MLB Predictions: May 2nd 2012
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves
Prediction: Philly -113 odds
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The Philadelphia Phillies are showing some incredible value at -113 with Roy Halladay on the mound. Halladay is one of the elite pitchers in the game today, and rarely will you find him at this price. We also get a Philadelphia team that has won 5 of their last 7 overall.

Halladay is coming off back-to-back losses in his last two starts, but that isn’t to say he didn’t pitch well. Halladay allowed just five runs over 14 innings and comes into the game today 3-2 with a 1.95 ERA and 0.946 WHIP in five starts. If that isn’t enough to get you to jump on the Phillies, Halladay is 3-1 with a 1.72 ERA and 0.915 WHIP in six career starts vs. Atlanta.

The Phillies are 36-19 against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons and an impressive 15-5 against the money line in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons. BET THE PHILLIES!

Chicago Bulls vs. Philadelphia 76ers
Playoff Pick: Bulls -6.5 -110 Betting line (May 1st 2012)
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The Chicago Bulls will rally around one another tonight to make up for the loss of Derrick Rose. That is what they have done all season, so it’s not like they aren’t used to it. Chicago is fully capable of covering this small number in Game 2 against Philadelphia.

The Bulls were able to start their top five just 15 times this season because of injuries to Rose, Richard Hamilton and Luol Deng (torn ligament in his left wrist), yet they still tied San Antonio for the league’s best record at 50-16. In games Rose missed, they went 18-9.

Two of Chicago’s biggest strengths are defense and rebounding. They have been better at both when Rose hasn’t been in the line-up. I’m not saying they are a better team without him, but they don’t miss him as much as a lot of people think. They certainly should be a bigger favorite in Game 2 tonight.

The 76ers are 17-35 ATS in their last 52 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record, including 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The Bulls are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. Chicago is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home meetings with Philadelphia. Bet the Bulls Tuesday.

Denver Nuggets vs. Los Angeles Lakers
Betting Line: Los Angeles Lakers -5.5 Over/Under 200 (May 1st 2012)
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Fargo’s NBA LATE NIGHT BAILOUT (SWEET 25-11-1 RUN)
Matt heads into Tuesday off a WIN on Indiana to move to an AWESOME 3-1 in the NBA Playoffs! He has been doing it all season though as he is riding a SWEET 25-11-1 ATS (69.4%) run and going back to the All-Star Break, he is on a SENSATIONAL 54-32-2 ATS streak! He is far from done and he has the LATE WINNER between Denver and LA! End your night with a BIG Ticket!

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ATS Trends:
Lakers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Lakers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Conference Quarterfinals games.
Lakers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Lakers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Lakers are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games following a S.U. win.
Nuggets are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss.
Nuggets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
Nuggets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Nuggets are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5.
Nuggets are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5.

Over/Under Trends:
Over is 4-0 in Lakers last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.
Over is 4-0 in Lakers last 4 games following a S.U. win.
Over is 4-0 in Lakers last 4 games following a ATS win.
Over is 5-1 in Lakers last 6 games following a SU win of more than 10 points.
Over is 5-1 in Lakers last 6 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
Under is 6-0 in Nuggets last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
Under is 5-1 in Nuggets last 6 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 13-3 in Nuggets last 16 playoff games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5.
Under is 4-1 in Nuggets last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
Under is 20-6 in Nuggets last 26 playoff games as an underdog.

Head-to-Head Trends:
Under is 17-5 in the last 22 meetings in Los Angeles.
Under is 35-17 in the last 52 meetings.
Nuggets are 6-14-1 ATS in the last 21 meetings in Los Angeles.

Nuggets Recent Games:

Lakers Recent Games:

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Philadelphia 76ers vs. Chicago Bulls
Betting Line: Chicago Bulls -6.5 Over/Under 176 (May 1st 2012)
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SCOTT SPREITZER’S NBA TAPOUT BLOWOUT! *62-35 Run! – Tuesday
Scott Spreitzer SLAMS the books with his second NBA TAPOUT BLOWOUT of the postseason, winning his first with the Spurs. Scott’s on a book-busting 62-35 TAPOUT run and begins a new win streak tonight…(25-9 NBA run despite last night’s loss). Grab the TAPOUT as Scott looks to extend his run to 26-9 in the NBA!

