NFL Football Betting: Patriots vs. Bucs Pick & Odds: October 25th 2009
New England Patriots vs. Tampa Bay Bucs
Free NFL Pick: Tampa Bay +15.5 -110 NFL odds
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Ai Simulator 5* graded play on Tampa Bay as they face New England set to start at 1:00 EST in London, England. AiS shows a 75% probability that TB will lose this game by 14 or fewer points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 79-45 over the past 10 seasons. Play against any team outgaining their opponents by 50 or more yards/game and after allowing 200 or less total yards in their previous game. NE is again having a strong season and they are doing quite well in the turnover margin category ranking tied for 2nd best in the league and 1st in the AFC at +8. The turnover category tends to ebb and flow throughout the season and the following angle confirms that contrarian fact. Note that TB is a solid 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) against teams with a turnover margin of +1 per game or better since 1992. TB is also in a solid series of situations for this game. They are 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1992; 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) after being outrushed by 100 or more yards last game since 1992. I strongly believe that you will see greater use of RB Ward in the TB offensive plans. Williams is having a nice season after coming back from his 2nd patella tendon injury, but Ward is a far better receiver and at least as good a runner as Williams. The biggest matchup advantage for TB is with TE Winslow as he will be matched up against S McGowan. Using Ward in high percentage ball control pass plays and then looking for Winslow isolated against McGowan will provide first year starting QB Josh Johnson with solid opportunities to take yet another step forward in his NFL development. Take Tampa Bay.
John Ryan is a solid 8-3 ATS with his 10* and top rated 15* Titan plays this season. The only promotion you need to know is that this play grades among the TOP-25 STRONGEST PLAYS EVER PRODUCED BY HIS RESEARCH SPANNING 16 YEARS. Join him and unload with confidence.



