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Boston Over, Tampa Bay & Oakland MLB Odds & Baseball Picks: August 20th

Free Sports Picks, MLB Baseball PicksAugust 20th, 2008

Boston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles o11.0 MLB Odds - Wed August 20th ‘08 7:05p
The Boston Red Sox starting pitcher today against the Baltimore Orioles ,Clay Bucholz (2-8, 6.35 ERA) will make his first start since August 10 . In his last outing the big Texan went just 3 innings , allowing 3 Hrs in an eventual 6-5 loss to the White Sox. This kid has been a real train wreck this season, and I don’t think the extended rest will help him. In my humble opinion he should really be down in the minors honing his skills. The 24 year old right hander during a current nine game run ( eight starts) has garnered a 0-6 record along with a ugly looking 8.62 ERA. I think the BoSox coaching staff, has allowed him to go this far, because of the no hitter he pitched in his first major league start last season ,against todays opponent the Baltimore Orioles. That was than and this now, and considering his current form, Im expecting the Os explosive offense to unload on him in this spot, much like they did back on July 11, when they compiled 5 hits, four runs and five walks i n 5 innings for a 7-3 win. Meanwhile, the Orioles will return fire, with a struggling hurler of their own, southpaw Chris Waters (1-0, 4.32 ERA). The Florida native also started out with a great effort in his mlb debut, shutting out a potent Angels lineup, but since than has not faired so well, failing to get past the fifth inning in his last two starts. The 5th round pick has allowed 15 hits and eight runs in his last 8 2/3 innings of work, and here today against a Boston offense that has averaged 7.2 RPG in their L/10 games I expect his problems will continue. I know the linesmakers have attached a fairly high number to this tilt, but rightly so, as two efficient offenses, tee off on two very hittable throwers and bullpens here in the launching pad known as Camden Canaveral. Look for an expect a big time slug fest here this evening. Final notes & Key Trends; Bucholz owns a 8.18 ERA in 9 road outings this season. Over is 5-1 in Buchholzs last 6 road starts . Waters in his one home appearance has garnered a 13.50 ERA. Over is 44-18-4 in Orioles last 66 overall . Over is 10-1 in umpire Alfonso Marquezs last 11 apperances behind home plate. Play OVER - Baseball Betting Picks courtesy of Alex Smart

Oakland Athletics (230) MLB Odds - Wed August 20th ‘08 1:10p
Francisco Liriano of the Minnesota Twins appears to be back in peak form, but Dallas Braden has also pitched well for the Oakland Athletics and the fact that Oakland has the better bullpen makes the, attractive at this monster price. Braden may have been rushed to the majors last season, although he did show some flashes while he was up, and it probably served him best that he began this season in the minors. He has matured since his call-up, allowing three runs or less in three of his five starts, and he comes in here off of back-to-back Quality Starts. The most impressive aspect about Braden since his recall has been his control, as he has just six walks in 44 innings, including only a total of two in those last two outings. It should also serve him well that the Twins have never faced him before, and if he is in need of relief, the Athletics ranks fifth in the majors with a 3.51 bullpen ERA. Now we obviously have nothing negative to say about Liriano right now, as he has allowed a grand total of three earned runs in 18.2 innings in his three comeback starts. However, he does not figure to toss a Complete Game yet at this stage of his recovery, so if Braden continues his fine pitching and keeps Oakland within reach, the Oakland pen would actually shift the advantage to their favor in a tight game late. In what could very well be a toss up in the late stages, there is enormous value taking this big price here. MLB Free Pick: Athletics +230
 
Tampa Bay Rays (-125) MLB Odds - Wed August 20th ‘08 7:10p
The Tampa Bay Rays are now 5-0 at Tropicana Field vs. the Los Angeles Angels this year after winning the first two games of this series, and we look for the Rays to finish off the home season sweep tonight. Rays starter Matt Garza is coming off of a Complete Game two-hit shutout of the normally hard-hitting Texas Rangers at Arlington. This marked his second Complete Game shutout in six starts, and the third time in those six starts that he has tossed at least 7.2 scoreless innings. Garza also has a nice 2.47 ERA and 1.11 WHIP at home this year. Jered Weaver has been a disappointment for an excellent Angel team, as he is only 10-9 with a 4.48 ERA, with the Halos as a team going a modest 12-12 in his starts. Weaver has failed to record a Quality Start in his last five starts, allowing at least five earned runs in two of those outings. He also has a rather high 1.45 WHIP on the road for the entire year. The Rays are an amazing 47-17 at home, and we see no reason why they cannot bust out the brooms here. MLB Free Pick: Rays -125 - MLB Picks courtesy of LT Profits

