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Free MLB Baseball Picks: June 29th 2008

Free Sports Picks, MLB Baseball PicksJune 29th, 2008

San Diego Padres (-141) - Sun June 29 ‘08 4:05p
The San Diego Padres starting hurler today and the ace of their pitching staff, and National Leagues reigning Cy Young award winner Jake Peavy (5-4, 2.77 ERA) prepares to mow down the opposition today in front of the home town fans. With this being his 4th start ,after a lay off ,because of an elbow injury, Im expecting he could easily be in the best shape of his current campaign, which is not a good omen for opposing batting orders. Note: Peavy has allowed just 4 Ers in his L16 innings of work. With the Mariners sending the often injured and ineffective Erik Bedard to the hill in response, I very much like the Padres chances of winning. Note: Bedard is currently less, than 100% and has rarely thrown more than 100 pitches in a game this season. Final notes & Key Trends: Peavy is 4-0 when starting against Seattle along with an ERA of 1.56 and a minuscule WHIP of 0.779 . Mariners are 2-9 in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing home record . Play on the Padres

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Baltimore Orioles @ Washington Nationals u8.5 (-120) - Sun June 29 ‘08 1:35p
Jeremy Guthrie of the Baltimore Orioles has pitched in hard luck for two years now while Jason Bergmann looks to have regained his great form, so look for a low scoring game here. Guthrie received the lowest run support in the league last season, and this year has not been that much different so far. He has a nice 3.64 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 108.2 innings, he has allowed three earned runs or less in 13 of his last 16 starts, and yet Guthrie is just 4-7. Then again, a continued lack of run support would suit the Under just fine here. He certainly should be able to hold his form vs. this weak Washington offense. As for Bergmann, remember that he had a three-start stretch last month where he tossed 19.2 scoreless innings, and after regressing a bit in his next three outings, he has now allowed just two earned runs in 13 innings in his last two outings. This will also be his firrt career start vs. Baltimore, which should help his cause. Finally, the Under is 14-6-1 in the last 21 head-to-head meetings between these clubs, and we see no reason that will not continue today given this pitching matchup. MLB Free Pick: Orioles, Nationals Under 8.5 (-120)

Chicago Cubs @ Chicago White Sox u9.0 (105) - Sun June 29 ‘08 8:05p
The Chicago Cubs and Chicago White So wrap up interleague play for 2008 when they conclude their Windy City Series in the ESPN Sunday Night Baseball game tonight. Mark Buehrle is now in peak form right now for the White Sox, as he has reeled of seven Quality Starts in his last eight outings, allowing exactly one run in five of those starts including three of his last four appearances. He was also a perfect two for two in Quality Starts vs. the Cubs last season, when he was not nearly as sharp as he is now. Now Sean Marshall is making just his second start of the season for the Cubs, but he tossed probably the game of his life vs. these White Sox right here in this stadium last season, tossing 6.1 scoreless innings while allowing just five hits. The southpaw is facing a White Sox lineup that is hitting only .234 vs. left-handed pitching at home this season, as opposed to .292 vs. righties here. Finally, the White Sox lead the American League with a 2.72 bullpen ERA while the Cubs rank fourth in the National League with a 3.45 pen ERA, which should limit late tack-on runs. MLB Free Pick: Cubs, White Sox Under 9 (+105)

Baseball Betting Picks & MLB Odds: June 28th

Free Sports Picks, MLB Baseball PicksJune 28th, 2008

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Baltimore Orioles (-105) - Sat June 28 ‘08 7:10p - Courtesy of LT Profits
John Lannan of the Washington Nationals has been pitching out of his mind over his last seven starts, but we look for him to return to earth tonight as the Baltimore Orioles look to even up the Beltway Series. Lannan has very modest stuff and relies solely on the location of his pitches, and he has certainly been great the last month and a half or so allowing three runs or less in each of his last seven starts. However, rather incredibly, the Nationals have lost each of his last six outings, which should give you an idea of just how pathetic the Washington offense has been!  The Nats are batting a dismal .233 as a team at home, averaging a pathetic 3.45 runs per game here in their own stadium. Worst of all, we simply do not believe that Lannan is as good as he has looked, so if he regresses a bit and allows a few more runs tonight, Washington will really be up against it. While Lannan has over-performed lately, we also feel that Orioles starter Garrett Olson has underachieved in recent starts. Olson is highly regarded and he allowed three earned runs or less in seven of his first eight starts this season before suddenly going three straight outings without a Quality Start, However, facing this Nationals lineup should be the perfect remedy to get Olson back on track. Besides, Washington is still just 6-18 in their last 24 home games even with their win in the series opener last night, so look for Baltimore to even the series here.MLB Free Pick: Orioles -105
 
