2010 NIT Championship Game: North Carolina vs. Dayton
Free Pick: Under 139 -110 odds (Jeff Alexander)
System Play – plays Under on neutral court teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (DAYTON) after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, against an opponent that has successfully covered the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, are 52-26 the last 5 seasons. We are only seeing an average of 132.4 points scored in these contests. Dayton has been very strong defensively this season and UNC has struggled against good defensive teams. As a result, UNC is 7-1 UNDER versus good defensive teams allowing <=64 points/game, after 15+ games, this season, and we are only seeing 134.9 points on average in these spots. Take the Under.

Free Pick: North Carolina +3 -110 odds (Rocky Atkinson)
Any time North Carolina don’t make the Big Dance it is a disappointing season for them. They decided to take on the NIT challenge this year and Roy Williams and company has made it to the Championship game here tonight. North Carolina is 54-5 SU and 35-17 ATS the past 3 years in non-conference games. North Carolina is 26-4 SU and 19-8 ATS last 3 years in tournament games. Tar Heels are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win. Tar Heels are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Atlantic 10. Tar Heels are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games. Tar Heels are 46-19 ATS in their last 65 non-conference games. Flyers are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 Thursday games. Flyers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games. We’ll recommend a small play on North Carolina tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

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