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Archive for the ‘NCAA Basketball Picks’ Category

Tennessee vs. NC State Basketball Pick from Jimmy Adams: December 17th 2014

Tennessee vs. NC State
College Basketball Pick: NC State -4.5 (December 17th 2014)
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This is a nice bounce back spot for North Carolina State as they’re coming off of a terrible loss to Wofford on Sunday. The Wolf Pack now have a record of 8-2, and no doubt will be looking to step up their play tonight as they welcome in the Volunteers. Trevor Lacey, Ralston Turner, and Anthony Barber all average double figures for NC State. They’re getting the job done on both ends of the floor. This team can put the ball in the basket, and plays solid defense, especially in the paint. The Wolf Pack are a great rebounding team and I expect this to be a shutdown defense in front of the home crowd tonight, especially with the way they’ve been playing.

As much as it’s a bounce back situation for NCST, this is also a letdown spot for Tennessee. The Volunteers are coming off of a huge home victory over 15th ranked Butler Sunday. The high from that win no doubt has regressed and they now must go into a somewhat hostile atmosphere and try and cover as a small underdog. Tenn does a good job protecting the ball. They often have a hard time scoring for long stretches and are unproven on the road. Take North Carolina State.

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Georgia Southern vs. South Florida Basketball Pick: December 15th 2014

Georgia Southern vs. South Florida
College Basketball Pick: Georgia Southern +8.5 (December 15th 2014)
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We have an inflated line here as Georgia Southern heads to take on South Florida tonight. USF has lost 3 of 5 and will have their hands full again with this stingy Eagles team. The Bulls do everything average. They’re an alright scoring team, can mildly rebound, and every once in a while force a couple of turnovers. Nothing in particular stands out when you watch them. South Florida also has essentially no home court advantage, as the residents always seem to have better things to do. Georgia Southern won’t be intimidated by this venue at all, as they have already played in much more difficult places.

The Eagles are on the upswing, having won 4 of 5. They’re led by the talented Jelani Hewitt, who averages over 21 points per game and nearly 5 rebounds. Hewitt is a threat from everywhere on the court, and can be deadly from behind the arc when he’s found his groove. The Eagles are averaging an impressive 43 rebounds per game. They’re also getting the job done on the defensive side, pressuring the ball and forcing turnovers. From what I’ve seen from these two schools, Georgia Southern has every opportunity to win this game outright. Take the points.

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Denver vs. Stanford College Basketball Betting Pick: December 13th 2014

Denver vs. Stanford
College Basketball Pick: Stanford -13 (December 13th 2014)
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*3 Star Free Pick* The Denver Pioneers are a good team at home, but they rarely have much success at all on the road. Stanford has been a little bit disappointing so far this year, but the Cardinal are in a good position to win big here. Stanford has been off for almost two weeks since losing on the road to a bad DePaul team. There’s no doubt they’ll want to get the bad taste out of their mouths in this one. Denver struggles on the boards, and they aren’t very good defensively. Stanford should dominate on the inside and get a lot of open looks in this game. Denver has played three Top 100 teams on the road so far this year and in those games they have lost by 16, 21, and 26 points. Stanford is ready for this one, and I think the Cardinal run to a big win. Take Stanford.

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Middle Tennessee vs. Akron College Basketball Pick: December 13th 2014

Middle Tennessee vs. Akron
College Basketball Pick: Akron -7 (December 13th 2014)
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The Zips should have no problem cashing in a win by double-digits at home against Middle Tennessee. Akron’s only two losses this season have come against Miami on a neutral site and at Penn State. They are a perfect 4-0 at home and 49-7 at home since 2010-11. The Blue Raiders are just 1-3 SU and 1-3 ATS on the road this season and Akron will be out for revenge here after losing at Middle Tennessee 72-80 last year.

The big key here is that the Blue Raiders are way down this year. Middle Tennessee returned just one starter from last year in sophomore Reggie Upshaw, who just so happens to be the Blue Raiders leading scorer at a mere 9.5 ppg. Akron on the other hand has 4 starters back from last year and have 4 different players who are currently averaging over 10.0 ppg. This is a complete mismatch in terms of experience and talent and why I’m confident laying the 7 with the Zips at home.

Middle Tennessee is 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games when listed as an underdog, 4-13 ATS in their last 17 non-conference road games and 2-12 ATS in their last 14 road games following a SU win. These trends combine to form a 83% (34-7) system in favor of the Zips. Take Akron!