MLB Odds and Baseball Betting Picks for August 19th 2008

Free Sports Picks, MLB Baseball PicksAugust 19th, 2008

Los Angeles Angels @ Tampa Bay Rays u8.0 (-110) MLB Odds - Tue August 19th ‘08 7:10p
Ervin Santana of the Los Angeles Angels has been great on the road this year while James Shields of the Tampa Bay Rays has been almost unhittable at home, so do not expect much scoring here tonight. Santana had been much better at home than on the road throughout his career, but he has overcome that road hump this season. He is 9-2 away from home this year with a nice 3.45 ERA, and the Under is 8-4 in his road starts. The last time he pitched outside of Anaheim, he tossed eight scoreless innings while allowing just five hits in a 1-0 win over the New York Yankees. Meanwhile, Shields is 7-1 at home with an excellent 2.21 ERA and a microscopic 0.93 WHIP in 93.1 home innings. He has faced the Angels at home four times in the last two years, and he allowed a grand total of four runs in 28.1 innings, including a Complete Game one-hit shutout earlier this season. As if that is not enough, the Tampa Bay bullpen now ranks third in the major leagues with a 3.18 ERA while the Angels have climbed up to number 12 after a terrible start with a 3.90 pen ERA. Finally, these are two of the most Under-friendly teams in baseball, with the Under going 71-51-2 in all Rays games and 66-50-7 in all Halos contests. MLB Free Pick: Angels, Rays Under 8 (-105)
 
Oakland Athletics (180) MLB Odds - Tue August 19th ‘08 8:10p
The Oakland Athletics upset the Minnesota Twins here last night, and we look for the Athletics to repeat that feat at a much better price here tonight. Now, Sean Gallagher may not have pretty statistics since coming to Oakland, but the bottom line is that he has allowed three earned runs or less in five of his six starts as a member of the Athletics. A repeat performance would do just fine here, considering that the Oakland bullpen ranks fifth in the majors with a 3.47 ERA. Granted, Kevin Slowey is generally underrated and he has allowed one run or less in three of his last four starts, but we are just not convinced that he deserves to be a -200 favorite over anyone just yet at this point of his career. In fact, the biggest favorite that he has been in any game this season was -164 vs. the Cleveland Indians, and he lost that contest by a 5-1 count. We will go for the value play here with Oakland at this price. MLB Free Pick: Athletics +180

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MLB Odds & Free Baseball Betting Picks for August 18th 2008

Free Sports Picks, MLB Baseball PicksAugust 18th, 2008

Pittsburgh Pirates (125) MLB Odds - Mon August 18th ‘08 12:35p
John Maine of the New York Mets has walked more men this year than in past seasons while Paul Maholm of the Pittsburgh Pirates has been great at home, so the Bucs get the upset call in this very early matinee. In fact, Maholm is an unbelievable 6-1 at home while pitching for a team that is 14 games under .500, with a nice 3.06 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in his own stadium. Maholm has also handled the Mets well, going a perfect four for four in Quality Starts against them the last two years. Maine is 10-7 overall, but he has not pitched well on the road where he is 5-6 with a rather high 1.42 WHIP. While he has allowed a respectable 65 hits in 70.2 road innings, it is his 35 walks in 70.2 road innings that has inflated his WHIP and prevented him from working deep into games. His last start at Washington was a typical one, as he allowed no runs and just one hit, but he lasted just five innings as he threw 90 pitches. A short outing here would mean an early call to the Mets bullpen, which has been a disaster area since Billy Wagner went on the Disables List. All things considered, this is nice value for Pittsburgh at home. MLB Free Pick: Pirates +125

