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Columbia vs. Yale Betting Odds & Pick from Joe Gavazzi: January 31st 2014

Joe Gavazzi - College Basketball PickColumbia vs. Yale
Betting Pick: Yale -2 -110 odds (January 31st 2014)
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Home court meant the world last year as the Lions won by 13 in Levien, while Yale captured the return match by 19 here at John J. Lee. After losing at Brown last Saturday, to split the opening of league play with traveling partner Brown, look for them to be hungry against a Lions team who easily defeated traveling partner Cornell by double digits to open league season. Numbers point toward a Columbia defense allowing just 62/41/33, while knocking down more than 8 triples a game at 40%. But the WFLI (Winning Factor Line Indicator), which is 6-0 ATS the last two nights and nearly 70% for the season, is squarely on the Eli in this one. If you are not doing as well, you may want to follow that lead.

Raptors vs. Nuggets NBA Betting Odds & Prediction from Teddy Covers: January 31st 2014

Teddy Covers - NBA PickToronto Raptors vs. Denver Nuggets
NBA Betting Prediction: Toronto +2 -110 odds (January 31st 2014)
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It doesn’t look good for Ty Lawson’s chances to suit up as the Nuggets starting point guard tonight; listed as ‘doubtful’ with a bum shoulder. Even if he plays, he’s not likely to be anywhere near 100%.

Backup point guard Nate Robinson hurt his knee while on the floor replacing Lawson in their home loss to Charlotte on Wednesday. The other backup point guard, Andre Miller, hasn’t been with the team since his public feud with first year head coach Brian Shaw over playing time over New Year’s.

So where does that leave the Nuggets right now? Simple – they’re a mess offensively without any of their top three point guards. Shaw’s quote sounds like he’s already making excuses:

“The one position that we can ill afford to have an injury or have that player missing is Ty Lawson. His speed, being a pure point guard that can run the point and direct everybody where to go and keep the defense on their toes. So we lose a lot of speed and playmaking ability. We try to mix-and-match and make up for it in other ways, but it’s definitely shows his value when he’s not in there, how we have to really, really work hard to get everything that we got.”

Meanwhile, the Raptors have been the single greatest pointspread success story in the NBA over the past two months. First time All Star DeMar DeRozan and key interior presence Patrick Patterson are both expected to suit up tonight after missing their 15 point win over Orlando on Wednesday. And Raptors point guard Kyle Lowry might have a bit of a chip on his shoulder after getting snubbed from the All Star team; primed for a huge effort here.

Toronto has won nine of their last 14 on the highway in straight up fashion. They’re 9-1 ATS in their last ten tries as an underdog as part of a 19-6 pointspread run in their last 25 games. Without many TV appearances or household name stars, this north of the border pointspread juggernaut has held their value remarkably well during this stretch, primed to cash another winning bet tonight. Take the Raptors.

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Orlando Magic NBA Pick from Rickie Robbins: January 31st 2014

Rickie Robbins - NBA PickMilwaukee Bucks vs. Orlando Magic
NBA Pick: Milwaukee Bucks +5.5 -110 odds (January 31st 2014)
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Friday night’s showdown between the Milwaukee Bucks and Orlando Magic will be a battle between two teams that are obviously tanking for the NBA draft lottery. The Bucks have won one game in the month of January, while the Magic have doubled that win total with two wins.

Who will try to lose on purpose more than the other?

It’s absolutely pathetic how bad both of these teams are playing. Milwaukee is dead last in points scored per game and 25th in the NBA in rebounds. Orlando is 24th in points scored and 23rd in points allowed. And it’s not even like the games are close, as the Bucks are 15-30 against the spread this year and the Magic aren’t too far behind with a 19-28 against the spread record.

Where do you turn?

I would usually run away from a game like this but if I’m forced to pick, I’m going with the team that’s getting the points. In the earlier meeting in November, Milwaukee only lost by three points and got solid contributions from Caron Butler and O.J. Mayo. Speaking of Mayo, he’s expected to play in this game after sitting out the loss to Phoenix with the flu.

There’s really no side to feel good about heading into this game. We know both teams suck and would probably prefer to lose this game just to get a couple more Ping-Pong balls. But when both squads are pretty much even and the game could go either way, it’s always best to take the points. It’s the only thing you can feel positive about.
I’ll take Milwaukee.

Sacramento vs. Dallas Betting Odds & Pick from Jack Jones: January 31st 2014

Jack Jones - NBA PickSacramento Kings vs. Dallas Mavericks
Betting Pick: Dallas -7 -110 odds (January 31st 2014)
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The Dallas Mavericks are highly motivated for a victory tonight after losing three of their last four games coming into this one. Adding fuel to the fire is the fact that they were blown out 97-112 at Sacramento in their first and only meeting with the Kings this season.