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ATS Trends:
Bulls are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Bulls are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5.
Bulls are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 home games.
Bulls are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
76ers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Tuesday games.
76ers are 17-35 ATS in their last 52 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
76ers are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
76ers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
76ers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as an underdog.

Over/Under Trends:
Over is 6-0 in Bulls last 6 games playing on 2 days rest.
Over is 9-1 in Bulls last 10 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Under is 6-1 in Bulls last 7 overall.
Under is 5-1 in Bulls last 6 games as a home favorite.
Under is 5-1 in Bulls last 6 home games.
Over is 4-0 in 76ers last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Over is 4-0 in 76ers last 4 Tuesday games.
Over is 6-0 in 76ers last 6 games following a S.U. loss.
Over is 7-0 in 76ers last 7 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
Over is 5-0 in 76ers last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Head-to-Head Trends:
Over is 13-4-1 in the last 18 meetings.
Home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
76ers are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Chicago.

76ers Recent Games:

Bulls Recent Games:

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Boston Celtics vs. Atlanta Hawks
Betting Line: Atlanta Hawks -4.5 Over/Under 172 (May 1st 2012)
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Fargo is coming off an EASY WIN on the Pacers to improve to an OUTSTANDING 3-1 in the playoffs! He is on a MASSIVE 13-5 ATS (72.2%) run with NBA 10* plays and a FANTASTIC 25-11-1 L37 NBA while going a SIZZLING 54-32-2 ATS since the All-Star break! Long-term he is 116-74-5 ATS last 194 and all of the streaks are extended here! Add to the postseason with a WINNER!

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ATS Trends:
Hawks are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 Conference Quarterfinals games.
Hawks are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 0.5-4.5.
Hawks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 75 points in their previous game.
Hawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 0.5-4.5.
Hawks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Celtics are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss.
Celtics are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 1 days rest.
Celtics are 4-1-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Celtics are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games after scoring less than 75 points in their previous game.
Celtics are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog of 0.5-4.5.

Over/Under Trends:
Over is 4-0 in Hawks last 4 Tuesday games.
Under is 4-0 in Hawks last 4 playoff games as a favorite.
Under is 6-0 in Hawks last 6 Conference Quarterfinals games.
Over is 10-1 in Hawks last 11 games as a home favorite.
Over is 9-1 in Hawks last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Over is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 games after scoring less than 75 points in their previous game.
Under is 6-1 in Celtics last 7 games as an underdog of 0.5-4.5.
Over is 5-1 in Celtics last 6 playoff games as an underdog.
Under is 5-1 in Celtics last 6 Conference Quarterfinals games.
Under is 4-1-1 in Celtics last 6 games as a road underdog of 0.5-4.5.

Head-to-Head Trends:
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Atlanta.
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

Celtics Recent Games:

Atlanta Hawks Recent Games:

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MLB Baseball Betting Picks: April 30th 2012
Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Prediction: Toronto +140
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The Jays are showing value at this price as scheduled starter Drabek has the stuff to go toe-to-toe with Darvish. Drabek’s season ERA (2.25) is lower than Davish’s (2.42) and his home ERA (1.42) is lower than Darvish’s road ERA (1.50). Drabek won his only previous meeting with the Rangers, a 6-4 victory at Texas on April 25, 2011, when he yielded three runs in six innings.

The Rangers have struggled against the Blue Jays, losing 13 of the last 19 in the series, including 9 of the last 12 north of the border. It also can’t go unmentioned that their best player, Josh Hamilton, left Sunday’s game with back stiffness. His status for tonight’s game is still up in the air, but don’t be surprised if his swing is affected by the injury if he does go. Back injuries can be very difficult to deal with.

We’ll take the Jays at a nice price.

