Dallas Mavericks vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
May 23rd 2011: CLICK HERE FOR EXPERT NBA BASKETBALL PICKS
Boyd’s Mavs/Thunder 4* Game 4 *BEST BET* (ESPN)!
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Mavericks vs. Thunder Betting Trends:
Thunder are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 Monday games.
Thunder are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 playoff games as a favorite of 0.5-4.5.
Thunder are 44-21-1 ATS in their last 66 games following a S.U. loss.
Thunder are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Thunder are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Mavericks are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Mavericks are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.
Mavericks are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
Mavericks are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 playoff games as an underdog.
Mavericks are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 1 days rest.
Mavericks vs. Thunder Over/Under Trends:
Under is 16-5 in Thunder last 21 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Over is 3-1-1 in Thunder last 5 Monday games.
Under is 6-2 in Thunder last 8 playoff games as a favorite of 0.5-4.5.
Over is 5-2 in Thunder last 7 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Over is 9-4 in Thunder last 13 vs. NBA Southwest.
Over is 4-1 in Mavericks last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Over is 4-1 in Mavericks last 5 vs. Western Conference.
Over is 8-3 in Mavericks last 11 games as a road underdog.
Over is 5-2 in Mavericks last 7 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Under is 9-4 in Mavericks last 13 Conference Finals games.
Mavericks vs. Thunder Head-To-Head Trends:
Under is 12-3-1 in the last 16 meetings in Oklahoma City.
Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Oklahoma City.
Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
Road team is 19-7-2 ATS in the last 28 meetings.
Underdog is 11-4-1 ATS in the last 16 meetings.
Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers
MLB Pick: Washington Nationals +163 odds (May 23rd 2011)
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Ryan lost with the ‘UNDER’ Vancouver/San Jose play, but is still hitting 67% winners spanning his last 9 premium releases. Join him tonight for the winner of Game 5. Will Boston be able to recover from the golden opportunity they blew in Game 4 or will they be resilient enough to win big tonight? The answer is here.
5* graded play on the Washington Nationals as they take on the Milwaukee Brewers set to start at 8:10 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that the Nationals will win this game. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 67-28 making 37.2 units per one unit wagered since 1997. Play against any NL team that is a struggling offensive team scoring <=4.1 runs per game and is now facing a team with a very good bullpen sporting an ERA<=3.33 and is on a good fielding streak posting 15 straight games with one or less errors. This system is a solid 11-5 making 6.5 units per one unit wagered this season. This matchup appears to be two teams heading in opposite directions with the Brewers winners of four of the last five games and eight of the last 10 while the Nationals are losers of four of the last five games and seven of the last 10 games. However, the Nationals are a solid 9-3 (+8.9 Units) against the money line after having lost four or five of their last six games this season. Milwaukee is just 15-24 (-12.7 Units) against the money line after having won five or six of their last seven games over the last two seasons. I like Washington to get this upset win tonight.
Ryan is 18 games over .500 spanning his last 86 NBA premium releases and has released his strongest ‘Top Rated’ 25* Titan. This Western Conference Game of the Year has the facts you need to win big tonight. Featured are a proven 15-year system, several game situations, + matchups you will see dominate this game.
MLB Baseball Betting Picks: May 22nd 2011
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Pick: Oakland Athletics +106
On Sunday the free Play is on the Oakland A/s. Game 925 at 4:05 eastern. Oakland has won 6 of 7 on Sunday while The Giants have lost 5 of 6 on Sunday. The A/s are 6-2 as road dogs from +100 to +125 and have won 9 of 12 vs Left handed Pitchers. The Giants are averaging 3.4 runs per game vs Leftys this season. The Pitching matchup also favors Oakland as G. Gonzalez has a 2.31 era compared to 3.71 for J. Sanchez. Oakland is a live dog here. Look for them to take the finale. On Sunday its the 7* Double perfect NBA Playoff Game of the Year. This game is backed with 2 Power systems with 19-0 and 14-0 records. Saturday night we has Dallas and the under as the NBA Is on a Big Run. I also have a Solid 21-3 MLB Power System Play and an NHL Sequence scenario side. Jump on and end the week big today. Take Oakland as the free Play. -Rob Vinciletti
Pick: Seattle Mariners -127
The Mariners, which have now won 13 of their last 16 at San Diego, have the edge again today with reigning AL Cy Young winner Felix Hernandez taking the hill. The Mariners are 10-2 in his last 12 interleague starts and 7-1 in his last 8 interleague starts vs. the National League West. The M’s are also 4-1 in his last 5 starts vs. the Padres. The Padres are 7-17 in their last 24 home games and 10-26 in their last 36 interleague home games. Take Seattle. -Dave Price
Chicago Cubs vs. Boston Red Sox
MLB Pick: Boston Red Sox -195 odds (May 22nd 2011)
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The Red Sox are coming off a rare loss Saturday and rare is definitely the optimal term with the way they have been playing lately. Boston is 22-11 over its last 33 games following a dreadful 2-10 start to the season. The Red Sox have won seven of their last eight home games and they are doing it with a potent offense. Boston is hitting .291 over its last 10 games and its 4.5 rpg on the season is tied for sixth best in baseball. The Red Sox are 22-5 in their last 27 Interleague home games against teams with a losing record.
