Free Sports Picks, MLB Baseball PicksOctober 5th, 2008
Philadelphia Phillies (-115) - Sun October 5 ‘08 1:05p
The Milwaukee Brewers kept hope alive with a 4-1 victory yesterday, but we look for the Philadelphia Phillies to dash those hopes today by wrapping up this series in four games and advancing to the NLCS. Joe Blanton proved to be a nice mid-season acquisition for the Phillies, as he went 4-0 personally in a Philadelphia uniform and the Phils went 9-4 as a team in every game that he started. More importantly, Blanton may be pitching his best ball of the year right now, as he closed the regular season with three consecutive Quality Starts. This stretch began with a very nice starts against these Brewers on September 14, during a 4-game Phillies sweep that helped propel the team to the division title and delegate the Brew Crew to a wild card spot. Blanton allowed three runs and just five hits in seven innings of that 7-3 victory. While Blanton appears to be in peak form now, the same can certainly not be said for Jeff Suppan of Milwaukee, who failed to record a Quality Start in any of his last five starts, and who has a brutal 10.12 ERA and 2.44 WHIP in his last three outings. As if that is not bad enough, Suppan was lit up by these Phillies the last time he faced them, surrendering six earned runs and eight hits in just 3.2 innings. Now neither of these teams have done much hitting in this series, but we feel that Philadelphia is more likely to get to Suppan and the shaky Brewers bullpen here than Milwaukee is to get to a hot Blanton and a great Phillies pen. MLB Free Pick: Phillies -115 - Courtesy of LT Profits
Free Sports Picks, NCAA Football PicksOctober 3rd, 2008
If you are betting college football this Saturday, October 4th, be sure to visit Touthouse.com for updated college football odds, expert college football picks and NCAA predictions. Click Here to Buy Winning Football Picks
Auburn -4.0 - Saturday, October 4th ‘08 6:00p
Auburn(4-1) enters into this tilt off a big bounce back victory against the Tennessee Vols last time out, by a score of 14-12, and will be primed to take out a over hyped Vanderbilt (4-0) program in this spot. The Tigers after a loss to LSU the previous week, could have easily been in a let down situation, but instead came back strong, which in turn bodes well, for their chances against a Commodores team that is getting a lot of over done accolades. Do not get me wrong, Vandy has performed admirably so far this season, with key upset wins against the Mississippi Rebels and South Carolina Gamecocks , however, now, because of their successes , they have a huge target on their backs, and will be unable to launch any more surprise attacks . Im betting Auburns hardcore defense, that has allowed 3 of 5 opponents under 100 yards rushing, to gives fits to a good but not quite ready for prime time Vanderbilt offense., that depends almost exclusively on their running game to move the chains. Meanwhile, a Tigers offense, that has not looked very fluid this season , will finally have some successes against , a vulnerable secondary that has allowed an average of 240 passing yards per game., and with each successive game this season has also allowed more and more yards on the ground. Final notes & Key Trends: The Tigers have won 13 straight in this series, the last three wins have come by an average of 30 PPG. The Commodores are 8-21 ATS L/29 October home games. HC Tubberville of Auburn is also 9-1 L/10 ATS as a road favorite of 7 points or less. Projected score: Auburn 28 Vanderbilt 13 - Courtesy of Alex Smart
Indiana +7.0 (-110) - Sat October 4th ‘08 12:00p
We rate this battle between the Indiana Hoosiers and the Minnesota Gophers as a toss up, which naturally give value to the Hoosiers catching a touchdown in this spot. Indiana has now dropped two straight after a 2-0 start, but they were on their way to a cover vs. a tough Michigan State team last week before fumbling on the MSU 20-yard line against a prevent defense with less than two minutes remaining. In fact, the Hoosiers have had little trouble moving the ball this year, averaging an impressive 453.5 yards of offense per game including 249.0 yards on the ground. Much of this ground attack has come courtesy of versatile quarterback Kellen Lewis, who was dinged up last week and had to leave the game with a leg injury. He did look fine after re-entering that contest though. Now, Minnesota has also been proficient offensively, averaging 33.2 points per game with a very balanced attack. However, while Indiana carried their offensive success over to Big Ten play, the Gophers were stifled somewhat by Ohio State last week, and that game marked their ninth consecutive conference loss stretching back to last season. These clubs are like mirror images in that both have stout offenses and porous defenses, but the fact that Indiana has at least shown they can still score inside the conference while the Gophers are a vulnerable favorite given their Big Ten losing streak gives the Hoosiers the edge as decided dogs. CFB Free Pick: Indiana +7 (-110) - courtesy of LT Profits