No. 3 Ranked Handicapper in 2012 ($1,000/game bettors up $28,950) with the HIGHEST ROI and winning percentage among those with a minimum of 100 plays! ROCK SOLID 32-17 (65%) on all picks L23 days! Jimmy is ready to bounce back strong following a rare off day with his 5* NBA Playoffs *BEST BET* (Red Hot 34-13-1 L48 NBA 5* Top Plays) and 13-0 MLB Monday Night SMASH (Epic 42-16 MLB Run). JOIN HIM IN THE WINNER’S CIRCLE!

NBA Playoffs Betting Picks: April 20th 2012
Miami Heat vs. New York Knicks
Pick: Miami Heat -9.5
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Whether they blow the Knicks out or not, there’s no way anyone in their right mind can pick the New York Knicks to cover the spread against the far superior Miami Heat in this Eastern Conference showdown.

The Heat didn’t just beat New York, they crushed any hopes (dreams) that the New York Knicks may have had of winning this series, by pounding them into submission in their 100-67 rout on Saturday.

Now, I like the Heat to win again by double digits and cover the spread as a big home favorite tonight.

Miami is 5-1 ATS in their last six home games and an even more impressive 8-2 ATS in their last 10 playoff games as a favorite.

While the Heat have also gone 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game, the Knicks have gone just 1-5 ATS in their last six games as a road underdog between 5.0 and 10.5 points and I don’t see them getting the job done tonight either.

The good news for Knicks betting backers is the fact that the Road team in this series has gone 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings. -Eric Williams

MLB Predictions: April 30th 2012
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres
Prediction: San Diego Padres -108
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The Brewers were able to salvage one game at St. Louis with a 3-2 win on Sunday but now they head out west with a 4-6 record on the road. The offense managed only six runs in the three-game set against the Cardinals and that offense has been an issue all season. The Brewers are hitting only .237 on the season including a mere .228 on the road and both of those are near the bottom of the league. Milwaukee is now 16-35 in its last 51 games as an underdog.

It was the opposite way for San Diego as it won the series opener at San Francisco before losing the final two games of their three-game series. The Padres are now back home for a nine-game homestand which could prove to be a very integral part of the season should it go one way or the other. The Padres are just 5-9 at home and like the Brewers, it is the offense that has been holding it back. Not favored often, the Padres do take advantage as they are 4-0 in their last four games when laying the price.

San Diego sends Joe Wieland to the hill and while he has yet to pick up a win in his rookie season, he has looked sharp. His Major League debut was not a good one as he allowed six runs in five innings on the road against the Dodgers but he has settled in at home where he has tossed two quality starts while posting a 2.25 ERA and 1.17 WHIP over 12 innings. Run support is the issue but we should see another strong outing as the Brewers are 0-5 in their last five road games against right-handed starters.

The Brewers counter with Randy Wolf who is off to a rough start this season. He is coming off a quality outing but that was his first one as his other three starts resulted in some bad numbers. Even though his last start was a good one, he has a 7.17 ERA on the year including a 16.62 ERA in his lone road start. He has bee hit hard in three of his last four starts in San Diego and Milwaukee is 3-9 in his last 12 road starts against teams with a losing road record. 3* (962) San Diego Padres -Matt Fargo

Los Angeles Clippers vs. Memphis Grizzlies
Playoffs Prediction & Odds
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The Los Angeles Clippers (40-26 SU, 33-33 ATS, 33-32-1 O/U) took two of three from the Memphis Grizzlies (41-25 SU, 29-37 ATS, 26-40 O/U) this season but dropped the last meeting on April 9 in Memphis.

The Clippers went 17-16 ATS at home and a polar opposite 16-17 ATS on the road while averaging 97.5 points per contest (14th) and shooting a solid 45.5 percent from the field (10th). L.A. finished 22nd in rebounding (41.6 rpg). Defensively, the Clippers allowed 95.0 points per game (13th) and 14th in defensive field goal percentage (44.7).

The Clippers had a whopping six players average double figures in scoring this season, led by Blake Griffin’s 20.7 points per game and Chris Paul’s 19.8 points per contest.

The Memphis Grizzlies caught fire late in the regular season to become the team that no one wants to face this postseason (again). The Grizz have won six straight and eight of its L/10 games.

Memphis averaged just 95.0 points per game (20th) while making 44.7 percent of their field goal attempts (16th) and 32.6 percent of their three-point attempts (25th).

