Buffalo Bills vs. Tennessee Titans
Free NFL Pick: Buffalo +7 -110 odds – NFL point spreads
Visit Touthouse.com for more expert NFL football picks from Ben Burns

I successfully played on the Titans each of the last two weeks here. Two weeks ago, they beat up on the Jaguars, finally earning their first victory. Last week, having “gotten the monkey off their back,” the Titans traveled to San Francisco and ‘upset’ the 49′ers. Some might suggest I stick with the Titans here, subscribing to the “If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it” mentality. However, while others are beginning to jump back on the Tennessee bandwagon, I feel that this looks like a good spot to go the other way.

As mentioned, the Titans had to play on the West Coast last week. Buffalo, on the other hand, had the week off. Additionally, the Titans have a big Monday Night showdown vs. division rival Houston on deck. That’s arguably one of the bigger games left on their schedule. With a trip to Jacksonville on deck, the Bills have less reason to get caught “looking ahead.” Note that the Titans are 0-5 ATS their last five games against teams from the AFC East.

Last week, the Titans were getting points. They haven’t fared as well as favorites though, particularly not as home favorites in this range. In fact, the Titans are a money-burning 11-24-1 ATS the last 36 times that they were listed as home favorites in the -3.5 to -7 range. During the same stretch, the Bills have gone a profitable 29-18-1 ATS when listed as home underdogs in the +3.5 to +7 range.

The Bills admittedly did get beaten up pretty badly by the Texans, prior to their bye. However, they’ve now had plenty of time to recover from that setback and it should be noted that they’ve won each of their last two road games (at New York Jets and at Carolina) outright. They’re 13-7 SU and 12-7-1 ATS the last 20 times they were coming off a bye, including victories each of the last two seasons. Last year, they were crushed by Arizona prior to their bye but came back and beat San Diego afterwards. The previous season, they beat Dallas after the break. Consider taking the points.

If you enjoyed this article then you may be interested in:

1. Hall of Fame Game Pick: Buffalo Bills vs. Tennessee Titans Betting Odds: August 9th 2009
2. Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Tennessee Titans Pick, Odds & Point Spread: November 1st 2009
3. Tennessee Titans vs. San Francisco 49ers Pick, Odds & Point Spread: November 8th 2009
4. New Orleans Saints vs. Buffalo Bills Odds, Pick & Point Spread: September 27th 2009
5. New England Patriots vs. Tennessee Titans Odds, Pick & Point Spread: October 18th 2009