The Cubs evened their roadtrip at 3-3 with the Saturday victory and also even their road record on the entire season at 11-11. the offense has been firing on all cylinders during the trip as Chicago has scored five runs or more in its last five games and the offense is hitting a robust .302 over its last 10 games. The problem is the pitching as its ERA is over 5.00 over that 10-game stretch. Chicago is 5-15 in its last 20 games after scoring five runs or more and 5-16 in its last 21 games when its opponent allows five runs or more.
Tim Wakefield heads to the mound tonight in hopes of a bounceback from his previous outing. He allowed six earned runs, eight unearned, on nine hits in just 4.1 innings against the Twins back on May 6th. The good news is that was not the last time he has pitched as he came out of the bullpen on Wednesday and tossed 1.1 innings of shutout baseball. The spot starts have been his repertoire over the last couple years so putting him in this spot is not a bad one.
Chicago counters with James Russell who is making his first start since May 2nd. He has made five relief appearances since then and has not allowed a run over 5.1 innings but heading back into the rotation in this situation is far from a good one. He has started four games and none has been good as he allowed four runs in each of those outings and he was unable to last five innings in any of those games as well. Facing the Red Sox on the road is not the way to try and turn things around. 3* (930) Boston Red Sox
Expert MLB Baseball Picks: May 21st 2011
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Pick: Cubs vs. Red Sox Under 9
These two teams combined for 20 runs in the series opener, and we see no reason why either team will slow down in the second game. Chicago will send Carlos Zambrano to the mound, who has a 4.89 ERA on the season and 5.23 ERA on the road. Boston will send Alfredo Aceves out as a starter for the first time this season, and we just don’t see him coming out and throwing up blanks against a Cubs offense that has scored 32 runs over their last six games. Boston is 20-8 OVER in home games vs. a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 or better over the last 2 seasons, and are 4-1-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Zambrano is 53-33 OVER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game since 1997, while the Cubs are 8-2 OVER in their last 10 vs. a team with a winning record. -Info Plays
Pick: San Francisco Giants -146
With last night’s extra-innings loss, the A’s fell to 0-4 in the last 4 meetings in this series and 0-7 in the last 7 meetings in San Francisco. Their struggles are likely to continue tonight with ace Tim Lincecum getting the ball for the Giants. The Giants are 14-6 in Lincecum’s last 20 starts and 5-1 in his last 6 interleague starts. He has especially been hard on Oakland. Lincecum has won his last 4 starts against the A’s while only allowing a total of 3 runs in 33 innings of work. The Athletics are 5-16 in their last 21 interleague road games. We’ll fade them on the road tonight. Take the Giants.
