The Georgia Bulldogs with a 3-1 record (18) host the 4-0 LSU Tigers(4) in a key SEC tilt this Saturday afternoon. Les Miles side despite of a perfect record has not looked that impressive this season ( at least to me), and almost lost to Mississippi State last week by a 30-26 count. Meanwhile, the Dawgs after starting their season with a lack luster loss at Oklahoma State have won 3 straight, and look to be moving in the right direction because of a offense that is starting to finally click, now averaging 30.8 PPG. Last week Georgia took out a pretty good Arizona State squad by a 20-17 score, and are capable of an upset effort here in this spot. The bottom line: Georgia’s D, has been suspect this season, but LSU’s offense has been less than consistent , so being able to take advantage of the Dawgs, vulnerabilities are far from certain. When two respected fairly evenly matched conference programs go head to head, a closely contested affair that favors the team playing in front of its owns fans a viable bet at a FG or less. Final notes & Key Trends: Georgia has won 3 straight meetings and 6 of the L/8. LSU is 0-9 ATS after winning 3 or more straight contests SU. The Tigers are also 7-21 ATS in their 29 conference games, and have failed to cover 5 of their L/6 as 3 point dogs or less……..Play on Georgia
Coming back with the Twins here as I believe they are the more resilient team. After being shut down by power pitcher Verlander they managed 4 runs late and a run in the bottom of the ninth to fall 6-5. They fought back all game, and this is the type of team you want your money on in all situations at this time of year. They simply believe. This will be their biggest game of the year when they face Eddie Boninne on the other side.
Carl Pavano will make the start for the Twins and he’s made 5 starts vs. the Tigers. Tigers are 0-5 when they face Pavano this year. Pavano has a 1.70 ERA against them allowing 34 hits and only 1 BB in 37.1 IP. Also he has not given up a single HR, and the cold weather kept a lot of balls in the ball park last night expect the same to happen tonight. Tigers are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. RH starters at home. They were able to get a win in last night against the LHP Duesning who is inexperienced in moments like this much like MR. Bonine will be tonight.
Bonnine is a good control pitcher with an average fastball along with a knuckle and knuckle curve. He’s pitched well, but this spot light is just too large for him and I don’t think he’ll have the confidence as he has struggled vs. the Twins before. EArlier this year he lasted 2.2 IP giving up 7 hits, 2 walks and 2 ER. The damage could have been much worse. I think Pavano at -113 in this situation is a steal!
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UNDER 10 Milwaukee/Colorado:
The Rockies are closing in on the Wild Card spot, leading the Braves now by 3 games as we hit the final days. Tonight, they’ll send Jason Hammel to the mound against Milwaukee’s Jeff Suppan.
Hammel (9-8, 4.30) has been a nice surprise since being acquired from the Rays. Not much was expected of him coming into the season, but it looks like he’ll be a key member of the Rox playoff rotation. He’s 1-1 with a 3.86 ERA in his last 5 starts.
Suppan (7-11, 5.04) is having a typical Suppan like season. Up and down, a lot of innings pitched, not a lot of strikeouts. He’s 1-3 with a 4.34 ERA in his last 5 starts. Expect him to keep it close tonight, and see if the Rockies can win late like they did on Tuesday.
Important Note: ATS Football weekend kicks off tonight with a battle between Louisiana Tech and Hawaii. We won double digit units last week in Football and we are going to do it again! Call 1-800-772-1287 and enroll now!
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Here is a rundown of today’s baseball betting odds and MLB lines from ATS Consultants for September 30th 2009. If you are looking for free MLB baseball betting picks on a daily basis be sure to sign-up for the ATS newsletter, featuring unmatched sports wagering information, free picks and expert analysis.
The AL Central race is right back where we started yesterday with the Tigers leading the Twins by 2 games after yesterday’s doubleheader split. Tonight, game 3 is a HUGE one, it’ll be Carl Pavano for Minnesota and Eddie Bonine for Detroit. Over in the NL, Colorado now leads Atlanta by 3 in the Wild Card race. The Rockies will host the Brewers (Suppan vs. Hammel), while the Braves will host the Marlins (Nolasco vs. Vazquez).
