Middle Tennessee State vs. Tennessee
NCAA Basketball Pick: Middle Tenn St. +17.5 -110 odds
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This looks like a tough spot for Tennessee. The Vols return home off an unexpected preseason NIT championship in New York. Tennessee upended favorite Villanova in the championship game; the Vols were a 6-point underdog in that game and now they are laying a significant price to an in-state rival.
Off their tournament win, head coach Bruce Pearl is concerned about tonight’s game with Middle Tennessee St. “It’s one thing to say it. It’s one thing to practice it. It’s another thing to do it,” Pearl said. “It’s definitely a trap game for us because of the excitement of playing in Madison Square Garden, the intensity, the media attention. It’s just human nature. Middle’s getting us at a really good time, and they know it.”
Middle Tennessee is a decent Sun Belt team. The Blue Raiders can score points as they are averaging 76 points per game on 43.2% shooting from the floor. MTSU also has a solid backcourt with seniors James Washington and Rod Emanuel that won’t be intimidated by playing in a tough venue. Tennessee is obviously the better team, but it’s unlikely they’ll bring their ‘A’ game tonight which should allow MTSU to sneak inside the number.
NBA Basketball Picks for November 30th 2010
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Pick: San Antonio vs. Golden State Over 215
We’ve seen 222 and 263 total points scored in 2 of the last 3 meetings between these teams. So far this season, San Antonio is proving to be even more high-powered offensive than it was during its championship years. The Spurs are 20-9 Over versus terrible defensive teams allowing 103 or more points per game over the last 2 seasons. The Spurs have played to the Over in 5 straight. Plus, the Over is 11-4 in the last 15 meetings between these teams. Bet the Over. -Jeff Alexander
Pick: San Antonio Spurs -4.5
Golden St is 8-9 straight up this year. The Warriors are 4-10 ATS their last 14 games off a straight up win. Golden St is 2-5-1 ATS their last 8 games when their opponent scored 100 or more points in their last game. The Warriors are 2-6-1 ATS their last 9 games overall and they are 0-4 ATS their 4 games with the Spurs. San Antonio is 14-2 straight up this year. The Spurs are 5-0 ATS off a double digit win and they are 7-2 ATS their last 9 games overall. San Antonio is 5-1-1 ATS their last 7 road games and they are 5-2 ATS after scoring 100 or more points in their last game. PLAY SAN ANTONIO -Tom Freese
Pick: New York Knicks -5
The battle for the pride of New York! The Nets are playing their 9th road game over their last 13 games! That included a trip out West, too. The offense has been terrible, second worst in the NBA with 92.9 ppg. The Knicks are fourth in the NBA with 106.8 ppg, led by Raymond Felton and Amare Stoudemire. They come off a 125-116 double-overtime victory at Detroit as Felton had 23 points and 11 assists. The Knicks are on an impressive 6-1 SU/ATS run and don’t want to let down against the local rival Nets. Play the NY Knicks. -Jim Feist
Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Prediction: Denver Broncos +9 -110 odds
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Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs, Play on Denver +9, The Chiefs are over valued here Sunday afternoon simply because Denver lost to an undervalued St Louis Rams team at home last week. The Chiefs have been overachieving this season and they have not lost at home but that could easily change this week with the Broncos coming to town. Back on November 14th the Chiefs lost 49-29 to the Broncos however that game was played in Denver. The Chiefs will look for revenge but the Broncos know how to beat the Chiefs and they proved that in Denver. The Chiefs are coming off a big road win against a bad Seattle Seahawks team who also over achieved early on this season. The Chiefs have only covered the spread in 2 of their last 8 home games when they are listed as a favorite and they have a had a lot easier schedule this season than the Broncos and it will show Sunday when they lose outright to Denver.
Johnny Banks swept the board with his NFL High Roller Plays going 3-0 on Thanksgiving! Johnny Followed that up by going 6-0 Sunday including cashing his NFL SNF Game of the Year with San Diego and he ended Week 12 cashing his Monday Night NFL Game of the Month with the 49ers!
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Indiana State vs. Notre Dame
College Basketball Pick: Indiana State +16.5
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This is a great spot for Indiana St., or it can be deemed as a really bad spot for Notre Dame. The Irish are 7-0 to start the season and they are coming off a tournament championship at the Old Spice Classic where they defeated Georgia, California and Wisconsin to bring home the title. This is the best start since 2001-02 for Notre Dame and coming off that tournament win spells big time letdown. The Irish have a week off after this before facing Kentucky so there will not be a big sense of urgency tonight.
Indiana St. is 3-3 to start the season and it is riding a two-game winning streak heading into South Bend/ The Sycamores won at Oral Roberts, the preseason favorite to win the Summit League, and then followed that up with a home win over Buffalo on Saturday. Indiana St. had its first winning season since 2001 last year so there is a lot of confidence on this team that say near the bottom of its conference for years. I expect this to be a low possession game which makes the points more of a premium.
