Dallas Mavericks vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
Playoffs Prediction & Odds
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The Dallas Mavericks (36-30 SU, 32-34 ATS, 33-33 O/U) may be the defending champions, but the Oklahoma City Thunder (47-19 SU, 35-31 ATS, 31-35 O/U) have plans on vanquishing them in this first round matchup.

The Mavericks limp into the postseason having lost two straight and four of its L/6 games overall while finishing 19th in scoring (95.8 ppg), 19th in field goal percentage (44.3) and 20th in three-point shooting percentage.

Defensively, the Mavs finished an identical 12th in points allowed (94.8 ppg) and three-point field goal defense. Dallas had four double-digit scorers on its roster, led by Dirk Nowitzki’s 21.6 points per contest.

The Oklahoma City Thunder took two of the three regular season meeting against the Mavericks, including each of the last two, though Dallas cashed in for betting backers in two of the three games.

The Thunder went 17-16 ATS at home and 18-15 ATS on the road while finishing third in scoring (103.1 ppg) and field goal percentage (47.1). Oklahoma City also finished 11th in three-point shooting percentage and first in free throw percentage (80.6).

Defensively, the Thunder finished just 17th in points allowed (96.9 ppg), but a surprising fourth in field goal defense (42.7) and ninth in three-point shooting percentage (34.2).

Oklahoma City was led in scoring by league leader Kevin Durant (28.0 ppg) while placing two other players in double-digit scoring, including point guard Russell Westbrook (23.6 ppg).

Here is a look at the key ATS and O/U trends for both ballclubs this season.

Dallas
Mavericks are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 Conference Quarterfinals games.
Mavericks are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 playoff games as an underdog.
Mavericks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following an SU loss.
Mavericks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Mavericks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Under is 4-1 in Mavericks last 5 vs. a team with a winning SU record.
Over is 10-4 in Mavericks last 14 road games.
Over is 5-2 in Mavericks last 7 vs. Western Conference.
Over is 10-4 in Mavericks last 14 vs. NBA Northwest.
Over is 17-8 in Mavericks last 25 overall.

Oklahoma City
Thunder are 18-8 ATS in their last 26 games following an ATS loss.
Thunder are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 Saturday games.
Thunder are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Thunder are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. Western Conference.
Thunder are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Thunder are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 vs. NBA Southwest.
Under is 5-1 in Thunder last 6 games following an ATS loss.
Under is 4-1 in Thunder last 5 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Under is 6-2 in Thunder last 8 home games.
Under is 11-5 in Thunder last 16 overall.

Key head-to-head trends
Mavericks are 13-3-1 ATS in the last 17 meetings in Oklahoma City.
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Under is 13-4-1 in the last 18 meetings in Oklahoma City.
Mavericks are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
Road team is 24-8-2 ATS in the last 34 meetings.
Underdog is 17-4-1 ATS in the last 22 meetings.

Orlando Magic vs. Indiana Pacers
Playoffs Prediction & Odds
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NBA gamblers won’t have a tough time at all in picking the winner of this series, with the Orlando Magic (37-29 SU, 34-32 ATS, 33-31-2 O/U) falling completely apart late this season after losing all-star center Dwight Howard to a back injury. Even if Howard were available for this series, the dysfunctional Magic have some very serious problems and will be facing a really good Indiana Pacers (42-24 SU, 32-34 ATS, 34-30-2 O/U) team that hits the postseason having won eight of its L/10 games.

Orlando went 17-16 ATS at home this season and 18-13-2 ATS on the road while averaging just 94.2 points per game (21st) and allowing 93.4 per game defensively (seventh).

With Howard out for the remainder of the postseason, the Magic are led in scoring by forward Ryan Anderson (16.1 ppg). Four other players also averaged double figures for Orlando.

The Pacers went 15-16 ATS at home this season and a solid 17-16 ATS mark on the road while averaging 97.7 points per game this season (13th) and allowing just 94.4 points per game defensively (10th). Indiana put the clamps on its opponents in forcing them into 43.5 percent shooting from the field (6th). The Pacers had five players average double figures in scoring, led by Danny Granger’s 18.7 points per contest.

Here is a look at the key ATS and O/U trends for both ballclubs this season.