Texas-El Paso +7.5 (-110) - Saturday, October 4th ‘08 7:00p
The UTEP Miners broke through the win column after an 0-3 start with an emphatic 58-13 romp over Central Florida last week, and we now look for them to give the Southern Miss Golden Eagles all that they can handle here. The Miners had a very balanced attack last week, getting 263 passing yards from Trevor Vittatoe and 119 rushing yards from their running back corps. Even the defense got into the act with two touchdowns on fumble returns. UTEP should be able to take advantage of a disappointing Southern Miss defense that is surrendering 26.5 points on a whopping 412.5 yards per game. The Eagles have been equally generous vs. the run (4.9 yards per rush) and the pass (7.3 yard per attempt). They lost here at home to Marshall last week in this identical role of touchdown favorites, as they were shredded for 202 yards on the ground. The Miners were no doubt taking notes, so we look for UTEP to run the ball a little more this week to help set up the passing of Vittatoe. This should result in some time consuming drives, which should shorten the game and be beneficial to the underdogs. CFB Free Pick: UTEP +7.5 (-110) - Courtesy of LT Profits
Texas Tech -7.0 (-110) - Saturday, October 4th ‘08 3:30p
Many college football observers think this could be the best Texas Tech team that head coach Mike Leach has fielded. Coming into the season, the Red Raiders were pretty much a one dimensional team. But thru the first four games of the campaign, all victories, Tech has balanced things a bit more. This team will still live or die by the pass. The Tech defense is also better than it has been in previous years. Kansas State can’t trade with the Red Raiders offensively, and they’ve been absolutely porous defensively.
Texas Tech’s high-powered offense led by Senior QB Graham Harrell and Sophomore WR Michael Crabtree have averaged over 45 points and 570 yards a game while climbing to No. 7 in the rankings with a 4-0 record. The Red Raiders have also improved their running game. Baron Batch and Shannon Woods, both average over 6 yards per carry and are receiving threats out of the backfield as well. The Red Raiders are backing up all that offense with an improved defense that is giving up an average of 16 points per game. Kansas State also knows how to put up a lot of points, as they average 47 points a contest. The Wildcats are led by Junoir QB Josh Freeman, who broke KSU’s career record for passing yards last week and needs only two passing TDs to tie the school mark. KSU finally found a running game during their last contest as converted WR Lamark Brown rushed for 137 yards and a TD to give the offense a balance. Additonaly, there should be plenty of points today as this game turns into a track meet. Consider a serious look at the OVER. - Courtesy of Bob Harvey
Washington +24.0 (-110) - Sat Oct 4 ‘08 7:30p
There is another big Pac-10 contest going off today, but it is not this game; this game being the Washington Huskies at the Arizona Wildcats. I am going to go with the Huskies, believe it or not, as a 24 point road dog in this tilt with Mike Stoops’ Arizona Wildcats. Everything points to the Wildcats dominating the Huskies, and I am sure they will win the game; however, I think Washington will bring enough this afternoon to cover the big spread. Why? Well, because Arizona has not proven in Mike Stoops tenure to be an overly consistent team. Even this season, probably Stoops best thus far, they have had a lapse, losing 36-28 to a less talented New Mexico team. Washington is a young team and they have played like it to this point. Their highlight is a close loss to BYU, but young team’s can improve (i.e. Oregon State), especially when there are rumors swirling about their coach’s demise. Sometimes this can bring out the best in a team. I see an inspired effort from the Huskies today as they will be playing on the road without as much pressure and with nothing to lose. Here are a couple of nuggets too, that may be of interest. In Mike Stoops tenure (this is his sixth year) at Arizona, the Wildcats have beaten an opponent by more than 24 points at home just three times. Two of those have happened this season, but I find it unlikely that he will pull off a feat three times in six games that he only managed to do once in his first five seasons. Also, the underdog in this conference series is 8-3 straight up and 11-0 against the spread since 1997. Free Pick: Take the Washington Huskies +24 - Courtesy of Matt Foust
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Chicago Bears -3.5 (-110) NFL Betting Odds - Sunday, October 5th ‘08 1:00p
