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Free Week 9 NFL Football Picks & Predictions
NFL Picks: Carolina vs. Tennessee 
Take Tennessee Titans 
Titans -4 Tennessee has been winning with defense all season long. They’ll continue to bring a defense which is among the best in the league, but they’ll get some help from their offense this week as well. Vince Young is coming off his worst game as a pro. He is a competitor and we can fully expect him to bounce back with a big game this week against Carolina’s 17th ranked defense. The Titans know they have not played well offensively, and they will be feeling very confident knowing that they are 5-2 despite the way they have played. We expect the Titans to turn it on this week and roll Carolina. Tennessee is 15-5 ATS in their L20 games hosting the NFC. The Panthers are on a 0-4 straight up and 0-3-1 ATS run vs. the AFC. We don’t feel the Panthers can recover from the beating that Indy gave them last week in this one. We’ll lay the points. 

NFL Picks: Seattle vs. Cleveland 
Take Seattle Seahawks 
1 Unit on Seattle +1.5 The Seahawks are the better team here so we’ll waste no time spending a unit on them. Seattle is 17-5 ATS vs. poor ball control teams, 28 or less possession minutes/game since 1992. The fact that the Browns are a poor ball control team is what makes their defense even worse because it spends too much time on the field while its opponents eat up the clock and where them down. The Browns have relied on quick strikes and poor opponents to get their four wins. The Browns have wins against Cincy, Miami, and St. Louis-teams with pathetic defenses just like the Browns. Cleveland’s defense is giving up over 30ppg at home this year. Seattle’s defense has been fantastic allowing just 15.7ppg on the road. Seattle defense gets the job done this week. Take the Seabirds.

NFL Picks: Jacksonville vs. New Orleans 
Take New Orleans Saints 
1 unit on Saints -3 Here come the Saints. New Orleans has now won three straight and it will continue its climb back into the thick of things this week. Jags Head coach Jack Del Rio is 0-7 ATS in road games where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points as the coach of Jacksonville. When the books have figured a moderate scoring affair, the Jags haven’t got the job done. With the offensive problems that the Jags are having, we have to go with the red hot Saints here. A terrible passing game will let New Orleans off the hook. The Saints have been very good against the run, only allowing more than 100 yards rushing in one game this season. The pass is where they are susceptible and that’s the facet of the game where the Jags struggle most. Lay the points with New Orleans at home.

NFL Picks: New England vs. Indianapolis 
Take New England Patriots 
Simply put the Colts have a defense and a solid offensive passing game, but that’s where the problem lies, the Colts running game is nothing near what it needs to be to keep a balanced threat against the Pats D, won’t happen. The Colts are 7-0 SU and 5-2 ATS this season, they are averaging 32ppg and giving up an average of 15ppg thus far. Believe it or not the Colts average 9ppg less then the Patriots this year. Normally the Passing King, Colts QB Peyton Manning has tossed just 13 TDs on the season, that’s just over 1/3 of what his nemesis has done thus far. The New England Patriots are 8-0 SU and ATS this season, the team is averaging 41ppg while giving up an average of just 16ppg thus far. New England has dominated this matchup, now 8-3-1 ATS over their last 12 meetings with Indianapolis. Patriots QB Tom Brady has already tossed 30 TDs on the season, he’s hitting over 74% of his passes as well. New England has scored 34pts or more in every game this season, they have scored 48pts or more their last three straight games, that includes lastweeks 52-7 win hosting Washington. Take New England to cover the spread here!

NFL Picks: Green Bay vs. Kansas City 
Take Green Bay Packers 
3* on Green Bay Packers +2 The Green Bay Packers and Kansas City Chiefs are very even defensively. The Packers are giving up 14 points a game on the road while the Chiefs are yielding just 15.7 points at home. The only thing that separates these teams is the offensive side of the ball. Green Bay is scoring 25.7 point a game on the road while the Chiefs are putting up a minuscule 15.7 points at home. Kansas City can’t hang with the offense Brett Favre runs and the points the Packers are going to score. The Packers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. Favre loves being the dog in the fight because it brings out the best of him and this Packers’ team. Bet Green Bay Sunday.
 
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Free Week 10 College Football Picks & NCAA Football Predictions
NCAA Picks: Iowa vs. Northwestern 
Take Iowa Hawkeyes 
Iowa +1 After a huge win last week over Michigan State, the Hawkeyes are smelling a bowl with three games remaining. A win here against Northwestern gets them one step closer. The Hawks suffered a terrible loss at home to Northwestern a season ago and head coach Kirk Ferentz won’t let his team forget it. The Hawkeyes will get revenge against the Wildcats here. Iowa’s running game came alive last week, exploding for 230 yards. Northwestern’s defense has been very poor again this season and I don’t see the Cats stopping Iowa’s running attack. Once the Hawks get that ground game established, we expect Iowa QB Jake Christensen to pick on the Northwestern D-backs. Iowa is 7-0 ATS after gaining 75 or less passing yards in their last game since 1992. We expect Iowa’s offense to be much more balanced this week and to take care of the Wildcats on the road.

NCAA Picks: Florida State vs. Boston College 
Take Florida State Seminoles 
1 Unit on Florida State +7 The Florida State Seminoles will give the Boston College Eagles a run for their money Saturday. Bobby Bowden has announced that Drew Weatherford will start at QB and it was the best decision he has made all season. Weatherford is completing over 60% of his passes and has just thrown 1 interception to 5 touchdowns this season. He gives the Seminoles their best chance to win. Florida State has the defense that can shut down Matt Ryan and BC Saturday. As long as Florida State doesn’t turn the ball over, which they won’t with Weatherford at the helm, the Seminoles can pull off this upset and make their season. FSU is giving up a mere 18 points per game this year. The Seminoles are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog. They are known for losing games they should win and winning games they should lose. They will play the role of the underdog very well Saturday allowing for a nice ATS cover as our free play. Cash in with FSU as the underdog. 

