Chicago Bears vs. Cincinnati Bengals
Free NFL Pick: Cincinnati Bengals Pk -110 odds – point spreads
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1.) The Bengals clearly had a letdown last week after beating the Ravens on the road the previous week, and now they return home very focused Sunday to beat the Chicago Bears. Chicago is just 1-2 on the road this season, and their only win came against the Seattle Seahawks who were playing without starting QB Matt Hasselbeck. Even then they needed to come from behind in the 4th quarter to win. The Bears are now 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.

2.) The Bengals are 10-2 ATS after allowing 350 or more passing yards in their last game since 1992. After a very poor defensive showing against Houston, look for Cincinnati to get back to playing great defensive football this Sunday, the kind they played through their first 5 games. Carson Palmer and this balanced offense will get back on track as well. The Bengals are rushing for 113 yards/game and 4.2 yards/carry and they should be able to move the ball on the ground again behind Cedric Benson. Cincinnati is the more complete team right now, largely because the Bears have been bitten by the injury bug again this season. Bet the Bengals at home.

Here is a rundown of today’s NFL football betting lines & point spreads from ATS Consultants for October 25th 2009. If you are looking for free NFL football betting picks on a daily basis be sure to sign-up for the ATS newsletter, featuring unmatched sports wagering information, free picks and expert analysis.

Week 7 of the NFL season today, with a few solid matchups. The best game of the day will take place in Pittbsurgh with the unbeaten Vikings coming to town to take on the defending World Champs. Can Brett Favre lead the Vikes to a 7-0 start? Sunday night’s game should be a good one as well with Arizona coming to the Meadowlands to take on the Giants. Good luck and enjoy!

NFL football betting lines & point spreads: October 25th 2009
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Date # Team Money Spread Total
10/25/09 413 Chargers(SanDiego) -240 -5.5 Over 44
13:05 ET 414 Chiefs(KansasCity) +200 +5.5 Under 44

10/25/09 415 Colts(Indianapolis) -950 -14 Over 45
13:05 ET 416 Rams(StLouis) +675 +14 Under 45

10/25/09 417 Bears(Chicago) OFF 0 Over 42.5
16:20 ET 418 Bengals(Cincinnati) OFF 0 Under 42.5

10/25/09 419 Packers(GreenBay) -400 -9 Over 41
13:05 ET 420 Browns(Cleveland) +320 +9 Under 41

10/25/09 421 Vikings(Minnesota) +230 +6 Over 46
13:05 ET 422 Steelers(Pittsburgh) -270 -6 Under 46

10/25/09 423 Patriots(NewEngland)(N) OFF -15 Over 44.5
13:05 ET 424 Buccaneers(TampaBay)(N) OFF +15 Under 44.5

10/25/09 425 49ers(SanFrancisco) +140 +3 (even) Over 44
13:05 ET 426 Texans(Houston) -160 -3 (-120) Under 44

10/25/09 427 Jets(NewYork) -280 -6 Over 34.5
16:10 ET 428 Raiders(Oakland) +240 +6 Under 34.5

10/25/09 429 Bills(Buffalo) +250 +7 Over 37
16:10 ET 430 Panthers(Carolina) -300 -7 Under 37

10/25/09 431 Saints(NewOrleans) -260 -6.5 Over 47.5
16:20 ET 432 Dolphins(Miami) +220 +6.5 Under 47.5

10/25/09 433 Falcons(Atlanta) +190 +4.5 Over 47.5
16:20 ET 434 Cowboys(Dallas) -230 -4.5 Under 47.5

10/25/09 435 Cardinals(Arizona) +250 +7 Over 46
20:25 ET 436 Giants(NewYork) -300 -7 Under 46

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Minnesota Vikings vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Free NFL Pick: Minnesota +6 -110 odds – point spreads
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The betting marketplace isn’t showing much respect for the Vikings this week, as money continues to pour in on the Steelers, driving the line up from -4 to the current number of -6. Sure, Minnesota has been on the lucky side to get to 6-0, surviving a missed field goal from the Ravens last week and winning on a miracle Brett Favre touchdown pass in the closing seconds against San Francisco.