Now we normally shy away from seemingly obvious selections like the Chicago Bears being favored over the lowly Detroit Lions by just over a field goal, but we feel that in this case, the line is being kept down artificially because some people actually think the Lions will suddenly improve with the firing of general manager Matt Millen! Well, we feel that Vince Lombardi would have a difficult time getting something out of this Detroit team right now if he came back from the grave, so we will cast our paranoia aside and accept this bargain line for just what it is. The Lions have not even been competitive in their fist three games, as all those contests were over at halftime. Detroit has had a propensity of trying to establish the run early to set up the pass later, That is all well and good except for the fact that the Lions have mediocre at best running backs and their offensive line has been horrible. So perhaps their strategy this week will be to throw the ball straight from the get-go? Well the problem there is that the Bears put great pressure on the quarterback and they allow only 5.5 yards per passing attempt. The Chicago defensive number would only get better if Detroit became a one-dimensional passing team. Now can the Detroit defense keep them in this game? Well, the Lions are allowing a whopping 430.3 total yards per game, and they are allowing an incredulous 5.6 yards per rush and 9.0 yards per pass attempt. Not to mention that they allow the most points in the NFL at 37.7 points per game, so the answer to the question would be no. We feel that only the Bears conservatism could keep this game remotely close, but rookie running back Matt Forte has run very well vs. much better defenses already, and that should et up some nice play-action opportunities for Kyle Orton later. Remember too that the Bear could very easily be 4-0 after their thrilling win over the Philadelphia Eagles last week instead of 2-2, and they should roll to an easy win here. NFL Free Pick: Bears -3.5 (-110) - Courtesy of LT Profits
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3.0 (-110) - Sunday, October 5th ‘08 4:05p
The Denver Broncos were shocked by the lowly Kansas City Chiefs last week while the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are playing excellent football at 3-1 right now. Well yes, the Broncos are 3-1 also, but that is where the similarities end. The Broncos could have easily lost both of their home games thus far, so they more closely resemble a tram that is 1-3 than 3-1. The problem for Denver has been a defense that has been torched for 29.2 points and 411.2 total yards per game. In their two home wins so far, they survived thanks to a terrible call by the referee vs. the San Diego Chargers and by a missed field goal in the closing seconds by the New Orleans Saints, winning those contests by a combined three points! Suddenly, losing to the Chiefs does not look that surprising. Now the Buccaneers can be 4-0 right now, as they lost 24-20 in the final minutes to the Saints on opening week before their current three-game winning streak. The key to their success has been the running of Earnest Graham, as the Bucs are averaging 133.8 rushing yards per game on a nice 5.0 yards per carry. Look for Graham to have success on the ground again vs. a Denver run defense that is allowing 132.8 rushing yards per game on a terrible 5.0 yards per rush, keying this mild upset. NFL Free Pick: Buccaneers +3 (-110) - Courtesy of LT Profits
Miami Dolphins +7.0 - Sun Oct 5 ‘08 1:00p
The Miami Dolphins have had an extra week of rest since upsetting and pounding the New England Patriots 30-13 back on Sept 21. The Fins , well prepared and fresh, will now take on a San Diego team that exerted a great deal of energy in a come back victory against their long time rivals the Oakland Raiders last week. I’m betting the Chargers after that above mentioned effort, and the difficulties associated with adjusting to a new time zone, will not be as lethal as usual, especially in the heat and humidity of south Florida. Meanwhile, I expect the Dolphins behind a load of exotic offensive options with RB Ronnie Brown as the catalyst to give the Chargers inconsistent offense all they can handle in this spot on their way to what could easily be another upset win, against a franchise they have beaten 6 straight times. Play on the Miami Dolphins to cover -Projected score: Miami 24 San Diego 21 - Courtesy of Alex Smart
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Denver Broncos o46.0 (-110) - Sun Oct 5 ‘08 4:05p
