Denver Nuggets vs. Phoenix Suns
Betting Prediction: Phoenix -7 (November 26th 2014)
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This may seem like a lot of points to be laying on the Suns against a Nuggets team that has won 5-straight, but I believe we are seeing a big spread for good reason in this one. Denver just played last night in a hard-fought 114-109 home win over the Bulls and now have to go on the road and face one of the most explosive offenses in the league. Phoenix is averaging 104.3 ppg and rank 5th in the league in pace at 98.5. The Suns also have had a fulls days rest and will be motivated off that heartbreaking 100-104 loss at Toronto on Monday.
Adding to the Nuggets being in a difficult spot in terms of rest, there’s another big key to why I don’t think we will see Denver’s best effort in this one. These two will turn around and play at Denver on Friday. Knowing that they are going to get another chance against Phoenix on their home floor in a couple of days, is going to make it difficult for the Nuggets to bring the intensity needed to keep this one close.
It’s also worth noting that Denver is just 3-4 on the road this season. Two of those victories came against a couple of bad teams in the Pacers and Lakers and the other against the Cavaliers during their ugly 4-game losing streak. Adding to this is that all 4 of their road losses have come by at least 9 points.
The Suns are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 games against the Northwest division, 31-15 in their last 46 after playing their last game on the road, 30-14 in their last 44 against up-temp teams (83+ shots/game) and 42-18-1 in their last 51 when playing on 1 days rest. Denver is 5-12 ATS in their last 17 when playing on 0 rest and 2-8-1 in their last 11 versus the Western Conference. Take Phoenix!