NCAA Picks: Rutgers vs. Connecticut 
Take Under 
3* on UConn/Rutgers UNDER 46.5 UConn and Rutgers will be host to a defensive battle Saturday. The UConn Huskies have one of the most underrated defense in the country, holding a potent South Florida offense to just 15 points last week and holding Louisville to just 17 points in the week prior. The Huskies are allowing just 13 points a game overall and 11.8 points per game at home. Both teams really, I mean really run the ball a lot. This will allow for more ball control and more clock movement without many stoppages. Rutgers is averaging over 228 yards rushing on the road and UConn is rushing for 187 yards a game at home. This is each teams’ bread and butter and they will not shy away from it Saturday. Rutgers is only giving up 20 points a game this season so UConn will continue to struggle offensively, relying on their defense to keep them in this ball game. The UNDER is 14-6 in UConn’s last 20 home games. The Under is 14-3 in Huskies last 17 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. UConn is 9-1 UNDER off a home win over the last 3 seasons. Bet the UNDER 46.5 points Saturday. 

NCAA Picks: UCLA vs. Arizona 
Take Arizona Wildcats 
1 unit on Arizona +3 Last week’s loss to Washington State was a killer for UCLA as it ruins its chances of an undefeated Pac-10 season. We expect the Bruins to be stung again this week on the road, where they have struggled all year, by the Wildcats. The Wildcats are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as home underdogs. Arizona is coming off a big road win over Washington to bring some momentum into this one. UCLA has proven to be nothing but an inconsistent football team this season with terrible losses to Notre Dame, Utah, and Washington State. Take the Cats.

NCAA Picks: Missouri vs. Colorado 
Take Missouri Tigers 
1 Unit on Missouri -3.5 Colorado is Missouri’s next victim. The 7-1 Tigers are rolling. This offense cannot be stopped. The Tigers are averaging 40.4ppg this season and 38.7ppg in conference play. The Buffs are just 1-11 ATS when they allow 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons and this is a given against Mizzou. Missouri is 13-1 ATS when it scores 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons. Mizzou has covered the spread in every game but one this season. We expect their ATS dominance to continue this week. Take the Tigers.
 
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by Stephen Nover of Covers Sports Handicappers
The NFL game of the year goes Sunday and it’s not Houston Texans-Oakland Raiders.

The New England Patriots opened as 4-point road favorites against Indianapolis. The Patriots were quickly bet up to -4 ½. The line could climb higher.

It’s nothing against Indianapolis. The Colts have won all their games. They have covered each of their three home games, winning by an average margin of 22 points. They are 9-2 against the spread during their past 11 matchups versus teams with a winning record.

The Patriots are just on another planet.

“It’s virtually unheard of that an undefeated defending Super Bowl champion is getting more than a field goal at home,” said Mike Seba, senior linesmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.

Based on a pure power-rating number, Seba made the line New England -3. His suggestion was that bookmakers open the game Patriots -4 ½. LVSC sent out Patriots -5 ½.

“If you’re going to error then error on the high side with the Patriots,” Seba said. “The Colts are playing well. But until this New England train slows down, you have to keep it (the number) high.”

Maybe Patriots -5 ½ is closer to the right number. Professional bettors are the ones playing the opening Sunday night numbers and they laid 4 points. The public figures to be on the Patriots, too.

It’s downright scary that New England is outscoring its foes by an average of 25 points and that Tom Brady has a 30-to-2 touchdown-to-interception ratio while leading the NFL in passing. Not only have the Patriots covered all of their games, but in six of eight they have beaten the spread by 13 or more points.

“Six is the key number here,” Seba said. “I wouldn’t want to lay six on the road against the Colts.”

Until proven otherwise, though, the Patriots are a pointspread covering machine no matter how daunting the line might look.

It certainly doesn’t hurt New England’s case that Pro Bowl defensive lineman Richard Seymour finally appears healthy. The Colts are banged-up at linebacker. Marvin Harrison also didn’t play in their last game.

While nothing on the Week 9 card can compare to New England-Indianapolis, there’s a good Sunday night matchup between Dallas Cowboys and Philadelphia Eagles. The Cowboys were 3-point road favorites on Monday at higher juice of $1.15-$1.25 depending on the sportsbook.

Could this signal a possible move to 3 ½?

“If it goes to 3 ½ then the Eagles are an automatic pick,” Seba said. “The Eagles are playing good defense and at home in a must-win situation with their whole season depending on this game. Unlike the Bengals, (a team that was) in a must-win situation this past Sunday and didn’t win, I think the Eagles have heart.

“There’s definitely value on the Eagles if it goes to 3 ½.”

Speaking of Cincinnati, the Bengals have sunk so low that they opened as underdogs to Buffalo.

“It’s amazing how far Cincinnati has dropped,” Seba said. “Before the season some thought of the Bengals as a Super Bowl team.”

If it weren’t for two last-second losses on final-play field goals, the Bills would be 5-2 instead of 3-4. Buffalo has covered in all four of its home games. But while feisty, the Bills are far from being a good team.

Buffalo has been outscored by 38 points, outgained by 947 yards and has 46 fewer first downs than its opponents. The Bills ranked 31st in offense and 30th in defense prior to the Green Bay-Denver Monday matchup.

