Toronto Maple Leafs vs. New York Rangers
Feb 22, 2009 8:00PM – NHL Hockey Picks
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This play is “too expensive” to qualify as one of my premium plays. That said, I feel the Rangers have an excellent shot at coming away with the two points and that the price is actually quite reasonable.
Note that the home team has won both games in this series this season. Additionally, note that the Rangers were laying -220 the last time the teams met here. That goes back to my point about the line being “fair.”
Both teams come off losses yesterday. However, the Leafs’ loss figures to be much tougher to bounce back from. For starters, they had to play overtime and lost in a shootout. More importantly, that was a very emotional game, as it came vs. their longtime leader, Mats Sundin.
The Leafs are 12-22 (-5.1) the last 37 times that they played a road game with an over/under line of 5.5. During the same stretch, the Rangers were 33-14 (+12.2) when playing a home game with an over/under line of 5.5. Consider laying the wood. – Courtesy of Ben Burns
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Michigan State Spartans
Free Pick: Michigan State -8.5 (-110) – Sun February 22 ’09 3:00p
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The home team has dominated the head-to-head series between the Michigan State Spartans and look for the Spartans to continue that home dominance.
Michigan State should also be in an ornery mood here after getting blown out by 18 points at Purdue on Tuesday, so returning home and facing Wisconsin in a down year seems like the perfect remedy. Sure, this spread may seem a tad large at first glance, but remember that the Spartans are winning their home games by an average of +13.9 games this year.
MSU is very balanced offensively and defensively, as they rank number 22 in the nation in adjusted offensive efficiency and number 14 in adjusted defensive efficiency according to the Pomeroy Ratings. The also rank fourth in the country in offensive rebounding percentage, which is significant here as Wisconsin ranks 199 in that category, meaning the Spartans should have the edge in second-chance points.
The Badgers are a disappointing 17-9 overall and just 8-6 inside the conference. They have a losing 4-5 record in their true road games including 3-4 on the road in conference, and those were vs. Indiana, Penn State and Michigan. Wisconsin has yet to beat a team of the Spartans caliber away from home, and the fact that State is coming off of a bad loss diminishes the Badgers chances even more.
Finally, Wisconsin has won the last four head-to-head meetings including wins in the last two Big Ten Tournaments, so Michigan State seems primed for revenge this afternoon.
College Basketball Betting Free Pick: Michigan State -8.5 (-110) - Courtesy of LT Profits
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2009 NBA Basketball Futures
Odds to win the 2009 NBA Championship
(All odds below are subject to change – Updated April 15th 2009)
Atlanta Hawks 60/1
Boston Celtics 7/2
Chicago Bulls 100/1
Cleveland Cavaliers 3/2
Dallas Mavericks 60/1
Denver Nuggets 20/1
Detroit Pistons 80/1
Houston Rockets 20/1
Los Angeles Lakers 7/4
Miami Heat 50/1
New Orleans Hornets 35/1
Orlando Magic 12/1
Philadelphia 76ers 125/1
Portland Trailblazers 20/1
San Antonio Spurs 20/1
Utah Jazz 35/1
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If you are betting NCAA college basketball on February 21st, 2009 and need free winning college basketball predictions, you have come to the right place. Touthouse.com NCAA college basketball handicappers specialize in basketball betting and are here to provide you with free college basketball picks today.
