Baylor vs. Texas A&M
Free Pick: Texas A&M -4.5 -110 odds - point spreads
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The Texas A&M Aggies will have their bowl hopes on the line at home on Saturday afternoon when they take on the Baylor Bears. This could also be the final chance for HC Mike Sherman to salvage his job, as he could be history if A&M doesn’t qualify for a bowl game. Though the Aggies still have one game remaining, it’s unlike that they beat mighty Texas, making this game all the more important. Though Baylor is in must-win mode as well, the Bears just don’t have the horses to hang around in this one.

The only result in the L/6 games for Baylor that is even remotely concerning to me is that 40-32 victory at Missouri two weeks ago. But if I throw that game out of the mix, the Bears are just 2-3 ATS and 0-5 SU in their other five outings since October 3rd. Last week, they were housed by Texas from the get go and never had a chance of covering the 23-point spread at home. Save that 40-point outburst against the Tigers, the Bears haven’t put more than 14 points on the board since the Kent State game either. Both TDs last week against Texas came in garbage time when the cover was already out of reach. Texas A&M’s defense has struggled this season, allowing 34.0 points per game, but considering that they allowed 65 to Oklahoma and 62 to Kansas State, a lot of that should be forgiven.

The Aggies are coming off of that brutal 65-10 loss in Normal last week and will be looking to get back on the right foot this weekend. They’ve played relatively well at home, especially of late, as they scored a 35-10 victory over Iowa State in their last home date. They also have convincing victories over UAB and New Mexico there. The offense surely isn’t the problem for Sherman’s crew, as his QB Jerrod Johnson has been absolutely fantastic this season. On a better team, Johnson would be up for the Heisman Trophy, as he has thrown for 2,722 yards and 22 TDs against five INTs and ran for another 275 yards and seven scores. The Aggies rank #8 in the land in total offense at 452.4 yards per game and 20th in points scored at 33.0 per game. They should have no problems rolling against this Baylor defense.

Revenge should also be considered here as well, as Baylor knocked off A&M 41-21 last season. The favorite is 10-4 ATS in the L/14 in this series, and that should continue with a convincing victory for the hosts on Saturday. Book it!!!

Play: Texas A&M Aggies