Free NBA Pick: Los Angeles Lakers vs. Portland Trailblazers: January 8th 2010
Los Angeles Lakers vs. Portland Trailblazers
January 8th 2010 – Visit Touthouse.com for more expert NBA basketball picks
Free Total Pick: Under 194.5 points (Jimmy Boyd)
The Lakers struggle in Portland, having lost eight straight there. With that in mind, and after a loss to the Clippers Wednesday, there is a little doubt that the Lakers will be motivated. But a motivated Lakers team has not usually met a high scoring one as you might think. Instead, the Lakers usually clamp down on the defensive end in bounce back spots. In fact, the Under is 20-6 in the Lakers’ last 26 games following a loss and 7-3 in their last 10 games following a loss of more than 10 points. LA will likely have to get the job done on the defensive end tonight as it will once against be without Pau Gasol. Without Gasol in the lineup the last two games, the Lakers are averaging just 89.5 points. The Blazers will be motivated to “D” up as well. After holding teams to an average of 94.0 points during a 6-1 run from Dec. 20-Jan. 2, Portland is giving up 107.0 points on 51.6 percent shooting in its last two games. Nothing gets the competitive juices flowing for the Blazers like a visit from LA so I expect Portland to be much better defensively tonight. Plus, the Under is 9-4 in the Trail Blazers’ last 13 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Bet the Under for 1 Unit.
Free Side Pick: Portland Trailblazers +4 (John Ryan)
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Portland as they host the Lakers set to start at 10:05 EST. AiS shows a 74% probability that Portland will lose this game by 3 or fewer points and has a 56% probability of winning the game. The Clippers won SU against the Lakers and was another 7* Titan winner. Portland has the same opportunity and even better personnel than the Clippers. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 46-19 ATS for 71% winners since 1996. Play on home dogs after 2 or more consecutive overs and is a good team outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game. AiS shows an 88% probability that Portland will score between 99 and 104 points. Note that hey are a solid 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when they score 99 to 104 points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Portland is also in a solid situation for an ATS win noting they are 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in home games versus good shooting teams making >=46% of their shots over the last 2 seasons. The Lakers are certainly an elite team and are hitting 46% from the field ranking 13th in the league. lakers are still the favorite to win the World Championship, but in this game Portland has an excellent opportunity to hand them another loss. Take Portland.
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