Defense however, was a strong suit for the Grizzlies as they gave up just 93.0 points per game (fifth) while limiting their opponents to just 44.4 percent shooting (12th) and 34.5 percent from beyond the arc (11th). The Grizzlies had five double-digit scorers this season, led by Rudy Gay’s 19.0 points per contest.

Here is a look at the key ATS and O/U trends for both ballclubs this season.

Los Angeles
Clippers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Over is 4-0 in Clippers last 4 playoff games as an underdog.
Under is 6-1 in Clippers last 7 vs. a team with a winning SU record.
Over is 4-1 in Clippers last 5 overall.
Over is 4-1 in Clippers last 5 games as a road underdog.
Over is 5-2 in Clippers last 7 games following a S.U. loss.
Under is 9-4 in Clippers last 13 Sunday games.

Memphis
Grizzlies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 playoff games as a favorite.
Grizzlies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Grizzlies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
Grizzlies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. Western Conference.
Grizzlies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite.
Over is 4-1 in Grizzlies last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Under is 14-5 in Grizzlies last 19 overall.
Under is 10-4 in Grizzlies last 14 games as a favorite.

Key head-to-head trends
Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Memphis.

My picks for the four first round matchups are…
San Antonio in five
Oklahoma City in six
Lakers in six
Memphis in six

Denver Nuggets vs. Los Angeles Lakers
Playoffs Prediction & Odds
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The Denver Nuggets (38-28 SU, 36-30 ATS, 32-33-1 O/U) closed out the regular season with four straight wins and six in their L/7 games and eight of their L/10 games overall. The Nuggets led the league in scoring (104.1 ppg) while finishing second in field goal percentage (47.6) and eighth in rebounding (43.1).

Denver had a half-dozen players average double figures in scoring, led by point guard Ty Lawson (16.4 ppg), but ranked a dismal 29th in points allowed (101.2 ppg), 24th in field goal percentage (45.6) and a disappointing 30th in three-point field goal defense (38.3). The Nuggets went 14-19 ATS at home during the regular season but made up for it on the road by going 22-11 ATS.

The Los Angeles Lakers (41-25 SU, 28-28 ATS, 37-28-1 O/U) took two of three regular season meetings against the Nuggets but didn’t fare very well when it came to covering the spread this season as they finished 16-17 ATS at home and a dismal 12-21 ATS on the road.

L.A. averaged 97.3 points per game (15th) but shot the ball well from the field tin finishing eighth in field goal percentage (45.7). Three-point shooting was a weakness with the Lakers shooting just 32.5 percent beyond the arc (26th). Defensively, the Lakers ranked 15th in points allowed (95.9 ppg) and an impressive ninth in field goal shooting percentage (43.7). L.A. placed four players in double digits in scoring, led by Kobe Bryant’s 27.9 points per contest.

Here is a look at the key ATS and O/U trends for both ballclubs this season.

Denver
Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning SU record.
Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Western Conference.
Nuggets are 25-8 ATS in their last 33 games as a road underdog.
Nuggets are 30-11 ATS in their last 41 games as an underdog.
Nuggets are 36-15 ATS in their last 51 road games.
Over is 5-1-1 in Nuggets last 7 games as a road underdog.
Under is 22-7 in Nuggets last 29 playoff games as an underdog.
Over is 3-1-1 in Nuggets last 5 vs. Western Conference.
Under is 9-3 in Nuggets last 12 vs. NBA Pacific.

Los Angeles
Lakers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points.
Lakers are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 vs. Western Conference.
Lakers are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 Sunday games.
Lakers are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 games overall.
Lakers are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games as a favorite.
Lakers are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 home games.
Over is 4-1 in Lakers last 5 home games.
Under is 20-6 in Lakers last 26 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Over is 11-4 in Lakers last 15 games as a home favorite.
Over is 20-8 in Lakers last 28 overall.

Key head-to-head trends
Under is 21-6 in the last 27 meetings.
Under is 16-5 in the last 21 meetings in Los Angeles.
Nuggets are 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Los Angeles.
Nuggets are 7-3-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings.