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Browns vs. Steelers Week 1 NFL Point Spread & Prediction: September 7th 2014

WEEK 1 BROWNS VS. STEELERS PREDICTION SPREADThe Cleveland Browns (2013: 4-12 SU, 6-10 ATS) enter the Johnny Football era with Brian Hoyer as the starting quarterback-for now. The Browns would love to stun their rivals-the Pittsburgh Steelers (8-8 SU, 9-7 ATS), who are coming off their second straight .500 season. The Browns travel to Heinz Field in Pittsburgh to take on the Steelers on Sunday at 1pmET.

Week 1 NFL Point Spread: Pittsburgh opened as a 6.5-point betting odds favorite and moved to 6.5 in most books. The total opened at 46 and moved to 43.5.

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The Browns decided to go with Brian Hoyer at quarterback over rookie Johnny Manziel, despite a lethargic preseason for the offense. Hoyer completed 24 of 44 for 261 yards with one TD and one INT in preseason. Manziel completed 30 of 59 for 296 yards with two touchdowns and no picks. He also ran for 88 yards on 12 carries.

Last year, Hoyer threw for 615 yards and five touchdown passes to three interceptions in there wins.

Unfortunately for Hoyer, he won’t have star receiver Josh Gordon to throw. Gordon is suspended for the season for violating the league’s substance abuse policy. He caught 87 passes for 1,647 yards and nine touchdowns last year.

The expected starters at receiver are Miles Austin and Andrew Hawkins, which means a lot of running the ball and relying on tight end Jordan Cameron (80 for 917 yards) to move the chains. Running back Ben Tate was brought in to help an offense that ranked 27th in the league in rushing along with rookie runner Terrance West, who was a third-round pick out of Towson.

Defensively, Cleveland is talented, led by cornerback Joe Haden and rookie first-round pick Justin Gilbert. They did lose safety T.J. Ward, but brought in hard-hitting Donte Whitner to replace him. Former Arizona linebacker Karlos Dansby should help a defense that ranked just ninth in total yards allowed (332.4), but surrendered 25.4 points per game.

The Steelers can definitely go vertical with Ben Roethlisberger, heaving the ball to Antonio Brown. But they only averaged 86.4 yards per game on the ground and with some issues defensively, they’ll need to control the clock this season.

The Steelers added big runner LeGarrette Blount to team with Le’Veon Bell in the backfield. Both players were arrested in preseason on charges of marijuana possession, while Bell faces an additional charge of DUI. Both players are expected to be in action against the Browns.

Roethlisberger is coming off tossing for more than 4,200 yards, 28 TDs and 14 interceptions. Brown had a great season with 110 receptions for 1,499 yards. But they did lose Emmanuel Sanders and Jerricho Cotchery in free agency. Markus Wheaton, a second-round pick in 2013 and Lance Moore will need to step up.

Defensively, the Steelers are excited about speedy rookie linebacker Ryan Shazier, who will start on the inside next to Lawrence Timmons,

The problem is in the secondary where safety Troy Polamalu and cornerback Ike Taylor are playing on smarts as their athletic skills continue to decline.

Week 1 NFL Prediction:
Cleveland’s first-year coach Mike Pettine is known for defense and that’s what he’ll have to rely on. Pettine is looking to become the first Browns head coach to win his debut since Bud Carson in 1989. The Steelers may not be able to run on the Browns, so they may have to win with the passing game.

Vikings vs. Rams Week 1 NFL Point Spread & Prediction: September 7th 2014

VIKINGS VS. RAMS WEEK 1 NFL POINT SPREAD PREDICTIONThe Minnesota Vikings (5-10-1 SU, 9-7 ATS) are coming off a rough season, but two seasons ago, they were in the playoffs. They face at St. Louis team (7-9 SU, 7-9 ATS) that appeared to be a quarterback away from contending for a playoff spot. Unfortunately, Sam Bradford went down again for the year with an ACL injury. The Rams host the Vikings on Sunday from the Edward Jones Dome in St. Louis at 1pmET.

Week 1 NFL Point Spread: St. Louis opened as a 6-point betting odds favorite and moved to 4 in most books. The total opened at 46 and moved to 43.5.

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The Vikings are hoping that new coach Mike Zimmer can improve a defense that finished last in the league in points allowed at 30 points per game. In the preseason, they were second in points allowed at 12.3.
Zimmer not only has to find a defense, but a steady quarterback. Matt Cassel will get the nod as the starting quarterback as rookie Teddy Bridgewater will have a seat. At least for now.

