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Archive for May, 2010

Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals Odds & Pick: May 29th 2010

Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals
Free Pick: Boston Red Sox -132 odds
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Clay Buchholz has been the Red Sox most steady starter all season. With 2 straight losses to open this series with Kansas City, I look for Buchholz and his teammates to come out very motivated tonight to put a halt to this brief losing streak. Certainly, it is human nature for a team to let up like the Red Sox have in this series after the tear they went on leading up to it. Boston won 8 of 9 games against the likes of the Yankees, Twins, Phillies and Rays heading into this series with Kansas City. But after the Royals won the first 2 games, I have no doubt K.C. has gotten their attention Saturday.

Buchholz is 6-3 with a 3.07 ERA this year and 3-0 with a 1.77 ERA in his last 3 outings. Zach Greinke is no longer the same dominant pitcher he was a year ago en route to winning the Cy Young award. That was clear when he gave up 8 runs, 7 earned, and 9 hits in 3.1 innings in his last start, a 7-11 loss to the Texas Rangers. In fact, the Royals are just 2-8 in Greinke’s 10 starts this season. Greinke gave up 4 earned runs on 8 hits and 2 home runs in a 3-8 loss to the Red Sox back on April 10th earlier this season.

The Red Sox have gone 9-0 in their last 9 games with a total set in the 7.0 to 8.5 range. Boston is 6-0 in Buchholz’s last 6 starts against American League central foes, and 32-9 in their last 41 home games against the AL Central overall. The Red Sox are 57-22 in their last 79 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Boston gets back to business and takes care of the Royals tonight. Bet the Red Sox.

New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Indians Odds & Pick: May 29th 2010

New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Indians
Free Pick: New York Yankees -1.5 -139 odds
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This is almost as easy as it gets Saturday with C.C. Sabathia on the mound facing his former team. Sabathia did get to face his former mates twice last season, posting a 2.84 ERA while allowing just 4 earned runs in 12.2 innings and striking out 12. Sabathia is 2-0 at home this season, posting a 1.29 ERA and 0.857 WHIP in 3 starts. Cleveland is really hurting right now with injuries that have led to poor play offensively. The Indians are hitting .248 and scoring 3.8 runs/game this season. The Yankees are 14-6 at home this season, hitting .301 and scoring 6.3 runs/game. The Yankees will certainly get their bats going today against Indians’ starter David Huff, who is 2-6 with a 5.25 ERA and 1.542 WHIP in 8 starts this year. Huff is 0-5 with a 6.11 ERA and 1.786 WHIP on the road, and the Indians have lost all 5 of his road starts by 2 runs or more. Look for a similar result to the 8-2 beating the Yankees put on the Indians last night. Take the Yankees on the Run Line.

MLB Predictions: Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds Odds: May 28th 2010

Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds
Free Pick: Houston Astros +114 odds
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3* graded play on the Houston Astros as they take on the Cincinnati Reds set to start at 7:05 EST. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that the Astros will win this game. Wandy is far better than his season stats and records would otherwise reflect. he has allowed a 242 BA to the current members of the Reds in their respective careers spanning 132 AB. Reds starter Sam LeCure is making his MLB debut and is taking the spot opened by Home Bailey being sent to the DL with shoulder issues. LeCure did very well at AAA Louisville, but this is now the MLB and all of the hitters at this level can hit extremely well. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 71-39 making 37.2 units since 1997. Play on road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 and are poor NL offensive teams scoring <=4.1 runs/game starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest and now facing a team with a below average bullpen sporting an ERA>=4.50. Reds are also ina poor spot noting they are just 109-149 (-58.6 Units) against the money line in home games after allowing 2 runs or less since 1997. Take the Astros.

MLB Betting Lines: Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres Pick: May 28th 2010

Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres
Free Pick: Washington Nationals +142 odds
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We are only just over a quarter of the way into the season but the fact that Washington is still sitting at .500 is very impressive. The Nationals did not win their 24th game until July 4th of last season which just shows the incredible turnaround that is taking place. As mentioned, it is early but Washington is just three games back in the Wild Card standings and while it means little at this point, it does mean we are getting a solid price with a solid team. The Padres may be an even bigger surprise as they are leading the National League West by two games over the Dodgers. They had their four-game winning streak snapped last night by the Cardinals as the offense was once again shutdown. San Diego fifth worst in baseball in average, ninth worst in on-base percentage, fourth worst in slugging percentage and ninth lowest in runs scored. San Diego is not going to win many games with that anemic offense and so far it has been the pitching that has carried it. For how long though? Clayton Richard is a name few know about but he is having a very solid season since coming over in the Jake Peavy deal. Richard has a 2.73 ERA on the season as he has allowed three runs or fewer in all nine of his starts. That is exceptional but what has been unexceptional is his 1.36 WHIP. He has been allowing a lot of baserunners but he has been fortunate to not get into more trouble. He goes up against John Lannan who has been up and down so far this year. Only three of his nine starts have been quality outings but looking at the opposition tells the story. Two-thirds of his starts have come against teams ranked in the top half of baseball in average so he has been victimized by bad scheduling. He was great in his first two full seasons in 2008 and 2009 and he is much better than what his numbers may show. Those numbers are getting better and he now faces a poor offense and one that he has posted a 3.12 ERA in four career starts against. 3* Washington Nationals

MLB Betting Odds: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves Pick: May 28th 2010

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves
Free MLB Pick: Atlanta Braves -170 betting odds
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The Braves are currently playing much better baseball than the Pirates. They’ve won two in a row and seven of their last nine. On the other hand, Pittsburgh has lost two straight and six of their last eight. The Braves should enjoy an advantage this evening.

