Below are MLB baseball betting picks for June 20th 2010 from Touthouse.com handicappers. If you are looking for free MLB baseball predictions on a daily basis or premium picks from our MLB baseball betting experts visit Touthouse.com each day.
Free Pick: Baltimore Orioles +1.5 -160 (Steve Merril)
The last two times Jake Arrieta has taken the mound, the Orioles have won. Baltimore turns to the rookie for a third time this season in hopes of another victory. Arrieta is 2-0 with a 2.77 ERA on the year. Last time out, he gave up one run and three hits in seven innings of work against the Giants. Now he’ll face a Padres team that isn’t overwhelming offensively. As a team, San Diego is hitting just .247 while scoring only four runs per game this season. San Diego’s Jon Garland is going thru a rough patch. He’s 0-3 with a 6.50 ERA in his last three games giving up 13 runs and 24 hits in 18 innings of work. The Orioles have faced Garland 10 times in his career. He gave up eight runs and 16 hits in his last 12.3 innings pitched against Baltimore. Miguel Tejada (13-32), Nick Markakis (6-14), Julio Lugo (3-11), and Luke Scott (6-11) all have good numbers against Garland. The Orioles have covered the run line in three of their last four games, and we expect another close game here which means we recommend taking Baltimore on the run line in this game.
Free Pick: Cincinnati Reds -125 (Nick Parsons)
I believe that Cincinnati will finally come alive at the plate and do just enough in this game to avoid the series sweep in Seattle: Aaron Harang gets the nod for the visitors; Harang is coming off his worst outing of the season; he’d given up just five earned runs over his previous three starts before allowing five on seven hits in 4 1/3 innings vs. the Dodgers on Tuesday night. I believe the big right-hander will bounce back tonight though; Harang has made two career starts at Safeco and is 1-0 without allowing a run over 14 1/3 innings with 13 total K’s. Remember as well that Cincinnati has reserved its “best play” for struggling teams this season; 22-12 (+8 units) against clubs with losing records. In the other dugout: The beleaguered Ryan Rowland-Smith heads to the mound for the home side; the large lefty has lost his last two starts and is a dismal 0-6 on the season. Although the M’s have been better at the plate of late, Rowland-Smith hasn’t been the beneficiary of any of that offensive production. Although its struggled in almost every single ATS statistical category this year, this is in fact a position that Seattle has done very poorly in all season; it’s 6-16 (-12.2 units) in “day games”. Bottom line: “The last couple of days, we’ve faced two of the American League’s best in King Felix and (Lee) yesterday (in a 1-0 loss),” Reds manager Dusty Baker lamented after yesterday’s 5-1 loss to Hernandez. “We just have to come back tomorrow.” Harang has a 1.32 ERA in four career starts vs. Seattle. You may want to take a second look at CINCINNATI in this position as it looks to take advantage of the M’s worst starter.
Free Pick: Florida Marlins -119 (Jack Jones)
Rarely will you find Josh Johnson at this kind of price at home. If it weren’t for Ubaldo Jimenez and his ridiculous numbers this season, Johnson would be the one in line to win the NL Cy Young award at this point of the year. Johnson is 7-2 with a 1.86 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in 14 starts this season, and he’s 5-1 with a 1.48 ERA and 0.951 WHIP in 9 home starts. Video game-like numbers would describe Johnson’s efforts over his last 7 starts. In those 7 outings, Johnson has allowed a total of 3 earned runs in 51 innings pitched. That equates to a 0.53 ERA and it also has resulted in five wins for the Marlins. In four of those seven starts, Johnson didn’t allow a single earned run. David Price is solid for the Rays, but he is no Josh Johnson. Roll with the Marlins Sunday.
Free Pick: Chicago White Sox -105 (Tom Freese)
White Sox starter Freddie Garcia has allowed 12 runs total in his last 4 starts. Chicago is 13-3 their last 16 Interleague road games. The Pale Hose are 6-0 their last 6 games as favorites. Chicago is 36-16 in the last 52 starts made by Garcia on the road. The White Sox are 11-1 the last 12 starts made by Garcia in Interleague play. Washinton starter John Lannan 17 runs in his last 15.1 innings of work. The Nationals are 61-130 their last 191 games off a loss. Washington is 8-20 their 28 games vs. righty starters and they are 0-5 their last 5 games overall. The Nats are 6-20 their last 26 games as underdogs. PLAY CHICAGO (Garcia vs. Lannan)
Free Pick: Cleveland Indians vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Under 9 (John Ryan)
3* graded play UNDER Cleveland/Pittsburgh set to start at 1:35 EST. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that fewer than 9 runs will be scored in this game. Every once in a while we get a situation where the teams are projected to be weak offensively and also has a home plate umpire with a generous strike zone. Paul Emmel is that type of umpire and teams have batted 243 with a 310 OBP this season and 250 with a 314 OBP over the past 3 seasons. CLV is batting just 248 and scoring 4.2 RPG on the season and 236 with a 310 OBP scoring 4.0 RPG against RH starters spanning 44 games. Their bullpen have really pulled it together and have posted a 2.70 ERA and 1.321 WHIP over the past 7 games. The Pirates are near identical team batting 237 with a 302 WHIP scoring 3.3 RPG on the season and batting 236 and scoring 3.6 RPG over the past 7 games.Their bullpen has been one of the best in baseball recently sporting a 1.89 ERA and a 1.263 WHIP over the past 7 games. Take the UNDER.
Free Pick: New York Mets vs. New York Yankees Under 8.5 (Wunderdog)
This is a great primetime matchup for a pair of New York rivals. Johan Santana faces C.C. Sabathia. These are two pitchers both capable of putting up 0s deep into the game. Both of these teams are strong when you get to the back of the pen, avoiding the weak underbelly of the bullpen. The Mets are 7-0 to the UNDER in their last seven on the road vs. a team with a winning percentage greater than .600. The Yankees are 8-1 to the UNDER behind Sabathia at home vs. a winning team. The UNDER gets the call.