Toronto Blue Jays (-105) MLB Odds - Tue September 2nd ‘08 7:05p
We are actually quite high David Purcey of the Toronto Blue Jays despite his year-to-date numbers, and we feel this is a nice price at home vs. the Minnesota Twins. Yes, Purcey is 2-5 with a 5.53 ERA, but he is just now starting to develop into the pitcher we expected him to be, with three Quality Starts in his last four outings. More importantly, has last start was his best one yet, as he tossed a Complete Game while allowing just five hits with 11 strikeouts vs. the Tampa Bay Rays. He should be tough on a Twins lineup that has never faced him before. Minnesota is actually six games under .500 on the road at 31-37, and the performance of their starter Glenn Perkins mirrors that of the team. Perkins is a very deceptive 5-1 on the road, as truth be told, he has really not pitcher well away from home with a 4.03 ERA and a high 1.40 WHIP. He allowed four earned runs and eight hits vs. the last place Seattle Mariners in his last start, and if Purcey pitches as well as we expect, Perkins does not figure to get the same run support that he has been receiving. Finally, do not forget that the Toronto bullpen has the lowest ERA in the major leagues at 2.88, making the Jays even more attractive at this cheap price at home. MLB Free Pick: Blue Jays -105 - Courtesy of LT Profits
 
Chicago White Sox (-115) - Tue September 2nd ‘08 7:05p
The Chicago White Sox are still 9-2 in the last 11 head-to-head meetings with the Cleveland Indians despite losing here last night, but we look for the Sox to resume their winning ways here now that they are no longer facing Cy Young Award favorite Cliff Lee. The Cleveland starter tonight, Fausto Carmona, garnered some Cy Young votes himself last year, but he has not nearly been as good this year following arm surgery. Carmona is 7-5 but with a high 4.50 ERA and 1.60 WHIP. Even worse, he has a 5.08 ERA here at home and has just two Quality Starts in his last five outings. Meanwhile, John Danks is 10-7 with a nice 3.30 ERA for Chicago, and he has been even better on the road, where he is 6-2 with a scintillating 2.87 ERA in 13 road starts. Danks has allowed exactly one earned run in each of his two starts vs. Cleveland this year, allowing a total of two runs and only six hits in 14.2 innings! Throw in a White Sox bullpen that has an ERA (3.76) nearly 1.50 runs lower than the Indians pen (5.15), and the pitching advantage becomes even greater for Chicago here. MLB Free Pick: White Sox -115 - Courtesy of LT Profits - Baseball Betting

Baltimore Orioles @ Boston Red Sox o10.5 (-115) - Tue September 2nd ‘08 7:05p
The Baltimore Orioles and the Boston Red Sox square away in game two of their three game set tonight at Fenway Park in Boston. The Red Sox took game one 7-4 and look to post some more crooked numbers on the scoreboard this evening. In case you had not guessed it, we are going with the OVER 10.5 tonight. Baltimore is sending lamb Radhames Liz to the slaughter tonight. Liz, to say the least, has not fared well against the Red Sox. In two career starts against Boston (both at Fenway) Liz has allowed 10 earned runs in a little over five innings of work. In reality, Radhames has not fared much better against other opponents. In his last five starts, he has yielded 4.4 earned runs per game and has averaged just less than five innings pitched. The Red Sox lineup is salivating because it should be Fat Pitch city tonight. Boston lefty Jon Lester will be working against the Orioles. Lester is having a great season, sporting a 12-5 record and a 3.41 ERA, but he has fallen off pace a little of late. He has still been effective but his ERA is 5.06 in his last three starts. In his last five starts at home he has allowed almost three earned runs for every seven innings pitched. Not bad, but if he does that tonight, it will be more than enough to get this game over the total. Things to consider: Baltimore is averaging 7.2 runs per game over their last 10 away games and 5.1 runs per game over their last 10 at any location. Boston is averaging 7.2 runs per game over their last 10 home games and 5.9 runs per game over their last 10 at any location. The OVER is 10-0 in Liz’s last 10 starts (average game score 14.40) and 7-1 in his last eight away starts (average game score 14.25). The OVER is 4-1 in Lester’s last five home starts (average game score 11.20). The OVER is 25-9 this season when Baltimore faces a lefty. Baltimore’s clean up hitter, Aubrey Huff, is .412 (7-of-17) lifetime against Lester with three doubles and a home run. Take the OVER 10.5 -115. - Courtesy of Matt Foust

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