2012 Pittsburgh Steelers Predictions
Odds to win Super Bowl XLVII: 16-1
The Steelers are coming off another strong season but it ended harshly in Denver, in a 29-23 upset loss to Tim Tebow in overtime. The Steelers lost to Baltimore twice in the regular season, which meant no home field advantage. Pittsburgh had to rebuild some, getting rid of aging players like LB James Farrior (37) and WR Hines Ward (35), while Chris Hoke (36) retired. Injuries and lack of depth cost them key players for numerous games including star linebackers James Harrison and LaMarr Woodley for 11 total games. The Steelers upgraded their offensive line in the draft.
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Offense:
QB Ben Roethilsberger was hampered by a sprained foot, broken right thumb and then a high ankle sprain. He threw for 4,077 yards, completing 63.2% of his passes for 21 TDs and 14 picks (90.1 passer rating). Pittsburgh ranked 12th in the NFL in total offense (372.3ypg) and 14th in rushing yards per game. Roethlisberger may have more pressure on him with Rashard Mendenhall (torn ACL in final regular season game) out for most of the season. Mendenhall rushed for a pedestrian 928 yards (4.1ypc) and nine TDs this year. His backup was Isaac Redman (6-0, 230), who rushed for 479 yards (4.4ypc). He’ll likely get the start with Mewelde Moore backing him up. The Steelers drafted Chris Rainey (5-8, 180), a speedster from Florida in the fifth round. At receiver, Mike Wallace was given a first-round tender of $2.7 million but wants a long-term deal. He deserves one after catching 72 passes for 1,193 yards (16.6 ypc) and 8 TDs. Speedy Antonio Brown (69 for 1,108 yds, 16.1ypc) gives Roethlisberger another vertical option. TE Heath Miller (6-5, 256) is another reliable option who can block and catch. The offensive line was hampered by injuries and age. C Maurkice Pouncey (6-4, 304) is the most reliable player and RT Willie Colon (6-3, 315) can play guard or right tackle. The Steelers drafted a potential Pro Bowler in David DeCastro (6-5, 316) in the 24th pick. The key will be big tackle Mike Adams (6-7, 323), who may start at left tackle or play the right side. At least the Steelers have more options and versatility this year.
Defense:
The number one defense in the NFL last year in total defense, passing defense and scoring defense, but they showed some leaks. They had just 15 takeaways in 2011 (35 in 2010) and ranked just 22nd in scoring offense. The defensive line needs a healthy Casey Hampton (6-1, 325), who is coming off a torn ACL and took a pay cut this year. The Steelers drafted Alameda Ta’amu (6-3, 348) out of Washington in the fourth round and they hope he can take the place of Hampton in the near future. Brett Keisel (6-5, 285) and Ziggy Hood (6-3, 300) play ends in a 3-4 scheme. Both are solid players but not great playmakers. At lienbacker, they have one of the best OLBs in the game in LaMarr Woodley (6-1, 265). He missed six of the final eight regular-season games with a hamstring injury after recording nine sacks in the first eight games. Harrison (6-0, 242) sat out the first four games due to a broken eye socket and one due to an NFL suspension. He still managed 59 tackles and 9 sacks. They have a bigger issue inside with Farrior (78 tckls) gone. They drafted ILB Sean Spence (5-11, 231) from Miami-Fla., who played outside linebacker in a 4-3 scheme in college. Lawrence Timmons (6-1, 234) was second on the team in tackles with 93 and two sacks. The secondary has always relied on that outstanding pass rush. SS Troy Polamalu is the best playmaker on the team, who had 91 tackles, two picks and 14 passes defensed. Ryan Clark had his best season, leading the team in tackles with 100 but had just one pick. The corners needed an upgrade and they lost starter William Gay in free agency. Ike Taylor had a strong season until the end. Keenan Lewis came on as the nickel corner and will get a chance to start but that position is still a concern.
Special Teams:
The Steelers could use another kicker for a change. Shaun Suisham converted 23 of 31 kicks including a 51-yarder, but he probably will be back. Punter Jeremy Kapinos averaged 45 yards per punt and nailed 10 inside the 20 after taking over for an injured Daniel Sepulveda. Brown earned a Pro Bowl berth as the AFC return man, averaging 27.3 yards per return on kicks and 10.8 yds/return on punts with one TD.
Outlook:
The Steelers will be competing for the AFC North as long as they have a healthy Roethlisberger. A healthy Harrison and Woodley could put this team over the Ravens, but issues at running back, corner and the offensive line are major concerns.
2012 Schedule:
| Week |
Day |
Date |
Opponent |
Time |
TV |
Result |
| Week 1 |
Sun. |
Sep. 9 |
@ Denver Broncos |
8:20 PM ET |
NBC |
|
| Week 2 |
Sun. |
Sep. 16 |
vs. New York Jets |
4:25 PM ET |
CBS |
|
| Week 3 |
Sun. |
Sep. 23 |
@ Oakland Raiders |
4:25 PM ET |
CBS |
|
| Week 4 |
Bye Week |
| Week 5 |
Sun. |
Oct. 7 |
vs. Philadelphia Eagles |
1:00 PM ET |
FOX |
|
| Week 6 |
Thu. |
Oct. 11 |
@ Tennessee Titans |
8:20 PM ET |
NFLN |
|
| Week 7 |
Sun. |
Oct. 21 |
@ Cincinnati Bengals |
8:20 PM ET |
NBC |
|
| Week 8 |
Sun. |
Oct. 28 |
vs. Washington Redskins |
1:00 PM ET |
FOX |
|
| Week 9 |
Sun. |
Nov. 4 |
@ New York Giants |
4:25 PM ET |
CBS |
|
| Week 10 |
Mon. |
Nov. 12 |
vs. Kansas City Chiefs |
8:30 PM ET |
ESPN |
|
| Week 11 |
Sun. |
Nov. 18 |
vs. Baltimore Ravens |
8:20 PM ET |
NBC |
|
| Week 12 |
Sun. |
Nov. 25 |
@ Cleveland Browns |
1:00 PM ET |
CBS |
|
| Week 13 |
Sun. |
Dec. 2 |
@ Baltimore Ravens |
4:25 PM ET |
CBS |
|
| Week 14 |
Sun. |
Dec. 9 |
vs. San Diego Chargers |
1:00 PM ET |
CBS |
|
| Week 15 |
Sun. |
Dec. 16 |
@ Dallas Cowboys |
4:25 PM ET |
CBS |
|
| Week 16 |
Sun. |
Dec. 23 |
vs. Cincinnati Bengals |
1:00 PM ET |
CBS |
|
| Week 17 |
Sun. |
Dec. 30 |
vs. Cleveland Browns |
1:00 PM ET |
CBS |
|
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