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Archive for the ‘Free Sports Picks’ Category

Jack Jones’ MLB Pick: Pirates vs. Cardinals Betting Prediction: April 25th 2014

PIRATES VS. CARDINALS PREDICTION APRIL 25TH 2014Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Betting Pick: Pittsburgh +100 odds (April 25th 2014)

Rarely ever will the St. Louis Cardinals be a small favorite at home. I believe the oddsmakers are tipping their hand a little here, not wanting to get killed on sharps pounding the Pirates as a decent-sized underdog. Instead, I’ll pound them at this generous +100 price.

I believe the Pirates should be favored in this one with the edge they have on the mound. Gerrit Cole is one of the best young starters in the game. He is off to a 2-1 start with a 3.67 ERA and 1.259 WHIP in four outings, picking up right where he left off last year. Cole is 2-1 with a 2.50 ERA and 0.833 WHIP in three career starts against St. Louis.

Shelby Miller had a solid rookie season last year, but he has struggled a bit in 2013, going 1-2 with a 3.57 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in four starts. He has already walked 14 batters in 22 2/3 innings. My biggest reason for fading the Cardinals is the fact that Miller has never beaten the Pirates, going 0-5 with a 5.93 ERA and 1.720 WHIP in five career starts against them. Enough said. Bet the Pirates Friday.

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Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick from Steve Janus: April 25th 2014

ROYALS VS. ORIOLES MLB PICK APRIL 25TH 2014Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles
MLB Pick: Kansas City -101 odds (April 25th 2014)

Baltimore has yet to win a single start (0-4) when Ubaldo Jimenez takes the mound in 2014 and I don’t see that changing tonight. Jimenez has an awful 6.75 ERA and 1.875 WHIP over his first 4 starts and has yet to pitch past the 6th inning. I’ll more than gladly take my chances that the Royals offense can put up enough runs to secure a win behind talented youngster Yordano Ventura. In his three starts to open up the season, Ventura has posted a dominant 2.65 ERA and 1.118 WHIP. Hard to not like his chances of shutting down a Orioles offense that is averaging just 2.7 runs and hitting a mere .229 as a team at home this season. BET THE ROYALS -101!

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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Prediction for April 25th 2014

PHILLIES VS. DIAMONDBACKS PREDICTIONPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
MLB Prediction: Over 9.5 runs -110 odds (April 25th 2014)

Roberto Hernandez can change his name from Fausto Carmona, but he can’t change his pitching fortunes. He’s one of the worst starters in the major leagues as is Josh Collmenter, a converted reliever.

These two No. 5 type starters tangle today at hitter-friendly Chase Field where Arizona has a 5.38 home ERA.

Hernandez’s ERA this season is a fat 5.75. He has gone from Cleveland to Tampa Bay to Philadelphia during the last three seasons. Only once during the last seven years has he posted an ERA under 4.89.

Collmenter is brutal, too, with a 4.50 ERA. He’s best suited for long relief. This will be his third start of the year. Collmenter’s first two starts were against the Mets and Dodgers where he gave up a combined seven runs in 10 innings for a 6.30 ERA.

The right-hander is 0-1 with a 5.68 ERA in two lifetime starts against the Phillies. Philadelphia’s current roster bats a collective .355 against Collmenter. The over has cashed five of the last six times the Phillies have faced a righty on the road.

The Diamondbacks have surrendered the most runs in baseball by a wide margin. The Phillies give up the third-most runs in the National League. Both bullpens are atrocious. The Phillies entered yesterday’s action with the highest bullpen ERA in the majors.

Add it together and you have two crappy starters backed by two horrendous bullpens in a hitter’s park. The offenses are much stronger than the pitching. So there’s no reason why double-digits can’t be reached.

