The Wisconsin Badgers will have a very hard time getting up emotionally to face Iowa after such a draining win against then-No. 1 Ohio State last week. That’s why this game has blowout written all over it as the Hawkeyes bring more energy into this one. Iowa is 4-0 at home this season, scoring 35.2 points/game while allowing a mere 4.2 points/game. The key to this one will be Iowa’s run defense up against Wisconsin’s rushing attack. We don’t believe that the Badgers have the passing game to beat Iowa, therefore they stand no chance because the Hawkeyes will stop the run. Iowa is allowing just 84 rushing yards/game and 2.9 yards/carry this season. Iowa has the more balanced offense coming in. The Hawkeyes are scoring 34.3 points/game this season while averaging 253 passing yards/game and 166 rushing yards/game. The Badgers are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Hawkeyes are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0. Take Iowa and lay the points.
WEEK 8 COLLEGE FOOTBALL PICKS – OCTOBER 23RD 2010
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UTEP Miners (-10) vs. Tulane Green Wave: Tulane (2-4 SU, 1-3-1 ATS) is a weak offensive team (21 ppg) for Bob Toledo, ranked 92nd in the country after averaging just 16 points per game in 2009. They’ve been rotating sophomore QB Ryan Griffin (5 TDs, 3 INTs) and freshman QB Kevin Moore (2 TDs, 2 INTs). The Green Wave is off a 41-23 home loss to Army, giving up 312 yards rushing. Tulane is 7-41 SU, 13-33-2 ATS its last 48 as a dog. UTEP (5-2 SU, 3-3 ATS) has a strong offense for Head Coach Mike Price. The Miners average 31 points with great balance behind junior RB Joseph Banyard and Senior QB Trevor Vittatoe (14 TDs, 5 picks). Play UTEP! -Jim Feist
Ohio Bobcats (-3) vs. Miami Ohio Redhawks: Everything points to a very easy MAC win for Ohio. Last 4 head to head OHIO has won and covered spread, also Ohio is 7-1 ATS in league games. Miami big problem is they are just not very fast on the edges. Ohio on the other hand is super fast and they will run and pass all over Miami. Get in on this one as its an absolute layup. -Craig Trapp
LSU Tigers (+6) vs. Auburn Tigers: There aren’t many that would have predicted that these two SEC Tigers would be undefeated when meeting in week eight. Two completely different styles where Auburn is coming off scoring 65 points against Arkansas (28 in the final quarter) while LSU had trouble scoring points against McNeese State. LSU seems to have had Auburn’s number of late winning the last three meetings bringing their series edge to 24-19-1. This game will come down to defense and LSU owns the tougher stop unit. Take LSU! -Chip Chirimbes
Central Michigan Chippewas (+9.5) vs. Northern Illinois Huskies: System Play. We’ll Play On – Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (C MICHIGAN) – in conference games, off a upset loss as a double digit home favorite. This is a 36-7 ATS System hitting 83.7% since 1992. This is a huge letdown spot for Northern Illinois after 4 straight wins, while also a big bounce back spot for Central Michigan after 4 straight losses. With both team’s recent results, the clear value is with the road dog in this one. Bet Central Michigan on the road. -Info Plays
Ohio State Buckeyes (-23.5) vs. Purdue Boilermakers: We may not find Ohio State in a more motivated spot this season. After falling from No. 1 in the polls with an embarrassing loss at Wisconsin, the Buckeyes will be out for some serious revenge. Adding to that motivation is the fact that Purdue was responsible for Ohio State’s only Big Ten loss last year. The Buckeyes want the Boilermakers bad, and they won’t hold anything back after last week’s result. In addition, Purdue makes a lot of mistakes and that doesn’t bode well for it here. Consider that Ohio State is a perfect 7-0 ATS in home games vs. mistake prone teams with 60 or more penalty yards per game under coach Tressel, defeating these teams by an average of 34 points. Take Ohio State. -Dave Price
Indiana Hoosiers (+14) vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: The Hoosiers can chuck the ball, and I am not talking Hoops here, QB Campbell leads the nations 5th rated passing offense for Indiana, and they can score enough points in this game to make it very interesting. They are better than advertised here, and nothing in the Big 10 comes easy this time of year, even at home for Illinois. Illinois is 1-8 ATS their last 9 times as a lined favorite, and this is homecoming week, where Illinois has not covered a spread in 5 years against weak sisters. I like Indiana to come in here and give them a big scare as they played both Michigan and Ohio State very tough till the end. Illinois not as deep as those two, a straight up win by 7 for Illinois, take the dog. -Tony George
Utah Utes (-30) vs. Colorado State Rams: The Utah Utes offense is in high gear and they are the most unappreciated unbeaten team in college football this season. Despite a 6-0 record, they are also 5-0-1 ATS and averaging 45.8 points per game behind a veteran offensive group. On Saturday, Play On favorites of 21.5 to 31 points like Utah, after gaining 6.75 or more yards per play in two consecutive games, with eight or more offensive starters including the QB that have returned. This system is on fire at 26-4 ATS, with a perfect 3-0 record this year. -Doug Upstone
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It’s going to be tough for Ole Miss, who got up for Alabama last week, to be able to bring the same level of intensity to this contest. I just don’t see the Rebels being as hungry as the Hogs in this spot. Arkansas will be out for blood following a loss at Auburn, during which Heisman hopeful Ryan Mallett was knocked out of the game with a concussion. Mallett has been cleared to play this week, and I completely expect him to make up for lost time. Arkansas has a personal bone to pick after losing to Ole Miss each of the last two seasons. The Ole Miss pass defense is one of the worst in the country, giving up 246 yards per game. I just don’t see the Rebs having an answer for Mallett and Arkansas’ No. 2 ranked passing offense (366.3 ypg). In fact, Arkansas is 16-5 ATS in its last 21 home games vs. poor passing defenses allowing a completion percentage of 58% or worse, defeating these teams by an average score of 36.3 to 14.0. Lastly, the Rebels are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings at Arkansas. Lay the points with the Razorbacks.
On Saturday the System Club play is on the Indiana Hoosiers. Game 333 at 12 noon eastern. Indiana is a live Big 10 Dog. The Hoosiers have a big 85 yard advantage on offense and may have been looking ahead to this game off their slim win over Arkansas St. Indiana has a better record on the year and is much improved this year. Illinois is a good team most of the time as a dog. However when they are favored its another story. Illinois is 3-10 ats as a favorite most recently. Long term they are 1-17 ats as a favorite of 14 or less off a loss and 0-7 ats as a favorite in the first of back to back home games. When they play teams with a winning record they are 4-11 straight up. So I have no problem taking the 14 points here. On Saturday I have the 100% WAC Goy, the SEC Perfect System Game of the Month, The Triple System Blowout side, The Dog with Bite Double system winner and a 98% 30 Year Old BIG 12 system.In MLB a Rare Sequence Sceanrio side that has not lost. Football has been on quite a run of late as we have cashed 18 of the last 25 selections overall. NFL Top plays have hit 5 of 6 weeks. Coming in to this week all football combined is 17 games over .500! All games come with complete analysis including Cutting edge system and angles you will not see elsewhere. No big fancy ads or BS Hype. Just solid selections using techniques that leave the competition behind. For the System Club Play take Indiana plus the 14 points. RV
After ripping off 43 consecutive victories in this series, Notre Dame has dropped two of its last three meetings to Navy including last year’s 23-21 loss to the Midshipmen inside Notre Dame Stadium. Getting pushed around by the Middies may not have mattered much to former Irish head coach Charlie Weis. But, current skipper Brian Kelly doesn’t even want to think about that possibility.
