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Home > Free Sports Picks, MLB Baseball Picks > Angels vs. Athletics Predictions: July 16th 2009: Ben Burns Looks for a Low Scoring Affair

Angels vs. Athletics Predictions: July 16th 2009: Ben Burns Looks for a Low Scoring Affair

Los Angeles Angels vs. Oakland Athletics
Free Pick: Under 8.5 Runs - July 16th 2009
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Eight of the last 13 meetings between the A’s and Angels have stayed below the total. This evening’s game could also prove low-scoring.

Braden goes for the A’s and he’s been terrific. Over his last three starts, he has a 2.45 ERA and 1.091 WHIP. In nine home starts on the season, he’s got a 2.84 ERA and a 1.193 WHIP. Not surprisingly, six of those nine games have fallen below the total. In his last home start, he limited the Tigers to a mere five hits and one run, through seven complete innings. In fact, including that gem, Braden has allowed two earned runs or less in eight straight starts and three or less in 10 straight. He’s gone at least six innings in nine of those 10 games, too. He went 5 1/3 in the other.

Braden will have the advantage of facing the Angels without Guerrero and Hunter. He’s made four career starts vs. the Angels, all of which have stayed below the total, posting a solid 3.27 ERA in those games.

Santana has admittedly had some trouble in the first half. However, a closer look shows that his struggles have come primarily at home. In three road starts, he’s got a respectable 3.60 ERA and 1.249 WHIP. He averaged nearly seven innings in those three games, two of which stayed below the total. Dating back to last season, Santana has seen 13 of his last 18 road starts stay below the total.

Santana should be very happy to start the second half off in Oakland. He’s made 13 starts vs. the A’s and has allowed three earned runs or less in ALL 13 of them. He also went a minimum of six complete innings in ALL 13 of those games, going more than six in 12 of them. Overall, he’s got an outstanding 1.38 ERA in those 13 games, 10 of which stayed below the total. The last time he faced the A’s, which was here at Oakland last summer, he tossed seven shutout innings, striking out 10 along the way, en route to a 4-1 victory. Consider the Under