At 7:05 pm, our complimentary selection is on the Toronto Blue Jays over the St. Louis Cardinals. It seems a long time ago that Chris Carpenter broke into the Majors as a member of the Blue Jays. Actually it was 1997 and Carpenter spent his first six seasons north of the border before moving to the National League in 2004 (he missed the 2003 season). Carpenter may have thrown his best game as a Cardinal in this ball park in an inter-league game against the Jays in 2005, but overall his inter-league performance since joining St. Louis is not on par with the rest of his numbers. Since 2004, Carpenter is just 3-3 with a 5.10 ERA in AL venues. He’s been a bit of a hard-luck starter recently as despite a 3.15 ERA in his last three starts, the Cards are just 1-2 in those games. Lefthander Ricky Romero gets the call for the Jays, and although he has never faced the Cards before in his career, Romero is probably looking forward to this opportunity as in five inter-league appearances (all starts), Romero is 3-1 with a 2.53 ERA and 1.18 WHIP (32 Ks and 10 BBs in 32 innings) vs. the NL. Romero is also red-hot right now. He stumbled badly in his start on May 25 against the Angels but in four starts since then he has gone 2-1 with a 2.25 ERA. The Jays are 13-5 in their last 18 home games. Take Toronto. As always, good luck…Al McMordie.
The Phillies were able to sneak one out last night over the Indians behind another solid performance from Jamie Moyer who continues to give good efforts to the team. The win snapped a two-game skid but it was also the second straight game without no production from the offense. This was a problem around a week ago that was a three-week issue and they cannot afford it again but something still is not right. Tonight it may need offense as the starter pitching takes a big step down. The Tuesday loss was the third straight for the Indians and the seventh in eight games but the value here is outstanding. Cleveland sends Jake Westbrook to the mound and it has certainly been a trying season for the veteran righty. He has been up and down all year as he has been unable to string together a good run but he has shown the ability to bounce back from poor outings and he will look to do it again here. He is coming off a game where he allowed five runs against the Mets and in his two previous games where he allowed at least five runs, he followed those up with quality efforts the next time out and both resulting in Cleveland wins. The Phillies counter with Kyle Kendrick and he is the big step down referred to earlier. Overall his numbers are hot horrible but he has been extremely inconsistent and because of that alone, he should have no business laying this kind of number. He has been favored this big only twice and it resulted in one good outing and one bad outing, posting a combined 7.45 ERA. Cleveland also falls into a very solid underdog situation. Play against National League teams that are averaging between 4.3 and 4.8 rpg and have posted an on-base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 10 games going up against an American League starter with an ERA between 4.30 and 5.70). This situation is 42-18 (70 percent) since 1997. 3* Cleveland Indians
There are multiple options on your end when investing in this World Cup 2010 Matches Soccer match. Pinny, 5Dimes and BetUS offers some of the best soccer lines and Bookmaker covers multiple world leagues, too.
On the outside looking in right now in the Group D pecking order, Serbia knows a win over the Socceroos would send it into the Round of 16.
OPENING MONEY LINES: Serbia -120, Australia +300, draw +330
OVER/UNDER: 2.5 goals, over +120, under -155
Australia has Harry Kewell suspended after his red card against Ghana but will have captain Tim Cahill available after his suspension for a red card against Germany was reduced to only one game.
The Socceroos are a long shot to advance, with the most likely scenario allowing them to advance being a Ghana win against Germany combined with a victory against Serbia. That will likely be too much to ask for, but the Serbians will need to be more disciplined than in their first two contests in order to advance.
After its win against Germany, Serbia will advance with victory regardless of the other score in the group. Look for midfielder and captain Dejan Stankovic to make the biggest difference in this game as the Serbs take a 2-0 victory, good for second place in the group.
Pinny is offering Serbia at a fair -105, 5Dimes has the Serbs listed at -110, while Bookmaker has Serbia at -120.
3* Play on Serbia
Below are MLB baseball picks for June 22nd 2010 from Touthouse.com handicappers. If you are looking for free MLB baseball predictions on a daily basis or premium picks from our MLB baseball betting experts visit Touthouse.com each day.
Pick: Cincinnati Reds vs. Oakland Athletics Over 7.5 (Dennis Macklin)
Bronson Arroyo has been smoked for a 6.61 ERA in his last three road starts. The Big Red lumber not doing much the past week hitting just .204 but Dallas Braden just might be the remedy. The A’s have lost all seven Braden starts since the perfect game, the Oakland southpaw 0-4 and 4.98 over that period. Thinking this one is set to fly over the total.
Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers -122 (Tom Freese)
Dodger starter Clayton Kershaw has allowed 3 or less runs 11 of his 14 starts this year. The Dodgers are 21-8 their last 29 games as favorites and they are 15-6 vs. a starter with a WHIP of greater than 1.30. Manny and company after allowing 2 or less runs in their last game. Angels starter Ervin Santana has allowed 11 runs in his last two starts both of which were losses. The Angels are 1-4 in the last 5 Interleague starts made by Santana. The Angels are 1-7 their last 8 Tuesday games and Santana is 1-5 his last 6 Tuesday starts. PLAY ON LA DODGERS (Kershaw vs. Santana)
Pick: San Francisco Giants -140 (Jeff Alexander)
Houston has lost 8 of its last 9, and I expect its struggles to continue here. Oswalt takes the hill for the Astros, and he is just 1-7 with an ERA of 4.15 at home this season. He’s already faced the Giants twice this season, losing both of those starts. The Giants have won 8 straight against the Astros, and I expect their dominance to continue with Lincecum on the hill. He’s 2-0 (5-1 on the money line) with an ERA of 3.08 in 6 road starts this season. Plus, he is 4-0 in his career when starting against Houston with an ERA of only 1.33. It is also worth mentioning that the Giants are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings when Lincecum faces Oswalt. Take the Giants.
Pick: Florida Marlins -126 (Jim Feist)
Florida had a great weekend, getting its offense in gear while taking two of three from the (formerly) first place Tampa Bay Rays. The offense scored 19 runs in three games and now faces a Baltimore team that can’t score, last in the AL in runs. Florida has a reliable starter in Anibal Sanchez (6-4, 3.22 ERA) while the Orioles have to go with Jeremy Guthrie (0-3, 4.43 ERA his last three). Play the Marlins.
Tim Lincecum has the Astros and Roy Oswalt’s number. Lincecum is 7-2 with a 3.11 ERA this season with 106 strikeouts in 92.2 innings, and somehow he has been getting bashed for his “drop off” in production from back-to-back Cy Young seasons. But I guess when you win that award two years in a row, you can’t possibly get any more compliments. Lincecum is a perfect 4-0 with a 1.33 ERA and 0.803 WHIP in seven career starts vs. Houston.
Roy Oswalt is 1-7 with a 4.15 ERA at home this season. The Astros aren’t helping him out much by giving him virtually no run support, but with an ERA over 4.00 he certainly has not been on top of his game. Oswalt has voiced through the media that he wants traded, and he clearly isn’t happy pitching for the Astros who are just 26-44 this season and basically already out of postseason contention. Oswalt is already 0-2 this season vs. San Francisco, facing Lincecum both times. But it’s hard to win when Lincecum has gone 2-0 in their head-to-head starts, allowing 1 earned run and 8 hits in 15 innings. San Francisco is a perfect 6-0 vs. Houston this season. The Astros are 1-8 in their last 9 games overall. Take the Giants Tuesday behind Lincecum.
The St. Louis Cardinals head north of the border for an interleague series versus the host Toronto Blue Jays. The first game is set for Tuesday night with the first pitch at 7:07PM Eastern Time. The Cardinals who have posted a record of 6-3 during interleague play this season will send left-hander Jamie Garcia to the bump with his 4-2 road record and ERA of 1.74. Toronto will counter with Brett Cecil who is 2-1 at home with an ERA of 4.50 this season. The Blue Jays have struggled against NL teams this season during interleague play winning only five of twelve contests. A check of the database reveals a MLB system that is active for tonight’s contest and it tells us to play against AL teams who have a team batting average of .260 or worse facing a NL starter whose ERA is 3.70 or better, a team that is batting .240 or worse over their last fifteen games. Playing against these AL teams has produced a record of 59-17 and 38 Units of profit since 97. Toronto leads the league in home runs but Garcia has only allowed two homeruns in thirteen starts so the longball should not be a factor in tonight’s matchup. We will back the better overall team at a very good price as the Cards grab Game 1 on Tuesday night.