Last spring, when Coach Kelly was hired, he decided to set aside 15 to 20 minutes of each practice to work exclusively on defending the triple-option offense. Defensive coordinator Bob Diaco hasn’t budged on that either. The Irish scout team has ran Navy’s and Army’s offense for the past month in practices. In order to prepare the Dame for the early Noon kickoff, the Fighting Irish have held their workouts earlier in the day on Wednesday and Thursday this week. Notre Dame is on fall break and that allows the players to spend as much preparation time as they want on football.
Even UND QB Dayne Crist is putting in the hours. With TE Kyle Rudolph gone for the season, WR Michael Floyd nursing a hamstring injury and Theo Riddick out with an ankle, the Irish will turn to guys like Duval Kamara and TJ Jones to help pick up the slack on offense. Thanks to the break, Crist has been able to spend extra hours on the field and in the film room with the wide receiver backups making sure they are all on the same page. In a normal week, the Irish personnel would have been forced to follow the NCAA-mandated 20 hour rule.
History will be on the Notre Dame side too. As luck would have it, the Irish are a perfect 7-0 SU and ATS since 1980 in this series when Navy enters with momentum off two or more straight up wins. It should be noted that those seven victories came by an average of 23.3 points per game! Momentum hasn’t been a good thing for the Middies either. When taking the field on a roll off two or more straight up victories, Navy is a disturbing 6-20 SU and 6-19 ATS provided it is matched up against an opponent that checks in off a straight up win. This team trend drops to 3-16 ATS provided Navy’s opponent does not enter off a pointspread loss.
The Irish are fortunate to have extra time to prepare this week for an opponent that has given them trouble recently. Coach Kelly understands just how good this Navy team can play and you can bet your last dollar that he’ll have the Irish focused and well prepared for that revenge matchup. Take Notre Dame. Thank you and best of luck, Tom Stryker.
Oklahoma State has certainly impressed on the surface TY. However, if you look closely, you will see that their level of competition has not been “top-shelf.” This is a tricky situation for the Cowboys. You see, sports fans, as a ‘dog, Oklahoma State won outright LW over Texas Tech while a heavily-favored Nebraska lost outright to Texas. The oddsmakers are looking at this game and giving the Cowboys too much credit and the Huskers not enough credit. Texas took down Nebraska LW because they are a defensive-oriented club that had an extra week to prepare for them. They caught the Cornhuskers in a tough spot. That isn’t the case here. Nebraska will control things against a defense that has yet to face a strong ground attack. Oklahoma State QB Weeden has had 3 straight outings with multiple INTs. Don’t forget that Nebraska has one of the NCAAs most ferocious defenses. They are giving up just 14.0 PPG. This is a team that held super-QB Jake Locker to a mere 4-20, 71 yards, and forced 2 INTs. The Cornhuskers come back with a vengeance. Nebraska is 7-1 ATS their L8 road games vs. teams with a winning home record while OSU is 7-24 ATS their L31 games played as a ‘dog of 3-10 ½ points and 0-6 ATS their L6 as a home ‘dog. Take the Cornhuskers. Thank you.
When Toby Gerhart departed Stanford after last season, it appeared that the offense would take a hit. Last year’s team topped the 30 point mark eight times, and that was going to be hard to duplicate, or was it? The Cardinal has topped the 30-point mark in all six of their games on the season, and has had two games where they have averaged 60, so the offense has actually been better than a year ago. Andrew Luck is having a Heisman Trophy worthy year as he has thrown for 1,538 yards and 16 TDs to just four INTs on the season. As a result, Stanford has only lost one game and that came at the hands of a very powerful Oregon team. Washington State has fallen on hard times. The Cougars own just two wins over FBS teams over the last three years, and both of those required overtime. The Cougars have amazingly lost 11 of those games over the past three years by 35 points or more. So, while this number certainly is large, it is well within reach for Stanford. I look for the Cardinal offense to lay 50 or 60 on the Cougars and cover the large number.