Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres
Free Pick: San Diego Padres (-110 odds)
Wed Sep 16 ’09 3:35p
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The Arizona Diamondbacks have taken the first two games of this series vs. the San Diego Padres at Petco Park, but we look for the home-standing Pads to avoid the sweep and salvage a win today.

San Diego starter Edward Mujica has done some outstanding work in middle relief this season, and he did not disappoint when called on to make his first Major League start last Friday either. Mujica tossed four shutout innings vs. a pretty good Colorado Rockies lineup, allowing only two hits with three strikeouts and no walks.

Yes, Mujica does not figure to go more than five innings today either, but he has the support of one of the better bullpens in baseball. The Padres rank eighth in the Major League with a cumulative 3.77 bullpen ERA, and that number drops to a fantastic 2.90 in this spacious stadium.

Now Dug Davis is quietly pitching decently in the desert, as his 7-13 record does not do him justice when you consider that he has a 3.89 ERA overall and has allowed three runs or less in eight of his last 10 starts. However, he still puts too many men on base, as evidenced by his rather high 1.46 WHIP, and thus does not usually work deep into games. That could be a problem with a terrible Arizona bullpen that has a 6.54 ERA over the last 10 games.

It may not be pretty, but look for San Diego to scratch out enough runs to get that elusive victory.

MLB Free Pick: Padres -110

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