Kansas City Royals vs. Oakland Athletics
MLB Prediction: Oakland -146 odds (May 19th 2013)
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This is an MLB prediction on the Oakland Athletics over the Kansas City Royals on May 19th 2013.

First off, congrats to all those who got in on yesterday’s free winner on the A’s. If you haven’t been following my free plays this year, you might want to check out the history here: 2013 Free Play History

After cashing in on Oakland last night, we’re going right back for more tonight as the A’s take on the Royals at home in the final game of this series. Oakland looks to complete the sweep, with A.J. Griffin on the mound versus Luis Mendoza.

Griffin (4-3, 3.48 ERA) allowed a single run on six hits over seven innings in a 5-1 win over Texas in his last start. He’s been very solid at home this year, going 2-1 with a 3.12 ERA in four starts. “Command-wise, I’d say it’s my best start in the major leagues,” said Griffin.

Mendoza (1-2, 6.00 ERA) picked up his first win of the season, allowing three runs on six hits over six innings against the Angels his last time out. The Royals won the game 11-4, but he can’t be expecting to get that sort of run support in Oakland today.

The last two games between these two teams were both very close, with Oakland scoring late to win by a score of 2-1 in each game. I wouldn’t be surprised to see a more one-sided score in tonight’s game.

Take the A’s.

Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangers
MLB Prediction: Detroit -119 odds (May 18th 2013)
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The Detroit Tigers have a massive edge on the mound Saturday. They should be a much heavier favorite as a result. I’ll gladly take advantage by backing them at an excellent price tonight.

Anibal Sanchez gets the ball for Detroit looking to continue his Cy Young-caliber 2013 campaign. He has gone 4-3 with a 2.05 ERA with 66 strikeouts over 52 2/3 innings this year. He has also posted a 1.82 ERA through four road starts.

Justin Grimm is 2-3 with a 4.28 ERA and 1.485 WHIP through six starts for Texas. He has really been knocked around the yard of late, going 0-3 with a 7.02 ERA and 1.800 WHIP in his last three starts.

The Tigers are 12-4 in their last 16 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. The Rangers are 3-10 in their last 13 games as a home underdog of +110 to +150. Bet the Tigers Saturday.

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Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees
MLB Prediction: Yankees -143 odds (May 17th 2013)
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Off back-to-back losses, I look for the New York Yankees (25-16) to bounce back with a blowout victory tonight over the Toronto Blue Jays (17-24). Given the edge they have on the mound in this one, that shouldn’t be a problem.

Hiroki Kuroda continues to be one of the most underrated starters in the big leagues. The right-hander has gone 5-2 with a 2.31 ERA and 1.046 WHIP through eight starts in 2013. Kuroda is 3-1 with a 3.82 ERA and 1.207 WHIP in five career starts against Toronto as well.

This play is as much of a fade against Mark Buehrle as anything. The left-hander is 1-2 with a 6.19 ERA and 1.479 WHIP through eight starts this season, including 0-1 with a 7.15 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in four road starts. Buehrle is also 1-9 with a 6.19 ERA and 1.613 WHIP in 14 career starts against New York.

The Blue Jays are 16-43 in their last 59 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Yankees are 40-18 in their last 58 home games vs. a left-handed starter. New York is 15-1 in Kuroda’s last 16 starts when working on 4 days of rest. Bet the Yankees Friday.

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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves
MLB Prediction: Atlanta -133 odds (May 17th 2013)
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The Dodgers have been a pretty big flop to start the season which is surprising when you look at the size of their payroll. They are averaging just 3 runs per game against left handed starters and they have a 6-9 road record combined to a 9-5 home record for Atlanta. The Braves will also face a lefty today and they are averaging 4.6 runs per game with a .337 on base percentage in the 14 games they have went against left handed starters this season.

Atlanta will have Paul Maholm on the mound today. Maholm has a 3.94 ERA with a 1.208 WHIP in his 8 starts but his numbers are significantly better when playing at home. In his home starts his ERA drops to 1.32 and he has a 0.878 WHIP. For the Dodgers Hyun-Jin Ryu will get the start. He is a big of an unknown as he does not have a single game in his career where he has went up against Atlanta.

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New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners
MLB Prediction: Yanks -160 odds (May 16th 2013)
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This is a MLB Prediction on the New York Yankees for May 16th 2013.

The Yankees ran into a hot pitcher yesterday, while Phil Hughes failed to get out of the first inning. The result was a 12-2 throttling at the hands of Seattle. It might be their turn to return the favor today, as the Mariners send a struggling Aaron Harang to the mound in Game 2 in the Bronx.

