Baltimore Ravens vs. Washington Redskins
Pick: Under 38.5 points -110 odds
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For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this contest is on the “under”: Baltimore saw the total go “under” the number in three of four pre-season contests in 2009. The Ravens won 17-12 last week over Carolina which saw the total go “under” the number. Baltimore’s defense was sharp and I expect it to have another big day on Saturday; it had two sacks, an interception and a fumble recovery last week. On the other side of the field: Washington saw the total go “under” the number in two of four pre-season contests in 2009. The Redskins demolished the Bills 42-17 last week, which saw the total go well “over” the posted number. Washington was also sharp defensively for the most part last week, even though it didn’t have to be. The Redskins scored their most points in a pre-season game since 1988, but it is clearly facing a different team this week in the Ravens.

Bottom line: This total is inflated after last week’s rout by the Redskins over the hapless Bills; great value on the UNDER in this situation. Good luck gentlemen…N Parsons

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