New York Giants vs. New England Patriots
Betting Prediction: Patriots -7 (November 15th 2015)
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I can’t help but think the Patriots are going to be extra motivated for this game because of their two Super Bowl losses to the Giants, and their three straight losses in this series overall. Of course, many of the players aren’t still around from those games, but some are. That includes the two key ones in Eli Manning and Tom Brady. You can bet that Brady is going to want to hang a big number on this Giants defense, and that shouldn’t be a problem.
Brady and the Patriots have been the most dominant team in the NFL this season. They are 8-0 and outscoring opponents by an average of 16.6 points per game. The offense is hitting on all cylinders, scoring 34.5 points per game and averaging 420.2 yards per game to rank 2nd in the NFL in total offense. But the defense has held its own, too, giving up just 17.9 points per game.
The defense has really found its stride the last two weeks, giving up an average of 8.5 points per game in two straight blowout wins over the Dolphins (36-7) and Redskins (27-10). They limited the Dolphins to just 270 total yards, which was a Dolphins offense that had put up an average of 41.0 points per game the previous two weeks. They also held the Redskins to just 250 total yards, which is impressive when you consider the Redskins had two weeks to prepare for that game.
New York might be the most overrated team in the NFL. It ranks 31st in the league in yardage differential, getting outgained by an average of 73.1 yards per game. The Giants have been outgained in eight of their nine games this season. They were outgained by 58 yards by the Bucs last week, by 192 yards by the Saints two weeks ago, by 171 yards by the Cowboys three weeks back, and by 181 yards by the Eagles four weeks ago.
The only reason the Giants have been able to sport a 5-4 record with those awful numbers is because they lead the league in turnover differential (+12). But now they’ll be up against a Patriots team that does not turn the ball over, only committing five turnovers through eight games this year. Brady will shred a Giants defense that ranks 32nd in allowing 422.8 yards per game. The Giants are also 31st against the pass, yielding 308.0 yards per game through the air. New York ranks last in sacks (9) defensively this year as well.
The Patriots are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games following a win. New England is 16-5 ATS in its last 21 vs. terrible defensive teams that allow 6 or more yards per play. The Patriots are 7-0 ATS after outgaining their last opponent by 150 or more total yards over the past two seasons. Tom Coughlin is 0-6 ATS in home games after scoring 25 points or more in three straight games as the coach of the Giants. Bet the Patriots Sunday.
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