The Atlanta Braves beat the Colorado Rockies 4-1 here in the altitude last night, and we are looking for a similarly low scoring game tonight.
Jason Marquis is going to the All-Star Game for the Rockies, as he is 11-5 with a 3.61 ERA and 1.30 WHIP, impressive numbers when you consider how high his home stadium is. In fact, Marquis has a 3.72 ERA here at Coors Field, suggesting that his overall ERA would be closer to 3.00 if he pitched at sea level. Marquis also comes into this game in peak form, as he has tossed 17 scoreless innings in his last two starts while allowing a total of just nine hits.
Now Jair Jurrjens may be just 6-7 for the Braves, but his key numbers are actually better than those of Marquis. Jurrjens has an excellent 2.91 ERA and 1.26 WHIP, but he has gotten very little run support and that does not figure to change tonight. He has also owned the Rockies, as he allowed one run and just three hits in seven innings in his only start against Colorado this season after hurling 7.2 scoreless innings the last time he pitched here at Coors last year.
Finally, the Under is 13-6-1 in the last 20 starts Jurrjens has made on grass, as well as 26-8 in the last 34 Rockies games overall.
MLB Free Pick: Braves, Rockies Under 9.5 (-115)