Need winning 2009 Kentucky Derby Betting Picks & Predictions? Visit Touthouse.com for current 2009 Kentucky Derby odds and post positions. If you need the winning 2009 Kentucky Derby exacta picks or winning 2009 derby trifecta picks choose ATS consultants for your winning predictions for this year’s derby.

Below is a list of this year’s derby contenders with a small preview of each horses performance leading up to the Kentucky Derby.

1. West Side Bernie – Grade 3 winner as a freshman on Polytrack, the consistent three-year-old almost always fires and comes off a solid runner-up effort in the Wood Memorial S. (G1) for Kelly Breen. West Side Bernie hasn’t missed the board in four career outings on dirt, including a deceivingly good third in the Holy Bull S. (G3) in his 2009 debut, and the gritty three-year-old earned a 107 BRIS Speed rating in his last start. The colt’s pedigree is slanted toward speed, but his previous route attempts indicate that he will stay the 1 1/4 miles. West Side Bernie might be a cut below the best in here, but he’s an exotics threat if he finds room breaking from the rail under Stewart Elliot, the jockey of 2004 Derby victor Smarty Jones.

2. Musket Man – Once-beaten sophomore answered the two-turn question with a convincing score in the Illinois Derby (G2), winning for the fifth time in six tries. Musket Man has a questionable pedigree but continues to outrun it, and the Derek Ryan-trained colt has trained in fine fashion leading up to the Derby. Those who like the accomplished dark bay will receive a nice price at post. Eibar Coa will break from the two post in hopes of securing a clean trip aboard the underrated Musket Man

3. Mr. Hot Stuff – A full brother to dual Grade 1 hero Colonel John, Mr. Hot Stuff has improved steadily throughout the year and could be rounding into his best race with the added ground. The late-running Eoin Harty trainee has been solely a synthetic performer to date, and the WinStar homebred was third in the Santa Anita Derby (G1) and Sham S. (G3) in his last two. He’s another who will need a strong early tempo to aid his late rush, but the colt got a huge boost to secure jockey John Velazquez. Mr. Hot Stuff will be pretty far back early, but he should be able to save precious ground from his inside post and will look to rally strongly from off the pace.

4. Advice – Trained by Todd Pletcher, Advice was an impressive winner of the Lexington S. (G2) over Keeneland’s Polytrack in his latest showing to gain entry into this bulky field. The dark bay Florida-bred finished fifth in his lone dirt start and is bred for speed, but his half-mile drill over the Churchill main oval earlier in the week signals that the colt is thriving at this stage of his development. The three-year-old is one of three entered by WinStar Farm and could get a cozy rail trip breaking from post four. Rene Douglas will look to bag his first Derby trophy atop the late runner.

5. Hold Me Back – Lane’s End S. (G2) winner was a perfect-prep second in the Blue Grass S. (G1) in preparation of this for Hall of Fame trainer Bill Mott, and Hold Me Back could offer tremendous value as a prime threat – if he makes the transition to dirt. The visually impressive colt finished well back in his lone dirt try as a juvenile, but his trainer has chalked that up to inexperience and Hold Me Back has trained well at Churchill. He’ll be ridden by Kent Desormeaux, who took this race a year ago aboard Big Brown, and Kentucky-bred has looked good in his local preparation. The WinStar homebred seems perfectly spotted in the five hole.

6. Friesan Fire – This impressive colt is well drawn in post six, which should ensure Friesan Fire a trip close to the rail, possibly with or right behind the first flight. Trainer Larry Jones has finished second in the last two editions of the Run for the Roses and will look to break through before he retires at the end of the year. The son of A.P. Indy has great tactical speed, and while he’s never run longer than 1 1/16 miles, his pedigree and running style suggests that he’ll be ready for this trip. If the track has moisture in it, Friesan Fire may move up even more based on his tremendous Louisiana Derby (G2) romp in the slop. The Kentucky-bred has to be considered a huge threat under Gabriel Saez.

7. Papa Clem – Arkansas Derby (G2) winner Papa Clem is one of the many entries that began their career on the West Coast. Conditioned by Glen Stute, the fleet colt has very good early speed and showed that he can carry it a long way at Oaklawn Park most recently. The win contender has never been worse than second going two turns and retains West Coast king Rafael Bejarano for this journey. The dark bay is arguably the inside speed of the field, and Papa Clem may just clear this group leading into the first turn.

