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Stephen Nover’s NBA Prediction for the Wizards vs. Heat on October 29th 2014

WIZARDS VS. HEAT PREDICTION OCTOBER 29TH 2014Washington Wizards vs. Miami Heat
Betting Pick: Miami Heat -4 (October 29th 2014)
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It’s the opening game of the season and also statement time for Miami. A healthy Dwayne Wade and Chris Bosh want to prove to their main division rival – the Wizards – that the Heat still are good and worthy of respect despite the departure of LeBron James.

This is their opportunity being at home and catching the Wizards way short-handed.

Washington is without two starters, Nene and Bradley Beal, and a number of reserves. Nene is suspended while Beal is recovering from a broken wrist. The Wizards aren’t that good minus the underrated Beal.

Also out for Washington are Martell Webster, DeJuan Blair, Daniel Orton and Xavier Silas. Webster and Blair are key role players. Webster is recovering from back surgery while Blair is suspended as is Orton and Silas. The Wizards may also be missing banged-up Glen Rice Jr. (ankle) and Kris Humphries (hand).

Journeyman guard Garrett Temple, a player who was available in the last round of an 18-round, 20-team NBA experts fantasy basketball draft I participated in, could actually draw big minutes in this matchup.

The Heat have a chip on their shoulders after hearing all off-season how bad they are going to be and how good the Cavaliers, Bulls and Wizards are going to be and how the Wizards are now the team to beat in their division. The prideful Heat will be highly motivated to perform well especially during the early stages of the post-LeBron era.

The Heat did add Luol Deng. Deng, of course, is no LeBron James. But he isn’t some stiff either. He’s a good two-way player who has a history of slowing down Paul Pierce.

The Wizards last won a season-opener back in 2009. Their time will come. Just not in this matchup.

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2 NBA Underdog Picks to Consider Betting on October 29th 2014

NBA Pick: Sacramento Kings +4
The Kings are a franchise on the rise and I look for them to spoil Steve Kerr’s coaching debut with the Warriors. Sacramento has the pieces in place to be a strong team out west, especially at home. DeMarcus Cousins is quietly emerging into one of the best big men in the game. I look for big improvements from second-year shooting guard Ben McLemore and I’m a big fan of the addition of point guard Darren Collison. The Kings are also a lot deeper team than I think people realize. Carl Landry, Ramon Sessions, Derrick Williams, Reggie Evans, Omri Casspi, and Ryan Hollins are all capable of coming in and producing at a high level.

Golden State is clearly going to be one of the top teams in the Western Conference, but they will be without starting power forward David Lee, along with key reserves Brandon Rush and newly acquired point guard Shaun Livingston. I’ll take my chances that the “Splash Brothers” don’t catch fire out of the gate and the Kings play above their potential in their home opener. BET SACRAMENTO +4! -Steve Janus

NBA Pick: Philadelphia 76ers +6.5
Philadelphia is your free winner in the NBA tonight. Grab our NBA Western Conference Winner. We nailed the Pelicans last night as our Dominator play.

Take the undervalued Sixers on the road against the Pacers. Sixers plus 6.5 is the play. Pacers only starter from last year is Roy Hibbert. Injuries and free agent losses hinder the Pacers to start the season. Sixers are young but play hard opening tap to final buzzer. Sixers 14-2 ATS last year against Eastern Confernce opponents. Pacers horrible cover team last year. Last 52 games 16-36 ATS.

Value here is with Philly plus the points. We hit with the Pelicans to open the season last night. -Steve Williams

Atlanta Hawks vs. Toronto Raptors Point Spread & Pick: October 29th 2014

HAWKS VS. RAPTORS SPREAD PICK OCTOBER 29TH 2014Atlanta Hawks vs. Toronto Raptors
Betting Pick: Toronto -4.5 point spread (October 29th 2014)
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The Raptors are showing exceptional value as a mere 4.5-point favorite against the Hawks. Toronto went a strong 26-15 at home last year and are going to come into this season highly motivated last year’s heartbreaking loss to the Nets in 7-games of the first round. What a lot of people don’t realize with the Raptors is that this team didn’t even start playing well until late in the year. Toronto was 6-games under .500 in early December and finished 14-games above .500 on their way to winning the Atlantic Division.

Unlike previous years when their best players would leave town, Toronto has brought back their nucleus from last year. They only lost John Salmons and Steve Novak, who were nothing more than rotational players. I believe they more than made up for it with the additions of Lou Williams and James Johnson.

Not to take anything away from the Hawks, who should push for a a playoff spot with the return of Al Horford, but they were far from impressive on the road last year. Atlanta went just 14-27 away from home. They got beat badly in both of their trips to Toronto, losing by 21 in the first meeting and 10 points the second time they visited the Air Canada Centre. Take the Raptors!

