Washington Wizards vs. Cleveland Cavaliers
Betting Prediction: Washington +9.5 points (December 1st 2015)
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Scott “The Bulldog” Rickenbach NBA Free Pick *1* on Washington +9.5 @ Cleveland @ 7:05 PM ET Tuesday – The Wizards lost by only five points here last April when they most recently met the Cavs in Cleveland. However, their meeting prior to that was in Washington in February and the Wizards were thoroughly embarrassed on their home floor with a final margin of 38 points in the defeat. A truly epic home loss. The Wizards haven’t forgotten that and will certainly be highly motivated for facing LeBron James and Company Tuesday in Cleveland. The Wizards are off of a tight two point home loss to Toronto in a low-scoring game Saturday. Washington has gone 14-9 ATS the past two seasons when they are off of a game where they allowed 85 points or less. The Cavaliers are only 5-10 ATS as a favorite this season. The Cavs are known for often playing down to the level of their competition and they’ve gone 2-5 ATS this season in games against teams with a losing record. Even though they are rested here, Cleveland is actually 0-3 ATS this season when playing with two days rest. Up next the Wizards have a home date with the 2-14 Lakers tomorrow night in Washington so the Wizards certainly won’t get caught looking ahead here. That means a complete and focused effort from the dangerous road dog tonight and that should keep them well within the generous points being offered here. *1* Free Pick on Washington plus the big points Tuesday.
Houston Rockets vs. Detroit Pistons
NBA Betting Prediction: Pistons -4 points (November 30th 2015)
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I’m not convinced the Rockets have figured things out. Houston comes in off back-to-back wins after losing 7 of 8, but were fortunate to win both. They had to hold on to beat the 76ers 116-114 at home (Philadelphia hasn’t won a game) and had to overcome a 14-point 4th quarter deficit in yesterday’s 116-11 overtime win at New York. Houston doesn’t have a deep team and all 5 starters playing at least 30 minutes last night, with Harden and Ariza both going over 40 minutes. I just don’t see the energy being there in the 2nd game of a back-to-back road set and 3rd in 4 days overall. Detroit is just 5-8 in their last 13, but 10 of the 13 came on the road. During this stretch they beat both the Cavs and Heat at home and lost by just 2-points to the Wizards. Give me the Pistons -4!
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Denver Nuggets vs. Milwaukee Bucks
NBA Betting Prediction: Nuggets +4 (November 30th 2015)
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I have a NBA 10 Star Solid Gold Total Dominator going tonight. I have hit 60% of my NBA Totals going all the way back to last season. $20 gets you this easy winner. Denver has an overall record of 6-11 and a road record of 3-5. The Nuggets currently have a point differential of -5.9 as they are averaging 97.8 points per game while giving up 103.7 per contest. Milwaukee has an overall record of 6-11 and a home record of 4-4. They are averaging 96.9 points per game and surrendering 105, good for a point differential of -8.1. Denver averages 97.8 points per contest this season which ranks them 22nd in the NBA. Their shooting percentage is 43% as a team which has them ranked 22nd. They average 52.7 rebounds per game and 21.4 assists per game which ranks them 17th and 17th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 21st with 15.6 per game. The Nuggets allow 103.7 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 22nd in the league. They also allow a 46% shooting percentage and a 39% average from behind the arc ranking them 24th and 28th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 51.9 rebounds a game which ranks 12th and they give up 24.2 assists per contest which puts them in 28th place in the league. They force 15.5 turnovers per game which ranks them 14th in the league. Milwaukee averages 97.9 points per game this year which ranks them 21st in the league. Their average scoring margin is -8.2 and their shooting percentage is 45% as a team which has them sitting in the 8th spot in the league. They average 45.3 rebounds per game and 23.1 assists per contest which ranks them 30th and 7th respectively. In the turnover department the Bucks rank 22nd with 15.7 per game. The Bucks allow 106.1 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 27th in the league. They also allow a 47% shooting percentage and a 37% average from behind the arc ranking them 28th and 25th in those defensive statistics. Opponents average 53.2 rebounds a game which ranks 20th and they give up 23.5 assists per contest which puts them in 23rd place in the league.
San Antonio Spurs vs. Chicago Bulls
NBA Betting Pick: Spurs -3.5 points (November 30th 2015)
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The San Antonio Spurs are off five consecutive wins and have covered the spread in four of those games. They’re 10-2 ATS in their last 12 vs. Eastern Conference and I like their chances of picking up a big win when visiting the Chicago Bulls Monday night. The Bulls are back home after a three-game road-trip which included stops at Golden State (L), Portland (W) and Indiana (L). They’re 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games following a road trip of seven or more days and 1-4 ATS in their last five games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The Spurs have allowed an average of just 83.4 points over their current winning streak and did not allow any Atlanta starter to score more than 10 points in Saturday’s 108-88 win as the Hawks were held to 6-of-26 shooting from 3-point range. I think they’ll stay focused on defense tonight and then I don’t see the Bulls match them right now.