8. Mine that Bird – Mine That Bird was named Canadian champion two-year-old following wins in the Grey S. (Can-G3), Swynford S. and Silver Deputy S. at Woodbine, and he was sold to his current connections following those victories and is now based in New Mexico. Runner-up in the Borderland Derby two starts back, the colt exits a fourth in the Sunland Derby and will step up to face much steeper competition in the Kentucky Derby. He’s well-drawn in post eight, but Mine That Bird is a major outsider.

9. Join in the Dance – Todd Pletcher’s third entrant owns just one win to date, but Join in the Dance finished second in the Tampa Bay Derby (G3) and a decent fifth in the Blue Grass S. (G1). The Kentucky-bred has excellent early speed and should be prominently placed in the 20-horse contingent, but speed drew both to his inside and outside from the nine post. The colt is bred to be more of a miler and will need a career showing to put this group away in the lane at boxcar odds.

10. Regal Ransom – Regal Ransom upset stablemate Desert Party when capturing the U.A.E. Derby (UAE-G2) last out and has trained forwardly at Churchill Downs for his U.S. return. Alan Garcia will retain the mount on the Saeed bin Suroor trainee, and the dark bay colt figures to show speed from the start. Regal Ransom is a threat to fill the pacesetter’s roleset , and he’ll be forwardly placed regardless. The 10-furlong distance will be a major test, but he’s an intriguing play for the exotics at long odds

11. Chocolate Candy – Trainer Jerry Hollendorfer has thoroughly dominated the Northern California training ranks for more than two decades and would love nothing more than to make a big splash on the national scene with his best Derby contender to date, Chocolate Candy. The dark horse has never run a bad one at a route for and comes in off a strong runner-up effort in the Santa Anita Derby (G1). Winner of the El Camino Real Derby (G3) two back, the long-striding sophomore has faced the best out West and held his own. Chocolate Candy must answer the dirt question as he’s never raced on anything but synthetic, but the late runner will pick up Derby-winning jockey Mike Smith and has been training well at Churchill. He could get involved in the stretch.

12. General Quarters – The Thomas McCarthy owned/trained three-year-old is the Cinderella Story of the 2009 Triple Crown campaign as he’s the lone horse in the 72-year-old former Louisville principal’s stable. General Quarters stamped himself as a contender with a much-the-best victory in the Blue Grass S. (G1) in his last, and he appears to be thriving at Churchill. The 10-furlong trip is a big question for the gelding who will surely be a square price, but he’s proven himself on different surfaces and General Quarters got a dream draw in the 12 hole. The red-hot Julien Leparoux will be in the saddle.

13. I Want Revenge – Wood Memorial S. (G1) hero overcame a horrible start and traffic in the lane to storm home at Aqueduct, his second straight impressive showing since switching to dirt for conditioner Jeff Mullins. I Want Revenge is the deserving morning-line favorite and is bred top and bottom to excel at this lengthy trip, and a repeat of his last pair will make him a prime threat in the Kentucky Derby. The 19-year-old Joe Talamo will guide his first Derby runner but if his previous handling of the colt is any indication, he’ll handle the bulky field with ease. I Want Revenge is well-placed in the “lucky” 13 post position.

14. Atomic Rain – By one of the top sires in America, Smart Strike, Atomic Rain finished fourth in the Wood Memorial S. (G1) prior to this event. The Kelly Breen trainee was second in the Remsen S. (G2) as a juvenile but hasn’t won since his second career start. The bay is bred to run all day, however, and the colt put in a solid work leading up to this contest. Joe Bravo will get his second lifetime Derby mount atop Atomic Rain, who will very likely have smooth sailing early in the last slot of the regular gate, post 14

15. Dunkirk – No unraced two-year-old has won the Kentucky Derby (G1) since the 19th century, but this gray is surely special and could be the one to break that streak for Pletcher, who is winless with 21 prior Derby runners. Produced from Kentucky Oaks (G1) stalwart Secret Status (A.P. Indy), Dunkirk has made eye-popping moves in all three of his starts, including a big second in the Florida Derby (G1) in his last. The colt drilled a solid five-eighths at Palm Meadows last week and if he likes the Churchill oval, the Kentucky-bred looms as a surefire threat under Edgar Prado, who piloted Barbaro to a record-setting win just three years ago. Dunkirk will be closing from off the pace.

