Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Indians
Pick: Over 9.5 Runs -110 Odds
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I expect Tim Wakefield and David Huff to get rocked tonight as each has really struggled of late. Wakefield is 1-4 with a 6.02 ERA this season, and he has been crushed for 15 earned runs, 23 base runers and 3 home runs in his last 2 starts, totaling 9.2 innings of work. Those two starts came against the A’s and Royals, certainly two of the worst offensive teams in the league who are similar to Cleveland. Huff is 2-6 with a 6.08 ERA this season, including 0-1 with an 8.74 ERA and 1.853 WHIP in his last 3 starts.

Wakefield is 10-2 to the OVER vs. poor power teams – averaging 0.9 or less HR’s/game over the last 2 seasons, and I am seeing an average combined score of 12.7 RPG in these spots. Boston is 11-3-1 to the OVER in their last 15 games as a road favorite of -151 to -200. The OVER is 5-1 in Wakefield’s last 6 starts overall. The OVER is 17-6-4 in Wakefields last 27 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Cleveland is 7-1 to the OVER in their last 8 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. The Indians are 11-2 to the OVER in their last 13 home games. Bet the OVER Tuesday.

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