MLB Baseball Betting Odds: September 30th 2009
Click here for current MLB baseball odds
Date # Team Money Spread Total
09/29/09 351 Astros(Houston)Lopez +250 +1.5 (+120) Over 9.5 (-105)
19:05 ET 352 Phillies(Philadelphia)Happ -320 -1.5 (-140) Under 9.5 (-115)
09/29/09 353 Mets(NY)Pelfrey even +1.5 (-220) Over 9 (-120)
19:05 ET 354 Nationals(Washington)Martin -110 -1.5 (+180) Under 9 (even)
09/29/09 355 Marlins(Florida)Johnson +112 +1.5 (-200) Over 8 (even)
19:10 ET 356 Braves(Atlanta)Hudson -122 -1.5 (+170) Under 8 (-120)
09/29/09 357 Cardinals(StLouis)Pineiro -122 -1.5 (+135) Over 8.5 (-105)
19:10 ET 358 Reds(Cincinnati)Bailey +112 +1.5 (-155) Under 8.5 (-115)
09/29/09 359 Pirates(Pittsburgh)Hart +220 +1.5 (+105) Over 8 (-115)
20:05 ET 360 Cubs(Chicago)Dempster -260 -1.5 (-125) Under 8 (-105)
09/29/09 361 Brewers(Milwaukee)Narveson +153 +1.5 (-145) Over 9.5 (-105)
20:40 ET 362 Rockies(Colorado)Marquis -163 -1.5 (+125) Under 9.5 (-115)
09/29/09 363 Dodgers(LA)Billingsley -157 -1.5 (even) Over 8 (-105)
22:05 ET 364 Padres(SanDiego)Ramos +147 +1.5 (-120) Under 8 (-115)
09/29/09 365 Diamondbacks(Arizona)DDavis +126 +1.5 (-175) Over 8 (-115)
22:15 ET 366 Giants(SanFrancisco)Sanchez -136 -1.5 (+155) Under 8 (-105)
09/29/09 367 Orioles(Baltimore)Guthrie +182 +1.5 (-120) Over 9 (-120)
19:05 ET 368 Rays(TampaBay)WDavis -195 -1.5 (even) Under 9 (even)
09/29/09 369 2Twins(Minnesota)Duensing +153 +1.5 (-145) Over 8 (-115)
19:05 ET 370 2Tigers(Detroit)Verlander -163 -1.5 (+125) Under 8 (-105)
09/29/09 371 WhiteSox(Chicago)Torres +110 +1.5 (-190) Over 9.5
19:05 ET 372 Indians(Cleveland)Masterson -120 -1.5 (+165) Under 9.5
09/29/09 373 Royals(KansasCity)Lerew +205 +1.5 (-105) Over 9.5 (-120)
19:05 ET 374 Yankees(NewYork)Burnett -230 -1.5 (-115) Under 9.5 (even)
09/29/09 375 BlueJays(Toronto)Romero +205 +1.5 (-105) Over 9 (-120)
19:10 ET 376 RedSox(Boston)Buchholz -230 -1.5 (-115) Under 9 (even)
09/29/09 377 Rangers(Texas)Feldman +120 +1.5 (-170) Over 8.5 (-120)
22:05 ET 378 Angels(LAA)Kazmir -130 -1.5 (+150) Under 8.5 (even)
09/29/09 379 Athletics(Oakland)Cahill +190 +1.5 (-115) Over 7.5 (+105)
22:10 ET 380 Mariners(Seattle)Hernandez -210 -1.5 (-105) Under 7.5 (-125)
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Hawaii vs. Louisiana Tech
On Wednesday evening, the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs and the Hawaii Warriors start their WAC conference games. This is the third straight away game for Hawaii, the first since dropping a game to UNLV by a score of 34-33. Before that Hawaii, beat Washington State by a score of 38-20 and also started this season with a 25-20 win against Central Arkansas at home in Hawaii. As for LA Tech, they were beat by both the Auburn Tigers and Navy Midshipmen on the road to start this year, losing by a combined score of 69-27, but the squad followed those lossed with a 48-13 win against Nicholls State. The Warriors lead the series with the Bulldogs by a record of 6-1, thanks to a 24-14 victory in last year’s game.
The current betting odds/lines for this game has Louisiana Tech set as a 5 point favorite against Hawaii with the games over/under sitting at 55 total points.
Hawaii vs. Louisiana Tech Betting Trends:
Warriors are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Warriors are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Warriors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Bulldogs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games.
Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf.
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Houston as they face Philadelphia set to start at 7:05 EST. Supporting this graded play are numerous angles supporting Houston and working against Philadelphia. Note that Houston is 11-5 (+9.2 Units) against the money line versus excellent fielding teams averaging <=0.5 errors/game in the second half of the season this season; 23-15 (+16.8 Units) against the money line versus NL teams scoring 4.8 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Houston starter Moehler has been solid posting a 12-5 (+12.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a good team sporting a win percentage of over the last 2 seasons. Phillies are just 5-11 (-13.0 Units) against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season this season; 9-13 (-15.8 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -175 to -250 this season. Tke the Astros.
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CIN -5.5: The Bengals are coming off the best win this franchise has had in over 3 years. Old Bengals teams would be ripe for a let down but all these young players are hungry to prove themselves. The defense in Cincinnati is a top 10 defense that really does not have a weakness. On offense they aren’t nearly as explosive for big plays but are very dependable. On the other hand the Browns are a joke. Ok a joke doesn’t say enough. This team can’t stop anyone on defense and offensively they just aren’t talented. QB change this week to Anderson will prove to everyone that it doesn’t matter the QB they just don’t have enough talent. This one will not be close as Brown’s play there way into a huge 0-4 hole. SCORE CIN 27 – CLE 16
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