Orlando
Magic are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 vs. NBA Central.
Magic are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning SU record.
Under is 4-1 in Magic last 5 playoff games as an underdog.
Over is 4-1 in Magic last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.
Under is 5-2 in Magic last 7 road games.

Indiana
Pacers are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games following an SU loss.
Pacers are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 playoff games as a favorite.
Under is 6-1 in Pacers last 7 playoff games as a favorite.
Over is 4-1 in Pacers last 5 overall.
Over is 4-1 in Pacers last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.
Over is 8-3 in Pacers last 11 games following an ATS loss.
Over is 5-2 in Pacers last 7 games as a favorite.

Key head-to-head trends
Magic are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
Magic are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Indiana.
Under is 11-4 in the last 15 meetings in Indiana.

New York Knicks vs. Miami Heat
Playoffs Prediction & Odds
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The New York Knicks (36-30 SU, 36-30 ATS, 27-39 O/U) feel like they can hang with the Miami Heat (46-20 SU, 34-32 ATS, 25-39-2 O/U) – and their recent play – suggest they may be able to.

New York has won three straight and five of its last half-dozen games and seven of its L/9 games overall while Miami dropped three of its L/4 regular season games while mostly resting their overworked trio of stars.

Still, Miami won all three regular season meetings against the Knicks while covering the spread in each of the last two meetings.

The Knicks went 21-12 ATS at home this season but just 15-18 ATS on the road while averaging 97.8 points per game (11th) and allowing just 94.7 points per game defensively.

New York has played much better – particularly at the defensive end of the floor – since veteran head coach Mike Woodson took over for former coach Mike D’Antoni. To illustrate this point, the Knicks held seven of their final 10 opponents to less than 100 points.
The Knicks had five players average double figures in scoring this season, led by Carmelo Anthony’s 22.6 points per game.

Miami averaged 98.5 point per game this season (7th) while limiting their opponents to just 92.5 points per game defensively on 43.4 percent shooting from the field (fifth). The heat went 18-15 ATS at home this season but just 14-19 ATS on the road.

The Heat got 27.1 points per game from LeBron James, 22.1 ppg from Dwyane Wade and 18.0 ppg from Chris Bosh, but no other player managed to reach double figures in scoring for Miami this season.

Here is a look at the key ATS and O/U trends for both ballclubs this season.

New York
Knicks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Knicks are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 playoff games as an underdog.
Knicks are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games overall.
Under is 6-0-1 in Knicks last 7 vs. a team with a winning SU record.
Under is 4-1 in Knicks last 5 playoff games as an underdog.
Under is 4-1 in Knicks last 5 vs. NBA Southeast.

Miami
Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Heat are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 playoff games as a favorite.
Heat are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.
Heat are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Atlantic.
Under is 4-0 in Heat last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Under is 4-0 in Heat last 4 games as a favorite.
Under is 21-5 in Heat last 26 games as a home favorite.
Under is 21-5 in Heat last 26 home games.

Key head-to-head trends
Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Miami.
Under is 6-0-1 in the last 7 meetings.
Road team is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings.

Philadelphia 76ers vs. Chicago Bulls
Playoffs Prediction & Odds
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The top-seeded Chicago Bulls (50-16 SU, 38-27-1 ATS, 31-34-1 O/U) won two of three regular season meetings against the Philadelphia 76ers (35-31 SU, 33-32-1 ATS, 30-36 O/U) while covering the spread in each of the last two meetings, but Philly reserve guard Evan Turner was right when he said the other day that Chicago is a much better matchup for the Sixers than the Miami Heat.

The 76ers have won three of the L/5 games against the Bulls but will still face a tall task in beating a Bulls team that has plans on reaching the NBA Finals at the very least.

Both teams will hit the postseason playing solid basketball with Chicago winning its final three regular season games and four of its L/5 overall while Philadelphia won four straight before dropping its regular season finale on Thursday.

Chicago missed reigning MVP Derrick Rose for 27 games this season as the lightning-quick floor leader battled a lingering groin injury for weeks. However, several Bulls players stepped up in his absence, most notably, veteran guards C.J. Watson and John Lucas III.

