2010 Liberty Bowl: Arkansas vs. East Carolina
Free Pick: Over 63 points -110 odds
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I have uncovered a system I can’t refuse in this one. Plays Over on all teams where the total is greater than or equal to 63, Arkansas in this case, in a game involving two average teams (within +/- 50 yards per game of their opponents) after 7+ games, in non-conference games, are 26-6 ATS the last 10 seasons. The average posted total in these games is 67.8 and the average combined score if 78.7. With the way both of these offenses performed down the home stretch of the regular season, I’m expecting a high scoring shootout here. Take the Over for 1 Unit.

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