It’s not often we will look to go against the Yankees at home but this is one overrated squad we want no part of. Other than CC Sabathia the New York starting staff has been terrible all month. Now they are playing without their two big bats in the lineup as Texiera and Rodriguez are battling injuries. The pitching edge is all Oakland as Trevor Cahill is having an outstanding season. He’s produced seven straight quality starts allowing just six earned runs in those games. In his last three road starts the opposition has scored just one earned run against Cahill. Dustin Mosely gets the start for the Yanks and the A’s are well aware of the former Angel. In five career starts against Oakland he has permitted 16 earned runs in only 26.2 innings of work. The price is right as Oakland starts the series with a victory. PLAY OAKLAND
If the White Sox are serious about winning the AL Central Division, then they better find a way to get the job done against an Indians team that has beaten them eight times in 12 meetings this season.
After dropping two-of-three against the Bronx Bombers, the Pale Hose will hand the ball to reliable left-hander Mark Buehrle. Since getting drilled at home against Seattle back on July 28th, Buehrle has pitched well in five August starts allowing only 12 earned runs and 33 hits in 35.0 innings of work. After the math, that shakes down to a solid 3-2 record and a respectable 3.09 ERA! With Marc holding the pill, Chicago has posted wins in 15 of its last 21 priced as road chalk and seven of its last 10 facing a team with a sub. 500 record.
Getting the call for the home team will be right-hander Mitch Talbot. Facing Oakland, Kansas City and Seattle, Talbot was clocked for 12 earned runs and 22 hits in just 14.2 innings of work. That’s bad enough for a dismal 0-2 record and an elevated 7.36 ERA! Progressive Field hasn’t been kind to Mitch either. At home, No. 51 owns a woeful 0-5 mark and an embarrassing 7.22 ERA in his last seven starts.
Cleveland has historically started slow in the first game of a series dropping 36 of its last 52 battles and has slipped in eight of its last 11 in division play. Meanwhile, the ChiSox have nailed 17 of its last 22 series lid-lifters and 29 of its last 42 priced as a favorite. The White Sox have to run the table in this series and they know it. Take Chicago with listed pitcher Buehrle. Thank you and best of luck, Tom Stryker.
San Diego was swept at home over the weekend against the Phillies, making it four straight losses and just like that, there is a division race once again. The Padres lead the Giants by just five games in the National League West and while that is still a decent lead, it is getting a little too close for comfort. This is a good time to face the worst team in the division as wins are becoming even more of a priority.
The Diamondbacks went 3-3 on their most recent roadtrip which is pretty good for a team that is 21 games under .500 away from home on the season. They are better at home but certainly nothing special as Arizona is six games under .500 at Chase Field. The problem has been the pitching where the Diamondbacks possess a 4.80 ERA which is easily the worst in the National League.
The pitching matchup tonight is definitely not on their side.
Wade LeBlanc gets the call for the Padres. He has a 3.86 ERA on the season and while his ERA on the road is a run and a half higher higher, it is really due to just two bad starts, one in Seattle back in May where he allowed eight runs in three innings and another two starts back in Milwaukee where he allowed seven runs in 3.1 innings. Five of his other nine starts on the road have been quality outings and take those two games out of the equation and his road ERA drops from 5.37 to 3.50.
Joe Saunders counters for Arizona and he has had a rough time of it of late. He is 1-4 with a 5.21 ERA in six starts with the Diamondback but that only tells part of the story. He started with two straight quality outings since coming over from the Angels but his last four outings have been a disaster. He has given up 19 earned runs in his last 22 innings and this includes the Padres reaching Saunders for six runs (five earned) over six innings on August 8th and for nine runs (six earned) in four innings on August 25th.
San Diego is 14-2 in the second half of the season against National League teams with a batting average of .255 or worse while going 11-1 as a road favorite of -125 or higher this season. 3* San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies
Pick: Colorado Rockies -110 odds
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Great price here with the Rockies as a small home favorite against the Dodgers. Colorado is feeling good right now, winners of 5 of their last 6 games overall. They are putting together their usual late-season run, and it continues today. Jason Hammel has been a very reliable starter at home this year for the Rockies, which is impressive in hitter-friendly Coors Field. Hammel is 6-1 with a 3.44 ERA in 12 home starts, and the Rockies are 9-3 in those 12 contests.
Hammel has faced the Dodgers 3 times in his career, coming away with a 2.14 ERA and 1.095 WHIP where the Rockies have won 2 of his 3 starts. Colorado is 42-21 at home this season, hitting .297 and scoring 5.8 RPG. The Rockies are 14-1 against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season. Colorado is winning in these sports by a whopping 2.9 RPG. Take the Rockies Sunday.
The Los Angeles Angels are in unfamiliar territory, being all but mathematically eliminated from winning the AL West with the whole month of September yet to go. They attempt to avoid the embarrassment of being swept at the Big A by Baltimore.
The Halos will send their ace Jered Weaver to the mound, who’s off two mediocre starts, but is 5-2 with sparking 1.65 ERA in Anaheim. Weaver could use a few runs from his teammates who are batting just .257 as a team and are 11th in the AL in runs scored at home.
Nevertheless, favorites with a money line of -150 or more, hitting .265 or less against an AL starting pitcher with ERA 4.20 or less, whose starting pitcher strikes out five or more batters per start are 97-28 the past 13 seasons.
Free Plays on 10-5 roll and I had the right side with Jacksonville last night, taking me to 5-1 in NFL Top Plays and 9-3 in last dozen Best Bets. I’m 6-2 in my last eight MLB Top Plays so don’t hesitate to catch the action.
5* graded play Under Cubs/Reds set to start at 1:10 EST. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that fewer than nine runs will be scored in this game. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 43-14 for 75.4% winners since 1997. Play under with all teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 and with an on base percentage of .260 or worse over their last three games facing an opponent with a hot starting pitcher posting a WHIP <= 1.100 over his last 10 games. Casey Colman is making his third start for the Cubs and is coming off a solid 6 1/3 inning stint allowing just one earned run on three hits. The scouting reports have not even come close to catching up to him and we expect him to have another solid outing. Travis Wood has posted a 3.38 ERA and a 0.978 WHIP in 10 starts. He was hammered for seven earned in his last start against a strong hitting Giants team. Starters at the MLB level have a strong propensity to bounce back strong after a poor start; it is that attitude and work ethic that got them to this level. Cubs are 32-12 UNDER (+18.4 Units) facing a decent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 this season. The Reds are 25-11 UNDER (+12.6 Units) in home games facing teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times per game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Take the UNDER.
Below are MLB baseball betting picks for August 29th 2010 from Touthouse.com handicappers. If you are looking for free MLB baseball picks on a daily basis or premium picks from our MLB baseball betting experts visit Touthouse.com each day.
Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -172 (Rob Vinciletti)
On Sunday the free play is on the Milwaukee Brewers game. 960 at 2:10 eastern. The Brewers have Dominated the Pirates at home winning 21 of the last 23 games here. Today their starter is D. Bush. Historically Bush is much better at home. This year he has a solid outing here vs the Pirates allowing just 2 runs in 6+ innings. The Pirates are hitting a shade over .200 the past week. The Brewers are averaging over 5 runs per game the past week. Pittsburgh is a lousy 3-21 as a road dog in this range and Milwaukee is 10-4 as a home favorite in this range. Take Milwaukee today. On Sunday I have the NFL Power totals system and the MLB play of the day Dominator system going. Saturday cashed big led by the NFLX Goy winner on the Texans. For the free play take Milwaukee RV
Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers +110 (Jimmy Boyd)
The Dodgers are showing solid value in the underdog role this afternoon with Ted Lilly on the hill. Since joining the Dodgers, Lilly is a perfect 5-0 with an ERA of 1.34. And his best performance in that stretch came against Colorado, when he threw a two-hitter and struck out a season-high 11. But that shouldn’t come as too much of a surprise, considering is 4-1 (5-1 on the money line) in his career against Colorado. Probable Rockies starter Jason Hammel has been solid at home this season, but he appears to wearing down, as he has only recorded one win in his last five home starts. Plus, the Dodgers are 13-3 vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 this season. The Dodgers are 24-9 in the last 33 meetings in this series and 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Colorado. Take LA.
