2007 Week 4 NFL Picks & Week 5 College Football Predictions
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Free Week 4 NFL Football Picks & Predictions
NFL Kansas City vs. San Diego
Take Kansas City Chiefs
Chiefs +12 The Chiefs are catching way too many here for us to refuse. The Chiefs run the football and play a field position game which keeps the clock going and caters to a close low scoring affair. San Diego has not done anything offensively to get this much respect with this line. The Chiefs keep this one under double digits.
NFL Oakland vs. Miami
Take Under
1* on Oakland/Miami Under 42 There is one thing that is certain heading into this game: both teams put great defenses on the field. Miami’s defense will rebound after getting torched by New York last week when they hit their home turf in Florida Sunday. Oakland has faced much better offenses this year than the one they will be facing Sunday. Miami is rushing for less than 80 yards per game. The Dolphins can’t put up points being one-dimensional. Look for Miami to focus a bit more on the run, allowing for longer drives and keeping the T.O.P. in their favor. Oakland is averaging 160 yards per game on the ground. This is their bread and butter and they will be burning the clock all day in utilizing Lamont Jordan. The Under is 7-2 in the Dolphins’ last 9 games as a favorite. Miami is 6-0 Under in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. Oakland is 11-3 Under in their last 14 games as a road underdog. Take the Under 42 points in a defensive battle.
NFL Houston vs. Atlanta
Take Over
1 Unit on Houston/Atlanta Over 38.5 The Over is 6-1 in Houston’s last 7 games overall. The Houston offense has taken a gigantic leap with Matt Shaub at quarterback. They are averaging 26 points a game. Joey Harrington has improved every game despite Atlanta’s 0-3 record. You will see his best performance of the season against this unproven Houston defense. The Over is 10-4-1 in Atlanta’s last 15 home games. Houston is 10-2 Over against a poor defense that is allowing a completion percentage of 61% or worse over the last 3 seasons. Houston is 7-0 Over against a bad defense that is allowing over 5.65 yards per play over the last 3 seasons. Cash in with the Over 39 points Sunday.
NFL Saint Louis vs. Dallas
Take Dallas Cowboys
3* on Dallas Cowboys -13 The Dallas Cowboys are clicking on all cylinders right now. Their offense is loaded and their defense is much improved. St. Louis can’t seem to get anything going offensively. The Cowboys are averaging 39 points per game while the Rams are putting up just 11 a game after 3 contests. St. Louis won’t be able to get much going offensively this week against this Wade Philips’ coached unit. The Rams are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater. The Cowboys allowed less than 90 yards rushing last week against Chicago. The Cowboys are 40-11 ATS in their last 51 games after allowing less than 90 rushing yards in their previous game. Bet Dallas.
NFL Pittsburgh vs. Arizona
Take Over
Pittsburgh OVER 41.5 There’s no containing the Steelers offense right now. Arizona certainly doesn’t have the defense to do it. The Steelers are averaging 35.7ppg through the first three weeks. The Cards have also shown that they can be effective on offense averaging 21ppg. I think you’ll see their best offensive showing yet this season at home. We’ll take the OVER here as we have this one chalked up as a shootout.
NFL Oakland vs. Miami
Take Miami Dolphins
Miami -4 The Raiders are a terrible road team and that’s why we have to give the Dolphins the edger here. Also, last season, Oakland’s defense appeared on the fringe of greatness, but it is giving up nearly 30ppg this season. Miami’s offense is improved and the defense is still there. We’ll take the fish to bounce back at home after a tough road loss to the Jets.
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Free Week 5 College Football Picks & Predictions
NCAA Notre Dame vs. Purdue
Take Purdue Boilermakers
Purdue -22 Purdue joins the list of teams to thrash Notre Dame this week. Purdue’s spread offense will be very problematic for a young defense which returns just 5 starters. Why is Notre Dame so bad? They return just 9 starts total from last year’s team. Notre Dame is 0-6 ATS vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 2 seasons. Take the Boilers
NCAA Colorado St. vs. TCU
Take TCU Horned Frogs
1* on TCU -10 TCU has owned the Colorado State Rams over the last 3 seasons. The Horned Frogs are 3-0 straight up and against the spread in their last 3 meetings. TCU won by 31 and 27 points respectively over the last 2 seasons. They just have too much talent with the players they recruit in the state of Texas for Colorado State to compete. TCU is 37-18 ATS in their last 55 home games. Colorado State is 1-8 ATS in their last 9 contests overall. The Rams are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games as the underdog. TCU is 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games as a favorite. You will see how the Horned Frogs’ talent overwhelms CSU Saturday. Take TCU and lay the points.
NCAA Hawaii vs. Idaho
Take Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
1 Unit on Hawaii -25 Quarterback Colt Brennan will torch this Idaho defense in ’07 just like Hawaii has each of the last 3 seasons. Brennan threw for 333 yards and 5 touchdowns against Idaho last year. Hawaii is 3-0 straight up and ATS in their last 3 meetings. Hawaii covered this same 25.5-point spread last season in a 68-10 blowout over the Vandals from Idaho. Hawaii is 15-2-1 ATS in their last 18 games against a team with a losing record. Idaho is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 conference games. The Vandals will get embarrassed by Brennan and company once again this season. Cash in with Hawaii as the favorite.
NCAA Northern Illinois vs. Central Michigan
Take Central Michigan Chippewas
3* on Central Michigan -3 Central Michigan just doesn’t lose at home. This team will roll right over Northern Illinois on their home turf Saturday. Central Michigan is 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 home games. They are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games against a team with a record below .500. Dan LeFevour has already passed for nearly 1,000 yards in 4 games this season. This is an explosive Chippewas offense that put up 52 points on Toledo at home in their first win of the season. Chalk up win number two today over another 1-3 opponent in Northern Illinois. Bet Central Michigan.
NCAA Penn State vs. Illinois
Take Penn State Nittany Lions
Penn State -3 The Nittany Lions will bounce back this week against the Illini and really I don’t even see this game being close. Illinois is just 4-14 ATS in home games against teams who force 2.5 or more turnovers/game on the season since 1992. A tough loss at Michigan last week has left a sour taste in Penn State’s mouths and they will wash it out with a big win on the road. Lay the points.
NCAA USC vs. Washington
Take USC Trojans
USC -20.5 Washington is 6-22 ATS off a road loss against a conference rival since 1992 and 11-28 ATS off a road loss since 1992 period. USC is 33-14 ATS after scoring 42 points or more last game the past 15 seasons. The Huskies have been crushed by Ohio State and UCLA in back to back weeks. Now, you’re about to see how much better USC is than those teams. Lay the points.




