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Baseball Picks: Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets: May 15th 2012

May 15th, 2012
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Baseball Picks: May 15th 2012
Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets
Pick: New York Mets +134 odds
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Free Play from Doc’s Sports: Take #908 New York over Milwaukee (7:10pm est): The Milwaukee Brewers and their star pitcher Zack Greinke look totally different when they are away from home than they do when both of them are at home. The betting market looks to be rating these two together like this game tonight is being played in Milwaukee but instead it’s in New York, where both aren’t nearly as good.

Been a rough start to the 2012 season so far for a Brewers team coming off a memorable 2011. Most of Milwaukee’s problems stem from how poorly they have played away from home, going just 6-11 on the road this season. This was the exact same problem they had last season as they looked like world beaters at home but dropped off considerably when playing away from there. They have won just two of their last eleven road games versus teams with winning records and only one of their last five against those type of teams with Greinke on the hill. Greinke sports a rocky 7.20 road ERA in his three away starts this season, this coming a year after pitching much worse away from home also. Get more baseball picks for May 15th 2012 from Doc’s Sports at Touthouse.com

The Mets have been a surprise team so far in 2012 and a lot of that surprise has come from an offense that continues to hit the ball. They have been a very consistent group with the bats having scored 5.4 runs per game in their last ten contests while putting up three or more runs in each of those ten games. The Mets were able to do this against some top line pitchers like Halladay, Lee and Buehrle along with some other solid ones like Gallardo, Nolasco, Zambrano, Blanton, Miley and Cahill going up against them.

The market obviously hasn’t adjusted enough for how much better the Mets are this season and how much worse the Brewers were than last year. This has helped create some nice value here in this one tonight. Take New York here in this one.

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