Cleveland Indians vs. Chicago White Sox
MLB Prediction: White Sox +117 odds (May 21st 2015)
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Rodom yesterday’s starter for the White Sox had a dominant performance through six innings giving up no runs while fanning one batter after another in the Cleveland lineup. The seventh inning proved to be the nail in the coffin for Chicago, as middle reliever Dan Jennings gave up three runs on 2 hits, which put the White Sox in a hole they could not dig out of which resulted in a loss. Today look for John Danks to continue his recent turn around as the Chicago starter began the season with a 6.20 ERA over 4 outings. The last 2 starts for Danks have been dominate only giving up 3 runs over 14 innings. Look for the White Sox to get back to their recent winning ways which had Chicago on a 8 game winning streak before losing the last two games. Pound your Man and take the nice Money Line Payout on the Sox.
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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants
Betting Prediction: Under 6 runs -110 odds (May 21st 2015)
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The San Francisco Giants have shut out the Los Angeles Dodgers in back-to-back wins and can complete the sweep of a three-game set against their NL West rivals this afternoon. We’ve seen just six runs scored in the first two games in the series, and runs are sure to come at a premium today when both clubs send their ace to the hill.
Madison Bumgarner (4-2, 3.20 ERA) will toe the slab for the Giants and he has recovered well from a slow start to the season and gone 3-1 conceding just eight runs on 26 hits over 34 2/3 innings in his last five starts. Last season’s World Series MVP is 8-3 with a 1.94 ERA in his last 12 starts against the Dodgers and 1-0 with a 1.88 ERA in two meetings this season. The Dodgers will send Clayton Kershaw (2-2, 4.24 ERA) to the hill and he knows how to handle the Giants compiling a 1.66 ERA over the last 12 meetings. We can expect both pitchers to go deep, but they will also be backed up by two of the best bullpens in baseball.
The Under is 4-0 in the last four meetings in San Francisco, 10-1-1 in Kershaw’s last 12 road starts versus Giants and 5-1 in Bumgarner’s last six starts against the Dodgers.
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Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins
Betting Prediction: Arizona +128 odds (May 20th 2015)
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10* graded play on the Arizona Diamondbacks as they take on the Miami Marlins in NL action set to start at 7:10 PM ET. I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. When these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Diamondbacks. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 75-62 mark for 55% winners, BUT has made a whopping 47 units/unit wagered averaging a +145 DOG play since 1997. Play on all underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (ARIZONA) average hitting team batting between 0.255 and 0.269 and with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR’s/start against an excellent starting pitcher posting an ERA
Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets
Betting Pick: Mets -130 odds (May 17th 2015)
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The Mets’ Noah Syndergaard wasn’t great in his MLB debut on Tuesday against the Cubs, but it wasn’t that bad either. Syndergaard allowed just 3 runs on 6 hits over 5 1/3 innings of work. With the way the Brewers have been struggling offensively in 2015, this is a perfect spot for Syndergaard to get his first career win. Milwaukee’s Wily Peralta has pitched better of late, but he’s not been good away from home. Peralta has an ugly 4.09 ERA and 1.909 WHIP on the road. It’s also worth noting that New York is 11-1 in their last 12 home games following a win the previous time out. Roll the Mets -130!
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New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals
Betting Prediction: KC -122 odds (May 17th 2015)
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Ryan is riding a 6-2 ATS run in the NBA and has a very special card for Game 7. You get his Top Rated 25* Titan, a bonus 10* play on the Total, and a optional parlay too. Featured are two tim-tested systems + several game situations w/1 posting a perfect 100% mark.