16. Pioneer of the Nile – King of the West, Pioneerof the Nile has won four straight since joining the Baffert barn and seems poised for a big showing on Derby Day. Well-bred colt has posted low BRIS Speed numbers and has never run on anything but synthetic and turf, but he often does just enough to win and could move up in a big way in his dirt debut. If the impressive bay handles conventional dirt oval, Pioneerof the Nile should be placed in midpack early prior to kicking in late and challenging for a top placing. The Zayat homebred is a live contencer with Garrett Gomez in the irons from slot 16.

17. Summer Bird – Chestnut colt came out of nowhere to finish a big third in the Arkansas Derby (G2) off of a maiden score for conditioner Tim Ice, who just began training this year. Summer Bird has earned huge BRIS Late Pace ratings in each of his three tries to date and should have further improvement in him as a lightly raced sophomore. The Kentucky-bred in the same situation as Dunkirk as an unraced juvenile hoping to buck a 126-year trend, but he should be able to handle the ten-furlong trip as he’s out of a mare by Summer Squall. However, the unproven Summer Bird will have to do so from the 17 slot under Cliff Rosier.

18. Nowhere to Hide – Nowhere to Hide was a surprise late addition following the defection of several other contenders. The bay colt has finished fourth in all three stakes starts, and the maiden winner will face a tough class check in the Derby from post 18. He is trained by two-time Derby winner Nick Zito, but Nowhere to Hide will be one of the longest shots in the field.

19. Desert Party – Winner of the Sanford S. (G2) at two, Desert Party opened his three-year-old campaign with a pair of impressive victories in Dubai for Godolphin. He came up a half-length short as the favorite in the U.A.E. Derby (UAE-G2), but the Saeed bin Suroor-trained colt gained valuable fitness and has trained great since arriving in America. He’ll break from post 19 with new jockey Ramon Dominguez, and Desert Party will look to settle in midpack before offering his best. He’s an attractive 15-1 on the morning line.

20. Flying Private – D. Wayne Lukas trainee earned his way into the Derby field with a runner-up finish in the Lane’s End S. (G2), but Flying Private will need to improve off a fifth in the Blue Grass S. (G1) last time to challenge. He’s stuck on the far outside (post 20) with new jockey Robby Albarado, and the maiden winner doesn’t own good BRIS Speed ratings. Lukas is a four-time Derby winner, though, and he always merits respect in the Run for the Roses.

- Previews Above Courtesy of KentuckyDerby .com
 

Need the Winning Exacta Picks or Winning Trifecta Picks for the 2009 Kentucky Derby?

Let ATS Consultants do the work for you. With over 20 years of picking horse winners for their clients, ATS is ready to put you on the winning side for the 2009 Kentucky Derby.

If you need current 2009 Kentucky Derby Post Positions or 2009 Kentucky Derby Betting Odds visit Touthouse.com

Two years ago, ATS nailed the 2007 Kentucky Derby winning exacta!! Street Sense/Hard Spun, $101.80. This year they will break the bank with a longshot winner and winning exacta. ATS Brass says it’s the most confident Derby selection in nearly 20 years! ATS has now won 7 of the last 16 Derby races and 22 of the last 39 Triple Crown Races!

Don’t miss the Race, speak to an account executive ASAP for details. Full cards are also available at tracks nationwide on Saturday and Sunday. Visit ATS for Winning Exacta and Trifecta Picks and tell them Touthouse.com sent you!!

How to Bet Exactas
The Exacta or perfecta is a bet made in horse racing to pick the first and second place horses in a race.  The exacta was the first “exotic” bet at most racetracks and today is the least exotic when compared to the trifecta, superfecta, pick 3, pick 4, and pick 6 wagers.

There are 3 types of exacta bets; the straight exacta, the exacta box, and the exacta wheel.  In a straight exacta you are picking the first and second place horses in a race and they must finish in exactly that order.  An example of a straight exacta bet would be a $2 exacta ( 5-7).  This means that the 5 horse must finish first and the 7 horse must finish second.  Any other outcome makes that bet a loser.  In the Exacta box you are covering both combinations, a $2 exacta box (5-7) would be a winner if the 5 finished first and the 7 second, or vice-versa, the 7 wins and the 5 places.  When you make a $2 exacta box with 2 horses you are really betting $4: a $2 (5-7) and a $2 (7-5).  You can box as many horses as you would like in an exacta, and the price of the bet will rise accordingly.  The more horses you cover in your exacta box, the more likely you are to hit your exacta but the payoff may not cover the cost of the bet.

In an exacta wheel, you are usually picking one horse to win and two or more horses to come in second.  A $2 exacta wheel 7 with 2,3,5 would cost $6 and would be a winner if the 7 won and either the 2, 3, or 5 came in second.

