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Golden State vs. Utah Prediction & Point Spread: January 30th 2015

Golden State Warriors vs. Utah Jazz
Prediction: Golden State Warriors -9 (January 30th 2015)
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If you’ve been betting the Warriors blindly for the better part of the season, you’re a rich man. The odds makers can’t make this line high enough because Golden State just continues to cover. They shouldn’t have any trouble covering by double digits here, especially coming off of a loss.

Golden State lost to the Bulls in overtime on Tuesday. Any contentment or “boredom” of winning should now be erased and we’ll look for the classic blow out performance from this team vs. inferior competition. The Warriors have an advantage at the guard position wherever they go, but they have a big one tonight. The “splash brothers” are going to have monster games and run the Jazz right out of their own gym.

I mention the guard play because the Jazz backcourt was torched in their most recent loss to the Clippers. Utah has now lost 7 of 10 overall and this loss would be 3 in a row. Salt Lake City has been thought of for so many years as a tough place to go on the road but Utah is just 8-14 at home this season. Golden State has beaten the Jazz 6 straight times and with a red hot Klay Thompson (37.7ppg last 3) they’ll blow them out again tonight. Take the Warriors.

Sacramento Kings vs. Cleveland Cavaliers Point Spread & Prediction: January 30th 2015

SACRAMENTO VS. CLEVELAND POINT SPREAD PICKSacramento Kings vs. Cleveland Cavaliers
Prediction: Sacramento +8 point spread (January 30th 2015)
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The Cleveland Cavaliers are way overvalued right now due to winning nine straight while going 8-1 ATS in the process. The Sacramento Kings are undervalued due to having lost seven straight coming in. This has created the perfect storm and a ton of line value for us to back the Kings as 8-point road underdogs tonight.

Cleveland will be without Lebron James tonight as he misses a second straight game with a knee injury. The Cavaliers are just 2-8 without James this season. Yes, they did beat the Blazers 99-94 at home last time out without James, but Kyrie Irving needed a career-high 55 points to get it done. He’s not about to put up another performance like that tonight.

The Kings have lost seven in a row coming in, which is concerning, but they’ve also played a gauntlet of a schedule during this stretch. They have played six teams that would be in the playoffs if the season ended today, including the Mavericks, Clippers, Blazers, Warriors and Raptors. Four of their seven losses came by single-digits, so they have been competitive.

The Kings have won four of their last five meetings with the Cavaliers, including a 103-84 home victory in their first meeting of 2014-15. Sacramento is 6-1 ATS in its last seven trips to Cleveland. The underdog is 10-3-1 ATS in the last 14 meetings in this series. Bet the Kings Friday.

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Rockets vs. Celtics NBA Point Spread & Prediction from Jimmy Boyd: January 30th 2015

ROCKETS VS. CELTICS POINT SPREADHouston Rockets vs. Boston Celtics
NBA Prediction: Houston -6.5 (January 30th 2015)
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I think we are getting some solid value here with the Rockets at the current line. Houston comes in having won 3 straight and are coming off a big home win over the Mavericks. Most importantly, the Rockets have been just as good on the road (16-7) as they have at home (16-7).

The Celtics had covered 5 straight prior to losing 98-110 at Minnesota in the last game of a 6-game road trip. With just 1-day off, I look for the Celtics to struggle to find the energy needed to keep up with the Rockets up-termpo attack. It’s also worth noting that in Boston’s last 5 home games, they are 1-4 with all 4 losses coming by at least 9 points.

The Celtics lost by 14 at Houston (90-104) earlier this season and are just 4-13 ATS over the last 2 seasons at home when revenging a loss of 10 or more points. Boston is also a mere 8-20 ATS in their last 28 after covering 3 of their last 4 and 2-11 ATS in their last 13 home games after allowing 110+ points in their last game.

Adding to this is a strong system. Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points 42+ games into the season, who are an explosive offensive team (102+ ppg) against an average offensive team (98-102 ppg) are 81-42 ATS since 1996. That’s a 66% system in favor of the Rockets. Take Houston!

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Chicago Bulls vs. Phoenix Suns Point Spread & Prediction: January 30th 2015

BULLS VS. SUNS POINT SPREADChicago Bulls vs. Phoenix Suns
Prediction: Phoenix -5 point spread (January 30th 2015)
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I like Phoenix to pull away in this game and to win by double digits. The situation clearly favors them tonight. The Bulls are playing their 3rd road game in 4 nights. After having to come from behind to beat Golden State in overtime on Tuesday, they had to rally last night only to lose into double overtime vs. the Lakers. Rose has now played 40+ minutes in his last 2 games and I think that his legs will be tired tonight as he has been limited in minutes played for the most part this season. Also Noah played 42 minutes and he has been out with an injury and I have to question his endurance as well.