Philadelphia averaged 93.6 points per game on 44.8 percent shooting as a team while playing stellar defense mostly all season in allowing a paltry 89.4 points per game defensively. Chicago averaged 96.3 points per contest while limiting their opponents to just 88.2 points per contest.

The Sixers recorded nearly identical ATS marks at home (17-16) and on the road (16-16-1) and had a stellar five players average double figures in scoring this season, led by reserve guard Lou Williams’ 14.9 ppg.

Chicago went 17-15-1 ATS at home this season and an even more impressive 21-12 ATS on the road while getting 21.8 points per game from Derrick Rose while four other players also scored in double figures for the Bulls.

Here is a look at the key ATS and O/U trends for both ballclubs this season.

Philadelphia 76ers
76ers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
76ers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
76ers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 playoff games as an underdog.
76ers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Over is 5-0 in 76ers last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
Over is 6-1 in 76ers last 7 overall.
Over is 5-1 in 76ers last 6 road games.
Over is 5-1 in 76ers last 6 vs. NBA Central.
Under is 7-2 in 76ers last 9 playoff games as an underdog.

Chicago Bulls
Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite.
Bulls are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Bulls are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 vs. Eastern Conference.
Under is 6-0 in Bulls last six games overall.
Under is 5-0 in Bulls last 5 home games.
Under is 4-1 in Bulls last 5 playoff games as a favorite.

Key head-to-head trends
Over is 12-4-1 in the last 17 meetings.

Boston Red Sox vs. Chicago White Sox
MLB Prediction: Boston Red Sox -109 (April 27th 2012)

The Boston Red Sox have finally gotten on track this season with four straight victories heading into this Game 2 showdown with the Chicago White Sox tonight. I’ll continue backing the Red Sox at a great price Friday.

Despite their 8-10 record, I have no doubt that the Red Sox are still one of the best teams in baseball. Starter Daniel Bard is underrated right now because this is his first real opportunity to start in the big leagues. He gave up one earned run in 6 2/3 innings while striking out 7 batters in his last start against Tampa Bay.

John Danks is off to a shaky start this season, going 2-2 with a 5.11 ERA and 1.459 WHIP through four starts. He has given up 11 earned runs and 30 base runners in 18 2/3 innings over his last three starts. He’ll be up against a Boston line-up tonight that is averaging 7.8 runs/game over their last four contests.

The Red Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Boston is 5-1 in their last 6 games following a win. The White Sox are 1-7 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Chicago is 1-6 in Danks’ last 7 starts vs. American League East. The White Sox are 2-15 in Danks’ last 17 Friday starts. Bet Boston Friday.

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Basketball Picks: April 23rd 2012
Toronto Raptors vs. Milwaukee Bucks
Prediction: Toronto +10.5
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The Toronto Raptors are showing solid value as a double-digit road underdog to the Milwaukee Bucks. I believe oddsmakers have inflated this line due to the fact that it’s a must-win for the Bucks if they want to keep their playoff hopes alive. Even if they win the Bucks could be eliminated if the 76ers beat the Nets tonight.

Toronto has been pretty competitive here down the stretch with wins over both the Boston Celtics and Atlanta Hawks in two of their last five contests. Milwaukee has not handled the pressure of trying to make the playoffs well at all. The Bucks are just 2-5 SU & 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall.

The Raptors are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5. The Bucks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. Toronto is 19-6 ATS after having lost 3 of their last 4 games this season. Milwaukee is 0-8 ATS in a home game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points over the last 2 seasons. Bet the Raptors Monday.

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NBA Picks: April 21st 2012
Philadelphia 76ers vs. Indiana Pacers
Prediction: Philly +5
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The Indiana Pacers have already locked up the No. 3 seed in the Eastern Conference playoff race. They can’t improve, and they can’t fall down any lower. As a result, the Pacers will have a hard time getting motivated to play any of their last three games, including tonight against the Philadelphia 76errs.

Philly has a lot still to play for heading into this one. The 76ers can finally wrap up the East’s last available playoff spot Saturday night. While the 76ers have been struggling, I’ll gladly back the team that actually has something to play for in this one.

The Pacers are 1-12 ATS after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread this season. Indiana is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite of 0.5-4.5. Philly is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Bet the 76ers Saturday.

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