San Antonio Spurs vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA Pick: Minnesota +1 (January 27th 2012)
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While the Spurs have been better on the road, we still think it is a bit too early for them to be legitimate road favorites after stumbling to a 2-6 record on the road this season. Since a strong start last season on the road this team has regressed and has now dropped 13 of their last 16 road games ATS. We think they are in for another tough game tonight against a very scrappy Minnesota team that has lots of young talent. This T-Wolves team always seems to get up for big games. They got big road wins in recent games against the Mavs and Clippers and they also hung tight with Oklahoma City and Miami earlier this season. They also have home wins against the Mavs and they also beat this same Spurs team, with Manu Ginobili in the lineup, on this same court by double digits. While the Spurs are the better team on paper, this team seems to play down to its competition on the road. Even in their two road wins they barely won. Last time out against a New Orleans team in major rebuilding mode they won by only two and they needed OT to get by an Orlando team that was playing its third game in three nights. We expect this Minnesota team to take care of business tonight and get the win. This team seems to have something to prove and they have some current and future all stars on the team that seem to really get up to play top teams. Also, Minnesota has covered four of the last five meetings in this series and we think that trend will continue on Friday. Get more NBA picks for January 27th 2012 from Doc’s Sports at Touthouse.com.
Manhattan vs. Canisius
College Basketball Pick: Manhattan -10.5 (January 27th 2012)
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Manhattan is staying with the rest of the pack in the MAAC as it is riding a five-game winning streak heading into this weekend. We won with the Jaspers last Friday as they easily took care of Marist and then came back and won at home against Niagara. This seems to be no fluke as the Jaspers took out league contenders Fairfield and Iona in back-to-back games, the latter coming by way of a 17-point comeback with just eight minutes remaining. One of the two conference losses came by just a point.
Canisius meanwhile is having a dreadful season as it is 4-15 overall including 1-8 in the conference. The Golden Griffins haven’t come close to defeating a quality opponent as those four wins came against teams ranked 344, 330, 290 and 281 and have a combined record of 18-58. they have just two home wins with one of those coming against Binghamton, which is 0-20, and Marist, which has dropped five straight games by double-digits.
Manhattan is excellent defensively. The Jaspers are first in the MAAC in field-goal and three-point percentage defense, as well as team defense rebounding percentage. They are allowing just 63.3 ppg which is second lowest in the conference. Manhattan is also tops in the MAAC in free-throw percentage which is obviously very important. The Jaspers are 4-1 ATS as favorites in this price range this year including 2-0 ATS on the road and this number is very manageable for a team filled with confidence.
This is a revenge game for Manhattan as well as it has lost three straight in this series including both meetings last season. The Jaspers have not been a very good over the last couple years so when they have the opportunity to pounce on a now weaker opponent, they will do so since they have been on the other end of it. Manhattan is 13-4 ATS in its last 17 games against teams with a losing record and it is a perfect 7-0 ATS in its last seven games following a cover loss. 3* (855) Manhattan Jaspers. If you enjoyed this college basketball free pick for Janaury 27th 2012 from Matt Fargo, be sure to check out his premium picks today at Touthouse.com.
Indiana vs. Wisconsin
Odds: Wisconsin -8 Over/Under 126 (January 26th 2012)
Betting Prediction: CLICK HERE FOR TODAY’S EXPERT PICKS
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ATS Trends:
Badgers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games.
Badgers are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games following a S.U. win.
Badgers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as a home favorite of 7.0-12.5.
Badgers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Badgers are 19-9 ATS in their last 28 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Hoosiers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Hoosiers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5.
Hoosiers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog.
Hoosiers are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games as a road underdog.
Hoosiers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Over/Under Trends:
Over is 4-1 in Badgers last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Over is 5-2 in Badgers last 7 overall.
Under is 15-6 in Badgers last 21 Thursday games.
Over is 5-2 in Badgers last 7 vs. Big Ten.
Under is 52-24-1 in Badgers last 77 games following a ATS win.
Over is 4-0-1 in Hoosiers last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Over is 3-0-1 in Hoosiers last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Over is 5-0 in Hoosiers last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Over is 3-0-1 in Hoosiers last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Over is 7-1-1 in Hoosiers last 9 overall.
