Buffalo Bills vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Odds, Pick & Point Spread: November 22nd 2009
Buffalo Bills vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
Free NFL Pick: Jacksonville -8 -110 odds – NFL point spreads
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This week we’re back on the Jaguars as for a number of different reasons I believe they’ll take advantage of a floundering Bills team as Jacksonville makes a serious push to the playoffs:
To say Buffalo has had to deal with adversity this season would be an understatement; the Bills started their sixth different offensive line combination in their 41-17 loss to the Titans, and then had to blow that plan up when Demetrius Bell went down with a knee injury right before halftime.
It just seems to go from bad to worse for the Bills. Trent Edwards was back on the field after missing 2 1/2 games with a concussion, and he threw for 185 yards, but he giveth and taketh away as he tossed one TD pass to Lee Evans, and then threw a pick-six in the final three minutes that iced the game for Tennessee.
Marshawn Lynch has a laughable 254 yards in six games.
Buffalo is just 2-5 ATS its last seven overall.
On the other side of the field: Last week David Garrard had a 101.6 passer rating and threw a TD pass, and he wasn’t intercepted against the Jets. He also directed a game-winning, 80-yard drive to set up the game-winning field goal in the fourth quarter.
Maurice Jones-Drew ran 24 times for 123 yards against the Jets to boost his total to 860 yards for the season and he’ll look to have another huge day against a patchwork Bills defensive line.
On the defensive side: Rashean Mathis intercepted a Mark Sanchez pass on the first play of the game, and Quentin Groves intercepted a pass in the third quarter. The Jaguars held Sanchez to a 59.3 passer rating.
They also held Thomas Jones to 77 yards in 21 carries. Overall, they gave up just 110 yards rushing.
Bottom line: Two teams moving in different directions; a steady dose of Jones-Drew; an efficient and a limited mistake performance from Garrard, and an ever improving defensive unit; I recommend taking a serious look at JACKSONVILLE in this situation as I expect it to move to 5-2 ATS this season against conference opponents!
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