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Florida Marlins o8.0 (-120) - Sat Jun 28 ‘08 7:10p - Courtesy of LT Profits
There may be something physically wrong with Brandon Webb of the Arizona Diamondbacks that nobody is disclosing, and with the mediocre Andrew Miller pitching for the Florida Marlins, look for a relatively high scoring game. In his last three starts, Webb was taken out after just five innings while allowing three runs and nine baserunners vs. the New York Mets, and he was then much worse than that over his last two outings, surrendering 11 earned runs and 23 baserunners in just 10.1 innings. The worst part is that his velocity appears to be noticeably down. As for Miller, he is 5-6 with a 5.03 ERA and a poor 1.60 WHIP in 82.1 innings, and those key numbers are not any better at home (5.05 ERA, 1.56 WHIP). Granted, he had a couple of good outings recently, but he then returned to form in his last start at Oakland allowing five runs and nine baserunners in only four innings. Unless Webb suddenly overcomes what looks like a dead arm period, we see this game landing on double-digits. MLB Free Pick: Diamondbacks, Marlins Over 8 (-120)

Atlanta Braves (-120) - Sat Jun 28 ‘08 1:05p - Courtesy of Alex Smart
The Braves starting pitcher today Tim Hudson(8-5,2.96 ERA) ended a long term drought , last time out, as he ended a 0-10 interleague losing run in 13 starts ,with an impressive win against the Seattle Mariners. I expect he puts out another top notch effort against a Blue Jays team that he has done very well against in his career as is evident by a 10-2 record and a stingy 2.61 ERA in 14 starts. Note: The Jays have lost 16 of their 23 games overall. Play on the Braves

Premium MLB Baseball Betting Picks: June 27th 2008

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Free Baseball Betting Picks & MLB Odds: June 27th 2008

Free Sports Picks, MLB Baseball PicksJune 27th, 2008

Philadelphia Phillies (-115) MLB Odds - Fri June 27 ‘08 8:05p
Brett Myers has been a huge disappointment for the Philadelphia Phillies, but we do expect him to get decent run support tonight vs. Kason Gabbard of the Texas Rangers, and the Phillies have the superior bullpen to seal the deal. Gabbard is not exactly in Cy Young form himself, as he is 2-3 with a 4.96 ERA and 1.78 WHIP for the season, and his numbers are actually worse than that in his last three starts, where he owns a hideous 6.46 ERA and 1.96 WHIP. The southpaw is facing a Philadelphia lineup that has hit significantly better vs. left-handed pitching (.274) than vs. right-handed pitching (.194) over the last 10 games. Myers is a real mystery as he was projected to be the number two starter for the Phils this season. However, just when it looked like he has straightened himself out, he has regressed badly again in his last three starts. Maybe the fact that the Rangers have never faced him before could be enough to get him going again here. What we really like about this matchup however is that it pits the team with the best bullpen ERA in baseball in the Phillies (2.60) vs. the team with the worst bullpen ERA in Texas (4.98), and the struggles of Myers have kept this price reasonable. MLB Free Pick: Phillies -115

New York Yankees (120) MLB Odds - Fri June 27 ‘08 8:10p
Pedro Martinez of the New York Mets referred to the New York Yankees as his Daddy when they continually battered him when he was with the Red Sox, and Pedro is nowhere near the level he was then right now. Martinez is a shell of his former self this year, as he has a 6.57 ERA and 1.70 WHIP in five starts with just one Quality Start among those outings, His last start may have been his worst yet, as he allowed six earned runs and nine hits while lasting just 4.1 innings vs. the Colorado Rockies. He now must contend with a blistering-hot Yankees lineup that hitting .308 as a team while averaging 6.00 runs over the last 10 games. And Martinez is a decided favorite here to boot! Now Sidney Ponson is making his Yankees debut, and he actually was not terrible with Texas earlier this season, posting a 3.88 ERA in 55.2 innings. Besides, he does not need to be fantastic the way the Yanks are hitting the ball right now, he merely needs not to get shelled. Considering his ERA in the early going, we feel that he is more than capable of giving the Bombers every chance to win this game. All things considered, this could be one of those rare times when the routinely overpriced Yankees actually offer some value. MLB Free Pick: Yankees +120 (Game 2)