Harang (1-4, 7.30 ERA) has been terrible all season, although he’s coming off consecutive quality starts. He allowed just a pair of runs on five hits over six innings his last time out, but lost 4-1 to the Pirates. His last two starts have come in parks that favor the pitcher, but his luck is due to run out at Yankee Stadium today.

Lyle Overbay has seen more of Harang than anyone else in New York’s lineup, and he hasn’t been fooled. Overbay was 2-for-3 with a double yesterday, and he’s hitting 4.58 in 24 career at bats versus Harang.

The Yankees hand the ball to veteran Andy Pettitte, who appears to be turning things around after going through a rough patch. Pettitte (4-2, 3.83 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on five hits over seven innings in a 3-2 win over the Royals his last time out. After an excellent start to the season, he had lost three straight prior to his last outing.

We can expect Pettitte to take care of business today, facing a Mariners team that ranks near last in the majors in runs scored. Harang on the other hand has his work cut out for him, and he might be looking at an early exit and another loss.

Take the Yankees.

Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs
Prediction: Chicago -132 odds (May 15th 2013)
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The Chicago Cubs have a big edge on the mound Wednesday with Jeff Samardzija over Jon Garland. I’ll back the Cubs at home at an excellent price as a result.

Samardzija is one of the best young starters in the game. He has posted a 3.70 ERA and 1.253 WHIP with 57 strikeouts over 48 2/3 innings in eight starts in 2013. He was the team’s opening day starter for good reason.

Jon Garland is washed up and far past his prime. The veteran right-hander has gone 3-3 with a 4.83 ERA and 1.488 WHIP in seven starts this season, including 1-2 with a 5.06 ERA and 1.750 WHIP in his last three.

The Rockies are 16-36 in their last 52 games as an underdog. Colorado is 0-8 in its last 8 games following a win. The Cubs are 4-0 in Samardzija’s last 4 starts as a home favorite. Bet the Cubs Wednesday.

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MLB Predictions: May 14th 2013
Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Pick: Nats -135 odds
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This is a complimentary MLB prediction on the Washington Nationals +1.5 on May 14th 2013

The Dodgers struggles continued last night, with a 6-2 loss to Washington in Game 1 of this series. L.A. can’t seem to get anything going at the plate, and the Dodgers rank 28th in the Majors in runs scored.

Scoring has been a major problem when Clayton Kershaw has been on the mound, and they have lost his last two starts. Kershaw (3-2, 1.62 ERA) has been dominant all year, and he’s allowed just four runs over his last four starts. Due to a lack of offense and a suspect bullpen, he’s only won one of those starts.

The Dodgers have just two wins in their last 11 games, yet they are hefty favorite in tonight’s game with their ace on the mound.

The Nat’s will hand the ball to Dan Haren, and he’s coming off three straight wins. Haren (4-3, 5.17 ERA) allowed four runs on nine hits over six innings in a 5-4 win over the Tigers in his last start. Prior to that he was very sharp in a 3-1 win over Atlanta, allowing a single run on four hits over eight innings.

While Haren has been a little up and down, he’s been much better lately, and a start in a pitcher-friendly park against one of worst offensive teams in baseball might be a good spot for him.

I like the Nats on the run line, I think the Nats can keep this one close, even against Kershaw.

Take Washington RL

GL,

Cleveland Indians vs. Philadelphia Phillies
MLB Pick: Cleveland -115 odds (May 14th 2013)
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Doc’s Sports Tuesday MLB Pick for May 14th 2013. Action from the NBA, MLB, & NHL coming on Tuesday!

Free MLB Play from Doc’s Sports Take #975 Cleveland Indians (-115) over Philadelphia Phillies (Tuesday 7:05pm ET) Not too many people believed in him, but Scott Kazmir has officially made his comeback to the major leagues. After missing the better part of the last two seasons with major injuries and rehab, the hard throwing left-hander dazzled the Oakland A’s in his last start to the tune of 10 strikeouts and no walks while giving up only one run in six innings of work. Not all of his starts have been that good, but you can see the strength and confidence coming back in each outing. No one thought he’d get his velocity up this quickly, but he’s now throwing in the mid-90’s after struggling to hit 90 on the gun in spring at times. This is great news for the Tribe as they need another good arm in the rotation that can give them quality innings. Kazmir will face a Phillies team today that doesn’t hit lefties very well, so he’ll have another chance to dominate today. The Phillies counter with right-handed rookie Jonathan Pettibone. The 22-year old has looked pretty good in his four starts in 2013, but he struggled in last outing yielding four walks with only one strikeout. He also hasn’t faced anyone with a lineup nearly as potent as the Indians, so he’ll need to raise his game up a level. I don’t like the travel spot here for Cleveland as they had to play two last night and then fly into Philadelphia for this series. But I think we have enough of an edge in the matchup to still warrant a play. I made the line on this game Indians -130, so there is value on the Tribe today.

