Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangers
Free Prediction: Texas Rangers (-130 betting odds)
Mon July 27th 2009 8:05p
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The Detroit Tigers played last night and looked asleep at the wheel in a 5-1 loss to the Chicago White Sox. Now after traveling half way across the country to Texas to play the Rangers in Arlington, I’m betting they stay in a state of slumber.

The Rangers starting pitcher Tommy Hunter (2-1, 2.17 ERA) is currently in top form and is off six strong innings where he allowed one earned run on Tuesday against the Red Sox for his second Major League win. It was his third quality start of the season. He has gone 2-1 with a 1.52 ERA over his last four starts to lower his ERA to 2.16 . The young righty has been his best at home this season where he owns a 2.74 ERA with a 2-1 record . More of the same good work is on tonights agenda vs a Tigers team that is hitting just .241 in this L/7 games and has batted well below the Mendoza line on the road this year.

Meanwhile, his pitching opponent Armondo Galarraga (5-8, 4.82 ERA) has been a fairly consistent cog in his teams pitching rotation, this season, but despite of some recent top notch efforts has still had a hard time securing wins because of his teams lack of run support. Galarraga’s team is just 2-11 in night games this season, where he has been at his worst this season as is evident by a bloated 5.24 ERA, which is not a good omen vs a Texas team that plays their best at home behind a consistent offense that has averaged 5.4 RPG via a .271 BA.

Final notes & Key Trends: Detroit is 2-12 vs. strong base running teams like the Rangers averaging 0.85 or more stolen bases per game over the last few seasons. The Tigers are 5-16 as a road underdog of +100 to +150 this season.Tigers are 0-8 in Galarragas last 8 starts as a road underdog.Rangers are 21-9 in their last 30 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Play on the Texas Rangers

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OVER 10.5 Kansas City Royals/Baltimore Orioles:
A battle of really bad lefties tonight at Oriole Park at Camden Yards between the Royals and Orioles. There is virtually nothing to get excited about in this series except the fact that the Orioles will be calling up their top pitching prospect, Chris Tillman to pitch on Wednesday. Back to tonight, Bruce Chen (0-5, 6.58) goes for KC. Chen has been abysmal as you can see by his numbers. I don’t really know how they can justify sending him out there every fifth day until I see. Baltimore will counter with Rich Hill (3-3, 7.64), who for some reason keeps hanging on in the Baltimore rotation. He’s allowed 64 hits while walking 37 in just 55 innings. He’s been particularly abysmal in his last 5 outings, with an ERA of 11.00 in 18 combined innings. This should be his last chance with the Orioles.

UNDER 7 Pittsburgh Pirates/ San Francisco Giants:
Cy Young winner Tim Lincecum (10-3, 2.45) is well on his way to contending for a second straight Cy Young award and tonight he should have an easy time with the struggling Pirates offense. Lincecum should be extra motivated tonight as he’s coming off of his worst outing of 2009 last week against the Braves. He allowed 4 runs in just 5 innings of work in the loss. Even with that effort, he’s 2-1 with a 2.93 ERA in his last 5 starts. He faced the Pirates on July 17, and gave up 1 run in 7 innings pitched. He was outdueled that night by tonight’s opponent, Paul Maholm, who pitched 8 shutout innings that night. By the way, the Giants won that game 2-1 in extra innings. We expect more of the same tonight with these two pitchers dueling all night.

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Full Monday of action today with a few really good games, highlighted in the AL by the Rays/Yankees matchup in Tampa. AJ Burnett takes on James Shields in what should be a great one. In the NL, the feature game is at Wrigley with Wandy Rodriguez going against Carlos Zambrano.

MLB Baseball Betting Odds: July 27th 2009
Click Here for Current MLB Baseball Odds

Date # Team Money Spread Total
07/27/09 151 Padres(SanDiego)Geer +159 +1.5 (-140) Over 10 (even)
19:10 ET 152 Reds(Cincinnati)Bailey -169 -1.5 (+120) Under 10 (-120)

07/27/09 153 Rockies(Colorado)Jimenez -155 -1.5 (-105) Over 8.5 (-120)
19:10 ET 154 Mets(NY)Perez +145 +1.5 (-115) Under 8.5 (even)

07/27/09 155 Nationals(Washington)Stammen +147 +1.5 (-145) Over 9.5 (-115)
20:05 ET 156 Brewers(Milwaukee)Suppan -157 -1.5 (+125) Under 9.5 (-105)

07/27/09 157 Astros(Houston)Rodriguez +138 +1.5 (-160)
20:05 ET 158 Cubs(Chicago)Zambrano -148 -1.5 (+140)

07/27/09 159 Dodgers(LA)Wolf +150 +1.5 (-150) Over 7.5 (-115)
19:10 ET 160 Cardinals(StLouis)Carpenter -160 -1.5 (+130) Under 7.5 (-105)

07/27/09 161 Phillies(Philadelphia)Moyer -112 -1.5 (+140) Over 10 (-125)
21:40 ET 162 Diamondbacks(Arizona)Garland +102 +1.5 (-160) Under 10 (+105)

