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Kansas vs. TCU Basketball Spread & Pick from Jimmy Boyd: January 28th 2015

Pick: Kansas -5 points (January 28th 2015)

The Jayhawks are showing some excellent value here laying just 5-points on the road against the Horned Frogs. TCU has opened up just 1-5 in the Big 12 after going a perfect 13-0 in non-conference play. The Horned Frogs only win has come against Texas Tech, who is also sitting at the bottom of the Big 12 standings with just 1 conference win.

Some might view this as a bit of a trap game for Kansas, as they come in off a road win against rival Texas and have a showdown against in-state rival Kansas State on deck Saturday. I’m not too worried about that, as I think the Jayhawks could win here by more than 5-points even without their best effort.

Kansas has won each of the last 3 meetings by at least 21 points, including a 91-69 win in their last visit to TCU. The Jayhawks were a 14.5-point favorite in that matchup and have been a double-digit favorite in each of the last 6 meetings. I just think the Horned Frogs are getting way too much respect from their 14-5 record and the fact that they are fresh off a cover as a 10.5-point underdog at West Virginia.

Kansas is 11-3 ATS over the last two seasons in the month of January and are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 off a conference road win. TCU is just 5-14 ATS in their last 19 home games when listed as an underdog, 2-10 ATS in their last 12 conference home games and 1-11 ATS in their last 12 after losing at least 5 of their last 7 games.

Adding to all of this is a strong system in play backing a fade of the Horned Frogs. Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points off a close loss by 3-points, 15+ games into the season, are just 16-44 ATS since 1997 in a game involving two strong offensive teams (67-74 ppg). That’s a 73% system in favor of the Jayhawks. Take Kansas!

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Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma Basketball Point Spread & Pick: January 28th 2015

Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma
Basketball Pick: Oklahoma -16 (January 28th 2015)

Motivated by back-to-back losses on the road to Kansas and Baylor, Oklahoma will be ready to take its frustrations out all over an inferior Texas Tech squad. The Sooners lost to Texas Tech on this floor as 8.5-point favorites last season, and that loss only adds fuel to the fire. Oklahoma also catches the Red Raiders at a good time. They’re primed for a letdown following Saturday’s big upset win over Iowa State. The Red Raiders have really struggled on the road and are 1-10 ATS the last three seasons as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points. They have lost these contests by an average of 23.3 points. Oklahoma is 7-0 ATS the last two seasons in home games following a loss and has won these by an average of 18.1 points. It is also 6-0 ATS the last three seasons following a double-digit defeat. Lay the points.

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New Orleans Pelicans vs. Denver Nuggets Point Spread & Pick: January 28th 2015

DENVER VS. NEW ORLEANS BETTING SPREAD PICKNew Orleans Pelicans vs. Denver Nuggets
Prediction: Denver +6.5 (January 28th 2015)

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10* graded play on the Denver Nuggets as they take on the New Orleans Pelicans in NBA action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Denver will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a solid shot at getting a road win. Given this favorable projection I like making this a combination wager comprised of an 8* play using the line and a 2* play using the money line. This combination wager serves to maximize the total rated of return (ROI) based on the line and probabilities for the play. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 42-15 ATS mark good for 74% winners since 1996. Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) in a game involving two average teams posting scoring differentials of +/- 3 PPG and after 42 or more games have been played, and after two straight losses by 6 points or less. Denver has lost seven straight games, but have the lost the last three by a combined total of only seven points. In fact, they covered the last two games. Pelicans have won four straight, but three of them were against the weakest teams in the league in Minnesota, Philadelphia, and the Lakers. Losing streak ends tonight for Denver.

West Virginia vs. Kansas State Point Spread & Pick: January 27th 2015

Basketball Pick: West Virginia +1.5 point spread (January 27th 2015)

This is one of those games where I think the public is backing Kansas State due to their current form. Their struggles for much of the season have been quickly forgotten by most bettors, and it’s now assumed that they must be a legitimate team because they’ve won a few games as of late. I’m not saying that the Wildcats aren’t in good current form, because they most certainly are. I’m saying this matchup doesn’t favor them at all and frankly I would have to be catching points to even consider playing them.