Head-to-Head Trends:
Favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Road team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
Hoosiers are 1-7 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
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Florida vs. Ole Miss
Odds: Florida -5.5 Over/Under 138 (January 26th 2012)
Betting Prediction: CLICK HERE FOR TODAY’S EXPERT PICKS
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ATS Trends:
Rebels are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Rebels are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win.
Rebels are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as a home underdog.
Rebels are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. Southeastern.
Rebels are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of 0.5-6.5.
Gators are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games.
Gators are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
Gators are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Gators are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5.
Gators are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Over/Under Trends:
Under is 5-0 in Rebels last 5 Thursday games.
Over is 4-0 in Rebels last 4 games following a S.U. win.
Over is 5-1 in Rebels last 6 games as an underdog of 0.5-6.5.
Over is 5-1 in Rebels last 6 games as an underdog.
Over is 4-1 in Rebels last 5 overall.
Over is 7-1 in Gators last 8 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 7-1 in Gators last 8 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5.
Over is 23-5 in Gators last 28 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Over is 4-1 in Gators last 5 games as a road favorite.
Over is 7-2 in Gators last 9 road games.
Head-to-Head Trends:
Gators are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Mississippi.
Gators are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
Underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
Road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
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NC State vs. North Carolina
Odds: North Carolina -13 Over/Under 158 (January 26th 2012)
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ATS Trends:
Tar Heels are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Tar Heels are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Tar Heels are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Wolfpack are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Wolfpack are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Wolfpack are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
Wolfpack are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Wolfpack are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Over/Under Trends:
Over is 4-1 in Tar Heels last 5 Thursday games.
Over is 11-4 in Tar Heels last 15 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Under is 5-2-1 in Tar Heels last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Under is 5-2-1 in Tar Heels last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Under is 29-12 in Tar Heels last 41 vs. Atlantic Coast.
Over is 6-1 in Wolfpack last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Over is 8-2 in Wolfpack last 10 games following a S.U. win.
Under is 3-1-1 in Wolfpack last 5 Thursday games.
Over is 11-4 in Wolfpack last 15 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Over is 5-2 in Wolfpack last 7 games as an underdog of 13.0 or greater.
Head-to-Head Trends:
Favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in North Carolina.
Over is 11-4 in the last 15 meetings.
Road team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
Wolfpack are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
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Utah vs. UCLA
NCAA Basketball Pick: UCLA -21.5 (January 26th 2012)
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Utah has been a poor investment away from home, where it is 0-9 SU and 2-7 ATS with an average losing margin of 24.7 points. It has a 30-point loss at Fresno State, a 29-point loss at Weber State, a 40-point loss at Colorado and a 36-point loss at Cal.
UCLA won’t be showing any mercy this evening as it finally returns home following 3 straight on the road and back-to-back losses. A number of trends support the Bruins, who are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning percentage below .400 and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite. Also, teams coached by Ben Howland are 7-0 ATS since 1997 when playing at home 15 or more games into the season versus a poor team that is being outscored by 4 or more points per game. His teams have won by an average of 27.1 points in this situation. Take UCLA.
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Memphis Grizzlies vs. Los Angeles Clippers
Point Spread: Los Angeles Clippers -3.5 Over/Under 192 (January 26th 2012)
Pick: CLICK HERE FOR TODAY’S EXPERT PICKS
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ATS Trends:
Clippers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. loss.
Clippers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
Clippers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Clippers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Clippers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite.
Grizzlies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.
Grizzlies are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Thursday games.
Grizzlies are 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points.
Grizzlies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Grizzlies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Pacific.
Over/Under Trends:
Under is 4-0 in Clippers last 4 games playing on 0 days rest.
Under is 8-3 in Clippers last 11 Thursday games.
Over is 5-2 in Clippers last 7 vs. Western Conference.
Over is 5-2 in Clippers last 7 games as a favorite of 0.5-4.5.
Under is 7-0 in Grizzlies last 7 games as a road underdog.
Under is 8-1 in Grizzlies last 9 road games.
Under is 6-1 in Grizzlies last 7 games as a road underdog of 0.5-4.5.