07/27/09 163 Pirates(Pittsburgh)Maholm +215 +1.5 Over 7 (-105)
22:15 ET 164 Giants(SanFrancisco)Lincecum -250 -1.5 Under 7 (-115)

07/27/09 165 Yankees(NewYork)Burnett -110 -1.5 (+145) Over 9 (even)
19:05 ET 166 Rays(TampaBay)Shields even +1.5 (-165) Under 9 (-120)

07/27/09 167 Royals(KansasCity)Chen +143 +1.5 (-150) Over 10.5 (even)
19:05 ET 168 Orioles(Baltimore)Hill -153 -1.5 (+130) Under 10.5 (-120)

07/27/09 169 Athletics(Oakland)Cahill +250 +1.5 (+130) Over 8.5 (-120)
19:10 ET 170 RedSox(Boston)Beckett -330 -1.5 (-150) Under 8.5 (even)

07/27/09 171 Tigers(Detroit)Galarraga +125 +1.5 (-160) Over 10 (even)
20:05 ET 172 Rangers(Texas)Hunter -135 -1.5 (+140) Under 10 (-120)

07/27/09 173 WhiteSox(Chicago)Danks -106 +1.5 (-220) Over 9 (-120)
20:10 ET 174 Twins(Minnesota)Perkins -104 -1.5 (+180) Under 9 (even)

07/27/09 175 Indians(Cleveland)Pavano +140 +1.5 (-150) Over 10 (-115)
22:05 ET 176 Angels(LAA)Saunders -150 -1.5 (+130) Under 10 (-105)

07/27/09 177 BlueJays(Toronto)Romero +156 +1.5 (-145) Over 7.5 (+110)
22:10 ET 178 Mariners(Seattle)Hernandez -166 -1.5 (+125) Under 7.5 (-130)

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New York Yankees vs. Oakland Athletics
Free Prediction: New York Yankees -1.5 (+125 betting odds)
Sun July 26th 2009 1:05p
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The New York Yankees had their eight-game winning streak snapped by the Oakland Athletics here at Yankee Stadium yesterday, but we look for the Bronx Bombers to begin a new streak in emphatic fashion today.

After all, the Yankees are still averaging 5.55 runs per game in their new home, while the light hitting Athletics are averaging only 3.92 runs per game on the road. Now Oakland starter Dallas Braden actually own a nice 3.40 ERA in 124.1 innings, but he has rarely faced an offense as potent as this.

The last time he faced a hot offense, he was lit up for six runs and 10 hits by the LA Angels two starts back. He will find pitching in this hitter-friendly park far more difficult than pitching in the spacious McAfee Coliseum in Oakland that he calls home.

Granted, Sergio Mitre is a bit of an unknown in the American League, but he did have some nice moment for the Florida Marlins in the National League and he did pitch respectably in his Yankee debut, allowing just three earned runs in 5.2 innings of a 6-4 win over the Baltimore Orioles. Mitre can be tough his first time through the AL, and he is facing an Oakland lineup that is hitting only .246 on the road for the entire season.

Look for the Yankees to bounce back strong from that loss yesterday, giving Mitre enough run support to come away with the Run Line victory at a decent price.

MLB Free Pick: Yankees -1.5 (+125) 
 

Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels
Free Pick: Los Angeles Angels (-136)
Sun July 26th 2009 3:35p
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Get the brooms ready for the Angels who are going to finish off a four-game sweep of the Twins at the Big A.

Does anyone need any convincing about how good this Angel team is? The Halo’s started the season without injured pitchers John Lackey and Ervin Santana. There was the tragic loss of rookie Nick Adenhart and the season ending injury to set-up man Scott Shields. The Angels are presently without Tori Hunter and Vlad Guerrero who are both on the DL. Juan Rivera hasn’t played for week and on and on it goes. With all that adversity the Angels are still kicking butts and taking names. They’ve won eight in a row, nine of their last ten and 12 of their past 13. In those 13 games the Angels have been without Hunter and Guerrero and have actually picked up the pace. They’ve scored 100 runs (7.7 per game) and are batting .326 as a team with double-digit hit totals in nine of those 13. The Angels have made things look easy. They’re batting .401 with runners in scoring position over the past 13 games.

The Twins are reeling. After Saturday’s 11-5 loss, a game in which the Angels scored nine-runs in the fourth, Minnesota has lost five of the six games on their west coast and they’ve been outscored 39-14 during their four-game losing streak. Right now the Twins and for that matter the American League can’t slow down this Angel jugggernaut.

Not that pitching has made much of a difference in this series, for either team, but Ervin Santana will go for Anaheim whil rookie Anthony Swarzak goes for the Twins. Santana, who is struggling to regain his all-star form of a year ago, is 3-5 on the year with an sky high ERA of 6.79. Swarzak comes in with a 2-3 ledger and a 4.15 ERA.

The Angels have abused Twins pitching in this series. Minnesota’s starters, relievers and even closer Joe Nathan have all struggled leaving manager Ron Gardenhire scratching his head.

