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Archive for the ‘NBA Basketball Picks’ Category

Cavaliers vs. Raptors Over-Under Playoffs Betting Odds & Pick from Will Rogers: May 23rd 2016


Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Toronto Raptors
Over-Under Playoffs Betting Pick: Over 197 points -110 odds (May 23rd 2016)

The Toronto Raptors had no answer in Cleveland, allowing the Cavs to jump out to big leads in each of the first two games of this series. The Raptors actually played well in the first half of Game 2, until they collapsed in the final two minutes of the half. I expect to see a better effort offensively from the Cavs as they try to avoid a second straight loss in Toronto in Game 4.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Previous History – Five of the last eight meetings between these two teams have gone over the total, and the over is 4-2 in Toronto’s last six when playing on one day’s rest. After trending under at the beginning of the post-season, Toronto has now gone over in four of six overall.

2. LeBron James – The King scored just 24 points in Game 1, but he shot 11-of-13 from the field. He only played 28 minutes, and he recorded a triple-double in Game 2. He had 24 points again in Game 3, but I expect him to go for 30 plus tonight.

Check out what Jesse Schule has to say about the Raptors vs. Cavaliers matchup as well.

3. X-Factor – The Cavs demolished the previous record for the most three-pointers in a game in their series versus Atlanta, and we know they can get hot from long range at any time.

Selection: This is a play on Toronto@Cleveland to go OVER the total (Free)

Raptors vs. Cavaliers Point Spread Pick: Zack Cimini betting Toronto +12.5 on May 19th 2016


Toronto Raptors vs. Cleveland Cavaliers
NBA Playoffs Betting Pick: Toronto +12.5 points (May 19th 2016)

Toronto played the role everyone expected in game one of a beaten up team that has faced a gamut of minor injuries along with the loss of JV.

They were ill-prepared for the level of offense that Cleveland has displayed in the playoffs versus what they saw in the regular season.

Now, Tuesday oddsmakers were left no choice but to increase the spread to a whopping twelve points.

I see this is as an entry point to take a shot on the Raptors. Toronto’s a team that’s no stranger to game one losses, as they’ve lost each round in game one.

Coach Casey has made a gamut of adjustments each series to keep his Raptors fighting and I expect that tonight.

As great as Cleveland’s played in the playoffs they’ve been on the 50/50 side of garnering covers late in fourth quarters.

Expect the Raptors to play with a higher sense of urgency with the main goal of getting back to Toronto with confidence.

Cory Joseph who has shot 4 for 21 in his last three games should bolster the Raptors chances tonight. Take the Raptors.

Oklahoma City vs. Golden State Over-Under Betting & Point Spread Pick: May 18th 2016


Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Golden State Warriors – 9:00pm ET May 18th 2016

Point Spread: The Golden State Warriors are an 8.5 point favorite over the Oklahoma City Thunder in tonights Conference Finals matchup. The over/under betting total for this game is set at 223.5 points.

Records: Oklahoma City is 64-30 SU and 45-48-1 ATS this season with an over/under record of 45-49. Golden State is 81-12 SU and 52-39 ATS this season with an over/under record of 50-42-1

Public Perception: As of 4:40pm ET, 79% of the wagering public is betting that the Golden State Warriors will cover the point spread against the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Recent Meetings: The last these two teams took to the hardwood was on May 16th of this season. Golden State was a 7.5 point favorite and the over/under for that game was 225 points. Final Score: OKC 108 GS 102.

Recent Performance: Oklahoma City is 8-2 SU and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games. Golden State is 7-3 SU and 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games.

Betting Trends: Oklahoma City is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Oklahoma City is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a home win percentage above .600. Golden State is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games. The Over is 6-3 in Oklahoma City’s last 11 when their opponent scores more than 100 points in their previous game, the over is also 19-9 in the Thunder’s last 28 games playing on a day of rest. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two teams in Golden State. The Home team is 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games played.

Betting Pick: Golden State Warriors -8.5
Over-Under Pick: Under 223.5 points.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Golden State Warriors NBA Playoffs Odds & Prediction: May 18th 2016


Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Golden State Warriors
NBA Playoffs Prediction: Thunder +8.5 -110 odds (May 18th 2017)

Even after upsetting the Spurs in six games in the Western Conference semi finals, nobody expected the Thunder to come into Oracle Arena and beat Golden State in Game 1. They may have taken the Warriors by surprise in the series opener, and it’s going to be very difficult to duplicate that performance in Game 2. That being said, this line appears to be inflated, and I’ll take the points.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. The Thunder’s Defense – The fact that Oklahoma City has bags of offensive talent has never been in doubt, but the team really buckled down on defense against the Spurs. San Antonio scored opened the series with a 124-92 victory but was held to an average of 96.8 points per game in the following five.