Boston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles u8.5 MLB Odds - Mon August 18th ‘08 7:05p
Jeremy Guthrie(10-8, 3.18 ERA) the Orioles starting pitcher today against the visiting Boston Red Sox is in red hot form , as is evident by a 7-1 record along with a 2.51 ERA in his 11 appearances. He has been particularly brilliant of late posting a 1.23 ERA , while winning four straight starts. The former Stanford standout has allowed exactly one earned in nine of his L/14 starts, and another top effort is going to be on tap today, against a Boston batting order that has suddenly gone cold, after scoring just five times in losing both contests of a weekend set against the Toronto Blue Jays. Meanwhile, the BoSox will return fire with a top tier pitcher of their own, Jon Lester (11-4, 3.25 ERA). The southpaw hurler is 8-1 along with a stingy 2.87 ERA over his last 12 outings, and also owns a stellar 4-0 mark along with a 3.25 ERA in six career outing versus the Orioles. I know the young thrower, will face baseballs most explosive offense since the all star break, but this kid is something special and will be primed and capable of cooling the Os bats in this spot. With that said, I am recommending a wager on the UNDER

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MLB Odds & Baseball Picks for August 17th

Free Sports Picks, MLB Baseball PicksAugust 17th, 2008

Cincinnati Reds (-105) MLB Odds - Sunday August 17th ‘08 1:15p
Edinson Volquez of the Cincinnati Reds appeared to regain his great form in his last start, which is bad news for the St. Louis Cardinals here today. Volquez may have been the favorite to win the Cy Young Award at the All-Star break, but he has now probably fallen out of contention due to a poor second half. However, he was given a couple of extra days off prior to his last start, and he responded by allowing just one run and five hits in 6.2 innings vs. the Pirates. Volquez should be doubly tough on a St. Louis lineup that has yet to face him. Meanwhile, Cardinal starter Kyle Lohse continues his descent after pitching over his head ealier in the year. Lohse has now gone four consecutive starts without recording a Quality Start, posting a dreadful 7.48 ERA over those outings. In fact, he has struggled on the road all year despite his 6-3 record, as he has a 5.40 ERA and a poor 1.66 WHIP away from home. Not only do the Reds have the better starting pitcher here, but they also have the better bullpen, ranking sixth in the majors with a 3.49 pen ERA. Thus, this seems like a modest price at home. MLB Free Pick: Reds -105

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MLB Odds & Baseball Betting Picks for August 15th 2008

Free Sports Picks, MLB Baseball PicksAugust 15th, 2008

Minnesota Twins -1.5 MLB Odds - Friday August 15th ‘08 8:10p
Francisco Liriano the Minnesota Twins starting pitcher tonight against the Seattle Mariners, is on my watch list, for under rated MLB pitchers. In 2006 the southpaw, showed the pundits some very nasty stuff, while garnering a 12-3 record along with a stingy 2.16 ERA. Health issues have side lined him , but gradually he is getting back on track, as he makes his 3rd start since returning from the minors. In his first two outings since returning to the big leagues he has recorded a 2.31 ERA, including 10 strike outs in 11 2/3 innings of work , allowing opponents a stunted .209 batting average. I expect , after getting comfortable, and working out any delivery hitches he might have had and those above mentioned outings, he will now be ready to reach his top form in this spot. The Twins hurler, will be backed by a hot hitting team that is 25-8 in their L/33 home games. Meanwhile , the Mariners will return fire with the struggling Carlos Silva ( 4-13, 5.93 ERA). The Emerald City right hander has been smashed on a consistent basis this season, and is on a 1-13 run , after giving up five runs in six innings in a 5-3 loss to Tampa Bay, last time out . The native of Venezuela has looked particularly vulnerable on the road, allowing 104 hits in just 74 innings of work, and I expect nothing will change tonight, as he gets blasted . Play on Minnesota -1.5

St. Louis Cardinals @ Cincinnati Reds u9.5 (-105) MLB Odds - Friday August 15th ‘08 7:10p
The Cincinnati Reds have already called it a year this season, but their starter Bronson Arroyo has had good success vs. the St. Louis Cardinals, suggesting that both sides will have trouble scoring tonight. Arroyo has faced the Cardinals twice this season, and has allowed a grand total of three runs and eight hits in 12 innings. This runs his streak to five consecutive Quality Starts vs. St. Louis going back to last season, and seven Quality Starts in his last eight career outings against them. Arroyo is also in nice current form, as he has four Quality Starts in his last five starts overall and six such outings in his last eight appearances. While he still has a dismal 5.44 ERA for the year due to a dreadful start, he has pitched much better at home where he has a 3.91 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in 13 home starts. Meanwhile, Brad Thompson of the Cardinals has been solid whenever called upon the last couple of years. He has made three spot starts this year and he yet to allow more than three runs in any start. It certainly helps that the Reds have given up and are not hitting a lick right now, batting .224 as a team vs. right-handed pitchers the last 10 games. The Under is 8-2 in the last 10 head-to-head meetings between these clubs and we see no reason why tonight should be any different. MLB Free Pick: Cardinals, Reds Under 9.5 (-105)
 