For Phoenix, they just beat Washington easily on Wednesday night when the Wizards were playing on a back-to-back. They won by 8 points but were up 17 points at the half and played some reserves in the 4th quarter.

The Suns are averaging 110 ppg over their last 5 games. They are shooting 47% from the floor, compared to the Bulls only shooting 43% from the floor over their last 5 games. I do no think that the Bulls will top 100 points in this game and I see the Suns pushing the pace, getting out in transition and putting up 108 points or better, which is their average at home.

This is more of a play against the Bulls than anything else. I feel like them coming off back-to-back overtime games and playing their 3rd road game in 4 nights is a lot to ask of them, especially considering the minutes that Rose and Noah played last night. Phoenix is a team that can get out and run and I think they will keep the fresh legs on the floor tonight and should be able to pull away and cover this spread with ease.

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Bulls vs. Lakers Betting Trends & Point Spread: January 29th 2015

BULLS VS LAKERS POINT SPREADChicago Bulls vs. Los Angeles Lakers
Point Spread: Chicago -9 Over/Under 194 (January 29th 2015)

ATS Trends:
Lakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. Lakers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Lakers are 1-5-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win. Lakers are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest. Lakers are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. loss. Bulls are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 road games. Bulls are 18-37-1 ATS in their last 56 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Bulls are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games playing on 1 days rest. Bulls are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win. Bulls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.

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Over/Under Trends:
Under is 10-1-1 in Lakers last 12 games following a S.U. loss. Under is 7-1 in Lakers last 8 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Under is 6-1 in Lakers last 7 home games. Under is 5-1 in Lakers last 6 vs. Eastern Conference. Under is 16-5 in Lakers last 21 games playing on 1 days rest. Under is 7-1 in Bulls last 8 vs. a team with a losing S.U. record. Under is 4-1 in Bulls last 5 overall. Over is 8-2 in Bulls last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Under is 6-2 in Bulls last 8 vs. NBA Pacific. Under is 5-2 in Bulls last 7 road games.

Head-to-Head Trends:
Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Los Angeles. Under is 19-7 in the last 26 meetings. Home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Underdog is 16-7 ATS in the last 23 meetings.

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Nuggets vs. Grizzlies Betting Trends & Point Spread: January 29th 2015

DENVER VS. MEMPHIS POINT SPREADDenver Nuggets vs. Memphis Grizzlies
Point Spread: Memphis -10 Over/Under 197 (January 29th 2015)

ATS Trends:
Grizzlies are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record. Grizzlies are 5-2-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall. Grizzlies are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Grizzlies are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 Thursday games. Grizzlies are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 vs. NBA Northwest. Nuggets are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win. Nuggets are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Nuggets are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Southwest. Nuggets are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Nuggets are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 0 days rest.

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Over/Under Trends:
Under is 3-0-1 in Grizzlies last 4 games following a S.U. win. Under is 4-0 in Grizzlies last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Under is 4-0 in Grizzlies last 4 home games. Under is 7-2 in Grizzlies last 9 vs. a team with a losing S.U. record. Over is 3-1-1 in Grizzlies last 5 vs. Western Conference. Under is 5-0 in Nuggets last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Under is 8-0 in Nuggets last 8 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Under is 6-1 in Nuggets last 7 Thursday games. Under is 9-2-1 in Nuggets last 12 games following a ATS win. Under is 14-4-1 in Nuggets last 19 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.

Head-to-Head Trends:
Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings. Home team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

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Knicks vs. Pacers Betting Pick & Point Spread: January 29th 2015

NEW YORK VS. INDIANA POINT SPREADNew York Knicks vs. Indiana Pacers
Point Spread: Indiana -6.5 Over/Under 187 (January 29th 2015)

ATS Trends:
Pacers are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 1 days rest. Pacers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. loss. Pacers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 vs. Eastern Conference. Pacers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Pacers are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Knicks are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Knicks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Knicks are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Knicks are 17-8 ATS in their last 25 Thursday games. Knicks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day.

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Over/Under Trends:
Over is 7-1 in Pacers last 8 vs. NBA Atlantic. Over is 6-1 in Pacers last 7 games playing on 1 days rest. Over is 4-1 in Pacers last 5 overall. Over is 4-1 in Pacers last 5 home games. Under is 17-5 in Pacers last 22 Thursday games. Under is 5-1 in Knicks last 6 overall. Under is 5-1 in Knicks last 6 vs. a team with a losing S.U. record. Under is 4-1 in Knicks last 5 games following a S.U. win. Under is 4-1 in Knicks last 5 vs. NBA Central. Under is 7-2 in Knicks last 9 games following a ATS win.