Baseball Betting Selections Above Courtesy of LT Profits, A Touthouse.com Baseball Handicapper

Free MLB Baseball Picks & Betting Odds: June 26th 2008

Free Sports Picks, MLB Baseball PicksJune 26th, 2008

MLB Picks: Tampa Bay Rays @ Florida Marlins o9.5 (-110) MLB Odds - Thu June 26 ‘08 12:10p
The Tampa Bay Rays beat the Florida Marlins 15-3 here last night, and while this may not be as big a blowout today, we do expect another high scoring game. If you recall, we mentioned a while back that Mark Hendrickson of the Marlins was pitching over his head in the early going, and that he would return to being his mediocre self eventually. Well, Big Mark has made us look like geniuses lately, as he has gone six straight starts without recording a Quality Start. He has a whopping 10.08 WHIP and a disgusting 1.95 WHIP over those last six outings. The southpaw is facing a Rays lineup that is coming on vs. lefties lately, hitting .292 against them the last 10 games. Now Matt Garza does have great stuff for Tampa, but he has not been very consistent, especially on the road. He is 1-3 with a 6.25 ERA and an ugly 1.55 WHIP away from home, and he has failed to record a Quality Start in any of his last three road outings. Finally, the Over is 9-3 in the last 12 Florida home games, and we look for a continuation of that pattern here. MLB Free Pick: Rays, Marlins Over 9.5 (-110) - MLB Baseball Picks
 
MLB Picks: San Francisco Giants (150) MLB Odds - Thu June 26 ‘08 7:05p
Cliff Lee of the Cleveland Indians is certainly having a great season, but Matt Cain of the San Francisco Giants is on a nice little roll himself and he is facing a Cleveland offense that is struggling right now. Cain has five Quality Starts in his last six outings, as he appears to have recovered his fine form of last year when he was arguably the unluckiest pitcher in baseball. He has a nice 2.95 ERA and an excellent 1.03 WHIP in his last three starts. Cain is facing an Indians offense that has scored just six runs in the last three games including a total of three runs in the first two games of this series. Now nobody can quibble with what Lee has done, going 10-1with a 2.45 ERA and 1.08 WHIP. However, if you only look at the last three starts for each of these pitchers, Lee actually has the higher WHIP (1.23), and his ERA is not significantly better (2.41) than Cain over this span. Thus, at this price, we feel that the Giants are worth an investment to get the upset and record the series sweep. MLB Free Pick: Giants +150 - MLB Baseball Betting

Selections Above are Free MLB Picks Courtesy of LT Profits

St.Louis Cardinals vs. Detroit Tigers Betting Odds & Picks: June 25th

Free Sports Picks, MLB Baseball PicksJune 25th, 2008

St. Louis Cardinals @ Detroit Tigers u9.0 - Wednesday June 25 ‘08 7:05p
Kyle Lohse (9-2,3.63 ERA) the St.Louis Cardinals starting hurler tonight against the Detroit Tigers is one of baseballs hottest pitchers, as is evident by a 6-0 run along with a stingy 2.07 ERA in his L7 starts. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent from the Tigers ,Armando Galarraga (7-2, 3.03 ERA) has been equally as hot, and is looking like a good bet to make the AL all star team. The former minor leaguer, has allowed only 1 run in his L13 plus innings of work, and has allowed opposing batting orders to average just .184 against him this season. Bottom line: With two quality hurlers on the hill and two viable bullpens backing them , a low scoring duel looks to be on the agenda. Final notes & Key Trends: Cardinals have gone under in 20 of 28 games this season with a total of 9 to 9.5. Under is 4-0 in Galarragas L4 starts with a total of 9 to 9.5. Lohse has not seen the total eclipsed in any of his L6 starts. Play UNDER - Click Here for More Baseball Betting Picks & Odds