Philadelphia Phillies (-125) MLB Odds - Friday August 15th ‘08 10:05p
The ageless Jamie Moyer of the Philadelphia Phillies and Greg Maddux of the San Diego Padres are putting away their AARP cards in order to oppose each other at Petco Park tonight. Yes, Maddux has excellent numbers at home, but that is true of most Padres pitchers due to the spaciousness of this ball park. Keep in mind that Moyer pitches in a bandbox in Philadelphia yet he has still managed to post a 3.81 ERA while going 10-7 this season. He too will appreciate the dimensions here, and he has a much better team behind him. The Phillies have not minded visiting this stadium, as they swept the Padres while scoring 28 runs in three games their last trip in. Now Maddux does have a 2.73 home ERA, but he has become a six-inning pitcher at most and the San Diego bullpen ranks third from the bottom in the National League with a 4.33 ERA. The Phillies are now 12-3 in the last 15 head-to-head meetings in Southern California, and look for them to improve on that further tonight. MLB Free Pick: Phillies -125 - Baseball Picks

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MLB Betting Odds & Baseball Picks for August 14th 2008

Free Sports Picks, MLB Baseball PicksAugust 14th, 2008

Toronto Blue Jays @ Detroit Tigers u9.5 (-125) MLB Odds - Thu August 14th ‘08 1:05p
Given the unexpected struggles of Justin Verlander of the Detroit Tigers this season, a strong case can be made that young Armando Galarraga has been the ace of the staff. Meanwhile, Jesse Litsch of the Toronto Blue Jays is very capable of recapturing his good early season form after a stint in the minors. Galarraga has been a godsend, going 10-4 with a 3.23 ERA and 1.16 WHIP in 125.1 innings, with the Tigers as a team going 14-6 in his starts. He has allowed three runs or less in eight of his last 10 starts and he allowed just four earned runs in each of the two non-quality efforts. Galarraga also tossed 5.1 scoreless innings while allowing just three hits in his only other start vs. Toronto. Now Litsch got off to a great start this season, but he went into a swoon posting a disgusting 10.66 ERA and 2.05 WHIP in his last three starts, prompting the Jays to send him to the minors. To his credit, Litsch did not complain outwardly at the demotion despite having had some success in the majors, and perhaps this was just the jolt he needed. Remember that he did pitch well in the majors last season with a 3.81 ERA in 20 starts, and he was off to a 7-1 start this year. Also, the added benefit of the Tigers having never faced him before could help him regain his form here. Finally, the Toronto Under is on a 12-4-1 run, and if we are right about Litsch being straightened out, that streak should improve this afternoon. MLB Free Pick: Blue Jays, Tigers Under 9.5 (-125)
 
Cincinnati Reds (110) MLB Odds - Thu August 14th ‘08 7:05p
Not too much separates Johnny Cueto of the Cincinnati Reds and Ian Snell of the Pittsburgh Pirates statistically this year, but we feel that young Cueto has more upside and the Pirates are generally a poor play as favorites anyway. Besides, Cueto has allowed three runs in three of his last four starts, and he may at worst duplicate that vs. a Pittsburgh offense here that is bating a horrific .218 vs. right-handed pitching the last 10 games. Despite his 5.01 ERA, Cueto has looked dominant at times this year, especially vs. the weaker clubs in the league, and the Pirates certainly fall into that category. On the other hand, Snell has been a huge disappointment after showing so much promise last season, and he really has shown no signs of coming out of his funk. Even worse, he has been awful against the Reds, allowing 23 earned runs and 35 hits in only 21.2 innings over his last four starts against them. Finally, both of these teams have basically called it a year and traded some key players lately, which automatically gives value to the underdog. MLB Free Pick: Reds +110

