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Georgia vs. South Carolina Point Spread & Pick for September 13th 2014

Georgia vs. South Carolina
College Football Pick: South Carolina +6 point spread (September 13th 2014)

South Carolina enters this game as a home dog, and getting very little respect from lines-makers,something that hasn’t happened since 2010 when their hosting an opponent. Coincidently they won that game against Alabama by a 35-21 count. After the loss to Texas A&M in week one, at home, Spurrier’s side has lost some of it’s luster, especially as far as the public is concerned. But in that opening game key offensive cog RB Mike Davis was not 100%, but now hes said to operating at full throttle, as was evident against East Carolina, which is bad news for opponents. South Carolina has won 35 of their last 39 home games and must not be underestimated in this spot. Im also not ready to admit that South Carolina can’t generate a pass rush or slow Georgia RB Gurley like the media is telling us. With some injuries becoming noticeable among the Bulldogs wise receiver corps, reading the Georgia offense might be easier than many might expect. It must be noted that Georgia has scored 18 points in just one of its last nine visits to South Carolina, including six during coach Mark Richt’s tenure.

Bulldogs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. Gamecocks are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Dating back to last season Georgia has failed to cover 9 of their L/12 overall.

North Texas vs. Louisiana Tech Football Betting Odds & Pick: September 11th 2014

Betting Pick: North Texas -3.5 odds (September 11th 2014)

I think this is a great spot to jump on North Texas at home against a Louisiana Tech team that’s getting a lot of love for going on the road and beating a Sun Belt team. It was a against the favorite to win the Sun Belt in Louisiana-Lafayette, but I was more impressed with North Texas’ 43-6 win over SMU.

Dan McCarney is one of the most underrated coaches in the country. In just his 3rd season on the job, he took the Mean Green to their first bowl game since 2004 last year and his team responded with a 36-14 win over UNLV to finish the year 9-4. There were some concerns with the Mean Green only returning 9 starters, but there’s a lot more talent here than people realize.

My biggest reasoning for backing the Mean Green is due to this being an awful spot for Louisiana Tech. This will be the Bulldogs third straight road game to open the season, which is a difficult task in it’s own right. It’s even that much harder with a short week of preparation. I just don’t see Louisiana Tech playing up to their potential in this spot.

Key Trends – Louisiana Tech is 2-14 ATS in their last 16 road games after playing their last 2 on the road, while North Texas is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games when listed as a favorite and 8-1 ATS in their last 9 when playing on 6 or less days of rest.

System – Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after a win by 35 or more points against opponent after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored are 29-7 (81%) ATS over the last 10 seasons. BET NORTH TEXAS -3.5!

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Houston Cougars vs. BYU Cougars Point Spread & Prediction: September 11th 2014

HOUSTON VS. BYU POINT SPREAD PREDICTION SEPTEMBER 11TH 2014The Houston Cougars (1-1 SU, 0-2 ATS, 0-2 O/U) bounced back from a terrible performance against UTSA to shut out Grambling, 47-0. BYU (2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS, 1-1 O/U) dominated Texas on the road, 41-7 to improve to 2-0. On Thursday night, the Cougars travel to Lavell Edwards Stadium in Provo, to take on the BYU cougars at 9pmET.

Point Spread: BYU opened as a 14-point betting odds favorite and moved to 17.5. The total opend at 55 and moved to 57.5.

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The Cougars lost to BYU last season at home, 47-46. This season, they jumped out to a 27-7 loss at home to UTSA and bounced back to beat Grambling, 47-0. They forced six turnovers and scored a defensive touchdown.

But that was against an FCS squad. Houston needs to keep BYU’s defense off-balance by being unpredictable. Sophomore quarterback John O’Korn has not played well in the first two games, completing 52.2 percent of his passes for 404 yards, one touchdown and four interceptions.

