Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins u8.5 (-125)
Thu May 14th 2009 1:10p – Baseball Odds
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Justin Verlander of the Detroit Tigers has been almost unhittable lately, and even Scott Baker of the Minnesota Twins has been pitching better, so do not look for much scoring in the Metrodome early this afternoon.

Verlander has allowed a grand total of one run in his last three starts, allowing only 11 hits with 31 strikeouts against five walks in 23 innings. That translates to a microscopic 0.39 ERA and 0.70 WHIP with a better than six to one strikeout/walk ratio. Furthermore, he had a Complete Game in his last start and tossed seven innings in each of the prior two starts, so it is a good bet that the shaky Detroit bullpen will not see much if any action today.

Now Baker was off to a slow start this season, but he comes in off of his best start of the year as he tossed seven scoreless innings while allowing only five hits vs. the Seattle Mariners, and he does have an excellent 0.95 WHIP over his last three starts. Baker has also allowed three earned runs or less in seven of his last eight career starts vs. the Tigers, with four of those Quality Starts coming last season.

When you add in the natural lethargy that comes with these 12:10 local starts following a night came, this looks like a rather safe Under.

MLB Free Pick: Tigers, Twins Under 8.5 (-125)

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