There are times when Notre Dame’s lack of quickness and athleticism are an issue which has the Irish in a fairly even matchup here. Indiana St. beats teams with outside shooting as three Sycamores are shooting 40 percent or better from long range and as a team they are hitting 39.3 percent from behind the arc. One of Notre Dames big strengths so far this season has been rebounding but that is the case for the Sycamores as well which again gives them a chance down low.
As long as Indiana St. plays the way it has been playing, there is no reason to think it cannot keep this game close. 3* Indiana St. Sycamores
NBA Picks for November 29th 2010
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Pick: Utah Jazz -8.5
Utah is playing arguably better than anyone in the NBA right now. The Jazz are 13-3 in their last 16 games overall, going 12-4 ATS in the process. They have won and covered in five straight games with wins by 9 points or more in every game except for the Lakers, who they beat by 6 points. The Bucks are just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall, and they have dropped 5 of their last 6 outright. During their recent 1-5 run, they have lost three times by 11 points or more including an 11-point loss at Philly and a 14-point setback at Detroit. The Bucks are plagued by injuries right now, with starting center Andrew Bogut doubtful to play Monday and starting forwards Corey Maggette and Drew Gooden questionable with ankle and foot injuries, respectively. With these injuries comes little depth and a poor starting line-up, one that couldn’t compete with most teams in this league. Utah is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 meetings with Milwaukee, including a perfect 8-0 ATS in their last 8 home meetings. The Jazz have won each of their last 5 home meetings with the Bucks by 11 points or more. Take Utah Monday. -Jack Jones
Pick: New Orleans Hornets +3.5
Both the Hornets and Thunder are looking to bounce back from disappointing losses Sunday, but I’ll gladly take the Hornets catching better than a trey. The Hornets are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog, and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. They are also 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day. The Thunder are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or less and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day. Take the points. -Jeff Alexander
Pick: New Orleans vs. Oklahoma City Under 200
Plays Under on any team (OKLAHOMA CITY) off a close road loss by 3 points or less, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record, are 127-78 ATS since 1996. We are only seeing an average of 188.3 total points scored in this situation. Plus, the Under is 4-0 in the Hornets’ last 4 road games and 4-1 in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. With both teams playing yesterday, tired legs should favor a slower pace in tonight’s contest. Bet the Under. -Dave Price
Boise State vs. Northern Illinois
Pick: Boise State -6 -110 odds
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The Huskies of Northern Illinois are entering a strange year in which four of their top scorers decided to transfer in the off-season. A lot of the talk was that the players couldn’t get along with head coach Ricardo Patton. That leaves a patchwork lineup that is short on interior players and a group that is a work in progress. Northern hasn’t been a powerhouse in quite some time and they could be in for another long year. The Huskies had major second half issues in the two games against quality competition as they just don’t seem to have the conditioning to compete at a high level.
Boise State went through a coaching change in the off-season as former Gonzaga assistant Leon Rice has taken over the program. While he talked early on about not knowing what he had at Boise, the Broncos have really been an early season surprise. The Broncos have been impressive with quality wins over San Diego and UC Davis on the road along with blowout home victories over Eastern Washington and Denver. The defense has been outstanding limiting those four foes to 60, 47, 54 and 52 points. The players have really taken to the Gonzaga style of offense and they should have little problems with a Northern Illinois team still trying to put the pieces together.
PLAY BOISE STATE
College Football Betting Review – November 29th 2010
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The final full week of the 2010 college football regular season to us one step closer to an Auburn vs. Oregon matchup for a national championship as both teams came away with huge wins this past weekend.
The Tigers jumped to the top of the latest BCS rankings with a dramatic come-from-behind victory over then-No. 11 Alabama. Auburn spotted the Crimson Tide a 24 point lead before rallying for a 28-27 win. The Tigers covered as a 4 ½ point road underdog and the total stayed ‘under’ the 58 ½ point line. The win moved Auburn to a perfect 12-0 in the regular season. Next week’s showdown with No. 19 South Carolina in the SEC Championship is the final hurdle to landing a spot in the BCS title game.
The Ducks had an easier time of it in their regular season finale, as they rolled over then-No. 21 Arizona 48-29 on Friday night. Oregon barely missed covering as a 20 ½ point home favorite and the total went ‘over’ the 64 ½ point line. The Ducks are now 11-0 and will close out their regular season next week against Oregon State in the traditional ‘Civil War’ showdown. A win in this game would lock up the other spot in the BSC title game.
No. 3 TCU kept its national title hopes alive with a lopsided 66-17 win over New Mexico to close out the regular season with a record of 12-0. The Horned Frogs pulled out all the stops to cover as a 44 ½ point road favorite and took the 58-point total line ‘over’ on their own. The victory almost ensures that TCU will end up playing in the Rose Bowl unless one of the top two teams stumbles next week.
Stanford moved up to the No. 4 spot in the BCS rankings with a dominating 38-0 shutout of Oregon State combined with Boise State’s 34-31 overtime loss to No. 17 Nevada. The Cardinals easily covered as a 14-point home favorite and the total stayed ‘under’ the 57 point line. Stanford wrapped up the regular season with a record of 11-1, putting itself in line for a bid to the BCS Bowl Series with either the Orange or Fiesta Bowl being the most likely destination.