Free MLB Picks & Baseball Odds: June 23rd 2008

Free Sports Picks, MLB Baseball PicksJune 23rd, 2008

Milwaukee Brewers @ Atlanta Braves u8.5 (-120) - Monday June 23 ‘08 7:10p - Courtesy of LT Profits
Now it is no secret that Ben Sheets of the Milwaukee Brewers is one of the best pitchers in baseball, but Jo-Jo Reyes of the Atlanta Braves is also in great current form, so runs should be hard to come by tonight. Reyes allowed just one run and five hits vs. a very potent Texas Rangers lineup in his last start, marking the fourth Quality Start in his last five starts and the third time in that span that he allowed two runs or less. Reyes also tossed a gem the first time he faced Milwaukee this season, allowing only one run and two hits in seven innings. If Reyes does need some help, the Atlanta bullpen received a boost recently with the return of closer Mike Gonzalez. Even without Gonzalez until last week, the Braves pen is ties for ninth in the Major Leagues with a 3.52 ERA. Sheets has been his usual dominant self this season, currently sitting at 8-1 with a 2.74 ERA and 1.09 WHIP. He has held opponents to just a .270 On Base Percentage so far, and he has already proven that he can handle the Braves lineup, as he has four Quality Starts in his last five appearances against them. Finally, the Under is 17-8 in the last 25 head-to-head meetings between these clubs in Atlanta, and we look for that pattern to continue here. MLB Free Pick: Brewers, Braves Under 8.5 (-120) - MLB Betting Odds

Milwaukee Brewers (-114)  - Monday June 23 ‘08 7:10p - Courtesy of Alex Smart
The Milwaukee Brewers enter into this tilt against the Atlanta Braves in top form having won 6 of their L7 and 21 of their L31 games overall , and are 7 games above .500 on the season. With Ben Sheets on the hill for the brew crew tonight, they once again look like a good bet. The veteran right hander is (8-1, 2.74 ERA) on the season ,and is 5-0 on the road this year, along with a stingy 2.62 ERA, and 4-0 with a 2.11 ERA in his L6 starts overall. Sheets is also 8-3 with a 4.80 ERA in his 11 career starts against the Braves, and has recorded a very stable 3.48 ERA during a five-start win streak in this series. Lets back him to help his team notch another victory in Turner Field this Monday night. Play on the Brewers - Baseball Picks

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Boston Red Sox u8.5 (-115) - Monday June 23 ‘08 7:05p - Courtesy of LT Profits
Runs should be scarce when Josh Beckett and the Boston Red Sox host Danny Haren and the Arizona Diamondbacks on Monday night. Beckett has lowered his ERA to 3.87 after a bit of a rough sport this season, and he has an excellent 1.13 WHIP in 86 innings with 89 strikeouts. He now has four Quality Starts in his last five outings including hurling seven scoreless innings while allowing just six hits vs. the Cincinnati Reds last week. He also pitched very well in his last start vs. Arizona last year, allowing two earned runs and five hits in eight innings. Haren has also done well in his first year with the Diamondbacks, as he actually has a lower ERA (3.26) and WHIP (1.00) than Beckett does year-to-date while pitching more innings (96.2). While Haren is not as much of a strikeout pitcher, his good 0.96 groundball/flyball ratio will serve him well in Fenway Park. He has also allowed two earned runs or less in four of his five career starts vs. the Red Sox. It also helps each pitcher that Arizona is batting a pathetic .208 vs. right-handers on the road and Boston has seen its team batting average drop since David Ortiz went out (.266 last 10 games), so look for a safe Under tonight. MLB Free Pick: Diamondbacks, Red Sox Under 8.5 (-115) - Baseball Handicappers

Free MLB Baseball Picks: Sunday, June 22nd 2008

Free Sports Picks, MLB Baseball PicksJune 22nd, 2008

Cincinnati Reds @ New York Yankees u9.0 (105) - Sun Jun 22 ‘08 1:05p - Courtesy of LT Profits
Both Andy Pettitte of the New York Yankees and Johnny Cueto of the Cincinnati Reds have been Under-prone this season, and we look for that to continue today. Pettitte is not nearly the pitcher he used to be, as he is 7-5 with a 4.29 ERA this year, but the Under is still a lucrative 11-4 in all of his starts. In all fairness, he does have five Quality Starts in his last seven outings, and one of his non-quality efforts vs. Kansas City where he allowed 10 earned runs has skewed his numbers somewhat.  Now Cueto has a 5.19 ERA overall, but he has pitched much better than that lately, allowing three earned runs or less in six of his last seven starts. This youngster will only get better with more seasoning, and along with league ERA leader Edison Volquez, should give the Reds a formidable one-two punch at the top of the rotation for many years. The young Cincinnati pitchers have gotten the best of the Bronx Bombers in the first two games of this series, and we look for another low scoring game today. MLB Free Pick: Reds, Yankees Under 9 (+105)
 