Dirk Nowitzki rarely talks much, but after a 115-117 loss to Houston last time out, he felt the need to voice his opinion. “The defense was horrible all night,” star Dirk Nowitzki told the Mavericks’ official website. “I mean, every time down somebody was in the paint, laying the ball up or in transition, drives or pick-and-roll plays. I mean, if you give up 117 at the house, you’re going to lose.”

I look for Nowitzki and the Mavs to put their best foot forward defensively against a Sacramento team that could be without DeMarcus Cousins (22.6 ppg, 11.6 rpg) for a 5th straight game. This is a Kings team that gives up 104.7 points per game on 46.9 percent shooting on the season, playing little to no defense.

History is on Dallas’ side as well. The Mavericks have won 15 of 16 overall in this series. Better yet, they have won a whopping 18 straight home meetings with the Kings. The Kings are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games following a double-digit loss at home. Dallas is 41-17 ATS in its last 58 games following a loss. The home team is 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings in this series. Bet the Mavericks Friday.

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Murray State vs. Austin Peay College Basketball Prediction from Jimmy Boyd: January 31st 2014

Jimmy Boyd: College Basketball PickMurray State vs. Austin Peay
College Basketball Prediction: Murray State -3.5 (January 31st 2014)
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The Murray State Racers are the best team in the Ohio Valley Conference. They have a 7-1 record in conference play, and they are facing an Austin Peay team that has posted a 9-12 overall record and a 3-4 record against Ohio Valley opponents. The Racers should have no problem putting a big number on the scoreboard against the Governors soft defense. Austin Peay has surrendered 75.9 points per game this season.

We are getting a lot of value on Murray State thanks to an anomaly performance from the Governors in their last outing. Austin Peay shot 67.6 percent from the field while holding Tennessee Tech to just 37.3 percent shooting. That is unlikely to take place again, especially against a team that is considered top tier in the Ohio Valley. Murray State is an outstanding offensive team averaging 73.7 points per game. The defense has played well holding opponents with a scoring average over 72 points per game to a mere 69.9 points per game. The Racers are the better team, and it will show in this matchup against the Governors.

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Providence vs. Marquette Betting Odds & Pick from Steve Janus: January 30th 2014

Steve Janus - College Basketball PickProvidence vs. Marquette
Betting Pick: Marquette -5 -110 odds (January 30th 2014)
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There’s a pretty strong indication that the sharps are on Marquette in this game. I’m showing over 75% of the bets coming in on Providence, yet we have seen the line move from Marquette -4 to -5.

The Golden Eagles are just 11-9 overall, but could just as easily have a much stronger record and be ranked inside the Top 25. 7 of their 9 losses have come by single digits and each of their last two defeats have come in overtime. The most recent being a 85-94 overtime loss to then No. 4 Villanova. The same Villanova team that embarrassed Providence 91-61 earlier this season.

Marquette is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 home games with a total of 130 to 134.5, while Providence is just 6-15 ATS in their last 21 road games vs teams who are outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game and 4-12 ATS in their last 16 road games vs teams who are committing 14 or fewer turnovers.

We also finding a strong system in play favoring Marquette.Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MARQUETTE) – after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 64-25 (72%) ATS since 1997. BET THE GOLDEN EAGLES -5!

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College Basketball Pick from Joe Gavazzi: St. Mary’s vs. San Diego: January 30th 2014

Joe Gavazzi - College Basketball PickCollege Basketball Picks: January 30th 2014
St. Mary’s vs. San Diego
Prediction: St. Mary’s -4.5
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This matchup has historically favored St. Mary’s/Bennett vs. San Diego/Grier. Such was the case last year, when the Gaels beat the Torreros by scores of 33, 10 and 3 points. Some may kneejerk to the current form of San Diego as the Torreros return home from a 4-0 ATS road trip in which they went 2-2 SU (all games decided by 3 or less points), including wins at Portland and Santa Clara. But after 5 consecutive games decided by 4 or less points, it is no surprise to this bureau if San Diego exhales at home. For under Grier, this team is just 27-26 SU, 3+Y at the Jenny Craig Pavilion. Far prefer the visiting Gaels (5 straight series wins), who are in ideal roles under 13th year HC Bennett. Those include 37-17 ATS as road chalk L7+Y and 36-9 ATS following a home win in which they scored 85 or more points (defeated LOY-Mary 89-61, Saturday night). Looks like another series win for the visitor.

Los Angeles Clippers vs. Golden State Warriors Point Spread & Prediction: January 30th 2014

CLIPPERS VS. WARRIORS PREDICTION POINT SPREADLos Angeles Clippers vs. Golden State Warriors
Point Spread: Golden State -5 Over/Under 212 (January 30th 2014)
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ATS Trends:
Warriors are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Warriors are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall. Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games. Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest. Warriors are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games. Clippers are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS loss. Clippers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Clippers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. Clippers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Clippers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Pacific.