How to Bet Trifectas
The Trifecta or triple is a bet made in horse racing to pick the first, second, and third place horses in a race.  The trifecta is the second most popular “exotic” bet in horse racing behind the exacta.  The payouts for hitting the trifecta can be astronomical.  The trifecta in the 2005 Kentucky Derby (Giacomo – Closing Argument – Afleet Alex) paid a whopping $133,000 on a $2 bet.

There are three types of trifecta bets; the straight trifecta, the trifecta box, and the trifecta wheel.  In a straight trifecta you are picking the 1st, 2nd, and 3rd place finishers in a race and they must finish in exactly that order.  An example of a straight trifecta bet would be a $2 trifecta ( 3-5-8).  This means that the 3 horse must finish first, the 5 horse must finish second, and the 8 horse must finish in third – any other result and you can tear up your ticket.  It takes a bold and confident handicapper to make a straight trifecta wager.  In the Trifecta box you are covering all possible combinations of your 3 or more horses.  A $2 trifecta box using (3,5,8) would cost $12 because there are 6 combinations of (3,5,8) coming in – 3,5,8 / 3,8,5 / 5,3,8 / 5,8,3 / 8,3,5 / 8,5,4.  If you add another horse to your trifecta box (3,5,8,1) you will have 24 combinations and your $2 box will cost $48 ($2 X 24 combinations).  A quick way to figure out the cost of a trifecta box is to take the number of horses you wish to include, for example 5, and multiply 5x4x3 which would be 60, and then multiply that by the type of bet you want to make – $2 x 60 = $120.  For 6 horses the cost would be 6x5x4 which would be 120 combinations x $2 or a $240 bet.  As you can see, the more horses you add to your box, the higher the cost.  You do not want to spend $240 boxing the top 6 favorites and have the trifecta pay $22.50 with an even money favorite in first and an 8:5 second choice in the place spot

Orlando Magic vs. Philadelphia 76ers
Free Pick: Philadelphia 76ers -5.5 (-110)
Thu April 30th 2009 7:35p – NBA Odds
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The Magic are in deep trouble before the ball is even tossed in the air for Game 6 without Howard and starting G Courtney Lee (fractured sinus). Howard’s right elbow has cost the Magic any chance they will have in this contest. Magic F Rashard Lewis will have to pick up the slack if Orlando is to have any chance in this game. Lewis is averaging 17.2 PPG in this series and must step up even more for the Magic in Game 6. Orlando managed to win Game 5 91-78 to cover their first spread in this series and improve to 1-4 ATS. The Magic are just 2-9 ATS in their L/11 games overall and have not scored over 100 points in their L/12 contests.

The Sixers were lucky Howard threw that elbow, without that Game 6 may be a formality in the other direction. Philadelphia was doing fine in the first three games of this series, but has fizzled in the L/2 contests. Sixers G Andre Iguodala has made his squad a formidable challenge for the Magic in these NBA playoffs. “The other AI” has averaged 21.8 PPG in this series including his series high 29 points in a Game 3 win over the Magic. The Sixers are 4-10-1 ATS in their L/15 games played on a Thursday.

In Game 6 NBA bettors can expect to see the Sixers cover another spread in this series as the Magic simply will not have enough fire power to compete. Orlando will be forced to start either Tony Battie or Marcin Gortat at center and Mickael Pietrus or J.J. Redick at the off-guard position. Philadelphia will hold serve on Thursday night and expect to see Howard and Lee back in Game 7.

San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
MLB Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers
April 30 2009 10:10PM – MLB Odds
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The Dodgers are 6-0 at home this year. San Diego bullpen has a 5.35 ERA on the road this season. LA Dodgers are scoring 5.7 runs per game overall, 8.3 runs per game at home and 5.7 runs per game against right handed starters this year. Dodgers batting average at home is a whopping .367 as a team. LA Dodgers bullpen has been good with a 3.41 ERA overall and a 3.37 ERA at home this year. We’ll recommend a small play on the LA Dodgers tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

Rocketman Sports is documented as smooth 67% in the NBA playoffs this year. Rocketman is coming off yet another winner last night with the Boston Red Sox in MLB. Rocketman is a perfect 100% with all premium selections so far this week! Rocketman has two 3* NBA plays for Thursday guaranteed to win or you don’t pay!

Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays u9.0 (-120)
Thu April 30 2009 7:05p – baseball odds
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The Boston Red Sox and Tampa Bay Rays opened this season with a three-game series in Fenway Park, and none of those games exceeded a combined nine runs scored. Look for more of the same tonight.