Head-to-Head Trends:
Favorite is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Home team is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Knicks are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Knicks are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Indiana.

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Bucks vs. Magic Betting Pick & Point Spread: January 29th 2015

MILWAUKEE VS. ORLANDO POINT SPREADMilwaukee Bucks vs. Orlando Magic
Point Spread: Milwaukee -4 Over/Under 204 (January 29th 2015)

ATS Trends:
Magic are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. Magic are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference. Magic are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Magic are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Magic are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Central. Bucks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Bucks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Thursday games. Bucks are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 1 days rest. Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Bucks are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 road games.

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Over/Under Trends:
Over is 5-1-1 in Magic last 7 games following a S.U. loss. Under is 4-1 in Magic last 5 Thursday games. Over is 4-1 in Magic last 5 games following a ATS win. Over is 4-1 in Magic last 5 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Over is 26-11 in Magic last 37 games playing on 2 days rest. Under is 7-2 in Bucks last 9 road games. Under is 7-2 in Bucks last 9 games following a ATS win. Under is 16-5 in Bucks last 21 overall. Under is 5-2 in Bucks last 7 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Over is 11-5 in Bucks last 16 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

Head-to-Head Trends:
Home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Bucks are 3-9 ATS in the last 12 meetings. Underdog is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Bucks are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Orlando.

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New York Knicks vs. Indiana Pacers Betting Pick from Alex Smart: January 29th 2015

KNICKS VS. PACERS BETTING PICKNew York Knicks vs. Indiana Pacers
Betting Pick: Indiana Pacers -8 (January 29th 2015)
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The NY Knicks no matter how good or how bad they play seem to get to much respect from the lines-makers, because they play in the big apple, and still have a significant fan base which makes them a public team. This time around the lines just about right. I know the Knicks have covered 5 straight, but with a 9-37 SU record its obvious this is not a very good team. I know they beat OKC last time out 100-92, but their lack of consistency is a problem, and what’s also troubling is their use of their starting five which compiled more than 160 minutes of floor time in that game. In the past when this has happened the Knicks have failed to cover 4 of their L/5. Also when Melo had more than 30 points in a previous game that NY won SU and than go on the road in their next tilt, the Knicks are a cash dumping 0-6 ATS/ 1-5 SU losing by an average of 9.7 ppg.

Indiana is a side, that is getting little respect, but what most dont notice is their ability to play good defense and work hard consistently. Something that cant be said about the Knicks. Im one of these guys, that looks at the Knicks and sees the team as representing Carmelo Anthony’s super star talent , but not a team with alot of backbone. Melos almost always smiling, and gives good interviews and also makes highlight reels, thanks to his tremendous offensive talents. But lets face it ,he’s not tough, and more of GQ cover guy, type of hoops player. The team personifies his image. I know Im going to take flack, for this , but I guess I am entitled to my opinion. I know Indiana has lost 8 of their L/9 , but their not taking it sitting down as this statement by Guard George Hill indicates: “I’ve never been a part of being at the bottom, East or West, so I don’t want to start doing that now,” Hill told reporters. “We’ve got to figure out how to turn that around and it’s got to be ASAP.”The Knicks have lost four consecutive road games against Indiana and Im betting Indiana once again makes life very uncomfortable for the big city slackers in this one.

New Orleans Pelicans vs. Denver Nuggets Point Spread & Pick: January 28th 2015

DENVER VS. NEW ORLEANS BETTING SPREAD PICKNew Orleans Pelicans vs. Denver Nuggets
Prediction: Denver +6.5 (January 28th 2015)
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Ryan went 4-2 ATS with his SIX NCAAM 25* Top rated Titans Tuesday. he now is set to unload on his strongest play yet this month. His acclaimed research will detail all of the factors that you will dominate this game and get you a very easy win tonight. Just $35 for the works.

10* graded play on the Denver Nuggets as they take on the New Orleans Pelicans in NBA action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Denver will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a solid shot at getting a road win. Given this favorable projection I like making this a combination wager comprised of an 8* play using the line and a 2* play using the money line. This combination wager serves to maximize the total rated of return (ROI) based on the line and probabilities for the play. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 42-15 ATS mark good for 74% winners since 1996. Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) in a game involving two average teams posting scoring differentials of +/- 3 PPG and after 42 or more games have been played, and after two straight losses by 6 points or less. Denver has lost seven straight games, but have the lost the last three by a combined total of only seven points. In fact, they covered the last two games. Pelicans have won four straight, but three of them were against the weakest teams in the league in Minnesota, Philadelphia, and the Lakers. Losing streak ends tonight for Denver.