Free NBA Pick: New Orleans Hornets -15.5
Fri Apr 4 ’08 8:05p – Basketball Odds
The only team that the Knicks have beaten since the beginning of March is the lowly Miami Heat (twice), and even in those rare victories, the Knicks failed to cover the spread either time. In fact, the Knicks have only covered the spread four times in their last 17 games, a team that is clearly just playing out the string of another long, dismal season. The Knicks have been particularly bad on the road facing an opponent with a winning record, including losses by 26 at Orlando and by 29 at Dallas.

When New Orleans visited Madison Square Garden in early March, the Knicks kept the game competitive for 46 minutes, but allowed the Hornets to score the final ten points of the game for a 12 point victory. Playing in New Orleans, I wouldn’t expect this game to be nearly as close. After all, the Hornets have been absolutely dominant against weak foes at home, 24-13 ATS in New Orleans and a 33-18 ATS mark as a favorite.

Byron Scott’s squad has now won straight up and covered the spread in nine straight home games, winning eight of those games by double digit margins. As a big favorite of nine points or more (we can expect the Hornets to be laying doubles in this ballgame), the Hornets have gone 11-4 ATS, consistently taking care of business against their weaker foes. Look for that trend to continue in another blowout win on Friday Night in the Big Easy. Take New Orleans.  – Courtesy of Ted Sevransky

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Free MLB Picks: Boston Red Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays u9.0
Fri April 4th ’08 7:15p – Baseball Odds
In 25 starts last year, right-hander Shaun Marcum of Blue Jays finished with 11-4 record and a stable 3.91 ERA and an impressive .733 winning percentage. He will face veteran knuckleballer Tim Wakefield,who almost always makes his team competitive when he takes to the hill. With two very capable hurlers on the hill today, an two viable bull pens supporting them Im expecting a fairly low scoring game that fails to eclipse the number. Final notes & Key Trends: Under is 7-0 in Wakefields last 7 road starts vs. Blue Jays . Play under – Courtesy of Alex Smart

Free MLB Picks: Houston Astros @ Chicago Cubs u9.0 (-110)
Fri April 4th ’08 2:20p – Baseball Odds
Houston will give the ball to Chris Sampson Friday afternoon in the hopes that he’ll be able to build off of last season’s decent effort. He went 7-8 with a 4.59 ERA and career-high 51 strikeouts in 24 appearances for the Astros last season. Sampson’s been brilliant against the Cubs in his career winning both of the games he’s started against them allowing 0 runs and only allowing 6 hits in 12 total innings of work. The under cashed with ease in both starts.

He’ll square off against lefty Rich Hill who went 11-8 last season with a 3.92 ERA. He allowed only 170 hits in 195 innings of work with a stellar K/BB ratio of 183/63. He did have a problem surrendering the long ball though (27 overall). Hill’s fared well against his opponent in his career. He’s 1-0 with a 3.32 ERA, but the Cubs are 2-1 in his three career starts against the division rival Astros. The under cashed in two of those three starts. – Courtesy of Mike Rose

Free MLB Picks: Toronto Blue Jays (-110)
Fri Apr 4 ’08 7:15p – Baseball Odds
This is the home opener for the Toronto Blue Jays, who just lost two out of three at Yankee Stadium, and we look for them to emerge victorious here vs. the Boston Red Sox.

The Jays could have easily swept the Yankees, as they held late leads in all three games but lost a couple of 3-2 decisions. Today’s starter Shaun Marcum was a revlation last season as one of the most pleasant surprises in baseball, and he pitcher very well against the Red Sox. He allowed just five earned runs in three starts vs. Boston, and he was brilliant in his only start against them here in Toronto, hurling eight scoreless innings while allowing just two hits and posting 10 strikeouts.

The ageless Tim Wakefield takes the start for the Sox, and while he too was brilliant at times last year, he was his usual inconsistent self with some awful outings also added in the mix. He did not pitch particularly well in is last two starts vs. Toronto, allowing a total of eight earned runs and 16 hits in 12 innings.

At close to a pick’em price, we will back the surer commodity in Marcum here at home. – Courtesy of LT Profits

MLB Free Pick: Blue Jays -110

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Free MLB Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Cincinnati Reds Under 9.5
April 3rd, 2008 12:35PM – Click Here for MLB Odds

Yesterday’s 2-3 All Sports mark (1-2 in baseball) wasn’t one of my greatest moments, especially after leaving two winners on the edit room floor; but that’s the beauty of sports investing, you lose some and you win more – or you find another profession.