Josh Beckett is coming off of his worst start of the year, as he was absolutely lit up by the New York Yankees for eight earned runs and10 hits in just five innings in a wild 16-11 Red Sox win last Saturday. That outing alone has skewed his numbers, so his current 6.00 ERA and 1.62 WHIP are quite deceptive.

Becket had a 3.79 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP going into that debacle, and we expect him to return to that kind of form here. After all, he has allowed exactly one earned run in five of his eight starts vs. the Rays since the start of last season, and exactly two earned runs in another one. One of those one-run efforts came on Opening Day this year, when he allowed only two hits while recording 10 strikeouts in seven innings.

Very similarly, Matt Garza has had just one bad start out of four starts so far, but that bad outing has skewed his numbers. Garza has a 4.97 ERA and 1.30 WHIP overall, which is not terrible considering that includes his start vs. the White Sox on April 19, where he allowed seven earned runs and 11 baserunners in 5.2 innings. Garza has pitched great vs. Boston, allowing exactly one run in each of his last three starts against them while allowing just 12 hits in 20 innings.

So look for both hurlers to pitch at there normal levels tonight, which is bad news for the two offenses.

MLB Free Pick: Red Sox, Rays Under 9 (-120)

Chicago Blackhawks vs. Vancouver Canucks o5.0 (-110)
Thu April 30th 2009 9:05p – Click here for NHL Odds
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Its safe to say the Vancouver Canucks and the visiting Chicago Blackhawks do not like each other very much. That was evident the last time these teams met a month ago, when both sides looked like they were practicing for girl on girl wrestling cage match. There was biting , scratching and even some hair pulling and body slams. It was downright ugly , and should make for a nasty looking physical affair tonight. With that said, the officials will want to make sure that this series, does not get out of hand from the get go, which will make them very diligent early with penalty calls. With both teams showing viable scoring options on the PP, and both sides displaying less than stellar power play killing units this season, I am betting on a few more goals than expected going on the scoreboard , which will result in this total getting eclipsed. It must be noted that Chicago & Vancouver PPK units ranks in the lower half of the league….. Play OVER

New Orleans Hornets vs. Denver Nuggets
Free Playoff Betting Pick: Denver Nuggets -10.5 (-110)
Wed April 29 2009 10:35p – NBA Playoffs Odds
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The Hornets appear to be a squad dead in the water and ready for the off-season. New Orleans has been taken out to the woodshed in three of the four games played so far in this series. Hornets G Chris Paul is their only chance to win tonight and possibly move on to round two. Paul has averaged 17.8 PPG which is five below his regular season average of 22.8 PPG. The Hornets are 1-3 ATS in the series and they weren?t even close to covering the spreads in the three losses. New Orleans lost Games 1 and 2 in Denver by an average score of 111-88.

The Nuggets are in cake walk mode after another spanking of the Hornets in Game 4. The only setback Denver has suffered in this series was a narrow 95-93 loss in Game 3 at New Orleans. Denver G Chauncey Billups has been the difference maker since joining the Nuggets in a blockbuster trade which involved Allen Iverson going to the Detroit Pistons. Billups has averaged 25 PPG, 6.5 APG, and 3.8 RPG in this series and has shown no signs of slowing down at the ripe age of 32.

There really aren?t anymore stats or ATS figures needed to predict that the Nuggets are going to dominate this contest. People say 10.5-points are a lot to cover and they?re right, but not tonight. Expect to see ?Mr. Big Shot? take Denver into the second round in a rout of the hapless Hornets.

Article courtesy of Ted Sevransky, An award winning professional baseball betting expert featured on Touthouse.com. If you are betting on baseball this season be sure to visit Touthouse.com for all of Ted’s expert baseball betting picks

I’ve gotten off to a ridiculously hot start this baseball season, 27-8 with my first 35 guaranteed selections; up more than 60 units of profit in the first three weeks of the campaign. I’ve gotten off to hot starts in baseball before, but this season opening streak has been truly special, with multiple extended winning streaks in April action.

I don’t have any magic formula to explain my early season baseball success. I’m not doing anything differently than I was last year or in previous seasons. I’m still concentrating on three basic types of wagers. MLB totals have always been my bread and butter, the single easiest aspect of baseball betting to beat long term, in my mind. Those totals are 11-2 to open up the season.

