Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
MLB Betting Pick: Colorado +123 odds (April 27th 2015)
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The Arizona Diamondbacks look for better offensive production when they begin a three-game series against the visiting Colorado Rockies on Monday. Arizona is coming off a three-game sweep at the hands of Pittsburgh in which it scored a total of two runs.Colorado is hoping to bounce back from a 5-4 loss to San Francisco in 11 innings on Saturday that snapped its three-game winning streak. The Rockies finished at 3-3 on a homestand that was reduced to six contests due to Sunday’s rainout.
Matzek made two starts against Arizona as a rookie last season, going 1-1 with a 2.25 ERA.
Rockies are 6-1 in their last 7 games as an underdog of +110 to +150 and are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Diamondbacks are 1-4 in Andersons last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record and are 4-11 in their last 15 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Rockies are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Atlanta Hawks vs. Brooklyn Nets
Prediction: Atlanta -4 point spread (April 27th 2015)
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The Brooklyn Nets came out with a purpose in Game 3 and ensured that their first-round Eastern Conference series would make it to at least five games. The eighth-seeded Nets will try to even things up at two games apiece when they host the top-seeded Atlanta Hawks in Game 4 on Monday. The issue is this is a perfect situational play where the Hawks will come out strong! The 4 will be easily covered. Also, as a 4 point favorite the Hawks are 5-0 this season! On the other hand, the Nets are 1-3 in that situation as a dog. The Hawks will not let this series slip away and put a beating on the Nets.
free pick: Hawks -4
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Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals
MLB Prediction: Philly +140 odds (April 27th 2015)
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The Cardinals dropped their series finale in Milwaukee yesterday which put an end to their four-game winning streak. They have a two-game lead over the Cubs in the National League Central and despite the defeat, they still own the second best record in baseball. It will not be an easy task for the Phillies but the pitching matchup is not that big of a disadvantage to what this line might be stating. Philadelphia won its series against Atlanta to even up its homestand at 3-3 and it sends Cole Hamels to the hill tonight. He has been pretty inconsistent through four starts as he has two non-quality outings to go along with two quality efforts including allowing no earned runs last time out over six innings against Miami. Pitching in St. Louis may seem daunting but in his last three starts here, he has posted three quality performances while putting up a 0.84 ERA. John Lackey counters for St. Louis and he has not looked very sharp. He did shut out Milwaukee for seven innings but has allowed nine runs over 11.2 innings in his other two starts. Granted those were on the road but I think he is getting a little too much credit here. Play (959) Philadelphia Phillies
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles
MLB Prediction: Over 8.5 runs (April 26th 2015)
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I look for a slug fest tonight between the Boston Red Sox and Baltimore Orioles in this AL East showdown. I wouldn’t be surprised to see the Red Sox score 9 runs on their own. That’s because Baltimore starter Bud Norris has been atrocious this season. He has gone 0-2 with a 17.42 ERA and 2.323 WHIP in three starts, allowing 20 earned runs in 10 1/3 innings. Wade Miley’s numbers look great compared to Norris, but they are still terrible. Miley has gone 1-1 with a 6.08 ERA and 1.575 WHIP through three starts in 2015. The OVER is 17-7 in Red Sox last 24 games overall. The OVER is 9-2 in Red Sox last 11 vs. a team with a losing record. The OVER is 9-1-1 in Orioles last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning record. The OVER is 4-0 in Norris’ last four starts overall. Take the OVER.
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Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies
MLB Prediction: Atlanta -112 odds (April 25th 2015)
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Atlanta’s Shelby Miller has quietly put together an impressive start to the 2015 season. Miller is 2-0 with a 1.69 ERA and 1.187 WHIP over his first 3 starts. He’s yet to allow more than 2 earned runs in a single start. Now he faces a Philadelphia offense that is scoring just 2.5 runs/game and hitting a mere .215 with a pathetic .269 OBP. On the flip side of this, the Braves offense figures to be able to put up enough runs to secure the win. Phillies will be starting David Buchanan, who is 0-3 with a 9.22 ERA and 2.268 WHIP over 3 starts and has allowed at least 3 earned runs in all three starts. Roll the Braves -112!
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Houston Rockets vs. Dallas Mavericks
NBA Prediction: Houston +1 point spread (April 24th 2015)
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So many think the old Zig Zag theory is in play here and Dallas is DUE to win at home. Rondo is out, and perhaps that is a blessing since he has been a cancer on any team over the past 2 years, but at days end Dallas just needs to mail it in. You cannot compete and win games playing defense like they are, allowing 108 ppg on defense in their last 5 games, and quite frankly Houston is a bad matchup for them. Yes the Mavs should win this game and avoid a possible sweep in this series, I just do not see it happening tonight.