O’Korn played better last wee, tossing for 200 yards and a touchdown before Houston called off the dogs in the second half after going up 34-0 in the first half. They also rushed for 275 yards and three touchdowns led by Kenneth Farrow, who put up 130 yards.

Defensively, Earl Foster forced a fumble and had an interception, while Vincent Hall had a pair of fumble recoveries.

Houston ranked 108th in the nation last season with with 267 yards per game allowed in the air. They gave up 175 yards last week but will be tested more against BYU.

Texas had several key players hurt or suspended last week, but nobody expected BYU to demolish them, 41-7. Taysom Hill completed 18-of-27 for 181 yards against Texas, but was sacked six times and had an interception. He lost 35 yards on the sacks but still managed 99 rushing yards and three rushing touchdowns.

Last season, Hill averaged 226 yards per game int he air and rushed for 1,344 yrds and 10 TDs. He put up 417 yards and four touchdowns through the air against Houston last season, while rushing for 128. But he was also intercepted three times and suffered eight sacks.

Hill is averaging 5.4 yards per run, while Jamaal Williams rushed for 89 yards against Texas.

The BYU defense ranked 16th in the nation last year with a 113.22 pass efficiency defense. Overall, they were supposed to be down this season due to the loss of linebacker Kyle Van Noy.

However, the Cougars are allowing just 8.5 points and 76.5 yards rushing after the win over Texas and the opener on the road against Connecticut (35-10).

Linebacker Branson Kaufusi, who had two sacks against UConn, left the Texas game with an ankle injury and is listed as questionable for this game.

BYU has looked dominant in the first two games, while Houston has no FBS wins. This could be ugly but Houston does have some talent and played the Cougars tight last season.

North Texas vs. Louisiana Tech Point Spread & Prediction: September 11th 2014

NORTH TEXAS VS. LOUISIANA TECH POINT SPREAD PREDICTIONLouisiana Tech (1-1 SU, 2-0 ATS, 2-0 O/U) is looking for revenge against a North Texas team (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS, 1-1 O/U) that dominated SMU last week, 43-6. The Bulldogs visit Apogee Stadium, in Denton, Tx. to meet the Mean Green in a Conference USA matchup on Thursday at 8pmET.

Point Spread: North Texas opened as a 4-point betting odds favorite and moved to 3.5 in most books. The total opened at 49 and moved to 47.

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Louisiana Tech beat interstate rival, Louisiana, 48-20 last week week on the road. The Louisiana Tech racked up 533 total yards, including 238 on the ground. Kenneth Dixon led the Bulldogs with 184 yards including a 99-yard touchdown run to set the school and conference record.

At quarterback, Cody Sokol replaced Logan Kilgore under center. He completed 22 of 33 passes for 295 yards and two touchdowns. He completed seven passes to Paul Turner for 81 yards and six to Hunter Lee for 70 and a score.

The defense also played well as defensive back Xavier Woods picked of Louisiana quarterback Terrance Broadway late in the third quarter and returned the interception 46 yards for a score. The Bulldogs did allowed Louisiana to total 415 offensive yards but did force three turnovers.

SMU might be the worst team in FBS so it’s difficult to judge a win over them, even if it’s 43-6. The Mean Green rushed for 245 yards led by Reggie Pegram (81 yards on 21 carries).

The problem for North Texas is their passing game. Josh Greer completed 9-of-12 for 86 yards to lead the team, while Andrew McNulty added 3-of-5 for 22 yards.

In the first game against Oklahoma (48-16 loss), Green and McNulty combined for 3-of-17 for 15 yards and four interceptions.

They’ll have to lean on the running game and a defense that shut down a terrible SMU offense. The Mustangs ran for just eight yards on 14 attempts. James Jones led the Mean Green with six tackles, while Chad Polk had three tackles and 1.5 sacks.

They did force five SMU turnovers as defensive back Laramie Lee recorded one of the two interceptions.