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Washington Wizards vs. Miami Heat NBA Pick from Dave Price: October 29th 2014

Washington Wizards vs. Miami Heat
NBA Pick: Miami Heat -3.5 (October 29th 2014)
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This is a statement game for Dwyane Wade, Chrish Bosh and the Miami Heat as they look to show the league that they’re still a team to be reckoned with without LeBron James. The Wizards should be one of the top teams in the East, but they aren’t at full strength entering the season. Bradley Beal is out with a wrist injury and Nene is out serving a suspension. The home team has been the play in this matchup, going 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings. These eight wins have all come by at least four points. Expect this trend to continue.

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Philadelphia vs. Indiana NBA Prediction & Point Spread: October 29th 2014

76ERS VS. PACERS POINT SPREAD PREDICTION OCTOBER 29TH 2014Philadelphia 76ers vs. Indiana Pacers
Prediction: Philly +7 point spread (October 29th 2014)
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The Philadelphia 76ers come into the season undervalued because they were one of the worst teams in the NBA last year. It appeared that management could have purposely tanked to stockpile lottery picks, and their plan is going to pay off sooner rather than later.

This team is now loaded with talent with the likes of Nerlens Noel, Michael Carter-Williams and Joel Embid. They also added K.J. McDaniels, Jerami Grant and Vasilije Micic in the second round this past draft. They are building for the future, but I believe they will be more competitive this season because their roster is so deep.

With that being said, this free pick on the 76ers is more about how down I am on the Indiana Pacers to open the season than anything. They lost their best player in Paul George to a season-ending injury in the offseason, and Lance Stephensen is now a member of the Charlotte Bobcats.

Furthermore, the Pacers are expected to be without starting forward David West and starting point guard George Hill for the opener due to injury. They are also missing backup point guard C.J. Watson because of an injury. That means they are going to be without four of their five starters from last season with Roy Hibbert the only returning starter expected to play in the opener.

They simply cannot be competitive with all of these losses, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see the 76ers win this game outright. Getting 7 points is simply an added bonus, and we’ll take the extra points tonight.

The 76ers closed last season on a 6-1 ATS run in their final seven games. More impressive yet, they are 14-2 ATS in their last 16 against Eastern Conference opponents. Both of these trends show that they did not quit last year. They aren’t simply going to pack it in this year like most people on the outside think, either. The Pacers are 16-36-1 ATS in their last 53 games overall and are overvalued to start the season once again. Bet the 76ers Wednesday.

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Houston vs. Los Angeles Basketball Pick & Point Spread: October 28th 2014

ROCKETS VS. LAKERS POINT SPREAD PICK OCTOBER 28TH 2014Houston Rockets vs. Los Angeles Lakers
Point Spread: Houston -6 Over/Under 205 (October 28th 2014)
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ATS Trends:
Lakers are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 vs. Western Conference. Lakers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss. Lakers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Tuesday games. Lakers are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Southwest. Lakers are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. Rockets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Rockets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. Western Conference. Rockets are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 Tuesday games. Rockets are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 vs. NBA Pacific.

Over/Under Trends:
Over is 5-0 in Lakers last 5 Tuesday games. Over is 22-6-2 in Lakers last 30 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Under is 6-2 in Lakers last 8 overall. Under is 6-2 in Lakers last 8 games following a S.U. loss. Under is 6-2 in Lakers last 8 vs. Western Conference. Over is 8-2-1 in Rockets last 11 vs. NBA Pacific. Over is 13-4 in Rockets last 17 vs. Western Conference. Over is 6-2 in Rockets last 8 road games. Over is 19-7 in Rockets last 26 overall. Over is 8-3 in Rockets last 11 games following a ATS win.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
Over is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Los Angeles. Favorite is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Over is 12-3 in the last 15 meetings. Rockets are 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings.

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Orlando vs. New Orleans Basketball Pick & Point Spread: October 28th 2014

ORLANDO VS. NEW ORLEANS POINT SPREAD PICK OCTOBER 28TH 2014Orlando Magic vs. New Orleans Pelicans
Point Spread: New Orleans -10 Over/Under 196 (October 28th 2014)
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ATS Trends:
Pelicans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Pelicans are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. Eastern Conference. Pelicans are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Pelicans are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 Tuesday games. Pelicans are 3-9-3 ATS in their last 15 games following a ATS loss. Magic are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 vs. Western Conference. Magic are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 Tuesday games. Magic are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Southwest. Magic are 4-21-2 ATS in their last 27 road games. Magic are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.