K-State beat Oklahoma City like they were supposed to on Saturday to improve their record to 12-8. It appears the saga between Marcus Foster and coach Bruce Weber has been contained. The Wildcats are running into a very good team tonight in West Virginia. The Mountaineers pride themselves on forcing turnovers. In fact, they’re the best team in the country at doing so, with 12.5 steals per game, ranked 1st in the nation. They also have a turnover margin of 9.9, also good for #1.

So when you look at Kansas St. and see that they’re turnover margin is ranked 212th in the country, some red flags start to appear. Look even deeper and you can see that they can’t shoot the 3 ball or rebound. Those are some major issues when facing an elite team like the Mountaineers. Juwan Staten should have a good game as K-State doesn’t have anyone that can shut him down. This looks like a road win as the Wildcats recent success comes to a halt. Take West Virginia.

Wizards vs. Lakers NBA Betting Pick from Dave Price: January 27th 2015

Washington Wizards vs. Los Angeles Lakers
NBA Pick: Lakers +8.5 (January 27th 2015)

The Wizards are being overvalued in this spot. They are playing their third road game in four days and won’t want to overexert themselves since they play a much tougher Phoenix team tomorrow. The Wizards have practically been a dead fade in this situation as they are on a 195-249 ATS slide when playing a third game in four days. It is also worth noting that they are a weak 19-31 ATS the last two seasons when laying 3.5 to 9.5 points. The Lakers are really struggling right now and things won’t be getting any easier with Kobe Bryant likely lost for the season. However, their struggles have increased their value tonight as odds makers have been forced to adjust even though the team they are facing has failed to cover in each of its last three. The Lakers are 18-7 ATS the last three seasons following a stretch where they have failed to cover in four of their last five games. Take the points.

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George Washington vs. VCU Betting Spread & Prediction: January 27th 2015

George Washington vs. VCU
Basketball Prediction: VCU -7.5 points (January 27th 2015)

Two of the better teams in all of College Basketball reside in the Colonial Athletic Association. George Washington is 16-4 straight up and VCU is 16-3.

VCU is led by Treveon Graham averaging 17.3 ppg. Graham hit the game winner Saturday in a two point win over Saint Louis. VCU averages 81 ppg the last 9 home games. George Washington struggles on the road. Committing 14 turnovers per game while only averaging 56 ppg. VCU forces 17 turnovers at home, averaging 10 steals per game. Not a good recipe for the visiting Colonials.

We like the Rams to pull away late and get the home win and cover. George Washington has lost it’s last two games here by a combined 44 points. Rams are 5-1 ATS the last 6 meetings. Add in the favorite is 5-1 ATS last 6 and the home team is 4-0 ATS last 4 and we’ll go with the VCU Rams for the home win and cover as our CAA GAME OF THE WEEK.

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Xavier vs. Georgetown Betting Pick & Spread from Jimmy Boyd: January 27th 2015

Basketball Betting Pick: Georgetown -5 points (January 27th 2015)

The Hoyas come into this game riding a 4-game winning streak and I look for them to keep that momentum rolling with an impressive home win against the Musketeers. Georgetown has a bone to pick with Xavier after losing on the road 53-70 to the Musketeers back on Dec. 31.

The key here is that the Hoyas are a dominant 10-1 at home this season, including a perfect 4-0 at home inside conference play. Xavier on the other hand is a mere 2-7 away from home and has yet to win on the road in the Big East. That includes some ugly losses at Butler (76-88) and Villanova (75-88). It’s also worth noting that the home team has dominated this series, winning all 3 meetings by at least 13-points, which includes a 74-52 Hoyas win in Xavier’s only trip to the Verizon Center.

Georgetown is a dominant 10-2 ATS over the last 3 seasons when revenging a road loss to an opponent and have won these contests by an average score of 67.4 to 58.3. The Hoyas are also a strong 12-3 ATS in their last 15 home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games during this same stretch. These two trends combine to form a 81% (22-5) system in favor of the Hoyas. Take Georgetown!