10* graded play on the Kansas City Royals as they host the NY Yankees in AL action set to start at 2:10 PM ET. I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. When these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Royals this afternoon. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 110-55 mark good for 67% winners and has made 50 units/unit wagered since 2009. Play against road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (NY YANKEES) after having lost 3 of their last 4 games, a good team winning between 54% to 62% of their games and now playing a team with a winning record. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. KC is a solid 30-13 (+19.4 Units) against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
I study a ton of metrics and pitching data when releasing my Top Rated 25* Titans. The use of this data and research is a dominant reason the Dime Player is up $10,750 this season and made $40,980 in 2014. Let’s take a brief look at Edison Volquez. The data will extend back to all pitches thrown since the 2007 season. He has thrown fast ball 54% (9966 total pitches), change 25% (4507 pitches), and curve 21% (3808 pitches). His FB clocks out at 94/95 on average. He varies his FB throwing a ‘sinker’ that has great movement averaging 8 inches on horizontal arm side movement and a vertical drop of 6.5 inches. This pitch is difficult for RH to square up and it also sets up his curve that runs away from the RH batter. He will use the change mostly against LH batters. The change is a good one and produces his highest whiff rate at 18% of changes thrown to LHH. He will also spot up the curve as a back door type of offering to LH batters. The combination of these two make it very difficult for LH batters and also allows Volquez to sneak a fastball right by hitters on both sides of the plate. Further, he gets batters swinging 38% of the time when he throws the change and is often times in 2 strike counts. His HR/(FB+LD) ratio is exceptional for all pitches.
So, not surprising that Volquez has allowed just 2 HR in 7 starts spanning 42 1/3 innings of work. He was roughed up in the hitter friendly confines in Arlington in his last start, but is now pitching in his spacious Royals home field. He has not allowed a HR in 4 home starts and has produced a 2.62 ERA with a 1.125 WHIP in 24 innings of work.
Anaheim Ducks vs. Chicago Blackhawks
NHL Betting Prediction: Over 5 goals (May 17th 2015)
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The Anaheim Ducks will host the Chicago Blackhawks for the opener of 2015’s Western Conference finals. Both teams have impressed so far in the playoffs with the Ducks winning all but one game and the Blackhawks suffering just two defeats. This is a contest to close to call, but I do expect to see plenty of offense.
Here are my keys to the game:
1. Firepower – The Ducks dynamic duo are dominating these playoffs, with Corey Perry leading all scorers with 15 points, and Ryan Getzlaf not far behind with 12. Patrick Kane is second in scoring with 13 points, and that means three of the top five playoff scorers will suit up for this game .
2. Road Warriors – The Blackhawks defeated the Ducks in both meetings at the Duck Pond during the regular season, out-scoring them 8-2 in those contests.
3. X-Factor – The Over is 4-1 in Ducks last 5 Conference Finals games.
Selection: This is a play on Chicago@Anaheim to go OVER the total (Free)
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
MLB Pick: Dodgers -1.5 -120 odds (May 15th 2015)
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I’ll forgo the the heavy -284 juice on the Los Angeles Dodgers’ money line today and instead back them on the run line at a much shorter price of -120. They take on a Colorado team that is just 1-11 in its last 12 games overall. The Dodgers send 2014 NL Cy Young & MVP winner Clayton Kershaw to the mound tonight. Kershaw hasn’t been as dominant as last year in the early going, but he has been at his best at home, going 1-1 with a 2.84 ERA and 1.158 WHIP in three home starts. He’ll be opposed by Eddie Butler, who is 2-3 with a 3.73 ERA and 1.660 WHIP in six starts for the Rockies this year. Butler has never beaten the Dodgers, going 0-3 with a 6.64 ERA and 1.968 WHIP in four lifetime starts against them. Kershaw is 14-5 with a 3.26 ERA and 1.180 WHIP in 28 lifetime starts versus Colorado. The Dodgers have won each of Kershaw’s last seven starts against the Rockies by 2 runs or more. They’ve won by 4, 4, 9, 8, 5, 11 and 2 runs in his last seven starts against Colorado, respectively. Take Los Angeles.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros
MLB Betting Pick: Houston -138 odds (May 15th 2015)
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The Houston Astros won the opener of a four-game set home at Minute Maid Park against the Toronto Blue Jays 6-4 last night, and I like their chances of bagging the W tonight as well when they send their ace to the hill.
