Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates u9.0 (105) – Mon July 20th 2009 7:05p
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The Pittsburgh Pirates simply cannot hit right now, as some excellent pitching is the only reason they just took two of three from the San Francisco Giants, and even the normally potent Milwaukee Brewers have scuttled offensively the last three games.
The two Pittsburgh wins over the Giants were by scored of 2-0 and 2-1, and the Bucs are batting a pathetic .188 as a team over their last 10 games. Not surprisingly, the Under is 8-1-1 over this stretch. This should make life easier for Milwaukee starter Mike Burns, whose ugly numbers are skewed by one terrible start vs. the Chicago Cubs. In actuality, Burns has pitched reasonably well in three of his four starts and he has the advantage of facing the Pirates for the first time.
Similarly, Ross Ohlendorf is also facing the Brewers for the first time ever, and he is in fairly good form right now, allowing three runs or less in four of his last six starts. Ohlendorf has done his best pitching at home this year, where he is 5-2 while pitching for a losing team with a very good 3.38 ERA and 1.14 WHIP. He is facing a Milwaukee offense that had managed just eight runs over the last three games.
Finally, games played here at PNC Park have averaged a combined 8.10 runs this season, nearly a full run lower than this posted total, and we see no reason why these hurlers cannot keep this game Under tonight.
MLB Free Pick: Brewers, Pirates Under 9 (+105)