Cassel started six times last season and threw for 1,807 yards with 11 touchdowns and nine interceptions. His top target was Greg Jennings, who had 68 catches for 804 yards, while young Cordarelle Patterson caught 45 passes for 469 yards and four scores as a rookie.

The Vikes will miss wide receiver Jerome Simpson (48 for 726 yards), who is suspended for three games for violating the NFL’s substance abuse policy for the second time.

The Vikings’ offense will once again center on RB Adrian Peterson, who has totaled more than 3,300 rushing yards the past two seasons. That’s why Minnesota finished fourth in the league in rushing yards per game with 148.6 per game.

The defense adds former Giants defensive tackle Linval Joseph, who was hit in the leg by a stray built after the preseason opener. He will play in the first game.

Sam Bradford went down in preseason for the second straight year due to an ACL injury. Last season, Bradford suffered a torn ACL in Week 7. St. Louis managed to still go 9-7 because they can run the football and have a lot of talent on defense.

Veteran Shaun Hill will start for Bradford. Hill is now 34 and hasn’t started an NFL game since the 2010 season when he played for Detroit. The Rams also picked up backup quarterback Case Keenum, who had some stats in Houston last year.

Hill completed just 8 of 17 passes in preseason with two touchdowns and no interceptions. Hill does have some weapons in speedy receiver Tavon Austin along with Kenny Britt and Brian Quick.

They are going to need to rely on a running game anchored by Zac Stacy, who rushed for 973 yards and seven touchdowns in 14 games as rookie last season.

The defense has some real talent led by Chris Long and Robert Quinn at defensive end. Quinn had 19 sacks last year, while Long had 8.5. The matchup with Quinn against Minnesota left tackle Matt Kalil, who has some issues in pass protection.

Week 1 Prediction:
Both of these teams are sending out journeyman quarterbacks so they will need to rely on their running games. Minnesota does have the best runner in the game in Peterson, but that only translated to five wins last year.

Week 1 NFL Picks: Packers vs. Seahawks Point Spread & Prediction: September 4th 2014

Green Bay Packers vs. Seattle Seahawks
Point Spread: Seattle -6 Over/Under 46.5 (September 4th 2014)
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ATS Trends:
Seahawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in September. Seahawks are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 vs. NFC. Seahawks are 35-15-1 ATS in their last 51 games overall. Seahawks are 38-18-1 ATS in their last 57 home games. Seahawks are 35-17 ATS in their last 52 games on field turf. Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games. Packers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 1. Packers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall. Packers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in September.

Over/Under Trends:
Under is 5-0 in Seahawks last 5 home games. Under is 7-0 in Seahawks last 7 vs. NFC. Under is 7-1 in Seahawks last 8 games overall. Under is 6-1 in Seahawks last 7 games on field turf. Under is 8-2 in Seahawks last 10 games in September. Under is 3-1-1 in Seahawks last 5 games in Week 1. Over is 4-0 in Packers last 4 games in September. Over is 8-2 in Packers last 10 road games. Over is 5-2 in Packers last 7 games overall. Over is 5-2 in Packers last 7 games on field turf.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
Packers are 3-1-2 ATS in their last 6 meetings. Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings. Home team is 3-1-2 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

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Saints vs. Falcons Week 1 Point Spread & Prediction: September 7th 2014

SAINTS VS. FALCONS WEEK 1 NFL PREDICTIONThe New Orleans Saints (12-6 SU, 10-8 ATS) are coming off another quality season and would like to get back to the Super Bowl. Atlanta (4-12 SU, 7-9 ATS) were considered a favorite in the NFC South last year and completely bombed out due to injuries and a lackluster defense. The Falcons host the Saints on Sunday at 1pm from the Georgia Dome in Atlanta.

Week 1 NFL Point Spread: Atlanta opened as a 1-point betting-odds favorite and moved to New Orleans -3 in most books. The total opened at 52 and moved to 51.5 in most books.

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The Saints have a roster that could go far. They have the defense, the passing game and Drew Brees.

Brees loves to throw the ball to 6-foot-7 tight end Jimmy Graham, one of the best in the game. Graham caught 86 passes for 1,215 yards last season. The Saints ranked fourth in the NFL last year, averaging 399.4 yards per game and 307.5 yards per game in the air (second).