Though two games, North Texas is allowing 22 points per game and 85.5 rushing yards per game. That includes a 38-7 loss to Texas in the first game.

North Texas wants to physically dominate this game at the line of scrimmage, while Louisiana Tech is a little more about finesse. They do have the passing game to do some damage. They allowed Lafayette to rush for 178 yards on 34 carries last week. They’ll have to do a better job against the run and will probably load the box against the Mean Green.

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Baltimore Ravens Week 2 Point Spread & Prediction: September 11th 2014

STEELERS VS. RAVENS WEEK 2 PREDICTION SPREADThe Pittsburgh Steelers (1-0 SU, 0-1 ATS, 1-0 O/U) won their first game over Cleveland, but blew a 27-3 lead and needed a late field goal to win it. Baltimore (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS, 0-1 O/U) is coming off a rough week. Not only did they lost to Cincinnati at home in the opener, but they also released running back Ray Rice after the release of new video footage which showed him punching his fiancee in an Atlantic City casino elevator in the offseason. Rice would have been suspended for this game before he got released. Baltimore hosts Pittsburgh on Thursday night from M&T Bank Stadium at 8:25pmET.

Week 2 Point Spread: Baltimore opened as a 3-point betting odds favorite and moved to 2.5 in most books. The total opened at 44 and moved to 44.5.

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Baltimore may not have Ray Rice, but their running game looked better than last season in their opener. Pittsburgh allowed Cleveland to rush for over 180 yards, led by two rookie runners, in their 30-27 overtime win last Sunday.

Quarterback Ben Roethlisberger threw for 365 yards on 23-of-34 passing with a touchdown and an interception against the Browns. Antonio Brown caught five passes for 116 yards and a touchdown, while second-year receiver Marcus Wheaton had 97 yards on six catches.

Running back Le’Veon Bell led all rushers with 109 yards and a touchdown on 21 carries and had 88 receiving yards on six receptions. LeGarrette Blount add a rushing touchdown and Shaun Suisham made three field goals to give Pittsburgh their 11th straight home game against the Browns.

The defense was gouged by Cleveland’s no-huddle offense in the second half. Last year, they ranked 21st against the run but the pass defense is also a concern. They had a 27-3 lead and allowed Cleveland to score on four straight possessions in the second half. Pittsburgh did stop the Browns twice late in the game before Suisham’s 41-yard field goal as time expired.

This is not the way the Ravens wanted to celebrate the 200th anniversary of the Star Spangled Banner, being written in Baltimore. They were expected to play without Rice in this game but not the entire season.

That puts more pressure on running back Bernard Pierce, who started last week in their 23-16 loss to Cincinnati, but fumbled in the second quarter. He didn’t return after that and Justin Forsett took over, rushing for 70 yards and a touchdown on 11 attempts.

But that was not enough as Joe Flacco completed 35 of 62 for 345 yards with an interception and an 80-yard touchdown to new receiver Steve Smith. That touchdown pass put the Ravens ahead 17-15 late in the fourth quarter. Andy Dalton hit A.J. Green for a 77-yard touchdown pass two plays later and the Ravens lost the opener.

Flacco did put the Ravens in position to tie the game at the end but was sacked on a fourth down play with seconds left.

The Baltimore defense held the Bengals to five field goals before that long touchdown pass but that has been the issue with the team over the last year. They’ve been able to bend and bend and in the final quarter-they break. They allowed 301 passing yards as Chykie Brown started for Lardarius Webb, who is expected to play on Thursday.

Week 2 Prediction:
These two teams have played some very close games as Pittsburgh leads the series, 20-16. The last five games have have all been decided by three or less points. This one should be another close game.

Rays vs. Yankees MLB Betting Line & Prediction from Stephen Nover: September 10th 2014

Prediction: Tampa Bay +108 betting line (September 10th 2014)

Even with the joke that has become the baseball playoff system, the Yankees are going to miss the postseason. New York hasn’t missed the playoffs in consecutive years since 1992 and ’93. But with 20 games left in the regular season and trailing by 5 1/2 games while looking up at five teams, the Yankees aren’t getting in.