Dallas Keuchel (4-0, 1.39 ERA) may be coming off his worst performance of the year as he surrendered four runs on eight hits over 6 2/3 innings in a 6-5 loss to the Angels in Anaheim, but keep in mind that he’s still 2-0 with a 0.43 ERA over three home-starts. He has fared well against the Blue Jays in the past and has yet to suffer a defeat going 2-0 with a 2.95 ERA over three career outings. The Blue Jays will turn to R.A. Dickey (1-4, 5.00 ERA) who has been hit hard all season long. He gave up six runs on seven hits with two homers over six innings in a 6-3 loss against the Red Sox his last start and is 0-2 with a 6.00 ERA over three starts away from home on the year. He’s 2-4 with a 4.52 ERA over 11 appearances against Houston.
Note that the Blue Jays are 2-12 in Dickeys last 14 starts as a road underdog of +110 to +150 while the Astros are 4-1 in Keuchel’s last 5 starts as a favorite and 11-1 in his last 12 starts overall.
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Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres
Betting Prediction: Nationals -114 odds (May 15th 2015)
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Washington hasn’t lost consecutive games since April 27. I don’t see the Nationals losing a second straight game to the banged-up Padres after falling 8-3 to San Diego last night when the Padres bombed Doug Fister.
The Nationals’ pitching is upgraded today to Jordan Zimmerman while the Padres downgrade on the hill from All-Star Tyson Ross to Odrisamer Despaigne, who only is in San Diego’s rotation because of a shoulder injury to Brandon Morrow.
Washington is 12-4 in its last 16 games. The hot-hitting Nationals were averaging 6.5 runs while batting .308 in their previous 15 games entering Thursday’s series opener against San Diego. Despaigne does have a small sampling of pitching well at Petco Park, but this season his overall ERA is 5.13. San Diego is 0-4 in his last four starts outscored by 25 runs during the past three.
Zimmerman is one of the better pitchers in the National League. He’s settled down after a slow start to post a 3.06 ERA during his previous five starts. The Nationals have won Zimmerman’s last three starts. Zimmerman is at his finest, too, at Petco Park where he has a 0.60 career ERA in four starts.
The Nationals have won 76 percent of Zimmerman’s last 29 road starts when favored.
The Padres are not at full strength. First baseman Younder Alonso, the team’s leading hitter at .333, is on the disabled list with a shoulder injury and outfielder Wil Myers – who leads the Padres in runs and hits – hasn’t played the past three games because of left wrist tendinitis that could land him on the DL. (Editor’s note: In addition to this free selection, Stephen Nover has his American League Game of the Month going today and an NBA Dominator play. Stephen has won all of his biggest baseball plays this month and is 87-45-1 on his last 133 NBA plays for 66 percent!)
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros
Over-Under Pick: Over 8.5 runs -110 odds (May 14th 2015)
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This total has been set too low tonight between the Toronto Blue Jays and Houston Astros. These are two of the better lineups in baseball, and I look for both to feast on sub-par starting pitchers tonight to send this total OVER the number.
Drew Hutchison has gone 3-0 in spite of a 6.69 ERA and 1.596 WHIP in seven starts this season for Toronto. He has given up 27 earned runs in 36 1/3 innings. Hutchison has been at his worst on the road, going 1-0 with a 9.65 ERA and 1.929 WHIP in four starts away from home.
Roberto Hernandez has held his own this season for Houston, going 1-3 with a 3.86 ERA. He has been at his worst at home, going 0-0 with a 5.25 ERA through two starts. Hernandez is 3-3 with a 4.24 ERA and 1.413 WHIP in nine career starts against Toronto, while Hutchison is 0-0 with a 12.00 ERA and 2.000 WHIP in his line career start against Houston.
Hutchison is 12-3 OVER (+9.1 Units) in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last two seasons. The OVER is 10-2 in Hutchison’s last 12 road starts. The OVER is 10-3 in Astros last 13 games vs. a right-handed starter. Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.