Like the Bengals, the 49ers have been another huge disappointment. Those predicting that San Francisco would capture the NFC West Division aren’t looking very good with the 49ers riding a five-game losing streak.

Mike Nolan is proving to be a better dresser than a head coach. Frank Gore (ankle) and Alex Smith (shoulder) are dealing with injuries. So it’s no surprise Atlanta opened a field goal favorite at home versus the 49ers.

“It tells you how bad San Francisco is,” Seba said. “I made the line (Falcons minus) 2 ½. I couldn’t make Atlanta three at home with (Joey) Harrington. I could have made it three with (Byron) Leftwich.”

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Week 8 NFL Results & Scores: By Sean Murphy, lead handicapper with The Miller Group of Covers Experts
Let the endless hype begin, or should we say continue. It’s the matchup everyone has been waiting for and it’s less than a week away.

The colossal showdown we’re talking about, of course, features the Houston Texans against the Oakland Raiders next Sunday afternoon.

Oh, and there is that other game. The one between the league’s only two unbeatens, the New England Patriots and Indianapolis Colts. We get the sneaking suspicion that a few folks may just tune into this one as well.

As for Week 8, it was a bit of an odd one. Road favorites covered at a perfect 5-0 ATS clip, excluding the Giants ATS loss against the Dolphins in a game played in London, England. Plus only two games were decided by three points or less. Here’s the complete rundown of all of Sunday’s action.

Eagles at Vikings (+1, 37 ½)
Final: Eagles 23, Vikings 16
Donovan McNabb shook off his critics and threw for 333 yards in the Eagles’ third victory of the season. Vikings quarterback Kelly Holcomb, who was filling in for an injured Tarvaris Jackson, was knocked out of the game early in the second half. Minnesota was the trendy underdog pick of the week, but shaky defensive play kept them from grabbing the cash for the second consecutive week. A late Eagles field goal helped over backers to a narrow win.

Steelers at Bengals (+4, 48)
Final: Steelers 24, Bengals 13
Many anticipated a shootout in this AFC North matchup. It was not to be as the Steelers rebounded from last week’s tough loss in Denver, defeating Cincinnati by 11 points. Eights were wild as Hines Ward caught eight passes for 88 yards and two touchdowns. The Steelers improve to 5-2 ATS on the season, while the Bengals fall to 3-4 ATS. This one fell well short of the posted total of 48.

Browns at Rams (+3, 46)
Final: Browns 27, Rams 20
The Rams had to believe that this would be the week they’d finally reach the win column, especially after jumping out to a quick 14-0 lead. The Browns had other ideas. Cleveland got another strong performance from QB Derek Anderson, as he threw for 248 yards and three touchdowns. The Rams welcomed back running back Steven Jackson only to see him leave the game with another injury. St. Louis falls to 1-7 ATS, while the Browns continue to cash tickets. Cleveland is now 5-2 ATS in 2007.

Lions at Bears (-5 ½, 45)
Final: Lions 16, Bears 7
The Lions completed the season sweep of the Bears, winning as 5 ½-point underdogs at Soldier Field. Chicago has yet to post an ATS victory at home this year. The Bears will head out on the road for back-to-back games in Oakland and Seattle following their bye week. Detroit returns home to host Denver next Sunday. Under backers enjoyed an easy payday as the final score fell 22 points short of the total.

Colts at Panthers (+6 ½, 43)
Final: Colts 31, Panthers 7
Trailing 7-3 late in the first half, it looked as if the Colts may have been caught looking ahead to next week’s epic showdown with the Patriots. Not a chance. Indianapolis would score 28 unanswered points over the final two quarters and change, cruising to a 31-7 victory in Carolina. Reggie Wayne hauled in 168 yards and a touchdown, picking up the slack for an absent Marvin Harrison. The Patriots aren’t the only team that’s perfect ATS, as the Colts improve to 7-0.

Giants vs. Dolphins (+9 ½, 47 ½)
Final: Giants 13, Dolphins 10
Jolly old England got its first taste of regular season NFL football as the Giants prevailed in a sloppy affair with the Dolphins. Field conditions were a major issue as this one was essentially played in the mud. Not surprisingly, we saw few big offensive plays and the Giants were never able to pull away. New York had posted three consecutive pointspread victories before dropping the cash on Sunday.

Raiders at Titans (-7, 39 ½)
Final: Titans 13, Raiders 9
It was a typical Titans victory. They relied heavily on their defense and running game to slip past the Raiders. Vince Young was back under center, but was rather ineffective, throwing for 42 yards and running for only 11. The Titans defense came up huge, sacking Raiders quarterback Daunte Culpepper five times and forcing a pair of key turnovers. Even though the team didn’t pick up the outright victory, the Raiders did improve to 3-1 ATS on the road this season.

Bills at Jets (-3, 38 ½)
Final: Bills 13, Jets 3
The Bills have quietly turned into a serious cash cow, bringing home the bacon in each of their last four games. Meanwhile, the Jets find themselves at the opposite end of the spectrum, losing their seventh game of the season. They’ll stay home for a matchup with the Redskins next Sunday, but this is a team that has shown no signs of turning the corner. Don’t be surprised if we see Kellen Clemens at the controls for New York from now on.

Texans at Chargers (-9 ½, 44 ½)
Final: Chargers 35, Texans 10
The Chargers helped the people of San Diego take their minds off the devastating wild fires, even if it was just for a few hours. All 31 of their points came in the first half as the Texans looked lifeless from the opening kick. Texans QB Matt Schaub was forced to leave the game with a head injury, but it really didn’t matter. The Chargers appear dead set on forcing their way back into the AFC title picture. San Diego has covered the number by a combined 56 ½-points over its past three games.