Free Pick: Samford +8.0 (-110) – Sat February 21st ’09 7:00p
The Samford Bulldogs have been a covering machine this season, and we look for them to cover this rather big spot also when they visit, the Chattanooga Moccasins tonight. After hitting a bid of a skid, Samford has rebounded with back-to-back double-digit wins, easily covering the spread on each occasion to improve to a hearty 13-7, 65.0 percent against the spread this season. They are also in a revenge spot after losing at home to the Moccasins two weeks ago, and while the Bulldogs are just 3-9 straight up on the road, they are a very respectable 5-4 ATS in those games. Chattanooga is 10-6 in Southern Conference play and 14-13 overall, but they are under .500 ATS at 11-12. The key to this contest is that the Moccasins defense ranks just 255 in effective field goal percentage allowed according to the Pomeroy Ratings and 207 in two-point percentage allowed. Well, those just happen to be strong suits for the Samford offense, as their 53.5 effective field goal percentage ranks a very nice 33 in the nation, and amazingly, they rank fourth in the land with a 55.9 percent two-point percentage! Look for the Bulldogs to score enough points here to cover this spot. CBB Free Pick: Samford +8 (-110) – Courtesy of Ted Sevransky
Free Pick: Wyoming -4.5 – Sat February 21st ’09 3:30p
TCU was a great story in December and early January, as first year head coach Jim Christian took a ragtag team in a bottom tier program and got them to overachieve, to the tune of a 13-6 SU record in their first 19 games. But the reality of Mountain West play has caught up with the Horned Frogs in recent weeks. TCU has lost six of their last seven, failing to cover a single pointspread in any defeat; their lone victory coming at home over bottom feeder Air Force. The early season confidence is gone; the execution on both ends of the court has faded (40% shooting, 52% shooting allowed during this skid). TCU was an eight point favorite over Wyoming in the first meeting, but they needed overtime to escape with the one point home victory. This time around, the Cowboys will be primed for revenge in Laramie where they have been dominant all year, to the tune of a 14-1 SU mark, including an upset win over UNLV in their last outing. The Cowboys are a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last five tries as a favorite. After a brutal five game stretch against the five Mountain West elites, this home game against TCU is a prime spot for Wyoming to exert their dominance over a weaker foe. (#546) Take Wyoming. – Courtesy of Ted Sevransky
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NBA Basketball Betting: Oklahoma City vs. Phoenix
Free NBA Pick: Oklahoma City Thunder +9.0 (-110) – Fri February 20th ’09 9:05p
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To the casual observer, this matchup between the 30-23 Phoenix Suns and the 13-41 Oklahoma City Thunder may seem like a Phoenix blowout at first glance.
However, the truth of the matter is that despite their record, the Thunder have actually been one of the best investments in the NBA this season with a 34-20, 63.0 percent record against the spread. Also, do not be scared off by their 3-22 straight up record on the road either, as they are still 16-9, 64.0 percent when traveling.
Conversely, the Suns have been considerably worse ATS than their SU record, going just 19-31-2 vs. the number. Yes, they have had back-to-back 140-point games since the coaching change, but keep in mind that both of those games came against the lowly Los Angeles Clippers. They figure to get much more resistance from this pesky Oklahoma City team that has played hard all year.
The Thunder are already 2-0 ATS in their head-to-head meetings with the Suns this season, and we look for them to make it a hat trick here.
NBA Free Pick: Thunder +9 (-110) – Courtesy of LT Profits
UCLA vs. Washington Betting Odds & Picks – Courtesy of Bob Harvey
Free Pick: Washington +8.5 – Thu February 19th 2009 11:00p
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First a brief history lesson. Washington is 1-21 at Pauley Pavilion. Their only victory came three years ago. This could be the Huskies best chance since to beat the Bruins again.
Washington has won six of eight against UCLA including an 86-75 win on January 14th in Seattle. In that game Isiah Thomas dominated on the outside and Jon Brockman owned the paint. The Huskies also have extra incentive tonight. They lead the Pac Ten and a win tonight would virtually terminate the Bruins hopes for a fourth straight conference title.
Defense and rebounding have plagued UCLA this season. But those decencies were very noticeable in Arizona last weekend when the Bruins lost to both AU and ASU. They allowed the Arizona schools to shoot a combined 54 percent and were scorched by the Wildcats who layed a 49 spot on the Bruins in the first half!
UCLA has also been a dreadful rebounding team grabbing an average of 28 per game, second worst in the conference. And with Alfred Aboya slowed with the flu, UCLA could be in for another long night against Brockman and the Huskies.
Washington leads the Pac Ten with an average of 41 boards per game with Brockman pulling down 11 per game, more than twice what Aboya is averaging.
The Bruins haven’t lost three straight since ’05. But they’re staring straight down the barrel of another loss tonight. The points are an absolute gift. Washington should win this one outright. – Courtesy of Bob Harvey
Stanford vs. Oregon State Basketball Predictions
Free Pick: Stanford -4.0 (-110) – Thu February 19th ’09 10:00p
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The Oregon State Beavers went into Maples Pavilion a few days after Beavers coach Craig Robinson saw his brother-in-law Barack Obama inaugurated and upset the Stanford Cardinal 77-62. It is payback time tonight in Corvallis.
