Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Indiana Pacers
Betting Prediction: Indiana +3.5 (February 27th 2015)
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The betting public is all over the Cleveland Cavalliers right now. They have won 18 of their last 20 games overall and are playing the best basketball in the NBA. However, they are only 3.5-point favorites tonight over the Indiana Pacers despite the heavy action from the betting public.
Oddsmakers will gladly let the public keep betting the Cavaliers. This has actually been a reverse line movement as it opened at Cleveland -5, and it’s currently down to -3.5 even with the public all over Cleveland. That’s an obvious sign that the big money is on the Pacers, and I can see why.
For starters, Cleveland is in a terrible spot tonight. It is in a huge letdown spot off its 110-99 win over the Warriors last night. It is also a very tired team right now as it will be playing the second of a back-to-back and its 5th game in 8 days. There aren’t many tougher situations in the NBA than that.
Making matters worse for the Cavaliers is that they are expected to be without starting point guard Kyrie Irving, who suffered a shoulder injury against the Warriors. Irving is averaging 21.7 points and 5.2 assists this season, and the Cavaliers clearly will miss their floor general.
The Pacers come into this game playing their best basketball of the season. They are 6-2 SU & 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall. Their only two losses during this stretch came at home to San Antonio (93-95) and at Oklahoma City (92-105). They have beaten Golden State (104-98), Cleveland (103-99) and Detroit (114-109) at home, while also going on the road and topping Charlotte (103-102), New Orleans (106-93) and Philadelphia (106-95) during this stretch.
As you can see, they are one of only two teams to beat the Cavaliers in Cleveland’s past 20 games. Home-court advantage has been huge in this series as the home team is 6-1 SU & 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings. Cleveland is 3-11 ATS in road games off a home game this season. Indiana is 11-2 ATS in home games when playing 4 or less games in 10 days over the past two seasons. The Pacers come into this game on two days’ rest and will be ready to go. Bet Indiana Friday.
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