Jaguars at Buccaneers (-3 ½, 32)
Final: Jaguars 24, Buccaneers 23
We give a ton of credit to the Jaguars, not only for bouncing back from last Monday’s crushing loss against Indianapolis, but doing so without their starting quarterback, David Garrard. Quinn Gray did just enough in Garrard’s absence, throwing for 100 yards and a score, and the Jags defense did the rest. Jacksonville improves to 4-1 ATS over its last five games, while the Bucs suffer their second straight defeat. Over backers had themselves a winning ticket before the end of the third quarter.

Saints at 49ers (+1 ½, 40)
Final: Saints 31, 49ers 10
The Saints resurgence continued as they posted their third win in a row on the strength of four Drew Brees touchdown passes. Alex Smith made his return for the 49ers, but it wasn’t nearly enough as he completed just 22-of-43 passes for 190 yards and a score. Frank Gore continued to struggle behind a patchwork offensive line, running for only 41 yards on 12 carries. It was heatbreak city for under backers as a meaningless late fourth-quarter touchdown pushed this one a single point over the total.

Redskins at Patriots (-15, 46 ½)
Final: Patriots 52, Redskins 7
We saw a lot of love for the Redskins over the course of the week as bettors drove the Pats line down from -17 ½ to as low as -14 ½ at game time. We’re not sure how anyone can warrant fading the Patriots right now, regardless of how generous the pointspread may appear on paper. Had you blindly parlayed New England and the over each week this season, you would be sitting pretty right now. That combination has failed to cash just once, back in Week 4 against Cincinnati.

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2012 Week 9 NFL Office Pool Picks

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Free Week 8 NFL Football Picks & Predictions
NFL Picks: Washington vs. New England 
Take New England Patriots 
Patriots -16.5 New England has not won by less than 17 points this season and has won by more than 20 points in 6 of 7 games. The Patriots are a perfect 7-0 straight up and ATS this season taking every challenge head on and passing with flying colors. There’s no stopping Moss and Brady right now. The combo is hitting on all cylinders and Brady is having the best season of his decorated career. The Pats are 20-6 ATS under Bill Belichick against teams yielding less than 17 PPG. The Pats are a perfect 8-0 ATS in October games over the last 2 seasons. Just like every other team the Pats have faced this season, the Skins won’t have the offense to keep up. Lay the points.

NFL Picks: Buffalo vs. New York 
Take New York Jets 
1* on NY Jets -3 The Jets will win this game. They gave away the game last week against Cincinnati after blowing a 23-10 lead. Buffalo doesn’t have enough offensively to stay with New York. The Bills are giving up 32 points per game on the road this season. Buffalo is scoring just 5 points a game on the road in two ball games. The home team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings between the Jets and Bills. Buffalo is 4-15 ATS in road games after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games. The linesmakers are putting too much emphasis in the Bills’ home win over the Ravens last week. They will get burnt when Buffalo goes on the road again this week and gets shredded to pieces by New York. Take the Jets and lay the points. 

NFL Picks: Philadelphia vs. Minnesota 
Take Minnesota Vikings 
3* on Minnesota Vikings +1 The oddsmakers continue to put too much stock into the Philadelphia Eagles this year. This is the week where they realize they are making a big mistake in listing the Eagles as a favorite at Minnesota. The Vikings are a good football team and had a few more breaks gone their way, they would have easily beat the Cowboys last week. The Eagles are only putting up 10.7 points per game away from home. The Vikings are allowing just 13.0 points per game on their home turf. The Eagles are 0-7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0 points. The Vikings are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games against the NFC. Bet the Vikings.

NFL Picks: Washington vs. New England 
Take Under 
Pats Under 48.5 I don’t see the Redskins doing enough offensively to help the Pats push this one over the total. Plus, I think Washington’s defense will give the Pats more trouble than any other “D” they’ve faced thus far because of the speed it possesses. Washington is 15-4 Under in road games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%) since 1992. The Skins are 6-0 Under in road games vs. excellent passing teams averaging 260 or more passing yards/game over the last 2 seasons and 6-0 Under in road games versus good offensive teams averaging >=5.65 yards/play over the last 2 seasons. Take the Under
 
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Free Week 9 College Football Picks & NCAA Football Predictions
NCAA Picks: Houston vs. UTEP 
Take UTEP Miners 
UTEP +4 Houston gets bit here on the road against a fresh UTEP squad coming off a bye week. The Miners will be itching to get back on the field in front of its home crowd to avenge last season’s 17-point loss to the Cougars. Houston has not covered well against potent offensive teams if you take a look back and that’s our angle here. The Cougars are just 4-14 ATS versus good offensive teams averaging 425 or more yards/game since 1992. The Miners have not scored less than 40 points their last four games. The Cougars haven’t seen an offense quite like this one. Take the points as the oddsmakers have overvalued Houston on the road. 

NCAA Picks: Utah vs. Colorado St. 
Take Colorado St. Rams 
Colorado State +6 The Rams finally got in the win column last week. Getting that monkey off their backs will have the Rams playing with a lot more confidence this week. Utah is a terrible 1-9 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 3 seasons. CSU is 13-3 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games since 1992, 25-12 ATS off a road win against a conference rival since 1992, and 24-9 ATS after a game where they forced 4 or more turnovers since 1992. Utah has been inconsistent on the road this season. Expect Utah to get caught looking past CSU. We’ll take the points.