The Cardinal are coming off of a seven-point loss at California, missing the cover by a half-point. However, they have still been one of the better teams in the country against the spread, going a lucrative 14-7 ATS. This includes a fine 5-3, 62.5 percent road mark.
Now Stanford may be just 4-8 straight up inside the Pac-10, but they are ranked a respectable 48 in the Pomeroy Ratings, ranking 46 in adjusted offensive efficiency and 63 in adjusted defensive efficiency. Now they will no doubt be dragged into a deliberate style of play by Oregon State here, but the Cardinal have a very good effective field goal percentage of 52.4 percent, so the fewer possessions should not hurt them much.
The Beavers are obviously improved after being one of the very worst teams in the country last year, but they still appear outclassed here. They are rated 136 overall by Pomeroy, ranking 137 in offense and 151 in defense. This just goes to show that their upset road win at Stanford was a fluke, and a more focused Cardinal should have a rather easy time tonight.
Stanford gets their revenge in a big way in this spot.
College Basketball Free Pick: Stanford -4 (-110) – Courtesy of LT Profits
Buffalo Bulls vs. Bowling Green Falcons
Free Pick: Bowling Green +8.0 (-110) – Wed February 18th 2009 7:00p
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The Buffalo Bulls have quietly gone 17-6 straight up this season, but they have not been trustworthy favorites, and we again do not trust them laying this many points vs. the Bowling Green Falcons this evening.
The Bulls had a nine-game straight up winning streak snapped in a 53-51 loss at Ball State on Sunday, but despite that success on the court, Buffalo is still just 1-4 against the spread in the last five games.
And yes, the Bulls were favored on all five occasions. They failed to cover at home vs. the likes of Central Michigan and Toledo during this stretch, and this Bowling Green team is better than both of those clubs.
The Falcons are 14-10 SU and an excellent 13-8 ATS this season, and they too had a winning streak snapped (six games) last game in an upset loss to Eastern Michigan. Still, they are a nice 7-3 ATS on the road thus far, and they are only losing those road contests by an average of -4.0 points, well inside this rather inflated spread.
Look for a tight game from start to finish here.
College Basketball Prediction: Bowling Green +8 (-110)
Dallas Mavericks vs. New Jersey Nets
NBA Picks: Dallas Mavericks -7.0 – Wed February 18th 2009 8:35p
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The Mavericks play their first game since the All-Star break against a Nets team that has lost eight straight in the Big D.
Dallas would like to get the second half of their season jump started in a big way and it appears they’ve got just the right opponent to make it happen. The Mavs are 12-1 SU against the Nets in their last 13 meetings and have been numbers at home against Jersey. Dallas has won eight straight against New Jersey by an average of 15 ppg Those numbers are part of a solid homecourt advantage for Dirk Nowitzki and company. The Mavericks have won 10 of their last 12 games at home to improve to 17-8 on the year.
Dallas is just 8-17 ATS at home this season but a meeting with New Jersey should improve both their record against the number and straight up.
Michigan State vs. Purdue – February 17th 2009 7:00 PM EST
Free Pick: Purdue Boilermakers -2 1/2
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Purdue is 6-1 SU and ATS as a home favorite of 3 points or less or a pick last 3 years. Purdue is 33-14 ATS after a conference game the past 3 years. Purdue is 23-9 ATS last 3 years when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games. Purdue is allowing only 57.8 points per game overall and 53.7 points per game at home this year. Purdue is 2-0 SU and ATS at home vs Michigan State the last 3 years. Spartans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Tuesday games. Boilermakers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games. Boilermakers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite. Boilermakers are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Boilermakers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games as a home favorite of 0.5-6.5. Boilermakers are 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Boilermakers are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring less than 50 points in their previous game. Boilermakers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Boilermakers are 28-12-1 ATS in their last 41 vs. Big Ten. Favorite is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings. Spartans are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings. We’ll recommend a small play on Purdue tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
