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Free Week 9 NFL Football Picks & Predictions
NFL Picks: Carolina vs. Tennessee
Take Tennessee Titans
Titans -4 Tennessee has been winning with defense all season long. They’ll continue to bring a defense which is among the best in the league, but they’ll get some help from their offense this week as well. Vince Young is coming off his worst game as a pro. He is a competitor and we can fully expect him to bounce back with a big game this week against Carolina’s 17th ranked defense. The Titans know they have not played well offensively, and they will be feeling very confident knowing that they are 5-2 despite the way they have played. We expect the Titans to turn it on this week and roll Carolina. Tennessee is 15-5 ATS in their L20 games hosting the NFC. The Panthers are on a 0-4 straight up and 0-3-1 ATS run vs. the AFC. We don’t feel the Panthers can recover from the beating that Indy gave them last week in this one. We’ll lay the points.
NFL Picks: Seattle vs. Cleveland
Take Seattle Seahawks
1 Unit on Seattle +1.5 The Seahawks are the better team here so we’ll waste no time spending a unit on them. Seattle is 17-5 ATS vs. poor ball control teams, 28 or less possession minutes/game since 1992. The fact that the Browns are a poor ball control team is what makes their defense even worse because it spends too much time on the field while its opponents eat up the clock and where them down. The Browns have relied on quick strikes and poor opponents to get their four wins. The Browns have wins against Cincy, Miami, and St. Louis-teams with pathetic defenses just like the Browns. Cleveland’s defense is giving up over 30ppg at home this year. Seattle’s defense has been fantastic allowing just 15.7ppg on the road. Seattle defense gets the job done this week. Take the Seabirds.
NFL Picks: Jacksonville vs. New Orleans
Take New Orleans Saints
1 unit on Saints -3 Here come the Saints. New Orleans has now won three straight and it will continue its climb back into the thick of things this week. Jags Head coach Jack Del Rio is 0-7 ATS in road games where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points as the coach of Jacksonville. When the books have figured a moderate scoring affair, the Jags haven’t got the job done. With the offensive problems that the Jags are having, we have to go with the red hot Saints here. A terrible passing game will let New Orleans off the hook. The Saints have been very good against the run, only allowing more than 100 yards rushing in one game this season. The pass is where they are susceptible and that’s the facet of the game where the Jags struggle most. Lay the points with New Orleans at home.
NFL Picks: New England vs. Indianapolis
Take New England Patriots
Simply put the Colts have a defense and a solid offensive passing game, but that’s where the problem lies, the Colts running game is nothing near what it needs to be to keep a balanced threat against the Pats D, won’t happen. The Colts are 7-0 SU and 5-2 ATS this season, they are averaging 32ppg and giving up an average of 15ppg thus far. Believe it or not the Colts average 9ppg less then the Patriots this year. Normally the Passing King, Colts QB Peyton Manning has tossed just 13 TDs on the season, that’s just over 1/3 of what his nemesis has done thus far. The New England Patriots are 8-0 SU and ATS this season, the team is averaging 41ppg while giving up an average of just 16ppg thus far. New England has dominated this matchup, now 8-3-1 ATS over their last 12 meetings with Indianapolis. Patriots QB Tom Brady has already tossed 30 TDs on the season, he’s hitting over 74% of his passes as well. New England has scored 34pts or more in every game this season, they have scored 48pts or more their last three straight games, that includes lastweeks 52-7 win hosting Washington. Take New England to cover the spread here!
NFL Picks: Green Bay vs. Kansas City
Take Green Bay Packers
3* on Green Bay Packers +2 The Green Bay Packers and Kansas City Chiefs are very even defensively. The Packers are giving up 14 points a game on the road while the Chiefs are yielding just 15.7 points at home. The only thing that separates these teams is the offensive side of the ball. Green Bay is scoring 25.7 point a game on the road while the Chiefs are putting up a minuscule 15.7 points at home. Kansas City can’t hang with the offense Brett Favre runs and the points the Packers are going to score. The Packers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. Favre loves being the dog in the fight because it brings out the best of him and this Packers’ team. Bet Green Bay Sunday.
