Baseball Picks: May 10th 2012
Detroit Tigers vs. Oakland Athletics
Pick: Over 7
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Oddsmakers have set the bar too low tonight in the Detroit vs. Oakland Game 1 Thursday. These starting pitchers are getting way too much respect in this one. I expect to see at least 8 combined runs by the time both Max Scherzer and Bartolo Colon depart.

Scherzer just hasn’t lived up to the hype since coming over to Detroit. The righty is coming off a poor 2011 campaign in which he posted a 4.43 ERA and 1.349 WHIP through 33 starts. Scherzer hasn’t been any better in 2012, going 1-3 with a 6.32 ERA and 1.723 WHIP through six starts.

Bartolo Colon has actually pitched very well on the road this season. The veteran has proven he still has something left in the tank, but he has not fared well at home this year. Colon is 0-2 with a 7.15 ERA and 1.765 WHIP in two home starts in 2012, yielding 9 earned runs and 20 base runners over 11 1/3 innings.

Neither of these starters has had that much success against the opposition. Colon is 8-9 with a 5.16 ERA and 1.581 WHIP in 23 career starts against Detroit. Scherzer is 1-1 with a 4.22 ERA and 1.312 WHIP in two career starts against the A’s. Scherzer gave up 5 earned runs in 5 innings in his last start at Oakland.

Detroit is 20-8 to the OVER after allowing 4 runs or less 4 straight games over the last 3 seasons. The A’s are 27-8 to the OVER in home games vs. AL teams scoring 4.2 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. The OVER is 8-1 in Tigers last 9 games following a loss. The OVER is 7-0-1 in Scherzer’s last 8 starts vs. American League West foes. Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

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