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USC Trojans vs. Colorado Buffaloes Betting Odds & Pick from Stephen Nover: November 23rd 2013

USC Trojans vs. Colorado Buffaloes
Betting Pick: Colorado +23 -110 odds (November 23rd 2013)

Just five days after winning a huge game against rugged Stanford, USC has to travel to cold weather to take on improved Colorado. Temperatures are expected to dip into the 20s, which certainly isn’t Southern Cal weather.

The Trojans have arch-rival UCLA up next. So the situation is far from ideal for the Trojans.

But what about the matchup, can the Buffaloes hang with the Trojans who are playing their finest ball since getting rid of clueless Lane Kiffin?

I believe they can. The Buffaloes are improved under first-year head coach Mike McIntyre. They are off a confidence-building blowout of California in which they gained nearly 500 yards. This is the latest in the season that the Buffaloes have been still eligible for a bowl since 2007.

The Buffaloes will treat this matchup as their bowl game. Revenge for a 50-6 blowout loss last year is added incentive. That defeat came under the pitiful watch of former coach Jon Embree.

USC’s best offensive player, star wide receiver Marqise Lee, is less than 100 percent after getting kicked in the shin against Stanford. Lee was just getting back from a knee injury, too.

Colorado has two good wide receivers. Paul Richardson is one of the more underrated wide receivers in the nation. Given the weather factor, USC’s letdown spot, Colorado’s overall improvement and respectable passing game and it’s my belief the Buffaloes can stay within three touchdowns of the Trojans.

(Editor’s note: Vegas pro Stephen Nover has five other college football plays going, including his Sun Belt Conference Game of the Year.)

Baylor vs. Oklahoma State Betting Odds & Pick from Jeff Alexander: November 23rd 2013

Baylor vs. Oklahoma State
Betting Pick: Oklahoma State +9.5 -110 odds (November 23rd 2013)

I’ll take the points with Oklahoma State at home where it has won 16 of its last 17, including 8 straight. The Cowboys have also won 10 straight home games against Baylor. Additionally, Baylor is on a 0-36 slide in road games against AP-ranked opponents, including 0-10 under Briles with three of these coming in Stillwater. I really like what Oklahoma State’s defense brings to the table. It leads the Big 12 in third-down defense, allowing opponents to convert first downs just 32.0 percent of the time. Its third down success is directly related to what it has been able to accomplish on first down. It has held foes to three yards or fewer on 185 of 343 first-down plays this season (53.9 percent of the time). In other words, they’ve enjoyed plenty of third-and-longs. I expect Oklahoma State’s defense to be just a little bit better at home Saturday. Bet the Cowboys as they give Baylor a game.

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East Carolina vs. NC State Football Betting Prediction from Jimmy Boyd: November 23rd 2013

East Carolina vs. NC State
Betting Prediction: NC State +6.5 (November 23rd 2013)

The Wolfpack are getting a lot of points for a home team considering East Carolina has played such a soft schedule this season. The talent gap between Conference USA and the ACC is a big one. The Pirates may average a lot of points per game, but you also have to consider the fact that their opponents defensive average for points allowed is over 30 points per game. In East Carolina’s game against Virginia Tech, they managed to score a mere 10 points which illustrates the talent gap between the two conferences.

The Wolfpack are a .500 team when playing at home. They have a 3-3 record, and have played some great defense. NC State’s opponents have averaged 28.7 points per game, yet the Wolfpack have allowed just 21 points per game when they are playing at home. The Pirates have a very strong pass bias, and I expect them to struggle against a Wolfpack secondary that has allowed a 57.6% pass completion rate for a mere 206 passing yards per game.

Navy vs. San Jose State Betting Odds & Prediction from Joe Gavazzi: November 22nd 2013

Navy vs. San Jose State
Betting Prediction: Navy +3 -110 odds (November 22nd 2013)

It’s the Navy run game led by QB Reynolds against the San Jose passing attack of QB Fales. Advantage. Navy against the San Jose St. team who lost 38-16 at Nevada last week when they allowed the Wolfpack to dominate them overland 311-58. It was a magical season for San Jose last year. They went 11-2 SU ATS. This year, however, following a pair of defeats, the Spartans have dropped to 5-5 SU and still must face Navy this week and undefeated Fresno next week. That’s a lot of pressure for this team. In that magical season of last, San Jose authored one of the most shocking performances of the 2012 season. The Spartans traveled 3000 miles east to Annapolis, where they shut out the Middies 12-0 allowing Navy a total of 144 yards. It was the Mids worst offensive showing in over a decade. At 6-4 SU, with post season plans secured, Navy will be playing with far less pressure than their host. And we are always looking at the Middies in this role, where they are a long-term 22-8 ATS as road dog.