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Utah Jazz vs. Washington Wizards
NBA Betting Prediction: Clippers -5 (November 25th 2015)
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The Clippers did exactly as we knew they would last night for all SportsAtari backers. Biggest NBA wager so far went through without a problem.Utah is treading water and losing steam for a team that is supposed to pride themselves on defense that simply isn’t showing up in their last 2 games. LA got a much needed win with everyone contributing and the team should be able to carry the momentum forward at home tonight. The minutes were distributed well last night and the way that the Clippers played showed us that they have enough left in the tank to continue making the statement that this team is back in the mix and ready to crush their opponents. Take the Clippers.
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Washington Wizards vs. Charlotte Hornets
NBA Betting Pick: Hornets -2.5 (November 25th 2015)
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I’m recommending a play on the Charlotte Hornets on Wednesday. The Washington Wizards took one on the chin last night, losing by 17 points to an Indiana team that was red-hot from distance. The Pacers nailed 19 of 26 3-pointers. Sometimes teams bounce right back from a tough loss, but the Wizards have been horrible on defense this season, ranked 29th defending the trey and 27th in defensive FG percentage, overall. The Wizards welcomed the return of Nene last night, but the team has struggled in tonight’s spot, covering just two of their last 11 in the second of back-to-back nights. Charlotte has won three straight and eight of their last 11, while producing an 8-4-1 ATS mark in their last 13 games. They’re averaging 104.6 ppg on the season, which means they aren’t the team Washington’s struggling defense will want to face without rest. Charlotte remains a tad undervalued in my opinion and I’m recommending a play on the Hornets minus the points. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
Los Angeles Lakers vs. Golden State Warriors
Betting Pick: Lakers +17.5 points (November 24th 2015)
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The Golden State Warriors are trying to become the first team in NBA history to open a season 16-0. They are getting all the headlines right now because of it. With that kind of attention from the national media, the Warriors are heavily overvalued as 17.5-point favorites against the Lakers tonight. The Lakers haven’t exactly been world beaters, but they’ve only lost by more than 14 points twice this season. They played the Warriors tough in their final two meetings last year, winning 115-105 as 10-point home dogs, and losing 105-108 as 18-point road dogs. The Lakers are 27-13 ATS in road games after allowing 100 points or more in two straight games over the last three seasons. The Warriors are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Take Los Angeles.
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Golden State Warriors vs. Los Angeles Clippers
Betting Prediction: Clippers +7.5 (November 19th 2015)
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The Golden State Warriors are way overvalued right now due to their 12-0 start. They needed overtime at home to beat the Nets as 16.5-point favorites two games back, and they barely beat the Raptors 115-110 as 9.5-point favorites last time out at home. Now they are being asked to lay 7.5 points on the road to the Clippers, which is too much. This line is also inflated due to Chris Paul and J.J. Redick likely being out for the Clippers. But they beat a good Pistons team 101-96 at home behind 37 points from Jamal Crawford without them. Now they’ve had four days off in between games to prepare for Golden State and life without Paul and Redick. I think the Blake Griffin and company have enough to stay within 7.5 points here, possibly pulling off the upset. The Clippers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games when playing on 3 or more days rest. Take Los Angeles.
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Toronto Raptors vs. Utah Jazz
Betting Pick: Jazz -4 (November 18th 2015)
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Utah is just 5-5 after their first 10 games, but a big reason for their mediocre start is they have played 8 of their first 10 on the road. I look for the Jazz to come out strong at home against a tired Raptors team that is not only playing on no rest, but in a prime letdown spot off a huge game last night against the Warriors. Toronto has also not been playing well of late. The Raptors have lost 5 of their last 7 and have allowed 100+ points in 4 of their last 4. Utah plays exceptional defense and are allowing just 91.8 ppg. They should be able to take advantage of Toronto’s lack of energy on defense and win here comfortably. Give me the Jazz -4!
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Dallas Mavericks vs. Boston Celtics
NBA Betting Pick: Celtics -4.5 points (November 18th 2015)
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The Boston Celtics are one of the most underrated teams in the NBA this season. They were the second-best team in the NBA preseason in terms of overall efficiency, and that has carried over into the regular season. The Celtics are 6-4 on the year thanks to a scrappy defense that ranks 3rd in the NBA in efficiency, giving up just 94.2 points per 100 possessions.
The Celtics have really been playing well here of late. They are 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall with their only loss coming at home against Indiana on the 2nd of a back-to-back. They beat Washington by 20 at home, Milwaukee by 16 on the road, Atlanta by 13 at home, Oklahoma City by 15 on the road, and Houston by 16 on the road during this stretch. So, all five of their wins came by 13 points or more.
The Dallas Mavericks are also playing well, having won four straight coming into this one. But this is a pretty tired team right now as the Mavericks will be playing their 7th game in 11 days. They were fortunate to escape Philadelphia with a 92-86 road win as 8.5-point favorites last time out, but they won’t be so fortunate here against these red-hot Celtics.
The Mavericks are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 road games. Dallas is 0-8 ATS in its last eight vs. Eastern Conference opponents. The Mavericks are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games following a win. Dallas is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 vs. a team with a winning record. The Celtics are 6-0 ATS in their last six home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Boston is 18-7-1 ATS in its last 26 vs. Western Conference foes. Boston is 36-17 ATS in its last 53 games following a win. Bet the Celtics Wednesday.