Pick: Orioles vs. Angels Under 8 (Tom Freese)
Baltimore starter Jeremy Guthrie has allowed 3 runs or less in 6 of his last 8 starts. The Orioles are 6-1-1 UNDER their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP of less than 1.15. The Birds are 4-0 UNDER their last 4 games. Baltimore is 11-3-3 UNDER in game 3 of a series and they are 34-16-2 UNDER in the last 52 starts made by Guthrie with four days of rest. Angels starter Jered Weaver has allowed 3 runs or less in 6 of his last 8 starts. Los Angeles is 34-14-4 UNDER in Weaver’s last 52 home starts. The Halos are 7-3 UNDER their last 10 home games. Weaver is 17-4-2 UNDER his last 23 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. PLAY ON ‘UNDER’ (Guthrie vs. Weaver)
Pick: Texas Rangers -146 (Jeff Alexander)
Look for the Rangers to bounce back strong this afternoon following Saturday’s shutout loss. The Athletics are 1-7 in their last 8 games as a road underdog and 0-6 in Gonzalez’s last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Rangers are a strong 13-5 in their last 18 games following a loss and 12-5 in Lewis’ last 17 home starts. Rangers have also won 5 of their last 7 at home against the A’s. Texas is an impressive 26-9 as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season, and I’ll grab the Rangers in this price range tonight.
Denver is 5-1 SU and ATS since 1993 after 2 or more consecutive losses in preseason action. Tomlin is 0-4 SU and ATS as a road underdog last 4. Denver is 14-6 ATS in their 2nd home game. Denver is 10-4 ATS in the preseason at home after playing a home game. Denver is 14-2 ATS off a SU favorite loss. Denver is 12-2 ATS when they have a losing record and playing at home. Denver is 7-2 ATS off back to back SU losses. My Rocketman line has Denver outright by 3 points. We’ll recommend a small play on Denver tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
10-1 last 11, 18-4 last 22, 24-8 last 32 and 31-11 last 42 free picks here after winning with Jacksonville last night in NFL.
The Cincinnati Bengals are quietly going about their business. While Baltimore looks like a real Super Bowl contender and Pittsburgh is trying to figure out life at least for a quarter of a season without Ben Roethlisberger, the Bengals appear to be able to improve upon last year’s quick playoff exit.
The offense has more weapons for Carson Palmer and the defense has greater depth. What to look for tonight from Cincy is road teams after two or more consecutive straight up wins in week four of the preseason are 44-16 ATS the last 17 years, including 9-2 ATS since 2008.
Free Plays on 10-4 roll and I had the right side with Atlanta last night taking NFLX Top Plays to 4-1 as promised and I will look to add yet another with today’s GUARANTEED Selection. My top notch play is in a 90 percent winning situation and I will return to victory lane with another Guaranteed Winner along with also having my “NFL Underdog Ripe to do Damage”.
Dallas Cowboys vs. Houston Texans
NFL preseason pick: Houston Texans -4.5 -110 odds
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The Houston Texans get a nationally televised game on CBS tonight in their first home game of the preseason. The two teams are obvious geographical rivals and meet again in Week 3 in the regular season. After being embarrassed in New Orleans last week where they allowed 300+ yards to the Saints in the first half of a 38-20 loss, the Texans’ toughness is being questioned. Keep your eyes on DE Mario Williams who was criticized for his play as he goes against Dallas’s new LT, Doug Free.
Dallas is still missing two starting offensive linemen while Houston has cluster injuries in the linebacking corps.
The Cowboys have not come with a 100% effort in their dress rehearsal game under Wade Phillips going a perfect 0-3 against the spread. The first-team Dallas offense finally scored their first touchdown last week against San Diego. However, that “big drive” started at the Chargers’ eight-yard line after the Cowboy defense returned a fumble 80 yards. The Cowboys have scored 16, 9, and 16 points in preseason games.
With the Cowboys playing in the Hall of Fame game, this is their fourth preseason game. They have been in camp longer than any other team and even Coach Phillips has called the team “tired”.
Take the Texans