Over/Under Trends:
Over is 7-0 in Warriors last 7 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Under is 5-1 in Warriors last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Under is 4-1-1 in Warriors last 6 games playing on 1 days rest. Under is 8-2 in Warriors last 10 games following a S.U. loss. Under is 3-1-1 in Warriors last 5 overall. Over is 6-0 in Clippers last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Over is 6-0 in Clippers last 6 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Over is 10-2 in Clippers last 12 road games. Under is 4-1 in Clippers last 5 vs. NBA Pacific. Over is 7-2 in Clippers last 9 overall.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Golden State. Over is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings. Home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Clippers are 4-12 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Golden State. Underdog is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings.

RECENT MEETINGS
DATE HOME / AWAY LINE ATS MAR O/U HOME FG AWAY FG REB H-A
12/25/13 GS 105 – LAC 103 LAC 3.0 1.0 O 207.5 40/95 40/81 49-38
10/31/13 LAC 126 – GS 115 LAC -6 5.0 O 205.5 42/85 40/76 44-33
01/21/13 GS 106 – LAC 99 GS 4.5 11.5 O 197.5 39/75 38/83 39-39
01/05/13 LAC 115 – GS 89 LAC -6 20.0 O 202.0 47/90 32/72 41-30
01/02/13 GS 115 – LAC 94 GS 1.5 22.5 O 201.5 42/84 29/80 53-38

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Cleveland Cavaliers vs. New York Knicks Point Spread & Prediction: January 30th 2014

CAVALIERS VS. KNICKS PREDICTION POINT SPREAD

Cleveland Cavaliers vs. New York Knicks
Point Spread: New York -6 Over/Under 196 (January 30th 2014)
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ATS Trends:
Knicks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win. Knicks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Knicks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Knicks are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 Thursday games. Knicks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win. Cavaliers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games. Cavaliers are 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games playing on 1 days rest. Cavaliers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Cavaliers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.

Over/Under Trends:
Over is 4-0 in Knicks last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Over is 4-0 in Knicks last 4 home games. Over is 6-1 in Knicks last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Over is 5-1 in Knicks last 6 vs. Eastern Conference. Over is 4-1 in Knicks last 5 Thursday games. Under is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home. Over is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 vs. a team with a losing S.U. record. Under is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 Thursday games. Under is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 games following a ATS loss. Under is 15-4 in Cavaliers last 19 vs. NBA Atlantic.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
Over is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings in New York. Favorite is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Home team is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings.

RECENT MEETINGS
DATE HOME / AWAY LINE ATS MAR O/U HOME FG AWAY FG REB H-A
12/10/13 CLE 109 – NY 94 CLE -2.5 12.5 O 190.0 42/74 40/87 38-31
04/12/13 CLE 91 – NY 101 NY -4.5 5.5 U 209.0 34/79 40/79 46-44
03/04/13 CLE 97 – NY 102 NY -3.0 2.0 U 204.5 37/73 36/78 31-40
12/15/12 NY 103 – CLE 102 CLE 10.5 9.5 O 194.5 37/85 40/82 41-45
04/20/12 CLE 98 – NY 90 CLE 10 18.0 U 195.5 36/79 35/83 52-32

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Cavaliers vs. Knicks Betting Odds & Pick from Brandon Shively: January 30th 2014

Brandon Shively - NBA Basketball PickCleveland Cavaliers vs. New York Knicks
Betting Pick: Cleveland +6 -110 odds (January 30th 2014)
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We will be taking the Cleveland Cavs with the points tonight as our free pick. Cleveland already beat the Knicks earlier this year, 109-94, and they will beat them again tonight. Not allot of folks will consider the Cavs since they have lost 4 of their last 5 home games. I am not worried about that. I know the talent that they have on their team and know they will compete in the Garden tonight. The Knicks are on another mini-winning streak (Won L3), but they have a big game on deck vs. the Miami Heat and this is a look-ahead game for them. The Knicks are still not playing with a full roster and now Shumpert is listed as day-to-day with a sprained shoulder. As of this writing, it appears that Shumpert will not be suiting up for this game and this guy is a great role player for the Knicks that can score but also plays defense.

I will call this a ‘bounce’ game for Cleveland. Over the last 5 games, they are only shooting 40% from the floor. That is VERY low for an NBA team and I expect a much better performance tonight. The Cavs defense has been great the last 5 games as they are only allowing 95 ppg. Look for them to shoot the ball much better vs. a porous Knicks defense. After a blowout loss (more than 10 points), Cleveland has responded nicely with a 4-1 ATS mark and I will use this trend to support the fact that they are due for a better shooting performance. The Knicks are not a good covering team either at home as they are only 8-17 ATS in their last 25 home games. Look for Cleveland to play on of their best road games of the season and to catch the Knicks napping as they are getting ready for the Defending NBA Champs, the Miami Heat.