Over/Under Trends:
Over is 6-0 in Pelicans last 6 vs. Eastern Conference. Over is 8-0 in Pelicans last 8 games following a ATS loss. Over is 10-4 in Pelicans last 14 Tuesday games. Over is 10-4 in Pelicans last 14 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Over is 15-7 in Pelicans last 22 overall. Under is 6-0-1 in Magic last 7 games following a ATS loss. Under is 7-0-1 in Magic last 8 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Under is 4-0-1 in Magic last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. Under is 7-1 in Magic last 8 games following a double-digit loss at home. Under is 6-1 in Magic last 7 vs. NBA Southwest.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
Under is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings in New Orleans. Under is 14-6 in the last 20 meetings. Underdog is 22-8-1 ATS in the last 31 meetings. Magic are 2-8 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Magic are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in New Orleans.

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Mavericks vs. Spurs Basketball Pick & Point Spread: October 28th 2014

MAVERICKS VS. SPURS POINT SPREAD PICK OCTOBER 27TH 2014Dallas Mavericks vs. San Antonio Spurs
Point Spread: San Antonio -4 Over/Under 204 (October 28th 2014)
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ATS Trends:
Spurs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss. Spurs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss. Spurs are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 vs. Western Conference. Spurs are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 Tuesday games. Spurs are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 vs. NBA Southwest. Mavericks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Mavericks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Mavericks are 50-20 ATS in their last 70 road games. Mavericks are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 vs. NBA Southwest. Mavericks are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU win of more than 10 points.

Over/Under Trends:
Under is 4-1 in Spurs last 5 home games. Under is 4-1 in Spurs last 5 vs. Western Conference. Under is 5-2 in Spurs last 7 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Under is 7-3 in Spurs last 10 overall. Over is 7-3 in Spurs last 10 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Over is 4-1 in Mavericks last 5 road games. Over is 4-1 in Mavericks last 5 games following a S.U. win. Over is 16-5 in Mavericks last 21 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Over is 19-7 in Mavericks last 26 vs. NBA Southwest. Over is 27-10 in Mavericks last 37 games following a SU win of more than 10 points.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
Mavericks are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in San Antonio. Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in San Antonio. Home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Underdog is 8-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings.

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NBA Basketball Picks from Jimmy Adams: Rockets vs. Lakers: October 28th 2014

ROCKETS VS. LAKERS PICK OCTOBER 28TH 2014Houston Rockets vs. Los Angeles Lakers
NBA Basketball Pick: Houston -6 (October 28th 2014)
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The Lakers finished last season with a franchise worst 55 losses, and things aren’t looking any better this year either. LA lost Pau Gasol to the Bulls via free agency, and word has come out that Steve Nash will miss the entire season due to a hurt back. This backcourt was already viewed as one of the weakest in the league, so the loss of Nash just makes things worse.

This will be Dwight Howard’s 2nd trip back to LA since leaving a ton of money on the table and leaving for Houston. He no doubt has some motivation as he and Kobe were not great friends (To put it mildly). There’s essentially no one inside who has even a remote shot of guarding Howard, so expect him to have a field day.

Kobe will try and carry this team as best as he can, but he’s injury prone, old, and just can’t do everything by himself. The Lakers also enter the season with a long list of injuries. Even after Nash, Nick Young, Ryan Kelly, Xavier Henry, and Wayne Ellington will all be missing this contest. That leaves LA to turn to Carlos Boozer, who has nothing left in the tank.

The fact is that the Lakers are flat out outmanned in every area, and its’ really not even close. Opening night in LA might give the Lakers some momentum coming out of the gates, but that will be short lived and Houston will control the game. Take the Rockets.

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Miami Heat vs. San Antonio Spurs Point Spread & Prediction: June 8th 2014

HEAT VS. SPURS POINT SPREAD PREDICTION JUNE 8TH 2014Miami Heat vs. San Antonio Spurs
Point Spread: San Antonio -4 Over/Under 198 (June 8th 2014)
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ATS Trends:
Spurs are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Spurs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win. Spurs are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Spurs are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Spurs are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games overall. Heat are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. loss. Heat are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Heat are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss. Heat are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 Sunday games. Heat are 23-9 ATS in their last 32 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points.

Over/Under Trends:
Over is 5-1 in Spurs last 6 games playing on 2 days rest. Over is 5-1 in Spurs last 6 NBA Championship games. Over is 9-3 in Spurs last 12 games following a S.U. win. Over is 6-2 in Spurs last 8 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Over is 8-3 in Spurs last 11 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Over is 4-0 in Heat last 4 Sunday games. Under is 6-1 in Heat last 7 games playing on 2 days rest. Over is 5-1 in Heat last 6 NBA Championship games. Over is 8-2 in Heat last 10 overall. Over is 4-1 in Heat last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
Favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in San Antonio. Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings. Heat are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in San Antonio.

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