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MLB Odds and Expert Baseball Betting Picks for August 13th 2008

Free Sports Picks, MLB Baseball PicksAugust 13th, 2008

Tampa Bay Rays @ Oakland Athletics u7.5 (-115) MLB Odds - Wed August 13th ‘08 10:05p
The Oakland Athletics upset the Tampa Bay Rays 2-1 here last night, and while they may not win again tonight, we do expect another low-scoring affair. Justin Duchscherer has quietly pitched as well as any pitcher in baseball this season in the obscurity that is Oakland, as he has a 2.51 ERA and a fantastic 0.99 WHIP in 132.2 innings. If he pitched for a team that could score any runs whatsoever, he would be a lot better than 10-7 right now. Duchscherer is also facing the Rays for the first time ever, which is to his advantage. Meanwhile, Andy Sonnanstine is 11-6 for Tampa Bay, albeit with a mediocre 4.40 ERA and 1.31 WHIP. Still, the Oakland offense can make even an average pitcher look like a Cy Young candidate, as the Athletics are hitting a pathetic .211 as a team over their last 10 games while averaging an anemic 2.20 runs in those contests. Also, both of these bullpens are ranked in the top 10 in the majors in pen ERA, which should limit any late tack-on runs, and both clubs have been very Under-friendly in general. The Under is now 68-48-2 in all Tampa Bay games this season, and an even better 69-42-7 in all Oakland contests. MLB Free Pick: Rays, Athletics Under 7.5 (-115)

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Milwaukee Brewers @ San Diego Padres u7.0 (-115) MLB Odds - Wed August 13th ‘08 10:05p
Yes, this is a low posted total between the Milwaukee Brewers and the San Diego Padres, but we feel it is warranted given the combination of these stating pitchers and this spacious ball park. C.C. Sabathia is a perfect seven for seven in Quality Starts since putting on the Brewers uniform, with a 1.58 ERA and an incredible 0.91 WHIP in 57 National League innings. He has actually already faced the Padres once this season while with the Cleveland Indians in interleague play, allowing three runs on only six hits with 10 strikeouts in eight innings. He should love pitching at San Diego for the first time, given that the Padres at batting a terrible .217 vs. southpaws at home this year. Now Josh Banks is an average pitcher in reality, but like most pitchers, this stadium makes him seem better than he is. Banks actually has a nice 2.30 ERA when pitching at home, and he is facing a Milwaukee lineup that has hit significantly lower vs. right-handed pitching on the road (.246) than vs. left-handers (.273) this year. The Under is also 8-1-2 in the last 11 Milwaukee games overall, and we see no reason why that will not continue given these circumstances. MLB Free Pick: Brewers, Padres Under 7 (-115)

Boston Red Sox -1.5 MLB Odds - Wed August 13th ‘08 7:05p
Last night the Boston Red Sox took out the visiting Texas Rangers in a entertaining 19-17 slugfest for their 5th straight win in this series here in Fenway Park this season. I expect the BoSox to make it 6 in a row after tonight as they tee off on a pitcher , Luis Mendoza (3-5, 7.50) that has performed like a thrower in the annual home run derby . The right hander is 1-2, along with a bloated 7.50 ERA in 4 starts since the all star break, and has been roughed up on a consistent basis in his road starts in 2008, as is evident by a 1-3 record and an ugly looking 8.46 ERA. Left-handed batters are hitting .352 against him, while right-handed hitters are batting .294. It must also be noted ,that opposition batting orders are smashing him for .381 average with runners in scoring position. Meanwhile, the Red Sox starting hurler Jon Lester( 10-4, 3.23 ERA) continues to impress the pundits, with his performances, and despite of having his 11 game win streak stopped last timeout, he still pitched well, allowing just 6 hits in 7 innings for a tough luck 5-3 loss against the White Sox. The 2000 Gatorade State player of the year in Washington , has been very hard on lefty hitters this year allowing them a lowly .223 BA , which holds good implications for us backing him against a Rangers team with LH sluggers like Josh Hamilton and Chris Davis in the lineup. Final notes & Key Trends: The Red Sox are 14-2 L/16 when Lester starts at home , winning those games by an average of 2.8 RPG. Play on the Red Sox on the runline