NCAA Picks: California vs. Arizona St. 
Take Arizona St. Sun Devils 
Arizona State -3 Cal has dropped back-to-back games, both Pac-10 losses, to reduce them to the role of spoiler. This Cal team had high hopes of a national title this season, and those hopes are now gone. Cal showed no grit last week in a revenge spot at UCLA and I expect the Bears to lay down here Saturday with their season goals now crushed. Arizona State is 5-2 ATS at home against Cal in their last 7 meetings. Take the Sun Devils here as they smell that Pac-10 title.

NCAA Picks: North Carolina vs. Wake Forest 
Take Wake Forest Demon Deacons 
1 Unit on Wake Forest -5.5 North Carolina is improved this season, but they are not capable of staying within the number at Wake Forest Saturday. The Tar Heels are scoring just 17 points on the road while giving up nearly 30 points. Wake Forest is putting up 36 points per game in their last 3 outings. They are 3-0 in their last 3 home games, beating Florida State and Maryland along the way. UNC is 0-3 on the road in 2007. The Demon Deacons are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 October games. Over the past 3 seasons, Wake Forest has seemed to peak in October and they are doing it again this year. Cash in with Wake Forest as the favorite. 
 
NCAA Picks: Georgia vs. Florida 
Take Georgia Bulldogs 
3* on Georgia +7.5 Georgia is one of the best road teams in the country. This game will be played in Jacksonville, FL on a neutral field so you can cut Florida’s home field advantage out of the question. The Bulldogs are on a run of 6-0-1 ATS as a road/neutral dog though, having won five of those games outright. Florida is on a dreadful run of 4-15-1 ATS as road chalk, despite winning last week in that role. Head Coach Mark Richt is 21-11 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record as the coach of Georgia. Bet Georgia in a dogfight Saturday. 
 
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Visit 5Dimes and get your wagers down now as the Colorado Rockies prepare to meet the Boston Red Sox on Wednesday, in Game 1 of the 2007 World Series, live from Boston’s Fenway Park. Choose from reduced juice, series prices, runlines, moneylines, totals, first 5-inning lines, unique props and much more. Overnight nickel lines will be available throughout the 2007 World Series.

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World Series 2007
The teams are now set for the Fall Classic and in some ways the Colorado Rockies and the Boston Red Sox would be viewed as two very unlikely participants. The Rockies appearance has everyone talking as they have put together a winning streak that is truly amazing on every level. Baseball is not thought of as a momentum game due to the fact that so many games are played. Simply put, teams can’t get too high or too low if they are going to be successful, but the Rockies have some kind of mojo working and it has gotten them to the World Series in very easy fashion.

The Red Sox appearance seemed unlikely a week ago – not that they don’t have a good team – but that they were down to a very good Indians team three games to one. Boston had to beat Cleveland’s best three pitchers to punch their ticket. As unlikely of a match up that we now have, it is by far a match-up featuring the two teams playing the absolute best baseball right now so let’s take a look at some factors that will determine this year’s champion.

Pitching:
No outcome of a baseball game or series can be determined without looking at the pitching staffs. Today’s game has turned into a battle of bullpens as starters are not asked to do anywhere near what they use to be. Now if they get five innings in they are said to have done their job so let’s look at these two staffs back to front. Both bullpens have been about as good as it gets so far in the post season. The Rockies ERA is in the two’s and if you throw out a couple of seven run innings in the ALCS the Red Sox pen has gotten it done to near perfection as well. We will call this one a draw going in but watch out for the Rockies pen to be tested a little more often as well as earlier. That’s because the Red Sox lineup is by far the best group of hitters Colorado has seen this postseason.

The starting staffs are where on paper you see the biggest edge in this series favoring the Red Sox. Colorado’s Francis has been great and Fogg has even chipped in well at times. However, after those two, you are looking at Jimenez and Morales who are rookies and we feel they will be very shaky with this kind of pressure on them. The only upside for the Rockies is that since the series will start in Boston – the young pitchers will likely get their ‘World Series feet’ wet in Colorado and not at Fenway Park. Beckett has been a postseason monster and has been able to stay on regular rest, Schilling has been up and down but you can’t overlook his experience and Dice-K answered a lot of questions with his ALCS game seven performance. Boston’s starters have earned the edge here and if they are able to go deep in their outings it will be very tough for the young Rockies hitters.

Offense:
We might give the Rockies the slight edge here as their line up has been very balanced top to bottom. The Red Sox on the other hand have holes at the bottom and that could prove very costly in the series if either Ortiz or Ramirez struggle. However, the chances of that are slim as both have been outstanding this postseason but if the Rockies find a way to get around them runs might be hard to come by for Red Sox Nation. If the Rockies pitchers hold their own the National League style of play might be a huge advantage. As good as the Rockies have been getting the runs they need we will call the offensive match up a draw as the World Series is the World Series and the experienced Red Sox hitters understand that and will be patient at the plate.

Wild Card:
Hard to think that we wouldn’t give this category to the Rockies but it really would be too good to be true to think that they can keep up the pace they are on. The underdog role has been good to them and it is true that they might actually benefit from being too young to really know what they have gotten themselves into. However, as we said earlier – the World Series is the World Series and ultimately they will feel the pressure. The Rockies are also facing a Red Sox team that has been the best team in baseball all year. They have the arms and the bats and just got done beating baseball’s second and third best teams. I doing so the Red Sox never worried or looked the slightest bit panicked.

Boston manager Terry Francona threw Tim Wakefield in game four of the ALCS knowing a loss could put them a game away from elimination. A loss is what they got but the Sox never flinched and took three in a row and showed a little magic of their own as they brought the World Series back to Boston. They are top to bottom a better team and we see them bringing another banner to Beantown

Article Courtesy of Covers Sports Handicappers

Mike Seba has been doing NFL power ratings for more than 20 years. The senior linesmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants has never made a higher rating on a team than he has on New England this season.

