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Pittsburgh Pirates (150) – Click Here for MLB Odds
Fri May 30 ’08 8:15p – Courtesy of LT Profits
The Pittsburgh Pirates surprised the Cincinnati Reds 7-2 on the road last night, and we look for a second straight upset by the Bucs when they visit the St. Louis Cardinals tonight. Maybe Zach Duke has struggled since his great rookie season, but the youngster has continued to be tough on the Cardinals. Duke now has three Quality Starts in his last four outings vs. St. Louis, and the last time he faced them he allowed only one run on eight hits in seven innings. Also, while Pittsburgh is ranked 18th in the majors with a 4.08 bullpen ERA, it should be noted that much of that damage was done by pitchers no longer with the club, and that the current active bullpen actually has a very respectable 3.85 ERA cumulatively. Now Todd Wellemeyer has pitched out of his mind this season with a 3.36 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in 11 starts, but that is exactly the problem, as we feel Wellemeyer has pitched over his head. He did not last past the sixth inning of a 4-3 loss to the Los Angeles Dodgers in his last start though, so maybe his descent back to earth has begun. Look for more regression today vs. a Pirates lineup that actually has a higher team batting average over the last 10 games (.270) than the Cardinals do in that same span (.258). That makes the Pirates worth a long look at this generous price. MLB Free Pick: Pirates +150

Colorado Rockies (142) – Click Here for MLB Odds
Fri May 30 ’08 2:20p – Courtesy of Alex Smart
The Colorado Rockies are struggling , there is not doubt about it, but this afternoon, with Aaron Cooke(7-3, 2.82 ERA) their most stable starter taking to the hill, they have a good chance of pulling off a victory at a value price vs the Cubbies. Chicagos starter Ted Lilly despite of a winning record this season owns a bloated 5.23 ERA on the year, and has almost always looked susceptible to a beat down. With the pitching matchup favoring the Rockies, I recommending we back them on the moneyline . Final notes & Key Trends: Cook has had success against the Cubs in the past as s evident by a 3-1 record along with a 2.32 ERA, and had a top notch effort against the Cubs this season, giving up two runs on four hits in a win. Play on Colorado

Oakland Athletics (-110) – click Here for MLB Odds
Fri May 30 ’08 8:05p – Courtesy of LT Profits
This looks like a pitching mismatch for the Oakland Athletics when they visit the Texas Rangers tonight, so the A’s get the call even on the road. Justin Duchscherer has been terrific this season despite his modest 4-3 record, as he has an excellent 2.16 ERA and a sensational 0.98 WHIP in seven starts covering 41.2 innings. He has yet to allow more than three earned runs in any start, and he only did that once, allowing two earned runs or less in his other six starts. Duchscherer is coming off of the best start of his career, as he allowed only one hit in eight scoreless innings vs. the Boston Red Sox last Saturday. Best of all, if he is in need of relief, Oakland is ranked fourth in the American League with a 3.32 bullpen ERA, making them a Bullpen System play vs. the dismal Rangers pen. Meanwhile, Kevin Millwood is making his first start off of the Disabled List for Texas, and he has been horrible to this point with a 4.88 ERA and a poor 1.69 WHIP in 48 innings. His last appearance came against these A’s, but he was pulled after 0.2 innings after injuring his groin and hasn’t been seen in a game since. In his last start vs. Oakland last season, Millwood was lit up for seven earned runs and nine hits in just three innings. Also, do not expect much help from a Texas bullpen that ranks dead last in the Major Leagues with a collective 4.81 ERA. Finally, there is virtually no difference between the Athletics’ road record (12-12) and the Rangers’ home mark (12-11), so it is not as if Texas enjoys a huge home field advantage here. MLB Free Pick: Athletics -110

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