2. Road Warriors – The Thunder have won five of their six road games in the postseason and they are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

3. X-Factor – Oklahoma City has long been considered a two-man team and to reliant on Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook, but let’s not forget center Steven Adams who averaged 11 points on 70.3 percent shooting and 11.8 rebounds in the six games against San Antonio.

Selection: This is a play on the Oklahoma City Thunder (Free)

NBA Playoffs: Heat vs. Raptors Point Spread, Over-Under Betting Odds & Pick: May 15th 2016


Miami Heat vs. Toronto Raptors – 3:30pm ET May 15th 2016

Point Spread: The Toronto Raptors are a 4.5 point favorite against the Miami Heat in todays Conference Semifinals NBA matchup. The over/under for this game is set at 187.5 points (Opened at 189.5)

Records: Miami is 55-40 SU and 51-43-1 ATS this season with an over/under record of 39-55-1. Toronto is 63-32 SU and 49-46 ATS this season with an over/under record of 46-48-1.

Public Perception: As of 2:30pm ET, 83% of the wagering public is betting that Miami will cover the point spread against Toronto.

Past Meetings: The last time these two teams met was on May 13th. Miami was set as a 3.5 point chalk over Toronto and the over/under for this game was 188.5 points. Final Score Miami 103 Toronto 91.

Recent Performance: Miami is 5-5 SU and 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games. Toronto is 5-5 SU and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games.

Betting Trends: The favorite in this matchup is 13-6 in the last 19 meetings. The over is 23-5 in Toronto’s last 28 games following a straigh-up loss of more than 10 points. The over is 13-6 in Miami’s last 19 conference semifinal games. Toronto is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games when their opponent puts up more than 100 point in their previous game. Miami is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 matchups after scoring more than 100 point in their previous game

Betting Pick: Miami Heat +4.5
Over-Under Pick: Over 197.5 points.

NBA Playoffs: Warriors vs. Trailblazers Odds & Prediction from Jeff Alexander: May 9th 2016

NBA Playoffs Prediction: Warriors -5 points (May 9th 2016)

I wasn’t the least bit surprise to see Golden State lose Game 3 on Saturday, but I’m confident the Warriors are going to bounce back and take Game 4 in Portland tonight. No Steph Curry no problem for the Warriors in this one. Golden State is going to come out with a different mentality on the defensive side of the ball after giving up 120 points in Game 3. Offensively the Warriors continue to have their way with the Blazers and I just don’t see Portland winning back-to-back games here. Let’s not forget Golden State dropped Game 3 in Houston after taking a 2-0 lead and then came out an destroyed the Rockets 121-94 in Game 4. Warriors are 23-9 ATS in their last 32 off a game where they failed to cover the spread and the Blazers are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 after scoring 100+ points. Cash Golden State -5!

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NBA Playoffs: Cavaliers vs. Hawks Point Spread Pick from Bob Harvey: May 8th 2016

CAVALIERS VS. HAWKSCleveland Cavaliers vs. Atlanta Hawks
NBA Playoffs Point Spread Pick: Cavs -5 (May 8th 2016)

The Cleveland Cavaliers look to sweep their way into the Eastern Conference finals when they visit the Atlanta Hawks in Game 4 of their second-round series.

The Cavaliers (64-25, 42-44 ATS) have used a record setting three-point shooting display to take a 3-0 series lead. They drained 21 three’s on Friday, four shy of their historic performance in Game 2. Channing Frye knocked down seven 3-pointers and scored 27 points in Friday’s 121-108 victory, which marked the Cavaliers’ 11th consecutive postseason win over the Hawks. Cleveland has now made 61 treys in the series — the most through three games of any playoff set in NBA history.

The Hawks (52-39, 45-45 ATS) played better on offense in Friday’s loss with Al Horford scored 24 points on 11-of-15 shooting while Kyle Korver came off the bench to score 18. Still it appears Atlanta is overmatched and it would be a pretty big surprise if they aren’t dispatched easily tonight.

