Los Angeles Dodgers @ Philadelphia Phillies o8.5 (100) MLB Odds - Friday October 10 ’08 4:35p

It may seem counterintuitive to look at the Over between the Los Angeles Dodgers and the Philadelphia Phillies today, given the pitching matchup and the easy Under in Game 1, but the talented starters today did not exactly close out the season strong.

Phillies starter Brett Myers was great vs. the Milwaukee Brewers in the NLDS, allowing two runs and just two hits in seven innings, but remember that he has always pitched well vs. the Brewers, so that effort actually could have been expected.

In reality, Myers has just two Quality Starts in his last five outings, and yes, they both came vs. Milwaukee. If we factor out those two appearances, Myers allowed an ugly 18 earned runs and 27 hits in just 17.2 innings over the other three starts!

Now Chad Billingsley has not been nearly that bad, but he does have an uncharacteristic 4.15 ERA with a poor 1.56 WHIP over his last three starts. He also hardly fooled the Philadelphia hitters the only time he faced them this season, allowing 12 baserunners in six innings of a 5-0 loss.

Add all of this up and we foresee a somewhat higher scoring game here than many others expect.

MLB Free Pick: Dodgers, Phillies Over 8.5 (+100) – Courtesy of LT Profits

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