PROJECTED FORECAST: 2* St. Louis Cardinals 4 Toronto Blue Jays 3
On Tuesday the Free MLB Play is on the New York Mets. Game 912 at 7:10 eastern. The Mets have some solid power angles going in this game. The Mets are a solid 24-10 at home this season including 9-2 in the first game of a home series. New York has won 13 of 17 games in June and 9-3 coming off a day off. In interleague action they have won 9 of 12 games. The Mets are also 7-1 as a home dog from +100 to +125 this year. They have averaged 5.6 runs per game on .303 hitting this season vs A.L. Teams and have an excellent 2.26 home bullpen era. The Tigers have been playing very well of late. However they are just 4-7 in the first game of a series, including 0-6 off a win. In the pitching matchup the perception is that the Tigers have a big edge with Verlander over Niese. When we delve into the numbers we see that Verlander has a 4.27 road era. J. Niese has a 2.65 home era and the Mets have a 5-1 home record when he pitches. Look for the Mets to take Game 1 of the series. On Tuesday I have a Huge 15-1 totals system that beats the posted total by 4 runs per game. I also have a solid MLB Side with a 92% system and 3 Power angles. For the free play take the Mets tonight. RV
For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this contest is on the “over”: Tim Lincecum heads to the mound for the visitors; Lincecum’s last start was cut short as a line drive hit him in the back right shoulder in the sixth inning vs. the Orioles on Wednesday; he allowed two runs on eight hits over that span; he walked four; he’s 7-2 on the year with a 3.11 ERA. Lincecum was 5-5 with a 3.21 ERA on the road last season. In the other dugout: Roy Oswalt gets the nod for the home side; the best word to describe Oswalt this year would be “unpredictable”. After a couple of very poor outings, he’s seemingly got back on track with a couple of strong showings. For his career though, he’s 5-7 with a 3.67 ERA vs. the Giants. He’s 5-8 with a 3.12 ERA this season.
Bottom line: San Francisco came alive at the plate in its inter-league contest in Toronto on Sunday, hammering the Jays 9-6; Freddy Sanchez had a three-run shot and Pat Burrell a two-run bomb to help the Giants win their first game this season in an AL stadium; I believe this team will carry over some of that offensive production into Houston. Important to note as well that Giants relievers have been brutal so far this year on the road with a collective 5.22 ERA through Sunday; the San Francisco bullpen had allowed runs in 20 of 29 contests. The Astros are coming off a disheartening 5-4 loss in ten innings on Sunday as the Rangers completed a three-game sweep at Minute Maid Park. Because of Sunday’s result, Houston made its biggest roster shake-up of the year; top position prospect Jason Castro was called up to be the starting catcher; Chris Johnson will enter the regular mix at third base, and a third call-up, Jason Bourgeois, will see some time in the outfield. Outfielder Cory Sullivan, reliever Casey Daigle and catcher Kevin Cash were all designated for assignment. I believe this move will inspire the Astro’s core group to wake up at the plate and take accountability for this teams struggles.When factoring in all of the above information, this total seems a little low, and you may want to consider a second look at the OVER in this situation.
Toronto will face their third left-handed starter in four days as St. Louis’ Jaime Garcia takes the mound against the Blue Jays tonight. Toronto has had a ton of problems against lefties this season as they are hitting just .199 as a team against southpaws. Toronto has gone Under in nine of their 16 games against left-handed pitching. Garcia is 6-3 with a 1.59 ERA and he has gone Under in 12 of his 13 starts. He is 4-2 with a 1.74 ERA on the road with all seven games going Under the total.
Brett Cecil has been rock solid aside from a shaky start in San Diego his last time out. He’s 7-3 with a 3.58 ERA on the year. Cecil has given up seven runs and 15 hits in his last 20.7 innings of work. The Cardinals have gone Under in 20 of their 34 road games and Under in 12 of their 20 games against left-handed starters. They are hitting .252 away from home, and their offense is not in good current form as they’ve scored just 17 runs over their last five games. Since the Blue Jays have gone Under in 20 of their 34 home games and they are hitting .239 over their last seven games, we’ll recommend a play on the Under in this game tonight.
The Yankees hit the road for a N.L. West roadtrip starting Monday night. Arizona’s Rodrigo Lopez is 2-6 with a 4.70 ERA on the season. Lopez is 0-3 with a 6.00 ERA in his last three starts giving up 14 runs and 25 hits in 21 innings of work. Lopez last faced the Yankees back in 2007 giving up two runs and seven hits in 5.7 innings of work. Derek Jeter (26-58), A-Rod (14-48), Robinson Cano (6-21), Curtis Granderson (2-4), and Nick Swisher (1-3) all hit Lopez well. Lopez is backed by an Arizona bullpen that owns a 7.19 ERA with 16 losses and nine blown saves this season.
New York’s A.J. Burnett has given up 16 runs and 20 hits in his last 16 innings pitched over his last three starts. The righty went 0-3 in those games taking losses against the Phillies, Orioles, and Blue Jays. Burnett is 3-3 with a 5.03 ERA on the road in eight starts, but he hasn’t faced the Diamondbacks since 2005. Adam LaRoche (4-14), Kelly Johnson (2-4), and Chris Snyder (0-2) are the only Arizona hitters with a history against the Yankees starter. Arizona has gone Over in 20 of their 33 home games where they score 5.4 runs per game; they’ve gone Over in 43 of their 70 games overall. In interleague play, the Diamondbacks are hitting nearly .285 as a team. The Yankees bullpen has a 4.11 ERA this season, and they could see a lot of work here if Burnett continues to struggle. This should be a high-scoring game so we’ll recommend a play on the Over between the Yankees and Diamondbacks.