It’s easy to understand why.

The Patriots have won and covered all seven of their games. Their average victory margin is 22 points. The closest any opponent has come to New England is 17 points.

New England opened -16 hosting Washington. The Redskins are 4-2, allowing less than 15 points a game and ranked No. 4 defensively prior to the Monday night game.

“As good as the Redskins have been playing, they won’t have a prayer if the Patriots are playing well,” Seba said.

The public keeps backing the Patriots. Some money showed up against New England this past Sunday, though, as wise guys took the big number with Miami. The Dolphins trailed 42-7 before eventually losing, 48-28.

Seba wouldn’t be surprised if the line reaches -17. Even at that high number, he cautions against trying to fade New England. Maybe it’s “Spygate” or his own warped ego, but Patriots coach Bill Belichick isn’t letting up. He even put Tom Brady back into the Miami game to throw a sixth touchdown pass.

“These professional bettors have to think about that,” Seba said. “The way Belichick plays is all out. There’s no letting up with this guy.”

How strong are the Patriots right now from a pointspread standpoint? Seba said if you took a middle-of-the-road type team – say the Detroit Lions – and had them play at Foxboro, the Patriots would be 20-point favorites.

The New Orleans Saints still don’t look very good. But they’ve won two in a row beating Seattle and Atlanta. San Francisco can’t score and is off a miserable performance against the New York Giants. So the Saints opened as 3-point road favorites against the 49ers.

Alex Smith is expected to have recovered enough from his shoulder injury to start for San Francisco. Frank Gore is banged-up, but is also expected to play. If either one can’t play, Seba said the line would go up to 3 ½ or 4.

“I would take three with San Francisco as long as Smith and Gore are playing,” Seba said. “The value with the Saints is slowly disappearing as they keep winning. I think you’re getting value at +3 with San Francisco.”

The 49ers have managed more than 200 yards of offense only twice this season. Their defense is improved, but not enough to carry a struggling offense.

Before Sunday, Pittsburgh might have been a 6-point road favorite against Cincinnati. But after the Steelers lost to the Broncos and the Bengals defeated the Jets, LVSC opened Pittsburgh at -3 ½. At some books on Monday the line was at -3.

“The Bengals look reinvigorated after their bye week in beating the Jets,” Seba said. “They could be back in rhythm. If I wanted to back the Steelers, I sure wouldn’t be laying more than three.”

Chad Pennington has thrown seven interceptions in the last four games. Unfair or not, Pennington is taking a lot of blame for the Jets’ disappointing 1-6 start. The Jets opened at -3 hosting Buffalo. If Pennington is benched for promising second-year signal-caller Kellen Clemens, there probably would be a line adjustment, according to Seba.

“If they (the Jets) make the quarterback switch the line could go down to 2 ½,” Seba said. “Clemens may be the better quarterback, but if the Jets make that switch they’re indicating that they are playing for the long-term rather than the short-term.

“The public may perceive it as a good thing, but in terms of experience it’s a down move and we would lower our power ratings on the Jets.”

Bookmakers opened Tennessee as a 7-point home favorite against Oakland. Unsure of the status of Vince Young, bookies took a middle position.

“If Kerry Collins is the quarterback it’s less than a touchdown,” Seba said. “But if Young is in the line has to be 7 ½ or 8.”

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Week 7 NFL Results & Scores: By Sean Murphy, lead handicapper with The Miller Group of Covers Experts

Maybe we should just save ourselves three-and-a-half months and crown the New England Patriots the Super Bowl champions right now.

The Patriots turned in yet another dominating performance, but it was the underdogs that held a slight overall edge on Sunday, cashing at a 7-6 ATS clip. Here’s a complete rundown of all the day’s action.

Cardinals at Redskins (-7 ½, 35 ½)
Final: Redskins 21, Cardinals 19
On most days, 160 yards of total offense isn’t going to get the job done. Don’t tell that to the Redskins. That was just enough to slide past the Cardinals on Sunday. Kurt Warner turned in a valiant effort despite playing with just one arm, nearly bringing his team all the way back from a 21-6 fourth-quarter deficit. A Cardinals touchdown with just 21 seconds remaining helped bring home the bacon for over backers.

Falcons at Saints (-7 ½, 42 ½)
Final: Saints 22, Falcons 16
It wasn’t pretty, but the Saints managed to hold off the Falcons for their second straight victory. Atlanta suffered a major blow when it lost newly appointed quarterback Byron Leftwich to an ankle injury that will likely keep him out for two to four weeks. The Falcons have now covered in three of their last four games, while the Saints drop to 1-5 ATS on the season.

Ravens at Bills (+3, 33 ½)
Final: Bills 19, Ravens 14
This one looked like a defensive battle on paper, and that’s precisely how it played out on the field. The Bills jumped out to a 9-0 first-half lead and never looked back as the Ravens offense continued to struggle. Buffalo is now a perfect 4-0 ATS at home this season while Baltimore has yet to deliver the cash on the road. This one finished a hair short of the posted total of 33 ½.

Patriots at Dolphins (+15 ½, 49)
Final: Patriots 49, Dolphins 28
Tom Brady’s five first-half touchdown passes paved the way for the Patriots’ seventh consecutive win. Dolphins backers actually had hope when their team closed the gap to 21 points early in the fourth quarter, but a sixth Brady touchdown put the nail in the coffin. Not surprisingly, the over is a solid 6-1 in New England’s seven games this season.