The Saints are a balanced team, led by running back Pierre Thomas, who had 549 yards rushing last season. They did lose speedy Darren Sproles, who was a great receiver out of the backfield. Khiry Robinson and Mark Ingram stepped in last year when Thomas was hurt. Rookie WR Brandin Cooks will have an impact in the return game and at receiver with his speed.

On defense, DE Cam Jordan and OLB Junior Galette combine with new S Jairus Byrd to make this unit tough. They allowed just 306 yards per game last season in the 3-4 scheme. Rob Ryan improved the defense from 440 yards allowed in 2012. They were helped by an improved secondary led by rookie S Kenny Vaccaro.

New Orleans corner Keenan Lewis is the key in this game as he’ll have to cover Julio Jones, who was injured most of last year.

The Falcons are coming off a disastrous 4-12 season and they’ll try and prove that the record was a product of injuries, not personnel.

The Falcons need a better season from just about everybody. Matt Ryan was sacked 44 times last year, passing for 4,515 yards with 26 TDs and a career-high 17 interceptions. That sack number is a major concern with OT Sam Baker out for the season and rookie Jake Matthews (from Texas A&M) moves into to the starting spot.

Veteran running back Steven Jackson missed the entire preseason and recorded just 543 yards (3.5 yards per carry) with seven TDs last year. He’s another player who will try and show that last year was a fluke.

Both receivers were injured last season, but when Julio Jones and Roddy White are healthy, they are among the best in the league. Jones caught just 41 passes for 580 yards and is coming off foot surgery. White added 63 receptions for 711 yards and three scores.

On defense, the Falcons are moving to a 3-4 scheme and brought in veteran DT Paul Solia, ends Tyson Jackson and Ra’shede Hageman and linebacker Prince Shembo.

The Falcons allowed 136 rushing yards per game last season and only ran 78 yards per game last season. Until that improves, they’ll struggle to make the playoffs this season.

Week 1 Prediction:
The Falcons can’t play worse than last season as Ryan, Jones, White and WR Harry Douglas all have talent. The problem is that they’re facing a strong New Orleans defense, who will find a way to get pressure on Ryan, who lacks mobility behind a shaky line. Brees will be Brees, but the Saints need to rely more on their running game and use the talent that they have. Brees can be prone to turnovers when he throws too often.

Arizona Wildcats vs. Texas San Antonio Betting Odds & Pick: September 4th 2014

ARIZONA VS. TEXAS SAN ANTONIO PREDICTION SEPTEMBER 4TH 2014Welcome to the second week of college football. This is not exactly a marquee matchup, but Arizona could be challenged by an underrated Texas-San Antonio team. Both teams opened with a win last week, though the Roadrunners won in impressive fashion, beating Houston the road, 27-7. UTSA will host Arizona on Thursday night from the Alamodome in San Antonio, at 8pmET.

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Arizona put up a school-record, 787 yards of total offense last week in their 58-13 win over UNLV. Redshirt freshman quarterback Anu Solomon threw for 425 yards and ran for 50 yards against UNLV. The Wildcats had two 100-yard receivers and two 100-yard rushers for the first time in school history.

UTSA had an impressive defensive performance, holding Houston to just nine points. The Roadrunners finished with just 263 yards, including 142 rushing yards.

David Glasco rushed 84 yards on 25 carries, but averaged just 3.2 yards per carry.

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Senior quarterback Tucker Carter threw for just 121 yards on 15-of-24 passing. Kam Jones caught four passes but for just 17 yards.

The Roadrunners will need a big game from their defense, led by defensive tackle Ashaad Mabry, who had four tackles, two for loss and one sack.

The key to the win last week for UTSA was the turnover ratio as they forced five from Houston, including four interceptions for sophomore quarterback John O’Korn.

Arizona replaced All-American running back Ka’Deem Carey with Terris Jones-Grigsby, who had 124 yards on 13 carries. Nick Wilson ran for 104 yards and a touchdown on just seven carries. The Wildcats ran for 353 yards on 48 carries. However, Jones-Grigsby has an ankle injury and is considered a game-time decision.

Arizona’s defense could be an issue this year as they allowed 371 yards to UNLV, but the held them to just 4-of-15 on third downs.

Former Miami-Fla. coach Larry Coker has done an excellent job for the Roadrunners and with one of the most experienced teams in the nation, this is a very dangerous spot for the Wildcats.