Chicago Bulls vs. Portland Trailblazers Betting Odds & Pick from Jack Jones: November 22nd 2013

Chicago Bulls vs. Portland Trailblazers
Betting Prediction: Under 190.5 -110 odds (November 22nd 2013)

I look for a low-scoring, defensive battle tonight between the Portland Trail Blazers and Chicago Bulls. The books have simply set the bar too high tonight, and we’ll take advantage by backing the UNDER 190.5 points here.

Both teams play at below-average paces. Chicago ranks 17th in the league in pace at 96.6 possessions per game, while Portland ranks 20th at 96.1 possessions per contest. The Blazers have yet to face a team that plays defense like Chicago.

The Bulls rank 3rd in the league in defensive efficiency at 92.8 points per 100 possessions allowed. On the season, they are giving up just 89.8 points per game on 40.4% shooting. Unfortunately, Chicago’s struggles have come on the other end.

The Bulls are scoring just 93.3 points per game on 42.7% shooting. They rank a woeful 28th in the league in offensive efficiency with 92.8 points per 100 possessions. Portland is 16th in the league in offensive efficiency at 101.6 points per 100 possessions.

Even though the Bulls held the Nuggets to 97 points last night on the road, it wasn’t good enough for defensive-minded head coach Tom Thibodeau. “Our turnovers hurt us,” Thibodeau said. “The big thing is we gave them easy scoring opportunities. We should have been able to count on our defense. Ninety-seven points, 46 percent (shooting for Denver), it’s too much.”

The UNDER is 10-4 in Bulls last 14 games playing on 0 days rest. The UNDER is 6-1 in Bulls last seven games overall. Thibodeau is 49-25 to the UNDER in the first half of the season as the coach of Chicago. Bet the UNDER in this game Friday.

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Spurs vs. Grizzlies NBA Odds & Pick from Rob Vinciletti: November 22nd 2013

San Antonio Spurs vs. Memphis Grizzlies
NBA Pick: Spurs -1 -110 odds (November 22nd 2013)

T.G.I.F Card has 5* 96% College Football system, an Undefeated NBA System and the college Hoops Game of the Week as the lead plays. There is also an Early 5* NCAAF Blowout play for Saturday. NBA Piping hot cashes again with OKC on Thursday. Free NBA Power Angle Play below.

On Friday the complimentary NBA Power angle pick is on the San Antonio Spurs. Game 511 at 8:05 eastern. The Spurs have bolted out of the game with no let downs this season at 10-1. Tonight make their way down to take on a Memphis team they have already beat this season and have beaten 11 of 13 times with 10 spread wins. The Spurs are 22-7 on Friday and have won 60 of 82 off a win of 10 or more long term. For our system in this one we will ties in a Friday specific system that is 12-2 for Friday night road favorites of 4 or less that scored 100 or more as a home favorite of 5 or more, vs an opponent that scored 90 or less as a road dog. Memphis is off back to back dog wins and historically teams returning home in this situation have not fared well. The Grizzlies are 0-3 to the spread at home when the total is 185 to 190 and have lost to the spread in their last 3 division games. We will back the Spurs in this one. On Friday there are 3 Solid plays up. The 96% 5* college Football system, an Undefeated NBA System and the College Basketball game of the week with 8 Power Angles. Jump on the T.G.I.F Card now and start the weekend big. For the free play take the San Antonio Spurs. RV

Michigan Wolverines vs. Northwestern Wildcats Betting Pick from Freddy Wills: November 23rd 2013

Michigan Wolverines vs. Northwestern Wildcats
Football Betting Pick: Northwestern +7.5 -110 odds (November 23rd 2013)

I’m going to take Northwestern at +7.5 for a 1* complimentary betting pick. Northwestern keeps finding new ways to lose, but they have been in every game with the exception of their hang over vs. Wisconsin

Flying under the radar is the play of Northwestern’s defense. Michigan State’s offense is no juggernaut especially on the road and QB Connor Cook has only been great when they are able to run the ball. Northwestern has kept all opponents under 5 yards per carry except Wisconsin and Ohio State. Northwestern’s pass defense has also been great with 18 interceptions. That’s led to good 3rd down defense which is where Michigan State will run into trouble in this game. Northwestern is also solid in red zone defense allowing just 54% touch downs while Michigan State is only converting 47% of their RZ appearances on the road into TD’s.
Northwestern essentially beat Nebraska on the road where Michigan State won as a -5.5 road favorite. IF you remember Nebraska threw a silly 60 yard hail mary to win the game. So we have established NW on neutral field is better than Nebraska yet we are getting 2 extra points. NW is a well coached team that has shown they can battle through tough breaks. This is their game of the year and their chance to show up with a big win to save their bowl hopes. I won’t be surprised if it happens.

