2010 BCS National Championship Game
Texas vs. Alabama
Free Pick: Texas +4.5 -110 odds
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At last, we have 2 undefeated teams ranked at #1 and #2 in the Title Bowl game. It’s nice to see the top two rated teams fighting it out for the National Championship. Between these two teams, they are 26-0 TY. This is Alabama’s 3rd BCS Bowl game(0-2 SU and ATS) but their first trip to the BCS Title game while Texas has played in 3 BCS games (3-0 SU and 1-2 ATS) with a BCS Title win in 2005 over #1 USC, 41-38, as a 7 point underdog. Understand that the oddsmakers are posting a line due to Alabama’s shredding of Florida along with Texas’ close call over Nebraska. The general public has moved this game up even more. My line shows Alabama to be a 3 point fav. However the Tide lost LB Dont’a Hightower and WR Michael Bowman. That combo would bring my line down to a -2. The Longhorn’s have the better passing team led by QB Colt McCoy who has 27 TD’s, 3512 YP, and a 70.5% completion rate. No doubtedly, McCoy will look for his top target in Jordan Shipley who has 6 100+ yard receiving games TY. When Alabama is on offense, the name of their game is Heisman winner RB Mark Ingram who set an SEC record with 8 100+ yard games. The Texas “D” is allowing a mere 15.2 PPG and have only gave up more than 20 once this season. The ‘Bama “D” is tops in the nation giving up just 11 PPG. The biggest contrast bewteen thses two teams is the Special Teams. Texas has the best ST unit in the country. They have 7 returns for a TD this year. Their Kicker, Lawrence has the best foot in the nation. On both sides of ST’s, Texas has the edge. On returns, they are deadly and will have much better field postion due to the better kicker. Alabam has never beaten Texas, going 0-7-1 and being outscored by an average of 16-8 in 5 Bowl meetings. HC Saban is 4-6 SU on Bowls and HC Brown is 12-6 SU in Bowl games. Brown beat Saban 35-20 in the 02′ Cotton Bowl when Saban was with LSU. Since 04′ Texas is 5-0 SU in Bowl action. The team that makes the least mistakes with the best field position and special teams wins. This game will be settled by less than a TD. Take Texas plus the points. Thank you.

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