MLB Predictions: May 13th 2013
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Prediction: Washington Nationals -123
The struggling Dodgers took the last two games in the Miami (11-27) series to right their poor May start of eight straight losses. Only there is a major issue on the horizon the Washington Nationals (20-17) come to visit this evening. Washington has won 7-of-10, off back-to-back road losses to the Cubbies. The Nationals are just one game behind first place Atlanta in the east. The Dodgers start Monday 6 ½ games behind San Francisco in the west. Usually, I look for reasons to play against traveling units on an extended road trip when hitting LA and SF to start a Monday set. However, can’t recommend the Dodgers because of the down cycle found in hurler Josh Beckett’s (5+ ERA) control up in the zone. He has given up 8 home runs this season. That’s 2.10 home runs per nine innings of work. With hurler Zimmerman on the hill the Nationals have won 6-of-7 this year. We realize Beckett is 7-2 LT vs. Washington, but I like some of the other techs in the game, including the Dodgers going 0-7 against the last seven winning units…WASHINGTON! -Brad Diamond

Prediction: Chicago White Sox -116
The White Sox are a strong value play when they face an overrated Minnesota Twins team. Hector Santiago has been unbelievable for Chicago posting a 1.69 ERA in 9 games this season. For Minnesota Pedro Hernandez will take the mound and he brings with him an 8.03 ERA in his last 3 starts to go along with a 2.109 WHIP. To say Chicago has a favorable advantage would be a gross understatement.

The Twins may have a winning record overall this season, but they have not performed well against division opponents. They average 3.4 runs per game with a .224 batting average in their 14 division games. While their .272 batting average against left handed starters may seem impressive, teams are batting .306 against them and scoring 7.7 runs per game in those games. The White Sox are the smart play in this game because Minnesota is going to struggle to get on base against Santiago. -Jimmy Boyd

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Prediction: Colorado Rockies +111
The Cubs took 2 of 3 from Washington over the weekend, but I don’t feel they are worthy of the respect they’re getting from oddsmakers here. They are 9-23 in their last 32 games following a win, 3-7 in their last 10 games as a home favorite and 0-4 in their last 4 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150. Woods has pitched well this season, but the Cubs 3-10 in his last 13 home starts and 1-7 in his last 8 home starts versus a team with a winning record. Plus, he’s 0-2 on the money line in a pair of starts versus Colorado. The Rockies have won 3 of Nicasio’s 4 road starts this season. Also, they have won 4 of 5 and 7 of 10 versus the Cubs. Take the Rockies. -Dave Price

Prediction: Atlanta Braves -101
A pair of nice southpaws take the hill for the Braves and D-backs tonight, but the Braves have the edge because they have fared better against lefties. The Braves are 7-3 in their last 10 games versus a left-handed starter and are scoring 4.6 runs per game off them this season while hitting them at a .253 clip. Miley has made one start against the Braves, and he was lit up for 5 runs in 4 innings of an 8-1 defeat. Arizona is scoring just 3.8 runs per game this season against southpaw starters while hitting them at a .238 clip. Minor has made one start against the D-backs, and he limited them to 1 earned run in 8 innings of a 10-2 victory. The Braves are 8-2 in their last 10 versus Arizona. -Jeff Alexander

Baseball Pick: Washington Nationals -120 odds (May 13th 2013)
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The Washington Nationals get the nod Monday as a small road favorite over the Los Angeles Dodgers. Washington comes in playing its best baseball of the season having won seven of its last 10 games overall. Los Angeles, meanwhile, has lost eight of its last 10.

The Nationals deserve to be a much heavier favorite considering the massive edge they have on the mound. Jordan Zimmermann is 6-1 with a 1.59 ERA and 0.824 WHIP in seven starts this season, including 3-0 with a miniscule 0.37 ERA and 0.542 WHIP in his last three starts.

Josh Beckett is clearly past his prime and no longer can dominate like he used to. That’s been evident all season as the right-hander is 0-4 with a 5.13 ERA and 1.488 WHIP in seven starts, still looking for his first win of 2013.

The Nationals are 10-1 in Zimmermann’s last 11 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. Washington is 20-6 in Zimmermann’s last 26 starts overall. The Dodgers are 0-7 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record. Bet the Nationals Monday.

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