49ers at Giants (-9 ½, 39)
Final: Giants 33, 49ers 15
If you’re looking for the league’s most impotent attack, look no further than the San Francisco 49ers. Quarterback Trent Dilfer was sacked six times and the Niners turned the ball over on four occasions, helping the Giants cruise to their fifth straight win. New York will travel to London, England, for a matchup with the winless Dolphins next Sunday. The 49ers will try to regain their footing at home against the Saints.

Buccaneers at Lions (-2 ½, 44.5)
Final: Lions 23, Buccaneers 16
The Buccaneers had 10 more first downs, 144 more total yards, and controlled the ball for nearly 36 minutes. With that said, you’d think that they won this one in a walk. That simply wasn’t the case. The Lions took advantage of their few opportunities and pulled off a 23-16 win. With the win, Detroit moves within a half-game of the Packers for first place in the NFC North.

Titans at Texans (-2 ½, 37 ½)
Final: Titans 38, Texans 36
The Texans were that close to completing a comeback for the ages. Houston rallied all the way back from a 32-7 deficit to take the lead with less than a minute remaining, only to watch Kerry Collins lead the Titans down the field and set up Rob Bironas’ record-setting eighth field goal of the game. Needless to say, this one sailed over the posted total.

Chiefs at Raiders (-2, 37 ½)
Final: Chiefs 12, Raiders 10
The Chiefs may be riding the quietest 4-1-1 ATS run in recent memory. That’s because they’re winning ugly. Sunday’s game was no exception as they outlasted the Raiders 12-10 in a defensive slugfest. Oakland falls to 0-3 ATS at home and 2-4 SU on the season. Under backers enjoyed a relatively stress-free winning ticket thanks in large part to just six first-half points.

Jets at Bengals (-6, 48)
Final: Bengals 38, Jets 31
The Bengals came out on top in a battle between two of the league’s most disappointing teams. It was a story of two halves. The Jets built a 10-point cushion heading into the break before the Bengals exploded for 28 second-half points, including 21 in the fourth quarter. It was the Jets’ fourth loss in a row, both SU and ATS.

Bears at Eagles (-5 ½, 42)
Final: Bears 19, Eagles 16
Brian Griese led the Bears on a 97-yard, 11-play drive with less than two minutes remaining, stunning the Eagles in a 19-16 victory. Philadelphia falls to 2-4 on the season and drops further into the NFC East basement. It was Chicago’s second straight outright upset on the road after defeating the Packers at Lambeau Field two weeks ago. Even a 20-point fourth quarter couldn’t help this one reach the posted total.

Rams at Seahawks (-8, 39 ½)
Final: Seahawks 33, Rams 6
The misery continued for the St. Louis Rams as they suffered their seventh consecutive loss. They’ve managed just one ATS victory, that coming back in Week 5 against Arizona. The Seahawks offense wasn’t all that sharp, but the team’s defense came up big, consistently getting into the Rams backfield. Under backers should count their lucky stars after cashing by the narrowest of margins.

Vikings at Cowboys (-9 ½, 45 ½)
Final: Cowboys 24, Vikings 14
A blocked field goal returned for a touchdown sealed the deal for the Cowboys as they outlasted the Vikings 24-14. Minnesota struggled to get anything going offensively as the Cowboys made Adrian Peterson a non-factor outside of a first-quarter touchdown run. A fourth-quarter field goal gave Cowboys backers a pointspread victory. Dallas will head into its bye week while the Vikings return home to host the Eagles next Sunday.

Steelers at Broncos (+3 ½, 38)
Final: Broncos 31, Steelers 28
In an entertaining Sunday night affair, the Broncos surprised the Steelers, winning 31-28 on a last-second Jason Elam field goal. Pittsburgh has yet to really prove itself on the road this season, losing in Arizona and now Denver. The Broncos were in desperate need of a win after getting embarrassed on their home turf last time out. Both teams were clicking offensively all night long, sending the final score well past the posted total

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Free Week 7 NFL Football Picks & Predictions
NFL Picks: Kansas City vs. Oakland 
Take Kansas City Chiefs 
3* on Kansas City Chiefs +3 The Kansas City Chiefs have won 8 straight games over the Raiders, yet they are the underdog Sunday. The linesmakers have their heads up their asses here. The Chiefs are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games against AFC West opponents. The road team is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings between these teams. The Raiders are giving up 30 points per game at home this season. Oakland will get run over by Larry Johnson after he finally had a breakout game against the Chiefs. Johnson is a second-half runner that just keeps getting better as the season rolls on. Oakland is 3-12 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. Kansas City makes it 9 straight wins over the Raiders Sunday. Bet the Chiefs.

NFL Picks: San Francisco vs. New York 
Take New York Giants 
1 Unit on New York Giants -9 New York has caught fire winning 4 straight games. The Giants have put up 30-plus points on the board each of the last two weeks, proving, without a doubt, that their offense is starting to click. Eli Manning is finding his groove and he’s finding Plaxico Burress often. Burress is tied with Randy Moss for the NFL lead with 8 TD receptions. Even if San Fran’s 21st ranked defense somehow shows up, the Niners offense will surely fail them. San Fran is the worst offense in all of football. The Niners are ranked dead last through the air and 26th in rushing. There’s no way San Fran can hang with the red hot G-Men this week. Lay the points. 

