Free Pick: Toronto Raptors -4.0 (-110)
Thu April 24 ‘08 7:30p - Click Here for NBA Betting Odds
The Toronto Raptors showed a lot of heart after losing Game 1 and falling behind by 18 points in Game 2, coming back to have a chance to win on a last-second shot. They should crack the win column at home tonight to bring this series to 2-1.

The Raptors have been a much better team at home this season anyway, as they average 102.1 points per game north of the border while allowing just 94.8 points. That average winning margin of +7.3 would be more than enough to cover this modest spread. Also, the Raptors won handily the last time Orlando came to visit them 127-110, also as four-point favorites like they are tonight. In fact, the Raptors are 7-1 against the spread in the last eight meetings with the Magic in Toronto, and 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings overall.

Granted, Orlando is one of the better road teams in the league, and they do average 104.4 points away from home. However, they do not play much defense on the road allowing 99.8 points per, and as mentioned they have not had as much success in Toronto as they have had in their other NBA travels. Also, it would be only natural for the Magic to relax here with a 2-0 series lead, especially since they are the higher seed.

Thus, look for Toronto to build on that strong second half in Orlando in Game 2 and come out of here with a handy win tonight.

NBA Free Pick: Raptors -4 - Click Here to Buy All of LT Profits Expert NBA Picks for Today

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NBA Basketball Playoff Picks: Phoenix Suns @ San Antonio Spurs u192.0 (-110)
Tue Apr 22 ‘08 9:30p - Click Here for NBA Basketball Playoff Odds
What may have been forgotten in the Game 1 “Instant Classic” double overtime 117-115 San Antonio Spurs win over the Phoenix Suns in this series is the fact that the game was well Under, at 186 points, at the end of regulation.

Unders are nothing new for the Spurs, as their home games have still averaged just a combined 186.5 points this year even including Game 1. The team knows better than any other that defense wins championships, as they won the NBA title last season with their playoff games averaging only 187.4 points. In fact, the Spurs’ last 72 home playoff games overall have averaged just 183.3 points, with the Under going 40-32, 55.6 percent in those games.

Now the Suns are usually allergic to defense, although they have gotten somewhat better lately after Shaq arrived. Still, the Spurs are probably the only team that has been able to slow them down consistently, as the Under is 9-4 in the last 13 head-to-head meetings between these clubs with the run-and-gun Suns averaging just 95.5 points in those encounters.

We look for a similar pace as in Game 1 here, so hopefully, there won’t be any more overtimes blowing up a safe Under.

NBA Free Pick: Suns, Spurs Under 192 - Click Here to Buy LT Profits Expert NBA Picks

Free NBA Pick: Utah Jazz +1.0 (-110)
Mon Apr 21 ‘08 9:30p - Click Here for NBA Odds
The Utah Jazz showed their superiority over the Yao-less Houston Rockets by winning here in Houston in Game 1, and even with the Rockets in desperation mode, we look for Utah to take a stranglehold of this series tonight.

The major knock against the Jazz coming into this series was that they were 17-24 straight up on the road during the regular season. However, they did close out the season well, going 7-1 against the spread in the last eight regular season games with the only loss coming in the season finale, in a game where a “tank” may have been in order to avoid the San Antonio Spurs in the first round.

This streak included an outright road win at New Orleans and a road cover at Dallas, so they were certainly playing much better away from home prior to winning Game 1 here. Perhaps most importantly, the Jazz are now 8-1 ATS in the last nine head-to-head meetings with the Rockets, including a perfect 4-0 ATS in Houston!

Now the Rockets have underperformed greatly in the playoffs in recent years, and it is commonly known that their current best player with Yao Ming out, Tracy McGrady, has never advanced past the first round of the playoffs. Also, Yao is not the only starter out for the Rockets now, as Rafer Alston will sit out again in Game 2 with a strained hamstring.

The absences of both Alston and Ming were felt in Game 1, as Alston’s replacement Bobby Jackson hit on just three field goals in 15 attempts, and the Jazz scored 50 points in the paint that Yao normally occupies. Don’t expect too much to change in Game 2 as the Jazz build a 2-0 series lead. Coutesy of LT Profits

NBA Free Pick: Jazz +1 - Click Here for More Free NBA Basketball Picks

Free NBA Betting Pick: Toronto Raptors @ Orlando Magic u197.0 (-110)
Sun April 20 ‘08 12:30p - Click Here for NBA Betting Odds
Now, the Orlando Magic and the Toronto Raptors both averaged over 100 points per game this season, so the knee-jerk reaction would be to look for the Over here. However, the more recent play of both teams suggests otherwise.The Magic closed the year by going Under in eight of their last nine games. The offense still performed at a high level during this streak averaging 103.9 points, but Orlando clamped down defensively, allowing just 91.9 points per game. Moreover, they held five of those nine opponents under 90 points! As if that is not enough, the Magic also held these Raptors to 87 points when these teams last met last month.

As for Toronto, the Under is 6-2 in their last eight road games, with their offense putting up just an average of 94.6 points in those games. In fact, the Raptors scoring average dipped below 100 on the road for the whole season, as they averaged 98.2 points on the NBA highways as opposed to 102.1 points back in Canada.