Pick: Seattle Mariners -122
San Diego is 8-20 at night this year. Seattle has won 4 of their last 5 games overall. San Diego is scoring only 2.4 runs per game at home this year. Michael Pineda is 5-2 with a 2.45 ERA overall this year, 2-1 with a 3.37 ERA on the road this season and has a 3.15 ERA his last 3 starts. Clayton Richard is 1-2 with a 7.07 ERA his last 3 starts. We’ll recommend a small play on Seattle tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky Atkinson
Pick: Chicago White Sox -143
The White Sox are 39-16 in their last 55 interleague games and will be sending one of the best Interleague starters in all of baseball. Buehrle enters this contest against the Dodgers with 23 career Interleague wins to tie him with Jamie Moyer at the top of that list. Not to mention Buehrle is 26-14 with a 3.79 ERA at US Cellular and most of the Dodgers have never seen him. The Dodgers are one of the most injured teams in the Majors. Jon Garland is a former White Sox and will probably pitch well in this game. But, take the White Sox to win this one! -Jeff Hochman
MLB Baseball Predictions: May 20th 2011
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Prediction: Oakland Athletics -105
San Francisco is favored, but the defending champs are not an offensive juggernaut, ranked 28th in runs scored, 27th in on-base percentage. They also don’t have one of their many aces on the mound in Ryan Vogelsong, who has a 13.50 ERA against crosstown rival Oakland. The A’s have red-hot Trevor Cahill (6-1, 1.82 ERA) and he has owned the Giants, with a 2-0 record and a 1.32 ERA against them. The Athletics are 21-8 in Cahill’s last 29 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Play the Oakland A’s. -Jim Feist
Prediction: Tampa Bay Rays +145
The Rays are showing solid value at this price considering they are 14-6 on the road this season and 14-6 in the last 20 meetings with the Marlins, including 8-3 in the last 11 at Florida. Plus, Andy Sonnanstine’s success against the Marlins can’t be overlooked. The Tampa Bay right-hander is 3-0 (4-0 on the money line) with an ERA of 3.09 in 4 career starts against the Fish. The Rays are also 8-2 in Sonnanstine’s last 10 interleague starts. Anibal Sanchez has pitched well for Florida early this season but his numbers are a little deceiving. 2 of his 3 wins have come against Washington. In fact, the Marlins are 1-6 in his last 7 starts versus a team with a winning record. Take Tampa Bay at a nice price tonight. -Jimmy Boyd
Prediction: St. Louis Cardinals -117
STL has turned things around winning 4 straight and today their ACE gets it going as Carpenter looking to bounce back tonight. Cardinals have been getting hot at plate and Pujhols looks to be coming back to his true form. KC has lost 5 of last 6 and have just been playing poorly. Hard to imagine we get this great price on Ace Carpenter against an average KC squad. 4 star play. -Craig Trapp
MLB Baseball Betting Picks: May 19th 2011
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Pick: Texas Rangers -107
I’m siding with the Texas Rangers again Thursday against the struggling Kansas City Royals. The Royals are 0-5 in their last five games overall, getting outscored 9-37 in the process. Texas has won five of their last seven and they send a solid starter to the mound in Derek Holland tonight. Holland is 1-1 with a 3.05 ERA and 1.306 WHIP in three road starts this season. Holland will be up against Luke Hochevar, who is 3-4 with a 4.87 ERA and 1.204 WHIP in nine starts this season. The Royals are 9-26 in home games with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 7.00 the last 5 games over the last 3 seasons. The Royals are 1-7 in their last 8 vs. American League West. Kansas City is 3-8 in Hochevar’s last 11 starts against the AL West. The Royals are 29-60 in their last 89 games vs. a left-handed starter. The Rangers are 39-18 in their last 57 meetings with K.C. Bet Texas Thursday. -Jack Jones
Pick: Chicago White Sox -129
The Chicago White Sox are on a roll right now and we’ll continue to ride them tonight. Chicago has won 8 of their last 11 overall. Gavin Floyd is having a solid year for them, going 4-3 with a 4.22 ERA and 1.181 WHIP in eight starts this season. He also has 48 strikeouts in 53 1/3 innings. Fausto Carmona has not pitched well against Chicago, posting a 5.64 ERA and 1.493 WHIP in 12 lifetime starts. Carmona allowed 10 earned runs in 3 innings in his lone start against Chicago this season on 4/1/2011. Take the White Sox on the Money Line. -Black Widow
Pick: New York Yankees -1.5 +104
The Yankees are worth a shot on the run line this evening. They are a perfect 5-0 against Baltimore this season, winning 4 of those games by at least 2 runs. Plus, NY has had Bergesen’s number. He’s 0-3 (0-4 on the ML) in 4 starts against the Yankees with an ERA of 7.29. The O’s have been outscored 36-7 in those 4 starts. Also, Yankees’ ace CC Sabathia has had his way in this series. The big lefty is 15-2 (17-4 on the ML) when starting against Baltimore with an ERA of 2.89. He’s won 10 of his last 11 starts in this series with all of those wins coming by 2 runs or more. Take the Yankees on the run line. -Dave Price
Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
MLB Pick: Atlanta Braves -109 odds (May 18th 2011)
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The red hot Braves are worth a shot tonight at this affordable price. They have won four in a row and are 12-4 in May. They’ll have an excellent opportunity to win a 5th straight with Joe Saunders taking the mound for the D-backs.