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MLB Odds & Baseball Betting Picks for August 12th 2008

Free Sports Picks, MLB Baseball PicksAugust 12th, 2008

Seattle Mariners @ Los Angeles Angels o9.5 MLB Odds - Tue August 12th ‘08 10:05p
The LA Angels explosive offense prepares to tee off on a Mariners pitcher Jarrod Washburn( 5-11, 4.76 ERA) that has not pitched well this season. The veteran southpaw is 0-2 along with a ugly 7.59 ERA in his most recent outings. Washburn also owns a 0-2 record against the Halos in 2008, and is sporting a hefty 6.53 ERA in those tilts. With the Angels hitting .316 in their L/17 home games, Washburn could easily end up as cannon fodder again. Meanwhile, the Angels will return fire with Jon Garland (10-7, 4.28 ERA).The right hander is not in good current form, recording a bloated 6.51 ERA in his last five trips to the hill. He is also 0-2 along with a hefty 6.32 ERA in his L/3 starts vs the Mariners . It must also be noted that the men of the Emerald City , have awoken from a season long hitting slump to average, .323 in the month of August, and once again ,look primed to take advantage of some below average starting pitching . Final notes & Key Trends: Over is 5-0 in Mariners last 5 games with the total set at 9-10.5. Play Over

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Florida Marlins (-120) - Tue Aug 12 ‘08 7:10p
Chris Volstad has pitcher very well since being recalled by the Florida Marlins while Kyle Lohse has cooled off considerably since a hot start for the St. Louis Cardinals. Volstad has now allowed three runs or less in four of his five starts. Furthermore, his last outing was his best yet, as he tossed six scoreless innings while allowing just three hits at Philadelphia. He should be tough on a St. Louis lineup that has never faced him before. Now Lohse is still 13-4 with a 3.80 ERA on the season, but he has not posted a Quality Start while going 1-2 with a 7.27 ERA and 1.62 WHIP in his last three starts. Also, he has not been nearly as effective on the road despite his 6-2 road mark, as he has a 5.16 ERA and 1.68 WHIP in 10 starts away from home. Finally, the Marlins did lose the series opener here last night, but they have lost back-to-back games just once in the last month, which is one reason they are still in the National League East race. MLB Free Pick: Marlins -120

Los Angeles Dodgers (110) - Tue Aug 12 ‘08 10:10p
Cole Hamels may be the ace of the Philadelphia Phillies staff, but he has been outpitched badly by young Clayton Kershaw of the Los Angeles Dodgers lately. Kershaw was called up with high expectations in May, and he is now fulfilling all of that promise, allowing a grand total of one run and 11 hits in 19 innings over his last three starts. He is also catching the Phillies at the perfect time, as they are batting a woeful .218 over the last 10 games, and the fact that Philadelphia has never seen Kershaw also helps his cause. Meanwhile, Hamels has a bloated 5.62 ERA and 1.62 WHIP in his last three starts. It does not help matter that the Dodgers have improved offensively with the acquisition of Manny Ramirez either, especially vs. left-handed pitching. The Dodgers are hitting .291 as a team the last 10 games averaging 4.80 runs per game, while the Phillies are only averaging 3.30 runs in that same span. We feel that the wrong team is favored in this spot, as Hamels is favored just on reputation alone. MLB Free Pick: Dodgers +110

MLB Odds & Baseball Betting Picks for August 11th 2008

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Detroit Tigers (-150) MLB Odds - Monday August 11th ‘08 7:05p
The Detroit Tigers(58-59) started their 2008 campaign, as one of the publics favorite choices for an American League championship. After starting their season with 7 straight losses, the Tigers have never completely rebounded and remain 1 game under .500 . Motown s streaky play has seen them win 3 of their L/4 after a 6 game slide, heading into a three game series against a Toronto Blue Jays(59-59) squad that is off getting swept by the Cleveland Indians this past weekend. With that said, I think the Tigers have the edge , and getting the much needed victory , as they send their most talented hurler , Justin Verlander (8-12, 4.56 ERA) to the hill. I know the southpaws numbers do not instill confidence for his betting backers , but this kid can be dominating when he gets in a groove, as was the case in his last outing when he mowed down 12 batters in a row and 21 of 24 overall, despite of suffering a loss. This is going to be his first ever start against the Jays, which will give him an edge over an offense that scored only 4 runs in their last 27 innings of play. Meanwhile, his Toronto pitching opponent, Shaun Marcum( 6-5, 3.44 ERA) is making his 5th start ,since coming off the DL, with an elbow strain. In my opinion he looked a lot stronger and had more zip on his pitches before the layoff. I know he pitched well last time out, in a 5-1 win over the light hitting As, but against Detroit Tigers team that is hitting .303 at home this season while averaging 5.7 RPG , I think a much different ending will unfold.