Houston is 6-1 ATS the last 7 in this series, and are 8-1 ATS their last 9 games after 2 days rest. The whole world loves Dallas tonight and when the whole world loves a team, I like to go the other way and Houston is the better team and with a short number like this, I will gladly take Houston in an underdog role tonight. For Dallas Harris is not 100%, word is Chandler is out for the second straight game, Rondo is out, and quite frankly the Dallas Mavericks could not be in worse shape at the wrong time. Houston will take advantage of it and take a commanding 3-0 lead in this series after tonight. All the stars outside of Dirk lie with the Rockets.
St. Louis Cardinals vs. MIlwaukee Brewers
MLB Betting Pick: St. Louis -137 odds (April 24th 2015)
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Matt Garza has been downright awful to start the 2015 season. Garza has allowed 11 runs on 21 hits and 9 walks over 16 2/3 innings in his first 3 starts. That comes out to a 5.40 ERA and 1.800 WHIP. He’s got a 4.03 career ERA against the Cardinals, who have won 15 of the last 20 overall in the series. I look for St Louis to add to their dominance tonight, as they have a big edge on the mound. Opposing Garza will be talented youngster Carlos Martinez, who has a 2.25 ERA and 0.917 WHIP over his first two starts of 2015. Brewers are 1-7 in their last 8 during Game 1 of a series, 1-9 in night games this season and 0-6 in their last 7 when listed as a home dog. Roll the Cardinals -137!
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Manchester City vs. Aston Villa
Soccer Pick: Manchester City -364 odds (April 25th 2015)
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Saturdays late kick off is free money this week. City are desperate to continue Champions league football and will go all out for the win at home with a superior side to an opponent with other things on the mind. They enjoyed domination in the previous game versus West Ham and never looked in trouble, here will be more of the same but with extra City goals.Villa on the other hand last week booked a spot in the FA Cup final.
The players will be concerned about only that game. It is a dream for most to play in such a final, and any 50/50 challenges will likely be backed out of for fear of picking up an injury and missing the big game.Take Man City at a -1.5 or -2 to win by 2 or more goals. Although the pick recommends the moneyline at -364 and a win is not in doubt, I want you to find the goal line at -1.5 if you can to reduce the juice.
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Chelsea vs. Arsenal
Soccer Prediction: Draw +230 odds (April 26th 2015)
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This is a free play on the draw between Chelsea and Arsenal
League-leading Chelsea is coming off a 1-0 win against Manchester United last weekend and will clash with another top-team Sunday as they’ll take on London-rival Arsenal at the Emirates. Both teams are coming in equally red hot and I think they’ll split the points come the end of the game.
Here are my keys to the game:
1. Jose Mourinho – You either hate or love this controversial manager but either way you have to admit one thing: He knows how to get the result he wants. If Mourinho decides his team will go for a draw then there’s really not much the opponent can do about it. And make no mistake, sitting top of the table 10 points clear of Arsenal in second with only six games to go, a draw here would all but secure the title for Chelsea. Mourinho parked the bus against Man United at home last weekend and will surely do the same on the road here.
2. Chelsea’s Striker Woes – Normally Chelsea’s defensive tactic in big games rely on fast counter-attacks. It will however miss a striker suitable for such football here as both Diego Costa and Loic Remy are out injured. That leaves 37 year old powerhouse Didier Drogba who hardly has the pace outrun a turtle, much less Laurent Kocielny.
3. X-Factor – Arsenal’s manager Arsene Wenger has yet do defeat Chelsea’s or Jose Mourinho in a competitive game, with the previous 13 clashes resulting in seven Mourinho wins and five draws.
Selection: This is a play on CHE@ARS to end in a draw
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals
MLB Pick: St. Louis +127 odds (April 23rd 2015)
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I like the value here with the Cards this afternoon. I know Scherzer is on the bump for the Nationals, but he has faced the Phillies twice this season and the Mets once. While he dominated the Phillies (worst team in MLB), he did give up 3 runs to the Mets and Max has a 36:20 flyball/groundball ratio on the season. Saint Louis has been hitting the ball well and I think this will be the best offense he has seen all season. Max is making the adjustment to the NL, and I think the Cardinals have a pitcher today in Michael Wacha that can shut down the Nationals offense that really has not been doing much this season. The Nat’s are only hitting .226 on the season and they have had no success vs. Wacha
Current members of the Nationals are hitting .114 vs. him (5-for-44). He has a 13K/ 2 BB mark vs. the Nats in his 2 career starts. The Cardinals are still one of the best hitting teams in the NL, and I just think the Way Wacha has been pitching this season, (2-0 with a 1.35 ERA), that the price is too good to pass up here today. Wacha is a more of a groundball pitcher that likes to keep the ball low and he has owned lefties this season (2-for-21), which gives him the advantage against Bryce Harper. The Cardinals are 5-1 in Wacha’s last 6 starts on 5 days of rest. It’s not often you will get them as a dog of this size.
We also want to take road teams (Saint Louis) when the money line is +125 to -125 with good defensive catchers- allowing .5 or less SB’s game on the season against opponents starting pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing. This system play is 61.1% over the L5 seasons.
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