Syracuse vs. North Carolina Point Spread & Pick from Alex Smart: January 26th 2015

College Basketball Pick: Syracuse +11 point spread (January 26th 2015)

Syracuse enters this game vs Nort Carolina off a disappointing 66-62 loss to Miami on Saturday at the Carrier Dome. Im pretty certain they were not concentrating on the task at hand and looking ahead to this game instead. Syracuse (14-6 for the year, 5-2 in the ACC) is talented despite of being offensively challenged, and immature in their approach to games despite of having one of the top coaches in basketball at the helm (Jim Boheim) ,Meanwhile, North Carolina (16-4 overall, 6-1 ACC) is now performing at the proverbial top of the performance spectrum . The Tar Heels have won 10 of their last 11 games, including the last five in a row. Thus thanks to these discrepancies we have a bloated underdog line to bet into.

Despite of what the talking heads might think, Im betting Jim Boeheim’s use of the 2-3 zone defense, gives fits to the Roy Williams Tar Heels one true weakness ,which is their perimeter offense. Other than Marcus Paige , the Heels trey conversion rate is just 43-160 from downtown, for a ugly .268 %. With good rebounding behind Michael Gbinije, and speedy transition, the Orange should score above their season average because of this. It must be noted that the Orange are 8-0 SU when they score 70 or more points in regulation.

While upset might be a difficult proposition to swallow ,taking the points in this contest does, however, seem quite palatable.

Tar Heels are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 vs. Atlantic Coast.Tar Heels are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Sacramento Kings vs. New York Knicks Odds & Pick: January 26th 2015

KINGS VS. KNICKS BETTING ODDSSacramento Kings vs. New York Knicks
Pick: Sacramento -185 betting odds (January 26th 2015)

The Kings get one shot on the NBA’s biggest stage at MSG every season and you better believe that they’ll give it everything they’ve got. The key pieces to their offense at center and point guard go completely unmatched by the Knicks. I expect Darren Collison and DeMarcus Cousins to do as they please while Carmelo and Rudy Gay go toe to toe. Calderon will miss this one and the Knicks will have to stretch the minutes at the point with no one capable of putting up the numbers that Sacramento easily gets on a nightly basis. The Kings have lost 6 in a row and will give it their full effort to reverse their fortunes. 101.7 a night compared 92.8 for the Knicks says a lot. The Knicks allow 100 while the Kings allow 104. Can the Knicks make it to triple digits? Sure they can if all their shots fall but the Kings are far more agile and effective on the offensive end in two positions where New York has no answer. Sacramento is 5-2 ATS in their last in New York.

I’m taking this at -3. I’m not taking the moneyline. -3.5 is also a good play here for what should be a race for points with the Knicks in a far slower vehicle.

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Orlando Magic vs. Memphis Grizzlies Point Spread & Pick: January 26th 2015

Orlando Magic vs. Memphis Grizzlies
Pick: Memphis Grizzlies -12.5 point spread (January 26th 2015)

The Magic may have thought they were catching some momentum mid-January posting two consecutive wins. They’ve lost five straight since though allowing an average of 116 points per game, a stretch that started with a 106-96 loss at home to Memphis on Jan 16. It should be said that they’ve been rather effective at putting the ball in the basket themselves as well, but to no avail as they’ve still failed to cover the spread in five straight games. I don’t see them scoring a lot tonight, coming up against a Memphis team that ranks sixth in the NBA for points allowed and coming off two consecutive wins, allowing an average of 84.5 points. They’ve covered the spread in four straight meetings with Orlando and nine of the last 12 meetings at FedExForum.

Orlando is coming straight off a demoralizing 106-99 loss against Indiana last night where they came into the fourth quarter with a seven points lead. The Grizzlies meanwhile had a day off after thrashing the 76ers 101-83 Saturday. The way Orlando plays D right now won’t cut it, and we can expect the Grizzlies to run away with this game.

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