Finally, do not forget that these are two young teams with little playoff experience, so some first game jitters are to be expected.

NBA Free Pick: Raptors, Magic Under 197

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Free NBA Picks: Washington Wizards @ Cleveland Cavaliers u188.0 (-110)
Sat Apr 19 ‘08 12:30p - Click Here for NBA Betting Odds
The Cleveland Cavaliers and Washington Wizards went Over in three of their four regular season meetings this season, but the playoffs are a totally different a animal.

The Cavaliers learned the value of defense in last year’s playoffs, and the experience they gained in their deep run to the NBA Finals should serve them well here. In fact, all Cleveland playoff games last season averaged just a combined 175.5 points, with the Under going 13-7. Also, the Cavaliers enter these plays on a six-game Under streak, with the Under going 8-2 in their last 10 games overall with an average combined score in those contests of 183.3 points, nearly five points less than this posted total.

Now the Wizards obviously prefer an up-tempo style, but like they say, “Defense wins championships,” and good defenses usually stop good offenses at this time of year. Also, let us not forget that these teams met in the playoffs each of the last two years, and in both cases the teams played conservatively in Game 1, producing a combined 179 last season and 183 points the year before.

We look for the Cavaliers to slow the Wizards down here again, resulting in another Under.

NBA Free Pick: Wizards, Cavaliers Under 188 - Courtesy of LT Profits: Click Here for Expert NBA Picks

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Free NBA Pick: Minnesota Timberwolves +7.0 (-110)
Tue Apr 15 ‘08 7:35p - Click Here for NBA Odds
This is actually a fairly large spread for what amounts to an exhibition game between the Detroit Pistons and the Minnesota Timberwolves tonight.

The Pistons are locked in to the two seed in the East, and if they intend to make a statement, it will come in the season finale tomorrow vs. a Cleveland Cavaliers team that they could meet up with again down the road. Thus, expect limited minutes from the Detroit starters vs. the also-ran Timberwolves here, and do not be too shocked to see one or two of them in street clothes. Yes, the Pistons have won two straight, but again, that came vs. possible playoff opponents Washington and Toronto. If Detroit ever wanted tom take a night off before the post-season, tonight would be the time.

The Timberwolves have continued to play hard, and they have even won two straight games on the road including a victory vs. another indifferent playoff team, the Orlando Magic. It is also worth noting that Minnesota covered the only other meeting between these clubs this season, losing just 94-90 in the Twin Cities as seven-point underdogs.

We look for the Timberwolves starters to give the Pistons reserves all that they can handle here. - Courtesy of LT Profits

NBA Free Pick: Timberwolves +7 - Click Here for More NBA Basketball Picks

Free NBA Pick: New Orleans Hornets -15.0
Tue Apr 15 ‘08 8:05p - Click Here for NBA Odds

The New Orleans Hornets have been slumping at the worst possible time, as they continue to jostle for the No.1 seed in the west with the regular season coming to an end. Im predicting their struggles come to an abrupt halt tonight against a visiting LA Clippers team that has lost 24 of their L/28 games, including 5 losses in a row. The Clippers during their latest losing skid have allowed 112 points per game, while getting out scored by an average of 18 points per game. With the Hornets very much needing a big performance tonight, I expect they will come out with all cylinders firing , in an effort to take this contest convincingly, in give themselves some much needed momentum heading into the playoffs. Note: New Orleans has won all 3 meetings SU/aTS in this series this season, by an average of 14 PPG, and tonight nothing changes, as Im predicting an even bigger margin of victory. Final notes & Key Trends: Clippers are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings . Play on New Orleans in a romp

Free NBA Pick: Sacramento Kings +4.5
Mon Apr 14 ‘08 10:05p - Click Here for NBA Odds
Sacramento continues to play stellar basketball down the stretch despite a serious run of injuries, pulling off the outright upset win over New Orleans yesterday. The Kings have now won six of their last eight games overall, and eight of their last ten at Arco Arena. They’ve earned wins over playoff bound squads like the Nuggets, Warriors, Lakers, Rockets and Hornets during that span. Head coach Reggie Theus: “We’re mucking it up. You can’t do anything but smile about it. We haven’t given up. Our effort (has been) phenomenal.” With Ron Artest back in the lineup and Kevin Martin potentially healthy enough to return tonight, don’t expect the Kings to lay down here against San Antonio. 

The Spurs got blown out against the Lakers yesterday, and there’s little reason to expect San Antonio to bounce back with a stellar showing here on the second night of back-2-backs. The Spurs are just 5-12 ATS playing on the second night of back-2-backs this year. They are in the midst of a 3-7 ATS slide on the highway, and have lost three of their last five overall. Playing without leading scorer Manu Ginobili, the Spurs offense has been nothing short of atrocious. Tim Duncan: “We haven’t played well in about three, four, five games now. We’ve just have got to find a way to make some shots.” Head coach Greg Popovich: “We’re better off to be a lower seed with a healthy Manu than a higher seed without a healthy Manu. Come playoff time, we’ll have as good a chance as anybody to do well.” Playoff time doesn’t begin tonight. Take the Kings

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