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Baseball Picks: Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Indians: June 20th 2012

June 20th, 2012
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Baseball Picks: June 20th 2012
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Indians
Pick: Cleveland Indians -123
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The Cleveland Indians are showing solid value Wednesday as a small home favorite against the Cincinnati Reds. The Indians will be going for the series sweep, and they’ll be sending their best starter to the mound in Justin Masterson tonight.

Masterson got off to a slow start this season, but he’s really kicked it in gear of late. He has allowed just one earned run over 14 innings in his last two starts. Masterson has been at his best at home, posting a 3.13 ERA and 1.276 WHIP in nine home outings in 2012.

Bronson Arroyo has posted a 3.84 ERA in 13 starts this season, a 3.91 ERA in seven home starts, and a 4.66 ERA over his last three. Arroyo has allowed 16 earned runs over 16 1/3 innings in his last three starts against Cleveland, while Masterson allowed just one earned runs over 8 innings in his last start against Cincinnati.

The Reds are 17-35 in their last 52 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record. Cincinnati is 0-4 in Arroyo’s last 4 starts vs. American League Central foes. The Indians are 26-12 in their last 38 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. Cleveland is 6-0 in their last 6 home meetings with Cincinnati. Bet the Indians Wednesday.

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