I’ve done well picking short favorites in the last few years, and April 2009 has been no exception. The wiseguy laden betting marketplace has a tendency to overvalue the short underdogs on the card. These sharp bettors look at the plus price in a game they consider to be a virtual pick ‘em and jump on the underdog. I’ve found good reasons for the favorites to be favored in many of these games, consistently finding value with some of the short favorites on the card. I’m 8-4 supporting favorites of -140 or less; the vast majority of those games in the -110 to -120 range.

The third type of wager that I’ve been able to cash with on a consistent basis in early season baseball is the short underdog. I’ve bet ten underdogs in April baseball and cashed eight out of those ten tickets, with prices as high as +160. Most of my underdog bets have come against teams and pitchers that I consider to be overpriced early in the season.

I cashed repeatedly betting against the LA Angels as a favorite. I’ve gone against the Phillies Cole Hamels, the Indians Fausto Carmona and the Mets John Maine as favorites as they have struggled here in April. And I’ve been able to back some improving teams at short underdog prices, cashing tickets with the Cardinals, Twins, Rangers, Mariners and Royals.

None of this is rocket science. Perhaps my single greatest strength this year betting April baseball has been my ability to focus on the teams and pitchers that I’ve been able to read well. I’m not trying to beat every game on the board, or to have a good read on every pitcher and every bullpen in the league on a nightly basis.

When I sit down every evening to do my preliminary baseball work, I’m narrowing down my card quickly and easily. I take a quick five or ten minute look at every game; then concentrate on the matchups that stand out to me. By eliminating my lesser opinions quickly, it allows me more time and energy to seriously focus on the games that I’m looking to get involved with a wager.

I haven’t made a bet in a Reds, Marlins, Braves or Nationals game yet this season, and I’ve only made one bet all year in games involving the White Sox, Brewers and Mets. Having success in baseball does not require a great read on every team or every pitcher. By finding and focusing on the teams and pitchers that are doing what I expect them to do on a nightly basis, I’ve been cashing repeatedly for myself and my clients.

Chicago Blackhawks vs. Vancouver Canucks
Prediction: Vancouver Canucks
May 1st 2009 10:00PM – NHL Odds
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While the Hawks are certainly capable and worthy of our respect, I feel that Vancouver is likely to win this series.

After sweeping the Blues, the Canucks have had an extra long layoff. That can work both ways. On one hand, it can cause a little bit of early “rust.” On the other hand, it allows players some time to recover from any nagging bumps and bruises.

I expect the Canucks, who were as impressive as any team in the first round, to use the added rest to their advantage. They’re an outstanding 15-2 their last 17 home games (4-0 L4) and I look for them to start things off with a victory. Consider Vancouver for the game and the series.

Ben Burns only bet one one NBA game yesterday, a 91-78 winner on Orlando. Now 91-68 his L159 NBA releases, Ben is also UNDEFEATED in the Atlanta/Miami series. Today, he serves up the “correct call” from Game 5. It’s his latest MAIN EVENT. If you liked last Wednesday’s double-digit winner on the Magic ‘under,’ you’ll LOVE this BEAUTY!

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Kansas City Royals u7.5 (100)
Wed Apr 29 ’09 8:10p – MLB Baseball Odds
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Zack Greinke looks like an early Cy Young candidate for the Kansas City Royals this season, while Brian Tallet has looked good in his two starts for the Toronto Blue Jays, so the offenses should struggle at Kauffman Stadium tonight.

Grienke has been perfect in terms of earned runs this season, as he has not allowed one in four starts covering 29 innings. In fact, going back to last season, he has now gone six consecutive starts and 43 consecutive innings. To show just how dominant Greinke has been this season, in addition to his 0.00 ERA, he has allowed only 25 baserunners (0.86 WHIP) while recording 36 strikeouts (1.24 per inning)!

Not to be lost in all the Greinke hype here is the fact that Tallet has pitched well in both of his starts since entering the starting rotation. He has allowed a grand total of one earned run in 11 innings in his two starts, and he now owns a 2.95 ERA and 1.09 WHIP for the season when combined with his work out of the bullpen.

Sure, he is filling the rotation spot of Jesse Litsch, but a few more starts like his first two and it may be hard to remove Tallet from the rotation. Tallet is also left-handed, so he should gave success facing a Royals lineup that is hitting a modest .244 vs. southpaws and has never faced him before.

Combined with the fact that he is facing Greinke and that both bullpens are in the top 10 in the majors in ERA, the Under seems like the obvious call here.

MLB Free Pick: Blue Jays, Royals Under 7.5 (+100)