Wisconsin’s 70-23 win over Northwestern ensured the Badgers a share of the Big 10 Title, but more importantly landed them into the No. 5 spot in the BCS rankings and a possible trip to the Rose Bowl. As long as it maintains this position through the final rankings next Sunday, Wisconsin would get the automatic bid over Ohio State because of its higher position in the BCS. The Badgers, a 24-point home favorite, left nothing to chance in their romp over the Wildcats and the total went well ‘over’ the 57 1/2 point line They finished the regular season 11-1 and 8-1 in the conference; tied with both the Buckeyes and Michigan State, who both won on Saturday as well.
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St. Peter’s vs. Seton Hall
NCAA Basketball Pick: St. Peter’s +13 -110 odds
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I’m taking the points with St. Peter’s on Monday. I had the Peacocks last week and we cashed when they not only covered as a double-digit dog, but beat Alabama outright. The number hasn’t quite caught up as far as I’m concerned. You’ll remember I pointed out that St. Pete’s 0-3 start to the season didn’t give a true representation of how well this team can play. They actually had a chance to win against Long Beach State and Old Dominion. St. Peter’s was tied with ODU with just over six minutes to go, but couldn’t overcome the Monarchs down the stretch. This is a good ODU team that came within 3 points of knocking of Georgetown. The Peacocks lost to Long Beach by 12, yet they trailed by only two points with three minutes to go in the game. It didn’t help that they were outscored from the FT line, 25-6. St. Pete’s has rebounded by winning their last two games over Bama and Long Island. They return all five starters from last year’s squad, one that came within two points of knocking off Seton Hall last November. These two programs are quite familiar with each other, having played nine times since 2001. St. Pete’s, some might be surprised, are 6-3 ATS in those games. They’re on a 23-9 ATS run away from home, while the Pirates are just 2-9 ATS in their last 11 home games. And just as the Pirates thought things were coming together, they lost guard Jeremy Hazell to a broken wrist on 11/20. He’s expected to miss about six weeks of action. Hazell led the team in scoring, averaging 24 ppg through three games. The Pirates are 0-2 SU since the injury. Let’s grab the value and back the St. Peter’s Peacocks for the second time this season. Thanks! GL! Scott.
NC Wilmington vs. George Washington
College Basketball Pick: George Washington -10 -110 odds
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At 7 pm, the NC Wilmington Seahawks will tip-off with the George Washington Colonials in Washington, DC, and UNCW will be seeking revenge from a 76-71 home loss last season. But with just two starters returning this year from a club that won just 9 of 31 games last season, Buzz Peterson’s men will be hard-pressed to get that revenge. This season, NC Wilmington is 2-0 at home, with narrow wins over Liberty and Morehead St., but 0-3 on the road, and its losses have been by an average of 21 ppg. Wilmington is averaging just 61 ppg this season (vs. foes that give up 65 ppg), and that doesn’t bode well against a GW club that returned four starters from last year’s team, and one that’s holding its opponents this season to 59 ppg at home on 40% FG shooting. In their last three games, the Colonials have given up 62, 56, and 59 points, and fall into a College Hoops system of mine that’s 66-20 ATS which plays on certain teams that gave up 65 or less points over their previous two games. GW is 67% over the past 21 years at home when laying double digits vs. foes off a SU/ATS loss, and we’ll back the Colonials tonight over UNCW. Good luck, as always…Al McMordie. And don’t miss my NFL Game of the Month, or my College Football Winners!
Edmonton Oilers vs. Ottawa Senators
NHL Pick: Ottawa Senators -200
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Large underdogs always have a shot at cashing in the NHL, as its a league where any team can win on any given night. That said, when a ‘good team’ hosts a ‘bad team,’ unless a goalie absolutely stands on his head and/or there’s some sort of other situational factor involved, more often than not, the home team will come away with the two points. In this case, while the price may seem steep, I feel it could easily be even higher.
The Oilers certainly qualify as a ‘bad’ team, so far this season. They’ve got the fewest points in the Western Conference. They’ve allowed 88 goals already, by far the most the entire league. With their 5-0 loss at Phoenix on 11/23, they’re now 4-16 their last 20 road games, dating back to last season.
In my opinion, the Senators also qualify as a ‘good’ team, at least when they’re playing here at Ottawa. I played on the Sens on Saturday. At the time I noted the following: “…they’ve still gone 5-3 at home over the last month and are above .500 here on the season. Keep in mind that they were 26-15 (26-11-4) here last season…” We can add an extra “W” to those stats now as the Sens came through with an impressive 3-0 victory.
The Sens have been a team that’s been able to take care of bad teams. With Saturday’s win, they’re now a profitable 6-1 (+5.4) against teams with a losing record. Given that they’re a perfect 6-0 against the Oilers since 2006, the current price seems reasonable. Consider laying the wood.