Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres u8.0 (-120 odds)
Fri September 11th 2009 10:05p
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Petco Park has been the stingiest ballpark in baseball this season in terms of runs scored, and we look for that to continue tonight when the Colorado Rockies visit the San Diego Padres.

Game in this stadium are averaging just a combined 7.56 runs this season, so a posted total of 8.0 in this park is considered to be higher than it would be in most other stadiums. The Padres are batting a woeful .217 as a team here, and also consider that this is not the same Rockies team we are accustomed to seeing, as it is actually their pitching that has propelled them to the wild card lead. Colorado is batting a modest .241 on the road.

Rockies starter Jorge de la Rosa enters this contest on a bit of a roll, as he has allowed three runs or less in five of his last six starts including allowing either one or no earned runs in four of those outings. The last thing San Diego needs right now is to face a hot pitcher in this spacious park, and they have struggles against southpaws this season regardless of the venue, batting only .236 against them overall including a disgusting .196 here.

Now Edward Mujica is making his first Major League start tonight after 116 career relief appearances including 63 this season. He has earned this opportunity though by pitching very well in middle relief, as he has a 3.51 ERA in 77 innings with 60 strikeouts against just 16 walks. Mujica will not embarrass himself in a four or five innings stint, and he will then turn things over to a red-hot Padres bullpen that has accumulated a sparkling 1.74 ERA over the last 10 games.

Look for a typically low-scoring Petco Park contest tonight.

MLB Free Pick: Rockies, Padres Under 8 (-120)

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