Today the Denver Broncos will try to overcome last week’s road loss to the Chiefs by matching up with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Mile High Stadium. Although the Bucs are traditionally known for their defense, we are going to go with the over 46 in this AFC/NFC battle. Last week the Broncos failed to score at least 33 points for the first time in 2008. Despite putting just 19 on the board at Arrowhead Stadium, Denver is still averaging 33 points per game this year. The only reason Jay Cutler and company did not crest the 30 point mark in KC was due to an opportunistic Chiefs defense which created four turnovers. Still, the Broncos piled up 446 yards of offense while possessing the ball a little over 26 minutes. The Buccaneers are still known for their defensive prowess but they have some weapons on offense and Jon Gruden knows how to use them. Tampa Bay is averaging over 25 points per game this season and they have shown an ability to move the ball both with the pass and the run. Last Sunday against Green Bay, the Bucs put up almost 350 yards of offense despite turning the ball over three times. Denver has proven that they can move the ball on anyone. Granted, they have not exactly faced a murder’s row of defensive units, but their numbers are jaw dropping nonetheless. The Bucs will be the toughest defense that Denver’s faced thus far, but their biggest weakness is the Broncos biggest strength (passing game). Denver will get its share, and so will Tampa. The yardage Denver’s porous defense has given up is just as staggering as their offensive production. The Broncos are yielding over 400 yards per game and Brian Griese should have little trouble moving the offense down the field. Free Pick: Take the OVER 46 -110 - Courtesy of Matt Foust
Free Sports Picks, NCAA Football PicksOctober 3rd, 2008
If you are betting on college football this weekend, be sure to visit Touthouse.com for expert college football betting picks and odds. Below are free picks by Matt Foust and Bob Harvey for the BYU vs. Utah State Matchup on Friday.
BYU @ Utah St. o60.0 (-110) - Friday, October 3rd ‘08 8:00p
This week the eighth ranked BYU Cougars will travel to Logan, Utah for a Friday evening tilt with WAC member Utah State. The Cougars of BYU are a heavy road favorite at -28, but we are going to go with the over 60 in this match-up. The Cougars are having another outstanding season under Bronco Mendenhall and their offense is explosive to say the least. Quarterback Max Hall is a legitimate Heisman candidate with a 180.8 passer rating and he has thrown 15 touchdowns to just two interceptions. The Cougars are averaging 43 points per game and have scored under 40 just once (28 at Washington) in a game where they turned the ball over twice. Against competition similar to Utah State, BYU has scored 59, 44, and 41. They will get over 40 in this game without question. The Aggies of Utah State have faced a pretty tough schedule to this point in the season, and they have not faired well. They have squared off against two teams in BYU’s class in Oregon and Utah. They allowed 124 points in those two games and they scored 34. I look for them to chalk up anywhere from 14 to 20 in this contest and for BYU to easily take care of the rest and push the total over 60. Things to consider: The Over is 7-3 in BYU’s last 10 as a road favorite with a total of 54.5 or more. The Over is 3-1 the last five years when BYU played as road favorite in the month of September. The Over is 3-1 the last five years when BYU played as a road favorite coming off a win as a home favorite. The Over is 5-0 the last five years win Utah State played as a home underdog during the month of September. - Courtesy of Matt Foust
BYU -29.0 (-110) - Friday, October 3rd ‘08 8:00p
BYU has got the perfect balance. A high powered offense led by a Heisman caliber QB and a stingy defense. That combination will be tough for Utah State to overcome tonight. The 8th ranked Cougars are coming off back-to-back shutouts of UCLA and Wyoming and have eight straight wins over Utah State dating back to 1993. BYU will also look to extend the nation’s longest winning streak to 15 games. Max Hall has been the catalyst behind the Cougars blazing start. Hall has thrown for 1,284 yards and 15 touchdowns in four games, tying the school record with seven TDs against UCLA. He has completed 74% of his passes this year with just two picks. The Aggies are just 1-3 this season and there hopes for the huge upset will rest on the shoulders of sophomore QB Diondre Borel, who threw for 191 yards and rushed for 97 yards in his first career start against Idaho two weeks ago. Utah State will also need a big game from running back Robert Turbin who rushed for 123 yards in the victory over the Vandals. Following a cumulative 103-0 dismantling of two Division 1 schools, the only thing that can keep BYU from posting a third straight road will be if they stay focused and don’t take one of the worst teams in the nation for granted. Utah State is 1-46 against ranked opponents. Make that 1-47 after they get spanked tonight by BYU. - Courtesy of Bob Harvey
Free Sports Picks, NCAA Football PicksOctober 1st, 2008
If you are betting on the Boise State vs. Louisiana Tech college football game tonight and need current college football odds and college football picks be sure to visit Touthouse.com and Buy Jim Krugers Expert NCAA Picks.