Final notes & Key Trends: Tigers are 7-1 in Verlanders last 8 starts vs. American League East..Detroit has won 4 of 5 Verlanders L/5 home starts . Detroit has faired well at home against top tier bullpens , with a 3.00 ERA or better winning 10 of 11 games. Play on the Detroit Tigers

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Philadelphia Phillies (120) - Mon August 11th ‘08 10:10p
The Los Angeles Dodgers just lost a series to the lowly San Francisco Giants mainly due to their porous defense, while the Philadelphia Phillies have been at their best as underdogs lately. As much as the trade for Manny Ramirez helped the Dodgers offensively, his presence in the outfield actually makes what was already a shaky defense worse, and LA simply kicked away the last two losses to the Giants. Also, their starter Derek Lowe was terrible in his last start in St. Louis, allowing eight earned runs and 13 hits in just 3.1 innings. Now we have never been fans of Philadelphia starter Kyle Kendrick, but he has now allowed two runs or less in three straight starts while going a minimum of six innings in all of them, and he has a great bullpen behind him. In fact, the Phillies rank third in the majors with a 3.15 bullpen ERA, so if Lowe struggles again and the Phillies get a quick lead, the Dodgers will have a tough time coming back. Finally, the Phillies are on a lucrative 11-4 run as underdogs. MLB Free Pick: Phillies +120

MLB Odds & Expert MLB Picks for August 10th 2008

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Washington Nationals (160) MLB Odds - Sun August 10th ‘08 2:05p
The underdog Washington Nationals should be relieved to not have to face C.C. Sabathia or Ben Sheets after those two studs shut them out the past two days, so look for an improved offensive performance vs. the Milwaukee Brewers today. The Nationals were on a nice 6-1 run coming into this series, averaging 6.00 runs per game during that stretch, and that production could return today vs. the slumping Manny Parra. Parra had been a stud for most of the year, but he has suddenly turned in back-to-back poor efforts, allowing a total of 11 earned runs over 11.1 innings in those last two starts. He was also roughed up the first time he faced the Nats this season, allowing six earned runs while lasting just 4.1 frames. John Lannan continues to defy the experts, as he somehow has a 3.55 ERA in 22 starts despite just ordinary stuff. This has made Lannan a nice play as an underdog this year, and today is no exception. Also, he has been even better on the road where he is 4-5 but with an amazing 2.57 ERA in 13 road appearances. If the Brewers resume their hitting with this dropdown in class of the opposing starter, Lannan should even up his road mark at a great price here. MLB Free Pick: Nationals +160 - Courtesy of LT Profits
 
Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Francisco Giants u7.0 (-125) MLB Odds - Sun August 10th ‘08 4:05p
Both Chad Billingsley of the Los Angeles Dodgers and Matt Cain of the San Francisco Giants are in peak form right now, so look for the bats for both teams to be kept quiet today. Billingsley has allowed three runs or less in five straight starts, including allowing a total of three runs in 21.2 innings over his last three efforts. This lowers his ERA for the entire season to 3.01, and Billingsley is among the National League leaders in strikeouts with 151 in just 143.2 innings. In his only other start against the Giants this year, he tossed a Complete Game five-hit shutout. Similarly, Caim has also allowed three runs or less in five straight starts, and he has allowed a grand total of two earned runs over 22.2 innings in his last three outings. Cain now has a 3.60 ERA for the season and he has allowed two runs or less in four of his last five career starts vs. the Dodgers. The last time he faced them, he allowed just one earned run in seven innings of a tough-luck 2-0 loss. Do not be surprised if this score today closely resembles that last effort. MLB Free Pick: Dodgers, Giants Under 7 (-125) - Courtesy of LT Profits

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