The Wednesday UNDER play on the Reds and D’backs was doomed by one player, who will go unnamed, but investing below-the-number was the right side to be on. The reality of the situation is that the ‘under’ should have been one of those plays pitched (pun intended) to the floor in the editing room.

So, we’re back at it today, with a getaway game from Great American Park. There’s a strong wind blowing in from left center; one inconsistent pitcher with a terrific record at GAP and against the Reds, and a rookie arm that is a relative unknown.

Arizona’s Doug Davis allowed two runs and five hits in six innings of a 3-2 victory over the Reds on April 9 of last year, but did not factor in the decision. The left-hander is 6-2 with a 3.40 ERA in 14 career starts against Cincinnati (1-1), and 4-1 with a 3.26 ERA in seven starts at Great American Ball Park.

The Reds send Johnny Cueto to the mound. The rookie was a non-roster invite to Cincinnati’s spring training, but won a spot in the rotation after an encouraging showing in the Grapefruit League. The 22-year-old right-hander allowed 10 earned runs, struck out 19 and walked 12 over 17 2-3 innings over six outings in the spring. Cueto depends on his better than average change-up, something that should be effective against the light hitting and young D’backs lineup.

Key Trend: It’s a getaway day for Arizona and the umpires, while the Reds stay at home this weekend. The umpire for today’s game, Jim Hoye (19-13 in 2007) has a larger strike zone than his 2007 record indicates. He is a great fit 

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Houston Rockets -6.5 (-110)
Thu April 3 ’08 10:35p – Click Here for NBA Betting Odds

We are not usually in the habit of giving points on the road, but the Houston Rockets have all the motivation here vs. the sinking Portland Trail Blazers.

The Rockets are still jockeying for playoff position in the ultra-tight Western Conference, so they need to beat the teams that they should beat in order to improve their seeding. The Rockets are 4-0 straight up in the last four head-to-head meetings with Portland, and their three wins against them this season were all by more than this posted line. Houston beat the Blazers by nine and 12 points respectively at home, and they won by 10 points in their last visit here. More importantly, all three of those wins came while Portland was still in the playoff hunt.

That is not the case now, as the Blazers have plummeted over the second half of the season since being the talk of the NBA in the first half. Their early-season 13-game winnings streak is long forgotten, as Portland is now just one game over .500 at 38-37 SU, and they are now virtually out of the playoff race. They have lost four of their last five games SU including an embarrassing 93-85 home loss to the Charlotte Bobcats the last time they played here, and the Blazers are now just 3-13 against the spread in their last 16 home games.

Look for another double-digit Houston victory in this series.

NBA Free Pick: Rockets -6.5 – Click Here To Buy LT Profits Expert NBA Picks

Chicago Cubs (-130)
Thu April 3 ’08 2:20p – Click Here for Baseball Odds

The Chicago Cubs look to avoid getting swept at home in their season opening series when they host the Milwaukee Brewers this afternoon.

Milwaukee starter David Bush has been a slow starter in recent seasons, as his teams are just 4-11 in all of his April starts the last three years and he has a high 5.11 ERA in those outings. More importantly, Bush has failed to record a Quality Start in his last three appearances vs. the Cubs, allowing a total of 14 earned runs in 18 innings while surrendering 21 hits and a ghastly 15 walks.

Ryan Dempster returns to the starting rotation this season after bombing as the Cubs closer last season, and we feel he is much better suited for this role. Remember that he began his career as a starter and showed great promise when he came up with the Cincinnati Reds, and we feel he will be very serviceable once he is stretched out after a few starts. He should get in five or six decent innings today, which may be good enough for the victory as long as Bush’s April woes continue.

Look for the Cubs to salvage this win to avoid the home sweep.

MLB Free Pick: Cubs -130 – Click Here to Buy LT Profits Expert MLB Picks

Free Pick: Chicago Cubs (-155)
Wed Apr 2 ’08 2:20p – Click Here for Current MLB Betting Odds

The durable Jeff Suppan gets the starting nod for the Brewers in the second game of the Brewers three game set with the Cubs. Jeff went 12-12 with a 4.62 ERA last season, and was one of the Brewers main inning eaters throwing a shade under 207 total. He lost three of his final five road starts last season, and only managed one win in three starts against the Chicago Cubs. Chicago’s hitters are very familiar with Suppan since he’s been in the NL Central the last six or so years, so look for them to awaken today against his junk.Ted Lilly made a very nice transition to the National League last season after coming over from Toronto as a free agent. He went 15-8 overall last season with a 3.83 ERA. He churned out a K/BB ratio of 175/55 and only surrendered 181 hits in 207 innings of work. The Cubs won four of his last five home starts, but he went 1-1 with a 5.29 ERA against Milwaukee last year. That said, he took care of business against the Brew Crew at home, and I expect more of the same today.