Green Bay Packers vs. Seattle Seahawks Week 1 Point Spread & Prediction: September 4th 2014

PACKERS VS. SEAHAWKS WEEK 1 POINT SPREAD PREDICTIONThe Green Bay Packers(8-8-1 SU, 7-9-1 ATS) have a tough chore to open the NFL season at the most difficult place to play in league. The Seattle Seahawks (16-3 SU, 13-7 ATS) will celebrate their first Super Bowl and hope to avoid the championship hangover. The Seahawks host the Packers on Thursday night from CenturyLink Field in Seattle, Wash.

Week 1 NFL Point Spread: Seattle opened as a 6-point betting odds favorite and remained there in most books. The total opened at 45 and moved to 46.5 in most books.

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Aaron Rodgers missed about half the 2013 season due to a broken collarbone and the Packers still managed to make the playoffs in 2013. Yet, the Packers went 2-4-1 in that span and weren’t the same offensively.

The last time Green Bay faced Seattle it took place in 2012 when Seattle quarterback Russell Wilson threw a touchdown pass on the final play of the game that appeared to be an interception.

Not only did the Packers miss Rodgers last season, but they also missed Randall Cobb, who missed 10 games due to injury last season. Cobb is back along with Jordy Nelson, but expect Green Bay to attempt to establish the run. Eddie Lacy ran for 1,178 yards and 11 TDs as a rookie.

On defense, the Packers added veteran DE Julius Peppers (118.5 career sacks) and also get linebacker Clay Matthews back from a broken thumb, that hampered him in 2013.

The big loss for the Packers came in preseason when they lost big nose tackle B.J. Raji to a biceps injury that will cost him the entire season.

But this is more about Rodgers trying to figure out the league’s best secondary that allowed just 14.4 points per game and 273.6 yards overall.

Seattle beat Green Bay, 14-12 in 2012 on the 24-yard touchdown throw from Wilson to Golden Tate. That was the last game for the part-time officials, as the full-time guys were being locked out due to a labor dispute.

The Seahawks won the Super Bowl in February, defeating Denver, 43-8. They beat a Denver team that scored over 600 points to set an NFL record.

Seattle’s secondary was so dominant, that the league decided to get tougher on defensive holding penalties in preseason. That means that the players have to adjust or there will be a record amount of penalties this year.

While the Seahawks are talented on offense, they are loaded on defense. The secondary is led by star cornerback Richard Sherman and safety Earl Thomas. But the underrated player is strong safety Kam Chancellor, who has 278 tackles since 2011.

Russell Wilson, who had a great preseason, has won 28 games in two years including the postseason and became the third-youngest QB to win the Super Bowl last year.

Even though they lost Tate, a healthy Percy Harvin should help. Harvin played just one regular season game in 2013 and he’s showed up in the Super Bowl when he rushed twice for 45 yards and had an 87-yard kickoff return for a touchdown.

Prediction:
When Rodgers plays, Green Bay’s offense is dynamic. But will they miss James Jones at wide receiver? Can Nelson and Cobb get open against that difficult secondary? The Packers defense needs to stuff the run against Marshawn Lynch and company.

Brewers vs. Cardinals MLB Odds & Prediction from Jimmy Adams: September 4th 2014

Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Prediction: Cardinals -109 odds (September 4th 2014)
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The Brewers are a pure “Fade” team right now, plain and simple. This squad has lost 8 games in a row and just got their doors blown off by the subpar Cubs. They were outscored 17-5 in that series and are hitting just .211 since beginning this losing streak. To make matters worse, Carlos Gomez went down with an injured left wrist and Ryan Braun’s status is uncertain due to the birth of his child. The Brew Crew has given up the division lead due to this stretch of poor play, and they gave it to the team that’s coming into Miller Park tonight.

St. Louis is playing solid baseball right now, winners of 5 straight. They’ve won 7 of 12 meetings this year vs. Milwaukee and have also taken 12 of their last 16 at Miller Park. Michael Wacha comes off the disabled list for this one. He’s pitched well all year long and shouldn’t miss a beat facing the shorthanded Brewers lineup.

It’s Wily Peralta on the other side, a guy who gave up 6 runs in just 3 innings in his last start. Peralta has allowed a whopping 14 runs in just 8 innings throughout his last 2 starts. Something is clearly wrong with this guy, and he’s not likely to figure it out tonight. Take the Cardinals.