Atlanta is the better hitting ballclub. The Braves are averaging 4.7 runs per game, including 5.3 here at home. Conversely, the Pirates are averaging 3.3 runs per game, 3.4 on the road. They’re also averaging a mere 3.1 runs per game vs. right-handed starters, hitting only .231.

The Pirates’ relievers have a 4.70 ERA on the season. The Braves’ relievers have a 3.48 ERA on the season. That includes a 2.48 ERA (1.054 WHIP) here at home.

Duke comes off back to back very strong starts and has admittedly been pitching well lately. He’s still got a 5.87 ERA on the road though. More importantly, the Pirates are a dismal 3-15 his last 18 road starts.

Lowe’s stats for the season aren’t that great. He’s been solid lately though, going 2-1 with a 3.50 ERA his last three starts. He should be happy to see Pittsburgh. He’s made eight starts against the Pirates and has gone a perfect 8-0 with a stellar 2.96 ERA. His teams have won those games by a combined score of 62-28. Consider laying the wood.

MLB Betting Predictions for May 28th 2010

Below are free MLB betting predictions for May 28th 2010 from Touthouse.com handicappers. If you are looking for free MLB baseball picks on a daily basis or premium picks from our MLB baseball betting experts visit Touthouse.com each day.

MLB Prediction: Diamondbacks vs. Giants Under 7.5 (Bryan Leonard)
We’re looking for a low scoring affair here as both starting pitchers should hold significant advantages. Edwin Jackson has a 21 to 2 strikeout to walk ratio in his last two starts as he is finally pitching up to his potential with the Diamondbacks. He has faced San Francisco once in his career throwing six shutout innings against this foe. San Francisco has scored just 13 total runs in their last six ball games. Matt Cain owns a 2.51 ERA in his last seven starts. He has allowed two earned runs or less in 6 of those 7 outings. Looking back to when Cain faces a team that hits more ground balls than fly balls his starts have gone under 55 of 82 occurrences. Arizona has scored just 11 runs in their last four games and that offensive production isn’t likely to get any better tonight.
PLAY UNDER

MLB Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies +116 (Jimmy Boyd)
After getting swept by the Mets while not managing a single run, expect the Phillies to be extremely motivated and focused heading into tonight’s game. Winning in Florida hasn’t been much of a problem for Philly as it is 9-2 in its last 11 road games with the Marlins. It’s also hard to refuse Philly at this price when you consider it is a perfect 5-0 in its last 5 games as an underdog of +110 to +150 and 8-3 in its last 11 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150. Kendrick has been up and down for the Phillies, but it is worth noting that they are 10-2 in his last 12 starts when he has 5 days of rest and 15-5 in his last 20 series opening starts. Meanwhile, the Marlins are 3-10 in Volstads last 13 starts, 2-8 in his last 10 series opening starts and 2-9 in his last 11 starts with 5 days of rest. We’ll take the Phillies at a nice price.

Week 9 Arena Football Picks & Odds: Winning Week 9 AFL Picks from Mike Rose

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Tampa Bay Storm vs. Orlando Predators 8:00 ET (Week 9 Preview from Mike Rose)
Bet: Click here to bet on this game | Odds: Click here for current odds

The “War on I-4″ will be televised nationally on NFL Network as the Week 9 AFL Game of the Week, and Arena Football betting fans surely aren’t going to want to miss any of the action of this one! Both of these teams enter this week with identical 3-3 records. The loser will be sitting in the gutter in the Southern Division and could fall 3.5 games behind the Jacksonville Sharks right at the halfway point of the season.

Tampa Bay enjoyed its bye in Week 8. The Storm have alternated wins and losses every step of the way in 2010, and are coming off a 48-44 victory at Bossier City on May 15th. This is the second road game in a string of four out of five on the road for Tampa Bay. QB Brett Dietz is having yet another strong season under the direction of HC Tim Marcum. Dietz has completed 65.4 percent of his passes for 1,961 yards and 41 TDs against six picks. His leading receiver is WR Tyrone Timmons, who has 52 catches for 604 yards and 17 tuddies. Tampa Bay has either allowed 60+ points or held its opponent under 50 in every game this season.

After a woeful 0-3 start to the season both SU and ATS, the Predators have rallied back with three straight wins and covers. The most impressive of those three came last week at home against the Milwaukee Iron. WR Bobby Sippio made his debut in black and red and came up with the biggest play of the season for the Preds, hauling in a 40 yard touchdown pass with just a handful of seconds on the clock to give them the 58-54 outright win as lofty 9.5-point underdogs. Sippio had six catches for 88 yards and a pair of scores. WR TT Toliver is having an amazing season for Orlando, as he has 56 catches for 699 yards and ten TDs on the year. QB Nick Hill only has 26 passing touchdowns overall, but he is completing a league best 69.0 percent of his passes and has seven rushing scores to boot.