Still, the Vikings offense has been nearly unstoppable, the second highest scoring team in the league, producing at least 27 points in every game. The Vikings have been money in the bank on the highway, winning all three of their road games by at least two touchdowns.

With Adrian Peterson upgraded to probable (ankle), the Steelers defense is going to have a hard time slowing down Minnesota’s balanced attack. This is the best offense they’ve seen all year and the Steelers are playing without one of their best defensive linemen, the injured Aaron Smith. Troy Polamalu is still less than 100% despite his return to the lineup.

Pittsburgh has been a money burner since opening day, covering only one pointspread in six tries this season. They’ve been dominating the statistical battle, winning ‘yards per play’ in every game; but those dominating stats haven’t resulted in pointspread success. Even in their Super Bowl season last year, the Steelers only won half of their home games by a TD or more. Look for Minnesota to trade points with Pittsburgh right through the final gun, making them an attractive choice in this pointspread range. 2* Take Minnesota.

Miami vs. Clemson
Free Pick: Clemson +4.5 (-110 odds)
Sat October 24th 2009 3:30p
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There was talk of the Miami Hurricanes actually being in the national title picture until they suffered their only loss vs. Virginia Tech, but we never held them in such high regard and we would not be shocked if the Hurricanes suffer their second loss today vs. the Clemson Tigers.

Clemson may be 3-3, but all three of there losses have been by four points or less and they have actually been playing better defense than Miami has, allowing only 15.3 points and 270.2 yards per game. The Tigers have been stout vs. both the run (3.0 yards per carry) and the pass (5.6 yards per attempt).

They did have their worst performance of the season three weeks ago with an inexplicable 24-21 loss to lowly Maryland, but that was followed by a bye week during which they probably worked out a lot of kinks. We say this because they rebounded with their best game of the year last week, a 38-3 demolition over Wake Forest in which they outgained the Demon Deacons 382 yards to 178. This is a talented club that can beat anyone on any given day.

Miami began the year 2-0 before getting crushed 31-7 by the Hokies. Now, they have won three straight games since then, but all of those wins have come vs. non-conference opponents including two lightweights in Florida A&M and Central Florida the last two games. Yes, the streak began with a 21-20 upset of Oklahoma, but keep in mind the Sooners were without Sam Bradford and playing with a young quarterback making his first career road start.

Yes, the Canes still deserve credit for that win, but the last two victories are no big deal and we actually feel playing those two cream puffs hurts their conditioning coming into this matchup with a hot quality opponent.

We will gladly take more than a field goal here in a game that should go down to the final gun, with an upset not beyond the realm of possibility.

CFB Free Pick: Clemson +4.5 (-110)

Penn State vs. Michigan
Free Pick: Michigan +4.5 -110 odds – point spreads
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I’ll fade Penn State in their first true road test of the season against a Michigan team that takes pride in whipping them. The Wolverines have won 9 of the last 10 meetings against the Nittany Lions before getting crushed 46-17 last year at State College. Michigan is 7-3 ATS in those 10 games. Michigan will be out for blood in this one and it will have the Big House behind it where the Wolverines are 5-0 SU and 3-1 ATS this season. The only test Penn State has had is Iowa at home and the Lions were dominated by double digits in that game. Michigan played that same Iowa team on the road to a 2-point game. In other words, Michigan should not be catching this many points at home. Penn St. is 0-6 ATS vs. very good offensive teams scoring 34 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons and 0-6 ATS off 2 consecutive home wins by 14 points or more over the last 3 seasons. The Wolverines are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0 while the Nittany Lions are 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0. I’ll take the points.