The Yankees aren’t good enough to get in especially without injured Brett Gardner and Martin Prado, who had gotten hot batting .382 in his last 17 games.

Now the Yankees run into a hot Jake Odorizzi, who hasn’t been scored on in his last 14 1/3 innings. Only three times during his last 11 starts has Odorizzi given up more than two earned runs.

The Rays have won 23 of their last 32 road games. They are 12-2 in their last 14 games at Yankee Stadium, including winning the past five times there.

The Yankees are playing tight feeling the pressure. They have dropped six of their last nine. I don’t see things changing for New York with Chris Capuano on the mound. He’s close to washed-up with a 4.86 ERA in his last three starts spanning 16 2/3 innings. Capuano has surrendered six homers during this span.

(Editor’s note: Veteran Las Vegas pro Stephen Nover also has his September Total of the Month going today. Stephen is coming off a 2-0 Tuesday cashing underdog winners on the Astros and Padres. Don’t miss his strongest over/under play of the month.)

Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners Betting Line & Prediction: September 10th 2014

ASTROS VS. MARINERS PREDICTION LINE SEPTEMBER 10TH 2014Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners
Prediction: Houston +231 betting line (September 10th 2014)

The Mariners took Monday’s opener 4-1 before falling 2-1 the following day, their second one-run defeat in three games. Seattle fell one-half game back of the AL’s second wild-card spot.

The Astros (64-81) have won seven of nine behind a 2.04 ERA. Houston’s victory was just its third over an 11-game stretch against the Mariners.

Hisashi Iwakuma (14-6, 2.97 ERA) starts tonight for the Mariners. He has won his last five starts. He hasn’t been very sharp lately, posting a 7.24 ERA in his last three starts. He is 4-0 with a 2.31 ERA over a five-start stretch against division foes. He’s also gone 5-1 in his last six home starts while striking out 37 and walking one over 42 1/3 innings.

Nick Tropeano will be called up from Triple-A Oklahoma City for his big league debut as Houston goes to a six-man rotation. The right-hander went 9-5 with a 3.03 ERA over 23 minor league games.

Seattle has dropped four of its last six at home.

I am playing on the Astros. Seattle hasn’t been playing great lately, Iwakuma can get roughed up and Houston calling up someone that Seattle hasn’t seen. I think with such a high price it is worth a shot for a big payday.

Angels vs. Rangers MLB Betting Odds & Pick from Matt Fargo: September 10th 2014

ANGELS VS. RANGERS BETTINGLos Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers
MLB Betting Pick: Texas +165 odds (September 10th 2014)

Texas could not add to its win on Sunday as it allowed seven runs in the eighth inning against the Angles and dropped to 1-9 over its last 10 games. The offense has been bad over this stretch, scoring three runs or less in nine of those games but the pitching had held its own for the majority of the games and I see that continuing tonight. Los Angeles kept its lead at eight games over Oakland in the American League West and now it is only a matter of time before they clinch the division as the magic number is down to 11 games. The Angels have won six straight games, all coming on the road, and now they are favored by the biggest amount on this roadtrip by far. Matt Shoemaker has been getting it done on the road as he is as he is 6-1 while the Angels are 7-1 in his eight starts on the highway. The thing is that he has been pitching lousy with a 4.88 ERA in those games so he has been very fortunate to have as good of a record as he does. Nick Tepesch has been pitching very well but he has not been as fortunate. He had one bad start against Kansas City three starts back but he has allowed three runs or less in six of his last seven starts which included a quality start against the Angels here back on August 17th. In two starts against Los Angeles this season, he has a 3.46 ERA with both resulting in quality performances. The Rangers are 4-4 in his eight home starts which is very good considering he has been the underdog in the last five. Play (974) Texas Rangers