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Indians vs. Giants MLB Betting Pick & Odds from Scott Spreitzer: April 25th 2014

INDIANS VS. GIANTS PREDICTIONCleveland Indians vs. San Francisco Giants
Betting Pick: San Fran -156 odds (April 25th 2014)

I’m recommending a play on the Giants on Friday with Hudson over Carrasco. We’re laying a higher price than we normally do with this one, but sometimes there is value in decent-sized chalk and this is one of those times. The Giants “found” their bats on Wednesday night and now return home to face the ineffective Carlos Carrasco. The right-hander has been garbage so far this season, and in fact, Carrasco is 0-11 with an 8.25 ERA in his last 16 outings. San Francisco counters with Tim Hudson, who’s is giving his team solid innings and strong outings in 2014. I expect another strong outing, his 5th in as many tries, against a middle-of-the-pack Indians’ attack. The Tribe are a horrid, 16-40 in IL road games, while the Giants have handled the AL Central, 13-3 in their last 16. I’m recommending a play on the Giants on Friday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

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St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Prediction from Jesse Schule: April 24th 2014

CARDINALS VS. METS PREDICTION APRIL 24TH 2014St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets
Prediction: Over 7 runs -110 odds (April 24th 2014)

The Cardinals have lost two of the first three games of this series in New York, and they will look to salvage a split in the finale this afternoon. All three of the previous games have been low scoring, but we might see a few more runs cross the plate today.

Bartolo Colon will toe the rubber for the home team, and the veteran is currently tipping the scales at nearly 300lbs. He’s 40 years old, but he looks like he’s well over 50.

Despite his physical appearance, he’s had plenty of success in recent seasons. He really struggled near the end of last season though, losing velocity on his fastball, he began to get hit hard. If his last two starts are any indication, we might be witnessing history repeat itself in the early going this year.

Colon (1-3, 5.40 ERA) allowed three runs on eight hits over seven innings in a 7-5 loss to Atlanta his last time out. Prior to that he was torched for nine runs on 11 hits, including four home runs in just five innings in a loss to the Angels.

The Cardinals will hand the ball to Lance Lynn, who has won all four of his starts so far this season. He allowed three runs on four hits in his only start versus the Mets last season.

Take the OVER.

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Baseball Pick from Steve Janus: Yankees vs. Red Sox Prediction: April 24th 2014

YANKEES VS. RED SOX PREDICTIONBaseball Picks: April 24th 2014
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox
Prediction: Boston -114 odds

I think this a great price to get the Red Sox at home in the rubber match against the Yankees. Boston has been starting to heat up offensively and are expected to get back leadoff hitter Shane Victorino from the DL. The Yankees will be sending out C.C. Sabathia, who is getting a little too much love from his last start at Tampa Bay. One start doesn’t convince me, especially against a Rays team that ranks in the bottom half of the league in runs, batting average and slugging percentage. Sabathia has just a 5.04 ERA in his career against the Red Sox and his 5.47 ERA at Fenway is his worst out of every AL ballpark. The other thing to keep in mind is that due to Pineda being tossed prior to the end of the 2nd inning, New York comes in with a tired bullpen, which should allow Boston to tack on a few more runs late for some insurance. BET THE RED SOX -114!

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St. Louis Blues vs. Chicago Blackhawks Playoffs Betting Odds & Pick: April 23rd 2014

Playoffs Betting Pick: Chicago -146 odds (April 23rd 2014)

The St. Louis Blues suffered their first defeat of the 2014 playoffs on Monday night in Chicago as the Hawks played a more defensive style of game and escaped with a 2-0 shutout victory that pulled the series within a game. The Blues were fortunate to leave St. Louis with a 2-0 series lead as they found themselves down and out in both of those contests and score a late tying goal to force overtime and ultimately claimed each contest in the extra session. The bottom line for St. Louis is that they were playing very poorly heading into the playoffs, responded with a couple of inspiring efforts late in the third period to claim two victories, and are now a loss away from having the series back on even terms without the services of one of their best players in David Backes. Ryan Miller was supposed to be the saviour of this team and push them over the edge as Cup contenders and while he has shown signs of brilliance, especially in game one he hasn’t stolen any games for the Blues as they thought he might.

The Blackhawks played very well in games one and two and ended up on the losing end of both games and then played mediocre at best in game three and came away victorious which is sometimes the case in the playoffs as teams take time to feel each other out. Chicago is a very well rounded team that can beat you at both ends of the rink and while Corey Crawford often gets pushed aside when talking about the best goalies in the league he showed on Monday that he can swim with the sharks and come away alive.