Boise St -23.5 - Wednesday October 1st ‘08 8:00p
To start, there are way too many great Bronco trends on the blue turf to even think about going against Boise. There are also a bunch of bad trends on LaTech such as being 11-26-1 ATS since 2001 as an away dog. Both teams have only played three games so far this year with the Bulldogs upsetting Mississippi State in their home opener but then losing to a lethargic Kansas squad, 29-0. The LT passing attack in these two games was very poor, 26 of 74 for only 294 yards and is only completing 41%of their passes for the entire season. LaTech beat SE Louisiana at home, 41,26, in their last game but were only ahead 28-23 at half and only outgained their Division-1AA opponent by 5 yards. Boise beat Bowling Green at home in their second game but went completely flat in the second half after getting a 20-0 first half lead. The Broncos beat Oregon on the road 9-20-08 as a 10.5 point underdog building a 37-13 lead. With the Oregon win, Boise now becomes the next “BCS buster” leader. This means BSU will try to run up the score to further impress the media. This is a must 30-point victory for Boise. Betting on WAC road dogs of 14 or more points is not a profitable spot in the past, 20-32 ATS the past five years. La Tech’s last two visits to potato-land have finished with identical 55-14 losses. Boise doesn’t seem to have the same capabilities on the ground this year as in the past. However, they don’t necessarily need to have a very good ground game against the Bulldogs who are next to last in pass defense in the NCAA giving up almost 350 yards per game. Boise gained confidence beating Oregon. Redshirt freshman QB Kellen Moore is ranked 7th in the nation in pass efficiency. Over the past ten years, a conference home favorite of 14 points or more who won their previous game straight-up as an away dog of more than 7 points is 15-4 ATS. Boise went lame in the Bowling Green game. However, that game was not played on a weekday in front of a national audience at night. This is Boise’s time Take the Broncos! - Courtesy of Jim Kruger
Free Sports Picks, MLB Baseball PicksOctober 1st, 2008
If you are betting on the Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies playoff game tonight be sure to visit Touthouse.com for current MLB baseball betting odds as well as baseball picks from expert handicapping service Rocketman Sports. Click Here to Buy MLB Picks
Philadelphia Phillies (-200) - Wed October 1st ‘08 3:05p
Philadelphia bullpen has been solid this year with a 3.21 ERA overall and a 3.12 ERA at home. Gallardo has only pitched in 4 games all season long. He did well during those games but it takes some guts to bring this guy out as your Game 1 starter. Brewers are 8-20 in their last 28 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Brewers are 2-6 in their last 8 during game 1 of a series. Brewers are 2-7 in their last 9 games vs. a left-handed starter. Brewers are 3-11 in their last 14 vs. a team with a winning record. Brewers are 2-8 in their last 10 road games. Brewers are 2-9 in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Brewers are 1-7 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Brewers are 0-7 in their last 7 vs. National League East. Hamels has a 3.09 ERA overall this year, 2.99 ERA at home this season and 2-1 with a 2.79 ERA his last 3 starts. Philadelphia has won 5 of 6 against the Brewers this year including a perfect 4-0 at home. Hamels is 2-1 overall vs Milwaukee since 1997. Phillies are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. National League Central. Phillies are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Phillies are 10-1 in their last 11 games following an off day. Phillies are 9-1 in their last 10 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Phillies are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record. Phillies are 10-2 in their last 12 games following a win. Phillies are 13-3 in their last 16 games on grass. Phillies are 13-3 in their last 16 overall. Phillies are 16-5 in their last 21 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Phillies are 18-6 in their last 24 home games. Phillies are 19-7 in their last 26 games vs. a right-handed starter. Phillies are 43-19 in their last 62 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Phillies are 35-16 in their last 51 during game 1 of a series. Phillies are 6-2 in Hamels’ last 8 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Phillies are 19-7 in Hamels’ last 26 starts vs. National League Central. Phillies are 14-6 in Hamels’ last 20 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Phillies are 24-11 in Hamels’ last 35 home starts. Brewers are 6-21 in the last 27 meetings in Philadelphia. We’ll recommend a small play on Philadelphia as your FREE play today! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