The Cubs had the upper hand over Milwaukee last season winning nine of their 15 overall meetings, but they only posted a 5-4 SU mark against the Brewers in Wrigley. After dropping yet another in heart wrenching fashion to open up the year, look for the Cubbies to rebound and even up the season series at a game apiece.

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Free Pick: Toronto Raptors @ Atlanta Hawks o204.5 – Current NBA Odds
Wed April 2 ’08 7:05p

The Atlanta Hawks enter into this tilt against the Toronto Raptors , playing some solid basketball winning , 8 of their L/10 overall, including , 4 in a row. Much of the Hawks , successes are centered around what is fast becoming an explosive offense that has averaged 109.1 PPG during the above mentioned span. Their opponents , the Raps are playing very inconsistently, losing 6 of their L/10, behind a lackluster , defense, that remains their achilles heel , as is evident by allowing 97.2 PPG this season and just under the 100 point plateau in the visitors role. The one constant for the Raptors has been an offense that averages 100.1 PPG on the season. Considering the current form of both teams, and overall study of the statistical data , recommending a wager on this contest , going over the set total , will be an easy decision. Final notes & Key Trends: Over is 10-1 in Raptors last 11 vs. a team with a losing record . Atlanta has gone Over in 7 of their L/9 home games. Play on the Over

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Free MLB Pick: Toronto Blue Jays (145)
Tue Apr 1 ’08 7:05p – Click Here for Current MLB Baseball Betting Odds

It is not too often that you can get Roy Halladay at this price, so the Toronto Blue Jays simply ooze value vs. the New York Yankees today.

Not only is Halladay a perennial Cy Young candidate, but he has always fared well vs. the Yankees, allowing three earned runs or less in nine of his last 10 starts against them. He also loves pitching in Yankee Stadium, and he has allowed a grand total of two earned runs in his last four starts in the House that Ruth Built, covering 30 innings. Do not forget about the Toronto bullpen either as that unit finished second in the American League in bullpen ERA last season and should be even better this year once B.J. Ryan is back and healthy.

Now granted, Chien-Ming Wang has been downright dominant at home during his brief Yankee career. However, the Yankees have lost his last three starts vs. the Blue Jays, and he allowed 12 earned runs in just 17 innings over those outings, making him vulnerable as a big favorite here. Also, we still do not have much faith in the Yankees long relievers, so if this becomes a battle of the pens, we think the Blue Jays would have the advantage.

The bottom line here is that Toronto has the better starting pitcher and the better bullpen, while the Yankees obviously have a big edge offensively. However, given Halladay’s history against them, look for the Yankee bats to be kept relatively quiet here as the Blue Jays spring the upset.

MLB Free Pick: Blue Jays +145 – Click Here to Buy LT Profits Premium MLB Baseball Picks

Massachusetts @ Florida o154.0 (-110)
Tue Apr 1 ’08 7:00p – Click Here for Basketball Odds

The Massachusetts Minutemen are one of the highest scoring teams in the country, and the Florida Gators do not mind running the floor either, so we look for an entertaining high scoring game in this NIT semifinal.

The Minutemen are averaging 81.5 points per game over the entire year, and their scoring does not suffer on the road either, where they average 80.6 points. This was pretty apparent in their 81-77 come-from-behind win at Syracuse last week that enabled Massachusetts to get to this point. The Minutemen have now scored 78 points or more in eight of their last 10 games, and a replay of that here would virtually guarantee an Over.

Do not sleep on the Gators offense either, as they are averaging 77.9 points on an outstanding 49.1 percent shooting from the floor. Granted, they have slipped to 72.8 points and a still excellent 48.8 percent shooting over their last five games, but they should improve on those recent point totals vs. a Massachusetts defense that is allowing 75.5 points per contest and is not as good as the defenses Florida has been facing lately.

We do expect a narrow Florida victory here, but we are much more confident that these teams will match each other basket for basket.

CBB Free Pick: Massachusetts, Florida Over 154 – CLICK HERE TO BUY LT PROFITS EXPERT BASKETBALL PICKS