Tampa Bay swept the Predators in 2008 when these two teams last met, posting a 71-61 win at the St. Pete Times Forum as 3.5-point chalk and scoring a 48-41 outright victory in “The Jungle” as 5.5-point underdogs. Orlando opened up as a 1.5 point favorite in Week 9 AFL betting action, but has slipped to one-point underdogs at the time of this article’s publication.

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MLB Baseball Picks & Predictions for May 28th 2010

Below are free MLB picks and baseball predictions for May 28th 2010 from Touthouse.com handicappers. If you are looking for free MLB baseball picks on a daily basis or premium picks from our MLB baseball betting experts visit Touthouse.com each day.

Free Pick: San Diego Padres -147 (Craig Trapp)
The two biggest surpises in the National League square off tonight. But only SD is coming off a positive as they took 2 of 3 against STL in the last series. WASH has lost 9 of last 13 and are really struggling. Clayton Richard goes for Padres as he tries for a fifth consecutive victory. The left-hander, who’s 4-0 with a 1.97 ERA in his last five starts, allowed one run in seven innings for the second straight appearance in a 2-1 win at Seattle on Saturday. He will be opposed by Lannan who has been good in his last three but had not got a decision in any three starts. Lannan is 0-2 with a 3.12 ERA in four starts against the Padres. As all SD games this will be low scoring but SD is on a tear and will pull out another close one.

Free Pick: Royals vs. Red Sox Under 9.5 (Jim Feist)
Kansas City has a weak offense, ranked 9th in the AL in runs scored. They swing at a lot of pitches outside the strike zone, which is bad against Boston starter Tim Wakfield and his floating knuckeball. Wakefield should not have come out of the rotation, as he is in one of those grooves, with a 2.08 ERA his last 21 innings, just 4 walks. Boston has a fine defense and deep bullpen. KC starter Kyle Davies has been decent, with a 2.65 ERA his last three starts, just 2 walks in those 17 innings. That’s key against a Boston lineup that would prefer to draw walks, but Davies isn’t allowing any. Look for a pitcher’s duel, play the Royals/Red Sox Under the total.

New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds & Pick: May 28th 2010

New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Free MLB Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -110 odds
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On Friday the free play is on the Milwaukee Brewers. Game 960 at 8:10 eastern. The Brewers fit a 71% system that pertains to their home win vs Houston and the Mets Home dog win over the Phillies. The Brewers are on eof the worst home teams in the league. Tonight, however they take on a Mets team that is just 6-14 on the road. New York may come up flat here tonight off their incredible 3 straight shutouts over the Phillies. The first time in history that a league champion was shut out in 3 straight games, and the first time this has happened to the Phillies since 1979. Santana makes the start for the Mets. However he has struggled some on the road this year with a 4.38 era losing 3 of 4 starts. He has allowed 8 runs in 12 innings vs the Brewers in Milwaukee. The Brewers counter with Y.Gallardo tonight. Gallardo has allowed just 1 run in 13 innings vs the Mets. Look for the Brewers to get game 1 tonight. In the NBA I have a 5* 92% NBA System that will get the cash. Phoenix cashed us out on Thursday. In MLB Action I have a 22-1 MLB Blowout play. Jump on and cash out. For the free play take Milwaukee. RV

Texas Rangers vs. Minnesota Twins Odds & Pick: May 28th 2010

Texas Rangers vs. Minnesota Twins
Free MLB Pick: Minnesota Twins -128 odds
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We’re getting a good price with the Twins at home Friday as a slim home favorite over the Texas Rangers. In his last road start, Rangers’ starter Colby Lewis allowed 5 earned runs on 3 hits, 4 walks and 1 home run in 5.2 innings of a 2-5 loss to the Blue Jays. Lewis has started to come back to reality of late after overachieving to start the season. Kevin Slowey doesn’t have overpowering stuff for the Twins, but he just continues getting the job done witha 5-3 record and 4.53 ERA this season. The Twins are 10-1 in Slowey’s last 11 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150. Slowey has faced the Rangers once in his career, allowing 1 earned run and 4 hits in 6 innings while striking out 7 of a 5-4 Twins’ victory. Slowey’s biggest strength is his ability to find the strike zone and not give away free passes. He is certainly finding the strike zone of late, allowing just 1 walk total in his last 2 starts. Slowey is 13-1 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in home games after walking <=1 hitters each of his last 2 outings since 1997, and his teams are winning these spots by 3.8 runs/game. Twins’ players love playing defense behind Slowey because he keeps the game moving along at a nice pace. Minnesota is 18-5 (+13.5 Units) against the money line in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better over the last 3 seasons. The Rangers are 0-8 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning record and 1-7 in Lewis’ last 8 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. It’s safe to say this is not a good spot for the Rangers.