The Hawks need this one as they don’t want to head back to St. Louis down 3-1 and while the David Backes incident was an ugly one and now the Hawks are without Brent Seabrook because of it we think Chicago is in a better position than the Blues as the Hawks are very deep defensively and Backes is one of St. Louis’ best players. All of the games in this series so far have been close but as we said, the Hawks could very well be up 3-0 in this series and we expect a full on breakout in this one as Patrick Kane, Jonathan Toews, and Patrick Sharp take over. Hawks in a romp.

St. Louis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road. St. Louis is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games. Chicago is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against St. Louis and 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home.

Take the Blackhawks here in our 2* NHL Free Play.

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Phillies vs. Dodgers MLB Betting Prediction from John Ryan: April 23rd 2014

PHILLIES VS. DODGERS PREDICTIONPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
MLB Prediction: Philly +147 odds (April 23rd 2014)

He is on a 14-5 ATS run in the NBA for 74% ATS winners. He also gave you an incredible FREE pick on the +225 Houston Astros as they destroyed the Seattle Mariners Monday.

5* graded play on the Philadelphia Phillies as they take on the Los Angeles Dodgers in MLB action set to start at 10:10 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that the Phillies will win this game and take the first three of this four-game set with the Dodgers. Cole Hamels makes his first start of the season and this will be the first time the Big Three have started three consecutive games. We already know how good Lee has been and Burnett pitched very well last night and also went 3-for3 at the plate. Arguably one of the best LH starters in the NL, Hamels had a fantastic rehab and looks to be in mid-season form. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a?56-34 mark for 62% winners since 1997. Play against home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (LA DODGERS) inconsistent NL offensive team scoring <=4.1 runs/game and is now facing a team with a below average bullpen posting an ERA>=4.50 and after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less. Hamels is 6-1 with an 8-3 team record when starting against Dodgers with an ERA of 2.41 and a WHIP of 1.018. Take the Phillies.

MLB Pick: Good value with the Royals as a road underdog on April 23rd 2014

MLB PICKS APRIL 23RD 2014Cleveland Indians vs. Kansas City Royals
MLB Pick: Kansas City Royals +124 odds (April 23rd 2014)

Great value here for the Kansas City Royals as a road underdog to the Cleveland Indians Wednesday night. This team has really been playing solid baseball of late, winning six of their last eight games overall. The Indians have dropped eight of their last 12.

My biggest reason for backing the Royals tonight is the edge they have on the mound. Jason Vargas has gone 2-0 with a 1.24 ERA and 0.931 WHIP in four starts this season. The left-hander has been dominant in his last two starts against Cleveland, going 1-0 with a 0.64 ERA while allowing just one earned run over 14 innings.

Justin Masterson had a career year last season, but he certainly overachieved compared to what he has done lifetime. That has shown thus far in 2014 as Masterson is 0-0 with a 4.98 ERA and 1.569 WHIP through four starts. The right-hander is 5-5 with a 4.34 ERA and 1.459 WHIP in 14 career starts against Kansas City, including 1-2 with a 6.27 ERA in his last three starts against the Royals, allowing 13 earned runs in 18 2/3 innings.

The Royals are 21-8 in their last 29 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Kansas City is 18-8 in its last 26 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The Indians are 1-4 in Masterson’s last five home starts. Cleveland is 0-5 in its last five vs. a left-handed starter. Bet the Royals Wednesday.

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San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prediction from Steve Janus: April 23rd 2014

PADRES VS. BREWERS PREDICTIONSan Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers
MLB Prediction: Under 7.5 -110 odds (April 23rd 2014)

There’s some great value on the under in tonight’s matchup between the Brewers and Padres. Milwaukee will send out Kyle Lohse, who is 3-1 with a 2.67 ERA and 1.111 WHIP over 4 starts. San Diego will counter with Tyson Ross, who is 2-2 with a 2.13 ERA and 1.224 WHIP over 4 starts. We should be looking at a total closer to 6.5 with these two on the mound. On top of that we get both offenses off a poor showing last night, as they teams combined for just 3 runs over 12 innings.

The UNDER is a 10-1 in Ross’ last 11 starts versus a team with a winning record and a perfect 6-0 in his last 6 starts on the road in this spot. We also see that the UNDER is 13-3 in the Brewers last 16 home games against a team that has won less than 40% of their games on the road and a 4-0-1 in Lohse’s last 5 starts at home. BET THE UNDER 7.5!

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