Baseball Picks: May 9th 2013
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Pick: Braves vs. Giants Over 7.5
The total on this game was set at 7.5 points which would be about right if the Giant’s had any other pitcher in their rotation on the mounts and if the Braves were not averaging 4.9 runs per game in their past seven games. Julio Teheran has 5 starts and a 5.08 ERA on the season. He has allowed 39 hits in just 28.3 innings pitched. Things get even uglier for the Giant’s Ryan Vogelsong. Vogelsong has posted a 7.20 ERA in 6 starts and has given up 8 home runs and 46 hits in just 35 innings pitched.
The Giant’s have had no problem scoring runs this season. They average 4.4 runs per game and have a .270 batting average when playing at home. They face an Atlanta team that is scoring 4.4 runs per game. Both of these teams have favored the over this season as they have each posted an 18 games going over the total to just 14 games going under. Both of these teams have very capable and dangerous hitters and they are slumming it at the bottom end of their respective pitching rotations. With Teheran and Vogelsong on the mound this game should have no problem going over the total. -Jimmy Boyd
Pick: Kansas City Royals +104
Jeremy Guthrie has been on fire since coming over from Colorado last season. He’s 4-0 with a 2.39 ERA in 6 starts this year, and the Royals are 15-2 in his last 17 starts. Guthrie hasn’t allowed a run in his last 2 starts while pitching 15 2-3 innings. Freddy Garcia hasn’t had much luck against Kansas City. He has a 5.73 ERA against the Royals, and his clubs are 2-9 in his last 11 starts against them. -Jeff Alexander
Pick: Tampa Bay Rays -144
Tampa Bay ace David Price has struggled to start the season. He’s pitched well in 4 starts but has been rocked in the other 3. However, I expect a gem from him this evening. He will be lacking no confidence against a club he’s owned. Price is 12-2 (13-2 on the money line) with an ERA of 2.29 in 15 career starts versus the Blue Jays. Toronto’s R.A. Dickey has really struggled of late. He’s 0-3 with an ERA of 6.63 over his last 3 starts. The Rays are 7-0 in their last 7 Game 4s of a series and 8-0 in Price’s last 8 starts when he gets the ball in the during 4th game of a series. The Rays have won 15 of their last 21 at home versus the Jays. Take Tampa. -Dave Price
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