Washington State vs. Nevada Football Betting Pick: September 5th 2014

Washington State vs. Nevada
Football Betting Pick: Washington State -3.5 (September 5th 2014)
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The Washington St Cougars visit the Nevada Wolfpack Friday night and the game will be seen live on ESPN at 10:30 pm est. Washington State was upset last week against an average Rutgers team. As always a Mike Leach coached team has a great offense but has no defense. The defense is on the field a ton because of WSU’s fast-paced high-tempo attack that will either score early in a possession or punt in a possession. Without having depth on defense the defense gets exhausted by the 4th quarter.

Last week WSU put up big numbers scoring 38-points, 532 yards and 7.7-ypp. However, the defense 41-points, 496 yards and 7.1-ypp. Nevada has a very good rushing attack and showed it last week against FCS Southern Utah. Southern Utah is not exactly a power in the FCS so that was to be expected. A major-red-flag for us was for Nevada giving up 7.1-ypr (yards per rush) on only 22 attempts. The one good thing for Nevada is that WSU passes and pass all the time. Last week only 14 rushes for 6-yards for the Cougars. Look for Leach to exploit this weakness this weekend in this game.

There is just too much talent for WSU to lose this one but we always worry about their defense especially on the road in high-altitude in Reno, NV. The Cougars do well off a loss as they are 13-2-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a ATS loss. The Cougars are 6-1 ATS their last 7 road games. We will side with the much better offense in this one as WSU is in a must win if they have hopes to get to a bowl game this year.

Washington State 38-30

Pittsburgh vs. Boston College Football Prediction & Point Spread: September 5th 2014

PITT VS. BC POINT SPREAD PREDICTION FOOTBALLPittsburgh Panthers vs. Boston College Eagles
Point Spread: Pittsburgh -4 Over/Under 49 (September 5th 2014)
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BC and Pittsburgh both had season opening victories due to a solid ground game. These two former rivals look to keep that momentum going when they face eachother for the first time as ACC rivals. Boston College won by a score of 30-7 last week over UMass and Pittsburgh got an easy victory over Delaware, blanking them by a score of 62-0. The last time these two teams met was on October 15th of 2004.

ATS Trends:
Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Eagles are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on field turf. Eagles are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games. Eagles are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Eagles are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Panthers are 7-2-2 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. Panthers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Panthers are 17-8 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Panthers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Panthers are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

Over/Under Trends:
Under is 5-0 in Eagles last 5 Friday games. Over is 5-0 in Eagles last 5 home games. Over is 4-0 in Eagles last 4 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Over is 4-0 in Eagles last 4 conference games. Under is 10-1 in Eagles last 11 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game. Under is 9-2 in Panthers last 11 games on field turf. Over is 4-1 in Panthers last 5 games overall. Under is 4-1 in Panthers last 5 road games. Over is 4-1 in Panthers last 5 games in September. Under is 4-1 in Panthers last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.

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Arizona vs. Texas San Antonio Prediction & Point Spread: September 4th 2014

ARIZONA VS. TEXAS SAN ANTONIO FOOTBALL POINT SPREAD PREDICTION SEPTEMBER 4TH 2014Arizona Wildcats vs. Texas San Antonio Roadrunners
Point Spread: Arizona -7 Over/Under 56 (September 4th 2014)
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The Wildcats played well offensively in their first game of the season, but Arizona’s second game looks like it will be a tougher matchup. The Arizona Wildcats will be playing on the road on September 4th when they battle the Roadrunners of Texas who are also coming of a week 1 victory. Arizona beat UNLV by a score of 58-13 in week one with a whopping 787 yards of offense with 425 of those yards coming from the arm on QB Anu Solomon. Texas San Antonio will be coming into this game with a lot of confidence as they are coming off of one of the largest victories in their football program’s history, which started in 2011 as they beat Houston by a score of 27-7.

ATS Trends:
Roadrunners are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games. Roadrunners are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in September. Roadrunners are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Roadrunners are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win. Roadrunners are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Wildcats are 13-27 ATS in their last 40 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Wildcats are 3-7 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Wildcats are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.

Over/Under Trends:
Under is 5-0 in Roadrunners last 5 games overall. Under is 4-0 in Roadrunners last 4 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. Under is 4-0 in Roadrunners last 4 games following a S.U. win. Under is 5-1 in Roadrunners last 6 games following a ATS win. Under is 4-1 in Roadrunners last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 4-0 in Wildcats last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Over is 4-1 in Wildcats last 5 road games. Over is 7-2 in Wildcats last 9 games following a ATS win. Over is 11-4 in Wildcats last 15 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. Over is 5-2 in Wildcats last 7 non-conference games.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
No Trends

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