Free Sports Picks, MLB Baseball PicksOctober 1st, 2008
If you are betting on the Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers tonight and need current baseball betting odds be sure to visit Touthouse.com for expert baseball picks from LT Profits. Click Here to Buy MLB Picks
Los Angeles Dodgers (145) - Wed October 1 ‘08 6:35p
The Chicago Cubs are picked my many experts to win the World Series this year, not just for sentimental reasons but because of their deep pitching staff. Well, we actually do not feel that they have an edge in Game 1 vs. the Los Angeles Dodgers, and we are calling for an upset here. After all, has there been a better pitcher in baseball the last six weeks or so than Derek Lowe? Lowe has incredibly allowed two runs or less in nine straight starts, including four scoreless outings and four starts where he allowed exactly one run! Lowe also pitched well in two starts vs. the Cubs this year, allowing a total of three runs and 10 hits in 14 innings, and he has now posted Quality Starts in each of his last four starts vs. Chicago. Perhaps most importantly, you cannot underestimate the valuable post-season experience that Lowe gained while pitching the Boston Red Sox to the world championship in 2004. Now we realize that Ryan Dempster finished 17-6 with a remarkable 2.96 ERA for the Cubbies, but we are always leery about a pitcher that had a career year making his first post-season start. After all, Dempster is not a youngster, and no one could have possibly seen this season coming. We would not be surprised if the real Dempster resurfaces now with the playoff spotlight upon him. Finally, do not lose sight that the Dodgers have the stronger bullpen here, which becomes much more important in the playoffs when manager tend to have a much quicker hook. MLB Free Pick: Dodgers +145
Free Sports Picks, MLB Baseball PicksOctober 1st, 2008
If you are betting on the Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels tonight and need current baseball odds be sure to visit Touthouse.com for expert baseball picks from Bob Harvey. Click Here to Buy MLB Picks
Los Angeles Angels (-126) - Wednesday October 1st ‘08 10:05p
This is put up or shut up time in MLB. The Red Sox have owned the Angels in the post-season winning nine straight from Los Halos covering three series AND 22 years. However, the Angels should turn things around on the Red Sox this time around. Anaheim posted the best record in baseball at 100-62 and handled Boston pretty well during the regular season going 8-1! They averaged nearly seven runs a game while batting .305 with 15 homers and at least one per game. More impressively the Angels pitching staff held the Boston line-up to three runs or fewer in each of the last seven meetings. Unlike past years when the Angels dominated in the regular season only to falter in playoffs, this year’s team has been built for the post-season. The Angels signed free agent Tori Hunter who contributed 21 homers and 19 stolen bases and added Mark Texiara at the traded deadline. Texiara hit .358 with 13 homers in 54 games in an Anaheim uniform. Throw in veterans Garrett Anderson and Vladimir Guerrero and you’ve got the foundation for a team poised to make a lengthy run in the playoffs.The Angels will pin their Game 1 hopes on John Lackey who limited the Red Sox to five runs and seven hits over two games. Lackey just missed a no-hitter at Fenway when Dustin Pedroia broke things up with a one out single in the 9th. Boston counters with 16-game winner Jon Lester who was by far Boston’s most reliable hurler this season. Injuries have plagued the Sox this season: Josh Beckett has an injured side muscle, J.D. Drew and Mike Lowell have both been in and out of the line-up with injuries so I’m not sure how healthy Boston will be. Given that the Angels are home and healthy, plus have had three weeks plus to prepare for “Red October”, they get my solid backing tonight in the opener of the ALDS.
Free Sports Picks, NCAA Football PicksSeptember 30th, 2008
The Owls of Florida Atlantic (1-3 SU, 2-2 ATS) are the defending champions of the Sun Belt Conference, but have been a little disappointing thus far. On Tuesday night they will hit the road to face off against the Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders (1-3 SU, 2-2 ATS) in NCAA college football action that is set to get underway at 8 PM ET at Horace Jones Field/Floyd Stadium (artificial turf) in Murfreesboro, TN.