Under is 4-1 in Grizzlies last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 4-1 in Grizzlies last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Head-to-Head Trends:
Grizzlies are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Los Angeles.
Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
Road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
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Boston Celtics vs. Orlando Magic
Point Spread: Orlando Magic -9.5 Over/Under 174.5 (January 26th 2012)
Pick: CLICK HERE FOR TODAY’S EXPERT PICKS
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ATS Trends:
Magic are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 Thursday games.
Magic are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games as a home favorite.
Magic are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Magic are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU win of more than 10 points.
Celtics are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Southeast.
Celtics are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games playing on 2 days rest.
Celtics are 8-17 ATS in their last 25 games following a S.U. win.
Celtics are 11-24 ATS in their last 35 games following a ATS win.
Celtics are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog.
Over/Under Trends:
Under is 5-1 in Magic last 6 vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
Under is 12-3 in Magic last 15 vs. Eastern Conference.
Under is 4-1 in Magic last 5 games following a SU win of more than 10 points.
Under is 19-7 in Magic last 26 games as a favorite.
Under is 37-14-2 in Magic last 53 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Under is 3-0-1 in Celtics last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Over is 3-0-1 in Celtics last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 games following a S.U. win.
Over is 5-0 in Celtics last 5 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5.
Over is 6-0-1 in Celtics last 7 games as a road underdog.
Head-to-Head Trends:
Home team is 5-0-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
Favorite is 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
Celtics are 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
Under is 12-4 in the last 16 meetings in Orlando.
Under is 19-7 in the last 26 meetings.
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Toronto Raptors vs. Utah Jazz
NBA Prediction: Toronto Raptors +10.5 (January 25th 2012)
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The Utah Jazz are simply laying too many points against the Raptors tonight. Utah is getting plenty of action from the public thanks to their impressive 7-3 record against the spread at home, but the oddsmakers have adjusted.
In Utah’s 10 home games they haven’t been favored by more than 8-points. They are outscoring opponents by just 8 points a game at home this season.I can’t see them being all that excited to play a Toronto team that has one win in their last nine games. However, the Raptors just got back their biggest offensive weapon in forward Andrea Bargnani, who scored 36-points in the Raptors 99-96 win at Phoenix last night.
Believe it or not the Raptors have been a strong play as a road underdog against a strong home team. They are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. As good as Utah has been, they aren’t great as a home favorite. The Jazz are just 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5. BET THE RAPTORS! Get more NBA basketball predictions from Steve Janus each day at Touthouse.com.
Free Basketball Picks from Doc’s Sports for January 25th 2012
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Doc’s Sports Free Pick: Southern Miss -3.5
Free Play from Doc’s Sports. #771 Take Southern Miss over East Carolina (7 pm) The Eagles are having an outstanding season and are on pace for an at-large bid into the NCAA Tournament. They are currently 4-1 in Conference USA and they are facing a winless conference team in ECU. The line is low since the Pirates played well in the first meeting, losing by just two points. This game is at Williams Arena but Southern Miss is 7-3 in road/neutral site games this season. The Golden Eagles have five players with double-digit scoring averages and that balance will be too much for the Pirates to overcome. Southern Miss is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games. East Carolina is 20-43-2 ATS in their last 65 home games. Do not miss Doc’s Sports Wednesday card featuring strong picks in college basketball and the NBA. We are up big in college basketball this season and now is the time to jump on board with a veteran handicapper that has 40 years of experience.
Doc’s Sports Free Pick: Clippers vs. Lakers Over 186.5
These teams have a history of playing over the total as all three of their most recent meetings went over the posted number. While the Lakers are a strong defensive team, especially at home, this Clippers squad is on offensive club and they will definitely feel comfortable in these surroundings as the road team as this is their home court as well. This is also a team that hasn’t jelled together on defense and that part of their game is still a work in progress. When the two teams met earlier in the month, the pace was pretty fluid the whole game. Even with an 18-point stinker of a second quarter from the Lakers, the combined score sailed well over the posted number. We just think that the winning team here will get to the high 90s and that the loser will not be far behind. The Clippers also should get Chris Paul back tonight and that will only help their offense and allow them to throw a lot of different looks at them with Mo Williams coming off the bench. -Doc’s sports basketball picks