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Free Week 10 College Football Picks & NCAA Football Predictions
NCAA Picks: Iowa vs. Northwestern
Take Iowa Hawkeyes
Iowa +1 After a huge win last week over Michigan State, the Hawkeyes are smelling a bowl with three games remaining. A win here against Northwestern gets them one step closer. The Hawks suffered a terrible loss at home to Northwestern a season ago and head coach Kirk Ferentz won’t let his team forget it. The Hawkeyes will get revenge against the Wildcats here. Iowa’s running game came alive last week, exploding for 230 yards. Northwestern’s defense has been very poor again this season and I don’t see the Cats stopping Iowa’s running attack. Once the Hawks get that ground game established, we expect Iowa QB Jake Christensen to pick on the Northwestern D-backs. Iowa is 7-0 ATS after gaining 75 or less passing yards in their last game since 1992. We expect Iowa’s offense to be much more balanced this week and to take care of the Wildcats on the road.
NCAA Picks: Florida State vs. Boston College
Take Florida State Seminoles
1 Unit on Florida State +7 The Florida State Seminoles will give the Boston College Eagles a run for their money Saturday. Bobby Bowden has announced that Drew Weatherford will start at QB and it was the best decision he has made all season. Weatherford is completing over 60% of his passes and has just thrown 1 interception to 5 touchdowns this season. He gives the Seminoles their best chance to win. Florida State has the defense that can shut down Matt Ryan and BC Saturday. As long as Florida State doesn’t turn the ball over, which they won’t with Weatherford at the helm, the Seminoles can pull off this upset and make their season. FSU is giving up a mere 18 points per game this year. The Seminoles are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog. They are known for losing games they should win and winning games they should lose. They will play the role of the underdog very well Saturday allowing for a nice ATS cover as our free play. Cash in with FSU as the underdog.
NCAA Picks: Rutgers vs. Connecticut
3* on UConn/Rutgers UNDER 46.5 UConn and Rutgers will be host to a defensive battle Saturday. The UConn Huskies have one of the most underrated defense in the country, holding a potent South Florida offense to just 15 points last week and holding Louisville to just 17 points in the week prior. The Huskies are allowing just 13 points a game overall and 11.8 points per game at home. Both teams really, I mean really run the ball a lot. This will allow for more ball control and more clock movement without many stoppages. Rutgers is averaging over 228 yards rushing on the road and UConn is rushing for 187 yards a game at home. This is each teams’ bread and butter and they will not shy away from it Saturday. Rutgers is only giving up 20 points a game this season so UConn will continue to struggle offensively, relying on their defense to keep them in this ball game. The UNDER is 14-6 in UConn’s last 20 home games. The Under is 14-3 in Huskies last 17 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. UConn is 9-1 UNDER off a home win over the last 3 seasons. Bet the UNDER 46.5 points Saturday.
NCAA Picks: UCLA vs. Arizona
Take Arizona Wildcats
1 unit on Arizona +3 Last week’s loss to Washington State was a killer for UCLA as it ruins its chances of an undefeated Pac-10 season. We expect the Bruins to be stung again this week on the road, where they have struggled all year, by the Wildcats. The Wildcats are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as home underdogs. Arizona is coming off a big road win over Washington to bring some momentum into this one. UCLA has proven to be nothing but an inconsistent football team this season with terrible losses to Notre Dame, Utah, and Washington State. Take the Cats.
NCAA Picks: Missouri vs. Colorado
Take Missouri Tigers
1 Unit on Missouri -3.5 Colorado is Missouri’s next victim. The 7-1 Tigers are rolling. This offense cannot be stopped. The Tigers are averaging 40.4ppg this season and 38.7ppg in conference play. The Buffs are just 1-11 ATS when they allow 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons and this is a given against Mizzou. Missouri is 13-1 ATS when it scores 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons. Mizzou has covered the spread in every game but one this season. We expect their ATS dominance to continue this week. Take the Tigers.
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