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NCAA Football Betting Odds: MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE -3
Here are some of the NCAA college football betting trends as they relate to this matchup:
* FAU has covered five of its last seven games
* FAU has played nine of its last 12 games OVER the total
* FAU has covered four of its last six road games
* FAU has lost 17 of its last 25 road games SU
* MT is 2-4-1 ATS in its last seven games
* MT has lost five of its last six games SU
* MT has played its last five games UNDER the total
* MT has covered four of its last six home games
* MT has played four of its last five home games UNDER the total
To put it mildly, Rusty Smith has been a disappointment. The signal-caller for Florida Atlantic University generated quite a bit of buzz when he went 25 of 32 for 336 yards and five touchdowns in last year’s New Orleans Bowl, highlighting a season where he tossed 32 TD’s with just nine INT’s. Coming into his junior season, the speculation was whether Smith, who has NFL size, would opt out of college early and become one of the top two or three QB’s selected in the draft.
But right now Smith looks like a guy who’s got to go back to the drawing board. He misfired against Texas in the season opener, was just 17 of 34 with FOUR interceptions against Minnesota, and was a dismal 8 for 34 against Michigan State. He has hit on just 46% of his throws, and his Owls have generated just 13 points in their three losses. If there is some encouragement, it’s that Smith has been sacked only once this year, and when stepping down in quality of competition, against UAB, he threw for 325 yards and three TD’s in a 49-34 win. So it is not implausible to assume that against this Sun Belt Conference foe, he’ll be more productive. Middle Tennessee is 70th nationally in pass efficiency defense, although they have yielded just 56% completions.
The Owls will undoubtedly have to turn Charles Pierre (6.5 ypc) loose to help free up things for Smith, and such a thing is not impossible. The Blue Raiders have gotten better stuff out of Joe Craddock, who is 65% with 1076 yards passing, but they can’t run a lick (just 1.9 ypc).
When sufficiently motivated, MTSU can produce; in Week 2 of the season, the Raiders controlled the ball for nearly 40 minutes and scored a ten-point win over Maryland, which has since beaten nationally-ranked California and Clemson. This is a big occasion, with a crowd “blackout” scheduled.
The thing is, we’re absolutely convinced Smith is not as bad as his current stats would indicate, and after facing Big 12 and Big Ten foes, this MTSU defense may provide a bit of relief. The Owls have a more balanced offense, and let’s forget that to win the Sun Belt title and gain the bowl berth last year, FAU had to go on the road and beat Troy. Look for Howard Schnellenberger to pull something out of his bag of tricks and get things going in starting this “new slate” in conference play. Take the points with FAU, the three-point underdog in the BetUS NCAA college football betting odds.
JAY’S PLAY: FLORIDA ATLANTIC +3 **
(Graded on a scale of 1-4 stars)
Free Sports Picks, MLB Baseball PicksSeptember 30th, 2008
If you are betting baseball tonight be sure to visit Touthouse.com for all your MLB Betting Picks and Predictions or are looking for current mlb baseball odds or the winning pick between the White Sox and the Twins from professional sports handicappers be sure to buy our experts winning baseball picks
Minnesota Twins (135) - Tue September 30th ‘08 7:35p

In fact, Danks failed to record a Quality Start in four starts vs. Minnesota, allowing a total of 17 earned runs and 29 hits in just 19.1 innings over those outings. He also ended the season on a negative noted, as he was torched for seven earned runs while last just four innings vs. the Cleveland Indians last Friday. It does not help his cause that he is facing a Twins lineup that is batting .295 vs. left-handed pitching over the last 10 games.
Now Minnesota starter Nick Blackburn certainly has modest numbers this year, as he is 11-10 with a 4.14 ERA overall. However, his last start was his best one in some time as he allowed just two run in five innings, and that start happened to come against these White Sox.
Blackburn also has the support of a Minnesota bullpen that finished tenth in the major leagues and sixth in the American League with a 3.94 pen ERA. We feel that ultimately, the superior Twins bullpen will determine the outcome of this contest.
MLB Free Pick: Twins +135 - Courtesy of LT Profits
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