NFL Picks: Arizona vs. Washington 
Take Arizona Cardinals 
1* on Arizona Cardinals +9 Whether Kurt Warner can go or not, the Redskins should not be an 8.5-point favorite against any team in this league. They won in a blowout over Detroit in their last home game but the Cardinals are a much more consistent team than the Lions are this season. Arizona will hang in the whole way with an offense that is as explosive as any in the NFC. The Cardinals are putting up 25 points per game on the road this season. Arizona is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games against NFC opponents. The Underdog is 9-4-1 ATS in the last 14 meetings. The Cardinals get to look forward to a bye week next weekend. Arizona is 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games in the week prior to a bye. The Cardinals are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a loss. Take Arizona and the points.

NFL Picks: Tennessee vs. Houston 
Take Tennessee Titans 
1 Unit on Tennessee Titans -1 The Tennessee Titans are clearly the better team in this match-up. The Titans have won 4 straight over Houston the past two seasons. They own the Texans and they are even better this season. The Titans are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games against the AFC. The Titans’ defense is extremely underrated and they will reek havoc once again Sunday. The Titans are 10-1 ATS in road games after allowing 17 points or less in 3 straight games. The Titans win this one with room to spare. Cash in with Tennessee as the favorite.

NFL Picks: Tampa Bay vs. Detroit 
Take Detroit Lions 
1 Unit on Detroit Lions -1 It would appear that Tampa Bay is the better team at this point of the season, but Detroit is undefeated at home this season and coming off a bye week so the Lions have had plenty of time to prepare for the Bucs. Also, Tampa Bay has not looked good at all on the road. They were blown out at Seattle and at Indianapolis. Detroit can throw the football just like the Colts who put up 33 points on the Bucs two weeks ago. Tampa Bay’s defense has not been good enough against the pass and they will have to face the league’s 5th best passing offense this week. Expect the talented Lions’ receivers, especially Roy Williams, to have their way. Tampa Bay brings an offensive unit into Detroit that is ranked just 25th in the league. The Bucs will not be able to keep up here. Lay the points.

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Free Week 8 College Football Picks & NCAA Football Predictions
NCAA Picks: Florida vs. Kentucky 
Take Florida Gators 
1 Unit on Florida -6.5 Kentucky will suffer a letdown here after knocking off #1 ranked LSU and the books are calling it for us by making Florida a 6.5-point favorite on the road. Florida is playing with double revenge having lost 2 straight before getting a bye last week. That extra time to prepare will have the Gators ready and the layoff will have this talented bunch fresh and flying around the field. Florida has won 20 straight over Kentucky. Urban Meyer’s teams are also 12-2 ATS off a bye week. With Florida almost always favored, this stat undeniably shows you how well Meyer gets his guys ready to go with the extra time at his disposal. We’ll take the Gators.

NCAA Picks: Auburn vs. LSU 
Take Auburn Tigers 
1 Unit on Auburn +10.5 Auburn is one of the best road team in all of the SEC. They knocked off Florida down in the Swamp earlier this season and took down Arkansas on the road last week. They are receiving far too many points against LSU this week. Auburn is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings with the Tigers. The last 3 meetings have been decided by 4 points or less. Auburn is giving up just 12 points per game on the road this season so you can expect another defensive struggle, allowing an easy cover for Auburn. Auburn is 17-4 ATS in their last 21 games in October and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games. LSU is just 4-10 ATS in their last 14 conference games. Cash in with Auburn as the underdog.

NCAA Picks: Wake Forest vs. Navy 
Take Navy Midshipmen 
3* on Navy +3 Navy catching points at home is a mistake by oddsmakers Saturday against Wake Forest. Teams just can’t seem to adjust to the option offense that Navy runs. One week of practice just isn’t enough and Wake Forest will fall victim to the Midshipmen rushing attack once again this weekend. Navy is averaging 376 rushing yards at home while Wake Forest is rushing for just 59 yards on the road. The Demon Deacons are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite. Navy is 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games as an underdog. The Midshipmen at 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings with ACC opponents. Bet Navy Saturday.

NCAA Picks: Miami – OH vs. Temple 
Take Miami – OH RedHawks 
The Miami-Ohio Redhawks are now 4-3 SU and 5-2 ATS on the season, the team averaging 20ppg while giving up an average of 26ppg. The Redhawks are now 3-0 SU and ATS over their last three straight games, that includes winning their last road game 20-13 as the 8pt dog at Kent State. The Redhawks have given up just 14pts or less their last three straight games, that includes their last outing where they dominated 47-14 as only the 2pt dog hosting Bowling Green. The Redhawks won their last meeting with Temple by a score of 41-14 as the 20pt favorite, all Redhawks here folks.Take Miami-Ohio to cover the spread here!

NCAA Picks: Buffalo vs. Syracuse 
Take Syracuse Orangemen 
1* on Syracuse -3 Syracuse may be down in the dumps this season but they are more than worthy of putting up a win against Buffalo on their home turf Saturday. Buffalo is 1-3 on the road this season with their only win coming against a lowly Temple squad early in the season. Syracuse is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games against MAC opponents. Syracuse is 23-7 ATS in their last 30 home games after playing their previous game at home. Take Syracuse and lay the points.

NCAA Picks: Iowa vs. Purdue 
Take Purdue Boilermakers 
1 Unit on Purdue -7 The Hawkeyes are coming off a very emotional home win over a ranked opponent last week. That puts this young team in letdown mode here. Purdue is coming off a very disappointed showing at Michigan last week. Expect them to be hungry for a win at home here as they look to bounce back. The Hawkeyes have consistently struggled against spread attacks. We have already seen it this season when Indiana’s spread mopped up the floor with them. Iowa has also struggled on the road, losing 3 of its four road games this season with its only win coming over lowly Northern Illinois. Expect Purdue’s passing game to eat up Iowa’s secondary. Lay the points as Purdue wins by at least two TDs
 
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