Houston Astros @ Tampa Bay Rays u8.0 (-110) - Sun Jun 22 ‘08 1:40p - Courtesy of LT Profits
The Tampa Bay Rays and the Houston Astros have exchanged 4-3 victories in the first two games of this series, and we are looking for yet another Under here today. Scott Kazmir has been one of the best pitchers in baseball this season, as he is 6-2 with a microscopic 1.76 ERA and 1.01 WHIP. He has yet to allow more than three earned runs in any start this season, and he has been absolutely sensational in five home starts, posting a sensational 0.59 ERA and 0.91 WHIP in 30.2 home innings! The Under is 4-1 in those five home starts. Now granted, Brandon Backe is nothing special for the Astros, but if Kazmir is on top of his game, it may not matter in terms of the Under as we do not expect the Rays to go Over this total by themselves. Besides, Tampa Bay is batting just a modest .240 vs. right-handed pitching over their last 10 games, so Backe is actually capable enough to put up a nice outing here. Look for the third straight well-pitched game in this series this afternoon. MLB Free Pick: Astros, Rays Under 8 (-110)

Florida Marlins @ Oakland Athletics u8.0 - Sun Jun 22 ‘08 4:05p - Courtesy of Alex Smart
Justin Duchsherer (7-4,2.08 ERA) has looked very good this season, and is currently in top form after a 1 run 5 hit performance last time out, against Arizona, that netted him his 4th win in his L5 outings. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent from the Marlins, Andrew Miller (5-5,4.87 ERA), is also rounding into high gear, after consecutive quality starts. Thats not a good omen for an As batting order that is hitting just .242 for the season against LHP while producing a lowly 3.5 RPG. Bottom line: We have two pitchers that are in a positive groove on the hill today,and two viable bull pens backing them up, in a contest has a good chance of staying on the low side of the number. I know Florida has seen a lot of their contests eclipse the number this season, but today in pitcher friendly McAfee Coliseum, Im betting that wont be the case. Final notes & Key Trends: Oakland has gone under 18 of 25 games against left handed starters this season, with the average combined score clicking in at 6.7 RPG. Play UNDER

Free MLB Baseball Picks & Odds: June 21st 2008

Free Sports Picks, MLB Baseball PicksJune 21st, 2008

Baseball Picks: Cleveland Indians @ Los Angeles Dodgers o8.0 (-115) - MLB Odds
Sat Jun 21 ‘08 3:55p - Courtesy of LT Profits
C.C. Sabathia of the Cleveland Indians has had his troubles on the road lately, while Chan Ho Park is making just his second start of the year for the Los Angeles Dodgers and will no doubt be on a pitch count, so we look for a higher scoring contest than many others expect. Sabathia is the reining Cy Young Award winner, but he got off to a dreadful start this season before finally appearing to get himself straightened out. However, while he looks to have regained his Cy Young form at home, his last two road starts leave much to be desired, as he allowed a total of nine runs and 20 baserunners in 14 innings. He is facing a Dodgers lineup that is hitting significantly better vs. left-handers (.280) than vs. right-handers (.257) this season. Park is taking this spot start for the Dodgers after pitching out of the bullpen all season, save for his one other start when he went just four innings. That will probably be the game plan again tonight, but the problem may be that the bullpen may be a bit fatigued after LA was forced to use four relievers over five innings last night. Thus, the Dodgers may give up a fee tack on runs late, and the Cleveland bullpen can be counted on to do the same considering that units ranks second to last in the Major Leagues with a 4.94 pen ERA, ahead of only Texas. MLB Free Pick: Indians/Dodgers Over 8 (-115)

Baseball Picks: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Minnesota Twins o8.5 - Baseball Odds
Sat Jun 21 ‘08 7:10p - Courtesy of Alex Smart
Micah Owings( 6-5,5.29 ERA) the Arizona Dbacks starting pitcher today, has really been struggling of late, as is evident by allowing 21 runs in last 19 innings of work, spanning 4 starts for an ugly ERA of 9.94. That is not a good omen against a Twins team that has smashed out , 27 runs in their L3 contests. His pitching opponent from the host Minnesota Twins , Nick Blackburn(5-4, 3.87 ERA) has looked really good at times this season, and pretty bad on other occasions, as is evident by his 6.38 ERA in his L3 starts.Considering the pitching matchup, Im expecting a fairly hig scoring tilt. Final notes & Key Trends: Owings has gone OVER in 10 of his L12 outings with a total of between 7 and 8.5, with the average combined score of those tilts ringing in at 10.9 RPG. Over is 8-1 in Twins last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter. These team have only once in their L9 meetings failed to eclipse the number. Play OVER

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MLB Baseball PicksJune 20th, 2008

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