Atlanta Falcons vs. Cincinnati Bengals Week 2 NFL Pick: September 14th 2014

FALCONS VS. BENGALS WEEK 2 NFL PICK SEPTEMBER 14TH 2014Atlanta Falcons vs. Cincinnati Bengals
Week 2 NFL Pick: Cincinnati -5 (September 14th 2014)

The Bengals took care of business in Week 1 against a divisional foe on the road and I think they can once again deliver the goods in Week 2 at home. The visiting Atlanta Falcons (1-0) started off their season on a high point with a thrilling 37-35 overtime win over divisional foe New Orleans. Matt Ryan had one of his best performances of his career, throwing three TDs while completing 31 for 43 passes for 448 yards. Julio Jones was Ryan’s favorite target with nine catches for 116 yards while newcomer Devin Hester was very effective as a pass catcher with 99 yards on five receptions. It was hardly a perfect performance though as the Falcons did give up 472 yards of total offense, making up for it by posting 568 yards of their own. Cincinnati (1-0) gave away a 15 point lead but managed to hold on for a 23-16 win against the Ravens. Andy Dalton went 25 of 38 for 301 yards to help the Bengals end a four-game losing streak in Baltimore. A.J Green caught a 77 yard TD pass to seal the deal in the closing moments. A win is a win is a win and there is no question that Cinncy will take it on the road against the division rival. Note though that the Bengals were lights out at home last year with a perfect 8-0 SU and ATS record during the regular season. This sets up as a classic letdown spot for Atlanta and I think that the book is still out on a team that lost 12 games last season. In fact, the Falcons themselves know they have a long way to go: “It’s a good start,” Ryan assessed afterwards. “But it’s a long season.” The fact that that Atlanta gave up 34 points in its first game has me worried as well; remember, the defense was brutal in allowing 27.7 points last season and early signs show that the unit hasn’t gotten any better. Conversely, Cincinnati was the fifth best scoring defense in the NFL last year, allowing just 19.1 points per game and showed its adroitness on that side of the ball last week. Note that Atlanta is just 1-3 ATS in its last four trips to Cincinnati, all signs point to another tough one today; consider a second look at the BENGALS in this one.

Navy vs. Texas State College Football Pick from Brad Diamond: September 13th 2014

College Football Pick: Texas State +10.5 (September 13th 2014)

Last week in these same pages we authored Navy minus over Temple, and they did not disappoint winning and covering 31-24. The Middies generated over 500 yards of offense, 487 net yards rushing. Navy showed us that Temple is susceptible to the run, but the Owls QB Walker was 29-50 for 240 yards. If Walker was more accurate the Owls could have stolen a major home win in Philadelphia. This time around the Middies go out on the road against Texas State laying doubles…HELLO! TSU comes off a 6-6 season with 12 starters, 8 on offense. The Bobcats averaged 28+ points per game, while surrendering on average 37.6 points per game…6.7 yards per play. TSU defeated Arkansas-Pine Bluff last time out 65-0 gashing for 697 net yards of offense. They had a massive 31-14 first down advantage. We note, however, UAPBs next opponent is Concordia which has just 611 students enrolled. Still, TSU last year showed they can play with FBS level talent. In fact, they defeated Southern Mississippi 22-15, Wyoming 42-21, Georgia State 24-17, South Alabama 33-31 and Idaho 37-21 last season. In 2012 the Bobcats went into Annapolis losing 21-10 to Navy, as a 13-point underdog. The Academy finished 8-5 that season. The point, feel being at home with a dangerous offense catching doubles seems like a good time to TAKE THE POINTS. This looks like a natural letdown spot for Navy who has Rutgers next week in their home opener with the Middies in REVENGE for a 21-20 loss in 2011. Also, just as important this is a REVENGE game for Texas State who lost 21-10 to Navy (Annapolis) in 2012. Good Luck.