The Arizona lefty has been pure fade material. He’s 0-5 with a 5.48 ERA on the season, including 0-2 at home with an ERA of 7.59. The Braves are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Atlanta will send rookie right-hander Julio Teheran to the mound in place on the injured Brandon Beachy. Teheran will be sent back down to Triple-A following this start so he will be looking to make a good impression. Arizona’s lack of familiarity with him should work in his favor.
It is also worth noting that the Diamondbacks have lost each of their last 4 series openers. Bet the Braves.
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New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles
MLB Pick: Baltimore Orioles +101 odds (May 18th 2011)
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Zach Britton comes in 5-2 with a 2.42 ERA against Bartolo Colon who is 2-1 with a 3.66 ERA. Advantage, Orioles.
Colon has been a good surprise for the Yankees but not good enough to go on the road and out duel the young stud of Britton in Baltimore tonight. Colon is coming off a loss to the Red Sox and a lucky no decision where he went just 5.1 innings. Colon is 1-0 on the road this year but has an ERA of 5.00 in those 3 starts and has an even worse 5.19 ERA in his last 3 starts overall. The Yankees are just 8-8 on the road this year and 12-16 in night games. The Yanks also only hit at .212 against left handed pitching, well below their season average.
Britton is 3-1 at home with a great 1.85 ERA and 1-1 with a 1.77 ERA in his last 3 starts! This kid is pitching great for the O’s and I look for that to continue tonight against the Yankees team that we just touched on cannot hit left handed pitching. The strength of this O’s team is hitting the baseball, as they are averaging a little over 4 runs per game and 4.5 runs against right handers and hitting at .260.
Colon is not a shut down pitcher and if the O’s can get to him early and make the Yankees go to their middle bullpen, they will have some great success. If the O’s can’t get to him and have to deal with Joba, Soriano and Riveria than this could be a very tough time to get runs on the board.
However, with Britton on the hill for the O’s this is a very clear pitching advantage for the Orioles and I will take them getting + money tonight at home.
4-2 O’s win at home tonight, if they even play due to the rain in the Northeast…
Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox
MLB Pick: Boston Red Sox -1.5 +115 odds (May 18th 2011)
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Clay Bucholz has clearly fixed his control problems from earlier in the season and now looks to continue a hot streak of his own. Bucholz had big issues walking batters which led to his early season struggles but over his last three starts he’s got a 1.02 WHIP and 1.93 ERA while walking just 4 batters and the Red Sox have won all three of those starts. Bucholz has the tendency to get freakishly hot and I think he’s on the verge of doing that. He’s had a lot of success in the past vs. the Tigers so I think that continues on Wednesday while the Red Sox continue to swing the bats well vs. LHP.
Bucholz’s last 3 starts vs. the Tigers he has given up just 10 hits over 21. 1 innings and only 3 ER. The line up has a minimal .174 average and .539 OPS in 46 at bats. If he can continue his streak of having control and success the Sox will have no problem at home covering the run line. In their 12 home wins 9 of them have been by 2 or more runs. The Red Sox face Phil Coke who has been solid this year but the Sox at home vs. LHP are a dangerous offense hitting .296 with 6.62 runs per 9. Over their last 5 they have a .326 average and 9. Runs per 9 so expect that to continue on Wednesday when they face the Tigers which should lead to an early exit for Coke and the Tigers bullpen has just been bad over the last 10 games with a 6.23 ERA while the Sox post a 2.38 ERA over their last 10. Detroit just 16-35 in their last 51 games in Boston and are 15-36 in their last 51 road games vs. a RH starter. Sox meanwhile are 21-6 in Bucholz’ last 27 starts on 4 days rest and 10-2 in his last 12 vs. AL Central.