Central Florida Knights vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights Betting Prediction: November 21st 2013

Central Florida Knights vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights
Betting Prediction: Central Florida -17.5 -110 odds (November 21st 2013)

Rutgers come into this game with at least 8 players on the injury report that are not expected to play as the Scarlet Knights have been battling injuries all year long. The defensive injuries were apparent last week as Cincinnati outgained them by 262 yards. Rutgers secondary is allowing opposing quarterbacks to complete passes this year at a 66% rate and that is bad news playing vs. an experienced UCF team with skilled position players. Asking Rutgers who is now playing on a short week against a UCF team who could easily be undefeated this year if not for the loss to South Carolina is a tough task and one that I do not think they will be up to tonight. Actually in that game vs. South Carolina, UCF had the lead at halftime before the Gamecocks eventually got the 28-25 win. UCF has a very efficient offense led by quarterback Blake Bortles (19 TD/ 5 INT) and running back Storm Johnson (841 rushing yards and 12 total touchdowns) that is averaging 35 ppg and converting on 3rd downs at a 49% conversion rate.

These two teams did meet in the 2009 St. Petersburg Bowl and Rutgers won, 45-24. O’Leary was the coach for UCF then and he would love to run the score up tonight and get some good ol’ revenge. That was 4 years ago and Rutgers had playmakers on both side of the ball. WR Sanu (NFL draft pick) had 2 touchdowns and the defense also had a pick 6 in the game. Please remember also that Rutgers had a defense in 2009 that only allowed 308 ypg. This year, Rutgers lost 7 players to the NFL Draft and their defense is giving up 433 yards per game. Some of that might also be in the coaching change with 2nd year coach Kyle Flood as Schiano was much more defensive minded. Rutgers defense is now getting shed for 514 ypg their last 5 games.

UCF did struggle last week vs. Temple which did not surprise me as they were clearly not focused but I feel the situation playing back home will play to their advantage against a Rutgers team playing on short rest as well tonight.

Long Beach State vs. Michigan NCAA Basketball Betting Pick: November 21st 2013

NCAA Basketball Picks: November 21st 2013
Long Beach State vs. Michigan
Prediction: Long Beach +16

Long Beach State is still searching for its first win against a Division I opponent this season. Keep in mind, the 49ers are the three-time reigning Big West champions. Yes, they’re working in some new faces after losing considerable talent from last year’s team, but I believe they’ll give highly favored Michigan a run on Thursday.

The Wolverines welcomed Mitch McGary back from injury last Sunday, but still fell by seven points at upstart Iowa State. The Wolverines once again send a supremely talented squad to the floor, but perhaps not quite as strong as we’ve seen in the last couple of years – at least not yet. It’s going to take some time for this team to truly come together, and I’m not sure an easy win is in the cards in this tournament opener in the Carribean on Thursday.

Note that Michigan has slowly gotten away from its preferred pace in the early going this season, most recently hoisting up 69 FG attempts in its loss to Iowa State. I believe that tempo favors Long Beach State in this one.

The cupboard is by no means bare for the 49ers. They remain an excellent scoring and rebounding team, even if we haven’t seen evidence of that over the last few games. They’ve scheduled themselves a tough early slate, having already faced Arizona and Kansas State on the road. This neutral court matchup against Michigan doesn’t represent their toughest test of the season to date.

Neither team has posted an ATS win this season, so something has to give on Thursday. I’m just not sure the Wolverines are ready to lay this many points against a quality, well-coached opponent just yet. Take Long Beach State (1*).

Baylor Bears vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys Betting Odds & Pick: November 23rd 2013

Baylor vs. Oklahoma State
Betting Pick: Baylor -9.5 -110 odds (November 23rd 2013)

Have any doubts about Baylor, they are the #1 offense in the land, unstoppable and Okie States defense is not all that good. Easy trap line to take a double digit home dog with 1 loss with a conference title on the line here, but that in fact is the case. Okie States offense has struggled, their QB is average at best and they will not run it at all with the Baylor air attack and ground attack (both average over 300 yards) having them playing catch up. Baylor played K State on the road and won by 10 in their worst effort of the year, but K State is more physical than Okie State. They kicked the crap out of Oklahoma, and Okie State is slightly better than Oklahoma. Baylor needs style points and a signature win, this is their chance, and they are vastly better coached than OSU.