Baltimore Orioles vs. Oakland Athletics
Pick: Oakland Athletics -134 MLB odds (August 16th 2011)
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I’m siding with the Oakland A’s Tuesday night due to the big advantage they have on the mound over the Baltimore Orioles. Oakland sends underrated starter Guillermo Moscoso to the mound, who is looking to improve on an already impressive season. Moscoso has gone 5-6 with a 3.52 ERA and 1.252 WHIP in 13 starts and two relief appearances in 2011. The Orioles have gotten nothing out of Brian Matusz, who is 1-4 with an 8.77 ERA and 1.988 WHIP in six starts this year.
Matusz has allowed 25 earned runs, nine home runs and 51 base runners in 25 2/3 innings this season. The lefty is 2-2 with a 5.48 ERA and 1.522 WHIP in four career starts against Oakland, so I don’t expect him to magically turn it around tonight. The Orioles are 17-41 in their last 58 overall. The A’s are 5-1 in Moscoso’s last 6 home starts. Oakland is 60-24 in their last 84 meetings with Baltimore, 37-15 in their last 52 home meetings, and 9-2 in all meetings in Oakland over the last three seasons. Take the A’s Tuesday.
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Chicago Cubs vs. Houston Astros
Baseball Pick: Chicago Cubs -121 betting odds (August 15th 2011)
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The Chicago Cubs have proven that they have no quit in them over the last few weeks. The Houston Astros have proven that they are by far the worst team in baseball. Chicago has gone 11-3 over their last 14 games and we look for them to stay red hot against the lowly Astros tonight. Houston has lost six straight to fall to 38-83 on the season. The Astros will send Henry Sosa to the mound in this one, a pitcher who would not start on any other team in baseball. Rodrigo Lopez gets the ball for Chicago looking to build off one of his most impressive starts of the season. Lopez allowed just one earned run and five hits in 5 2/3 innings to get the win in a 4-2 victory over Washington on 8/10. The Astros are 15-49 in their last 64 overall. The Cubs are 7-1 in their last 8 road games. Take the Cubs on the Money Line.
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Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals
MLB Baseball Pick: Chicago White Sox -159 odds (August 14th 2011)
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The Chicago White Sox get the call Sunday as they beat up on the lowly Kansas City Royals. Chicago has won 7 of their last 9 games overall to inch closer to the Detroit Tigers in the AL Central division. Starter John Danks has permitted nine runs over 12 1/3 innings in two starts this month, but he was 4-0 with a 0.98 ERA in his previous six outings. One of those strong showings came in Kansas City on July 20, when he held the Royals to five hits in seven scoreless innings of a 2-1, 11-inning loss. Danks has routinely pitched well in this series, going 2-0 with a 1.40 ERA in his last six starts against Kansas City. Kansas City starter Jeff Francis is 4-12 with a 4.33 ERA and 1.321 WHIP in 24 starts. Francis is 2-7 with a 5.32 ERA and 1.380 WHIP in 12 road starts in 2011. Danks is 3-3 with a 3.14 ERA and 1.286 WHIP in 10 home starts this year. Francis is 0-1 with a 4.74 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in four career starts against the White Sox, and his teams are 0-4 in those four games. Francis is 1-15 (-16.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons, and 0-8 (-8.8 Units) against the money line in day games this season. Take the White Sox Sunday.
Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves
MLB Betting Pick: Atlanta Braves -172 odds (August 13th 2011)
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On Saturday the free Play is on the Atlanta Braves. Game 928 at 7:10 eastern. Atlanta applies to a 23-8 system that plays on home favorites of -140 or higher off a -140 or higher home favored win scored 10 or more runs on 5+ men left on base, vs an opponent off a road dog loss by 5+ runs and scored 4 or less runs and had 10+ hits. The Braves are rolling and have won 5 straight . The Cubs are 1-10 as a road dog from +150 to +175. The Cubs have R. Wells going and he has a road era over 6. D. Lowe is 4-1 vs the Cubs. The Braves are averaging over 6 runs per game the past week. Look for them to get another win vs the Cubs. On Saturday 3 big plays up led by the MLB System game of the Month from a 20-1 system that wins by over 3 runs per game. I also have a 17-2 totals system and an NFLX Week 1 System side. Jump on and cash out on Saturday. For the free play take Atlanta. RV
San Francisco Giants vs. Florida Marlins
MLB Pick: San Francisco Giants -146 odds (August 13th 2011)
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The Giants have the edge on the mound with two-time NL Cy Young winner Tim Lincecum. The mighty righty has a 2.26 road ERA on the season and is carrying a tiny 1.31 ERA over his last 3 starts. Florida’s Javier Vazquez has struggled at home, going 3-6 (3-7 on the money line) with an ERA of 6.48. The Giants are 12-5 in Lincecum’s last 17 road starts, 14-5 in his last 13 starts as a road favorite and 5-0 in his last 5 starts vs. the National League East. The Marlins are 1-5 in Vazquez’s last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record and 0-5 in his last 5 starts vs. the National League West. We’ll bet the Giants.