Arizona State vs. Stanford
Free Pick: Stanford -6.5 -110 odds – point spreads
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Stanford at home has been money in the bank the last couple seasons and you especially have to like the Cardinal at home Saturday when you consider that they are hungry for a win off back-to-back conference losses. Stanford has the better team in this matchup this season and it will also be out for revenge after getting mopped up by ASU each of the last 3 seasons. Stanford is 8-0 ATS in home games over the last 2 seasons, winning by an average score of 33 to 19.1. ASU is 1-10 ATS in road games off 2 straight wins against conference rivals since 1992, losing by an average score of 20.1 to 35.5. The Sun Devils are also 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0 points and the home team is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings. Lay the points with Stanford.

New England Patriots vs. Tampa Bay Bucs
Free Pick: New England -14.5 -110 odds – point spreads
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New England is coming off a dominating performance last Sunday at home in the snow against Tennessee. The question raised is New England really back or is Tennessee just that bad? I think it is a little bit of both but a victory like that can go a long way in restoring confidence to a team that was severely lacking. The Patriots head to London to try and keep that momentum going and even though it is against arguably the worst team in the NFL, they have a bye next week so there will be no chance of a letdown or a lookahead. New England needed that win last week following a brutal loss to Denver in overtime. Following the bye week, the Patriots have two divisional home games sandwiched around a road game at Indianapolis so they cannot afford to slip up here. The Buccaneers came closer to a win again last week at home against Carolina but they lost in the final seconds to drop to 0-6 on the year. For the sixth straight time, they were outgained by the opposition and most importantly, they were outrushed by 143 yards which was the third time this season they have been outgained on the ground by at least that many yards. For the season, Tampa Bay is allowing 171.7 ypg which is second to last in the NFL and that probably is not going to get better here. With the Patriots shorthanded at wide receiver, there could be plenty of opportunities for the running game to get going against Tampa Bay. The Buccaneers have played the 28th ranked schedule in the NFL so they are not only losing but losing to bad teams including Buffalo and Washington on the road. After the performance last week, the Patriots moved to fourth in the NFL with 404.7 ypg and while the 59 points skewed the points scored, they are averaging 27.2 ppg, sixth in the league and they have scored 25 or more points in four of their six games. To no surprise, all of those games resulted in wins. Quarterback Tom Brady looked really good last week and definitely played his best game of the season. He missed open receivers and left a lot of plays on the field and his big problem was missing those receivers deep. Tampa Bay is allowing 199 ypg through the air which is 11th in the NFL and while that may seem solid, it is an illusion. Teams have not had to pass very much because of either big leads or having too much success running the ball. Teams have thrown against Tampa Bay only 148 times which is third fewest in the league and there are problems with that. The Buccaneers are allowing 8.5 ypa which is the worst in the NFL and that is a truer indication of how the pass defense is performing. Also, they are allowing quarterbacks to post an average passer rating of 101.0 which is third worst in the league so you can bet Brady will be licking his chops and come through with another huge game. The travel time and time difference could have a significant impact on the teams and the Patriots are already at an advantage. They were scheduled to arrive in London on Friday morning, while the Bucs were slated to land Friday night and that 12 hours can make a world of difference. There is one big situation that is favoring New England this weekend. Play on favorites of 6.5 to 15 points that have a bye the following week. This simple yet solid situation is 25-8 ATS (75.8 percent) since 2002 with the average score differential being +18.6 ppg. The Patriots are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games after rushing for more than 175 yards last game and hey are also 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games away from home after allowing fewer than 200 yards last game so have been able to carry that success over. 3* New England Patriots

Matt Fargo had a WINNING NFL Week 6 as he went a SOLID 4-2 ATS (66.7%) with his Premium Reports! He has shown a profit in each of the last three weeks and four of the last five while bringing home +34.9 Units over that stretch! He is releasing a HUGE 10* DIVISIONAL GAME OF THE YEAR Sunday and his 10* Plays are a NEAR PERFECT 6-1 ATS! The streak is extended in a big way!