple angle NCAAB Side play. We cashed big on Saturday and will end the football season with more winners. RV