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Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves
MLB Pick: Over 8 -110 odds (August 12th 2011)
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On Friday the free MLB System play is on the Over in the Chicago at Atlanta game. Rotation numbers 957/958 at 7:35 eastern. This game fits a nice totals system that plays to the over for home favorites of -140 or higher if they scored 5 or more runs as a road favorite in their last game while leaving 10 or more men on base, vs an opponent off a home favored win. Both teams are averaging over 5 runs per game the past week. C. Zambrano goes tonight for the Cubs and he has gone over in all his starts vs the NL East. In his last start down here in Atlanta he was miserable allowing 8 earned runs in 1+ inning. He has a mediocre 4.91 road era this season. Atlanta counters with Minor. He has just a 4.67 home era. Based on the system and the numbers over the total in this one looks like the play. On Friday I have a Big 3 game pack featuring the 98% American league total of the Month from a system that averages 13.5 runs per game. I also have a Never lost Perfect system play NL Action and a week 1 NFLX Power System side. Jump on and start the weekend right. For the free play take the Over in the Cubs at Braves game. RV
Atlanta Braves vs. Florida Marlins
MLB Baseball Pick: Atlanta Braves -121 odds (August 10th 2011)
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Atlanta is hot, winning 3 in a row and 5 of their L6, including the L2 over Florida. The Brave’s have taken 8 of the 11 meetings over the Marlin’s this season. The club has the 2nd best overall record in the NL at 68-49, but is still 8 1/2 games behind Philadelphia in the NL East. The lineup has gotten a surge of power, ranking 8th in HR’s with 127 round-tripper’s. They have Tim Hudson on the mound today. The RH is 11-7 on the season and boasts a 10-4, 2.97 lifetime record against the Marlin’s. Florida is in trouble. The Marlin’s have dropped 6 in a row and dwells in the cellar of the NL East at 55-61. Things have gone from bad to worse for Florida. They are 0-5 since losing 2B, Omar Infante to a hand injury and 0-6 since losing SS, Hanley Ramirez with a shoulder injury. The club ranks 19th in scoring, averaging just 4.01 RPG. Today, they send Anibal Sanchez to the bump. The RH is 6-5 this season, including a 0-2, 5.12 mark in his L3 starts. Sanchez is 4-8 against Atlanta in his career. The Brave’s are 5-0 their L5 games played at the Marlin’s, 14-6 in Hudson’s L20 starts vs. the Marlin’s and 5-1 their L6 road games. The Marlin’s are 0-5 their L5 vs. RH starters, 0-4 in Sanchez’s L4 starts vs. the Brave’s, and 17-35 their L52 games played at home. Take Atlanta. Thank you.
Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins
Pick: Boston Red Sox -111 MLB Lines (August 8th 2011)
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5* graded play on Boston as they take on the Twins set to start at 8:10 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that the Boston will win this game. Boston had a huge come from behind win against the rival Yankees to take the three game series two games to one. Trailing in the ninth and scoring a tying run off of HOF Rivera and then winning it in the 10th is the type of game that can carry a team to an extended winning streak. Boston is in a series of strong roles noting they are a solid 14-2 (+12.0 Units) against the money line facing teams whose hitters draw three walks or less per game in the second half of this season. The Twins are in one of the ugliest situations possible noting they are 1-15 (-15.0 Units) against the money line when facing AL teams scoring 5.2 or more runs per game in the second half of the season over the last three seasons. The Twins Baker will be on the hill and he has had a solid season, but he will struggle mightily against the best offense in baseball. Boston ranks best with 617 runs scored, best with a .280 team batting average, best with a .353 on-base-percentage, and best with a .456 slugging-percentage. Take Boston.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants
MLB Baseball Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -114 odds (August 5th 2011)
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The red-hot Phillies have won seven straight games coming into tonight’s Game 2 contest against a Giants ballclub that has dropped six of its L/7 games overall. Philadelphia will hand the ball to young right-hander Vance Worley (7-1, 2.33 ERA) with the young hurler looking to bounce back from a mediocre start the last time out. Worley allowed four earned runs against the Pittsburgh Pirates in his last start to get tagged with his first loss of the season. Worley has allowed one long ball in each of his last two games. The good news is that Worley hadn’t allowed more than two earned runs in his previous seven starts and pitched his first career complete game against Frisco just last week in Philadelphia. San Francisco left-hander Jonathan Sanchez (4-5, 3.81 ERA), will make his first start in over a month when he takes the mound tonight after coming back from biceps tendonitis. The gifted lefty allowed two runs on seven hits and three walks while striking out five batters in his last rehab start on Wednesday. Sanchez has had some serious issues with his control and rankes third in the NL with 59 walks. The Phillies have been pounding the cover off the ball during their seven-game winning streak and I expect them to jump all over a rusty Jonathan Sanchez tonight while getting another strong effort from Vance Worley. Philadelphia is 4-0 in Worley’s last four road starts while the Giants have gone 1-4 in Jonathan Sanchez’s L/5 starts as an underdog.
Cleveland Indians vs. Boston Red Sox
Pick: Cleveland Indians +163 MLB betting odds (AUgust 3rd 2011)
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The Cleveland Indians are showing excellent value tonight against the Boston Red Sox. They have given Boston all they can handle thus far in this series, outscoring the Red Sox 11-9 while splitting the first two games. In fact, Cleveland is 5-3 in eight meetings with Boston this season. They have the better starter on the mound tonight, and as a result we will back them as Wednesday’s free pick. Carlos Carrasco is 5-2 with a 2.73 ERA and 1.101 WHIP in 10 road starts this season, clearly at his best away from home. Tim Wakefield is 6-4 with a 5.11 ERA and 1.344 WHIP in 14 starts this year for Boston. Carrasco has beaten some very good teams on the road this year, including the Yankees and Rays from the AL East. The Indians are 4-1 in Carrasco’s last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Red Sox are 2-8 in Wakefield’s last 10 starts vs. American League Central. Take the Indians on the Money Line.
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