The Cavs are 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings in Atlanta and 7-0 ATS in the last seven meetings overall. The favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last four series meetings. Cleveland is also 4-0 vs. the number in its last four conference semi-final games

The OVER is 6-2 in the last eight meetings and 4-1 in the Cavaliers last five meetings. The UNDER is 8-3 in the Hawks last 11 overall and 8-3 to the low side in the past 11 against the Eastern Conference.

Golden State vs. Portland NBA Playoffs Betting Odds & Pick from Will Rogers: May 7th 2016

GOLDEN STATE VS. PORTLANDGolden State Warriors vs. Portland Trailblazers
NBA Betting Pick: Portland +3.5 -110 odds (May 7th 2016)

The Trail Blazers dropped both games in Oakland as they return to Portland trailing 2-0 in the series. They dominated play in the first half of Game 2, and we could expect the Warriors to suffer a let down after coming back to win the last game by double-digits at home. My money is on the Blazers + the points.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Home Cookin’ – The over is 11-3 in the Trail Blazers’ last 14 home games against a team with a winning road record. They’re averaging 107.5 points per game in their own building which can be compared to a 104.6 mark overall, so shooting against a familiar rim is definitely something the Portland players know how to take full advantage of.

2. Previous Meetings – Portland handed the Warriors their most lopsided loss of the season when they defeated Golden State 137-105 here at Moda Center on Feb. 19. The Blazers have covered the spread in nine of their last 12 when coming off a double-digit loss.

3. X-Factor – Portland’s point guard Damian Lillard was far from dominant in the first round series against the Clippers, but he has averaged 27.5 points per game in the first two of this series.

Selection: This is a play on the Blazers (Free)

NBA Playoffs: Trailblazers vs. Warriors Point Spread Pick from Bob Harvey: May 3rd 2016

TRAILBLAZERS VS. WARRIORSPortland Trailblazers vs. Golden State Warriors
NBA Playoffs Point Spread Pick: Blazers +10.5 (May 3rd 2016)

The Golden State Warriors continue their quest for a second straight NBA title when they host the Portland Trailblazers in Game 2 of their Western Conference series. Golden State took the opener 118-106 behind Klay Thompson buried seven 3-pointers en route to a game-high 37 points. Draymond Green turned in one of the best individual efforts in the playoffs contributed 23 points, 13 rebounds, 11 assists, three blocks and a steal in 37 minutes

The Trail Blazers (48-41, 47-42 ATS) got a break in the first round when the Clippers lost Chris Paul and Blake Griffin to injuries for the final two games of that series. They were hoping to get a jump on the Warriors before a possible return from Curry who could return to action later in the series, perhaps as soon as Saturday.

With Stephen Curry still out with a knee injury, the Warriors (78-10, 50-36 ATS) have seen Thompson step up his game. The former Washington State star is 21 of 36 from beyond the arc in his last three games, becoming the first player in NBA history with at least seven 3-pointers in three straight playoff games.

The OVER IS 4-0 in the last four meetings in Oakland and 13-3 in the last 16 overall.

The Trail Blazers are 7-22 ATS in the past 29 meetings on the Warriors home court.

Charlotte Hornets vs. Miami Heat NBA Point Spread Pick from Scott Rickenbach: May 1st 2016


Charlotte Hornets vs. Miami Heat
NBA Point Spread Pick: Heat -6 (May 1st 2016)

Scott “The Bulldog” Rickenbach NBA *1* Free Pick Miami Heat -6 vs Charlotte Hornets @ 1:05 PM ET Sunday – The Heat have all the momentum back in this series. It’s been a series of shifting momentum as Miami won the first two games and then Charlotte won three straight. The Hornets had their chance to close out the series on their home floor and failed. That is going to make it awfully tough to bounce back here and I just don’t see it happening. Making matters worse for Charlotte is the Nicolas Batum injury situation. Look for the Heat to roll as they already had two home wins by an average margin of 22 points per game earlier in the series. The fact that Miami then lost on their home floor in Game 5 (by just a bucket) strengthens their resolve here. Off of the upset win in Game 6 that saved their season, Miami is 8-3 ATS on the season when off of an upset win as an underdog. Charlotte is 3-6 ATS as a road dog of 6.5 to 9 points this season. At the time of this posting, 6.5 is the dominant number in the markets but there is some 6 available. My advice is to grab it! Consider a small play on the Miami Heat -6 as it is my Free Pick for Sunday. Best of luck, Scott