The way the Angels are hitting right now it’s tough to imagine anyone this side of Toronto being able to shut them down. That’s why there going to get the nod (again) in the series finale.

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OVER 9.5 Baltimore Orioles/Boston Red Sox:
The Red Sox dominance over the Orioles has continued this weekend as the Sox have won the first two, although the O’s were in both games. I expect the same today, with the Orioles being able to put up some runs against aging John Smoltz. Smoltz (1-3, 6.31) has really struggled since his return to the majors, his first season in the American League. He’s only started 5 games, but has yet to make it past the sixth inning. This puts a bit more pressure on the Boston bullpen, which had been dominant through mid June, but has been a bit shaky more recently. The Orioles should at least be able to put up 6 runs or so this afternoon. Baltimore counters with rookie David Hernandez (2-2, 3.55), who has done a really nice job in his first season in the bigs. He’s been up and down from the minors a few times, but looks like he’ll stick this time around. He pitched brilliantly against the Yankees on Tuesday night, allowing 1 run in 6 innings.

OVER 9.5 Texas Rangers/Kansas City Royals:
Why is Sidney Ponson still employed in the major leagues? He’s 1-6 with a 7.63 ERA, but that doesn’t even tell the whole story. His last 5 starts, he’s 0-2 with a 12.71 ERA. Terrible, just terrible. I can’t figure out how he still has a job, but as long as he does, we’ll keep betting against him. Meanwhile, Kevin Milwood and the Rangers have had a turnaround season (9-7, 3.44). He hasn’t been great lately, pitching to a 6.44 ERA his last 5 starts, so the offense will have to keep the pressure on Ponson, which should not be a problem.

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Weekend series wrap up today with not many good matchups. One to look at is the game at Dodger Stadium as Chris Volstad and the Marlins take on Jason Schmidt and the Dodgers. This has been a closely contested series so far with each team taking one game.

MLB Baseball Betting Odds: July 26th 2009
Click Here for Current MLB Baseball Odds

Date # Team Money Spread Total
07/26/09 401 Cardinals(StLouis)Wellemeyer +145 +1.5 (-145) Over 10 (-115)
13:35 ET 402 Phillies(Philadelphia)Blanton -155 -1.5 (+125) Under 10 (-105)

07/26/09 403 Padres(SanDiego)Gaudin +132 +1.5 (-165) Over 8.5 (-115)
13:35 ET 404 Nationals(Washington)Lannan -142 -1.5 (+145) Under 8.5 (-105)

07/26/09 405 Mets(NY)Hernandez +132 +1.5 (-165) Over 9 (-115)
14:05 ET 406 Astros(Houston)Moehler -142 -1.5 (+145) Under 9 (-105)

07/26/09 407 Braves(Atlanta)Lowe -116 -1.5 (+135) Over 8.5 (-125)
14:05 ET 408 Brewers(Milwaukee)Looper +106 +1.5 (-155) Under 8.5 (+105)

07/26/09 409 Reds(Cincinnati)Owings +185
14:20 ET 410 Cubs(Chicago)Harden -200

07/26/09 411 Giants(SanFrancisco)Sadowski +190 +1.5 (-115) Over 9 (-115)
15:10 ET 412 Rockies(Colorado)Cook -210 -1.5 (-105) Under 9 (-105)

07/26/09 413 Pirates(Pittsburgh)Vasquez +170 +1.5 (-135) Over 9 (-125)
16:10 ET 414 Diamondbacks(Arizona)Scherzer -180 -1.5 (+115) Under 9 (+105)

07/26/09 415 Marlins(Florida)Volstad +119 +1.5 (-180) Over 9 (-120)
16:10 ET 416 Dodgers(LA)Schmidt -129 -1.5 (+160) Under 9 (even)

07/26/09 417 Rays(TampaBay)Niemann -109 -1.5 (+155) Over 9 (+105)
13:05 ET 418 BlueJays(Toronto)Cecil -101 +1.5 (-175) Under 9 (-125)

07/26/09 419 WhiteSox(Chicago)Richard +130 +1.5 (-165) Over 9.5 (-105)
20:05 ET 420 Tigers(Detroit)Porcello -140 -1.5 (+145) Under 9.5 (-115)

07/26/09 421 Athletics(Oakland)Braden +157 +1.5 (-135) Over 10 (even)
13:05 ET 422 Yankees(NewYork)Mitre -167 -1.5 (+115) Under 10 (-120)

07/26/09 423 Orioles(Baltimore)DHernandez +167 +1.5 (-125) Over 10 (-105)
13:35 ET 424 RedSox(Boston)Smoltz -177 -1.5 (+105) Under 10 (-115)

07/26/09 425 Rangers(Texas)Millwood -150 -1.5 (+105) Over 9.5 (-105)
14:10 ET 426 Royals(KansasCity)Ponson +140 +1.5 (-125) Under 9.5 (-115)

07/26/09 429 Twins(Minnesota)Swarzak +131 +1.5 (-160) Over 10 (-115)
15:35 ET 430 Angels(LAA)Santana -141 -1.5 (+140) Under 10 (-105)

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