Iowa State vs. Iowa Basketball Prediction from Dave Price: December 12th 2014

Iowa State vs. Iowa
Betting Prediction: Iowa -5.5 (December 12th 2014)
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Iowa has the edge at home tonight. This is Iowa State’s first true road game of the season, and it comes in a hostile environment against an Iowa squad that will be seeking revenge. To make matters worse, the Cyclones will be without second-leading scorer Bryce Dejean-Jones, who has been suspended for the game. Iowa led by double digits late in the game in Ames, IA last season but gave the game away with poor free throw shooting down the stretch. The harsh memory of that collapse will have Iowa highly motivated. Home court has meant a lot in this series as the home team is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings with nine of the wins coming by seven points or more. Iowa is an impressive 41-24 ATS in lined home games under coach McCaffery, including 20-9 ATS in non-conference action. Lay the points.

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DePaul vs. George Washington Betting Pick from Dave Price: December 11th 2014

DePaul vs. George Washington
Betting Pick: GW -10 (December 11th 2014)
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DePaul is leaving the Chicago area for the first time this season, and I think it’s in trouble against a George Washington squad that can really defend. The Colonials are limiting opponents to just 58.0 ppg on 39.0 percent shooting. DePaul is 3-12 ATS the last three seasons versus teams that outscore the opposition by an average of 12.0 ppg or more on the season. It has lost these games by an average score of 80.8 to 64.6. In addition, you want to fade road underdogs or pickems that are off three straight double-digit wins if they average 76.0 ppg or more when they are up against a team that holds opponents to 63.0 ppg or less. Doing so has produced a 90-47 ATS mark since 1997. The Colonials are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games. Lay the points.

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Kansas vs. Georgetown Basketball Pick from Zack Cimini: December 10th 2014

KANSAS VS. GEORGETOWN BASKETBALL PICK DECEMBER 10TH 2014Kansas vs. Georgetown
College Baskeball Pick: Kansas +3 (December 10th 2014)
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The line here clearly is a distinction of Georgetown as a home team. DC is always a tough place to play. But I do not believe Georgetown has the depth to hang in for a full 40 minutes against Kansas. Thus far the team has done a fantastic job at executing on the defensive end and keeping teams below the 65 point range. They’re doing so with key upper classmen playing out of position. D’Vauntes Smith-Rivera is playing the point guard position with Markel Starks gone due to graduation. Before this season Smith-Rivera averaged just above 2 assists, now it’s at three. At guard is Jabril Trawick who has always been undersized but is more of a defensive ace on the floor and hustle guy offensively. Another troubling sign is Georgetown’s bigs have been foul prone in key games this season. Against Wisconsin, Florida, and Butler both Mikhael Hopkins and Joshua Smith have had to play a reduced role because of fouls. Hopkins fouled out in two of those games and Smith had four fouls in two of the three. Kansas may be missing Jabari Traylor but they still have the athleticism to disrupt Georgetown’s offensive sets and get their bigs into foul trouble. Georgetown is still settling in on their bench rotation which could disrupt small leads they may get in this game. Expect Kansas to find a way to keep this a last shot wins or loses game and grab the cover or win.

Columbia vs. Kentucky College Basketball Pick from Dave Price: December 10th 2014

Columbia vs. Kentucky
College Basketball Pick: Columbia +27 (December 10th 2014)
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This is a look-ahead spot for Kentucky, which has games with North Carolina, UCLA and Louisville on deck. The Wildcats check in off a 33-point home win over Eastern Kentucky, but they are 21-35 ATS following a blowout win of 20 points or more under coach Calipari. They’ve won in this situation but only by 14.9 points on average. The Wildcats are also a soft 40-52 ATS when laying double digits under coach Cal. Columbia, on the other hand, is on a 49-29 ATS run as a double-digit underdog and is 8-1 ATS when catching 10 points or more under coach Smith. Take the points.

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UMKC vs. Iowa State Basketball Pick from Jimmy Adams: December 9th 2014

UMKC vs. Iowa State
College Basketball Pick: Iowa State -23.5 (December 9th 2014)
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The UMKC Kangaroos find themselves in a bad spot coming into Ames tonight. They are completely outmanned, and have to deal with the wild crowd at Hilton Coliseum. UMKC has lost 5 of their last 6 games to a much lower level of competition. They try and push tempo, yet only have one player averaging double figures in points. They may want to rethink that strategy, as a fast paced game will be no match for the Cyclones. Defensively, the Kangaroos don’t stand a chance at stopping ISU.

Georges Niang leads Iowa St. at nearly 20 points per game. He’s found a nice surrounding cast that have the ability to create their own shots as well. They are a great shooting team and also play solid defense, bad news for a Kangaroo squad that has trouble putting the ball in the basket. The only thing that stands in our way in a potential let down spot for the Cyclones. They will be able to cover this game just going through the motions. Take Iowa St.

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UC Santa Barbara vs. SMU College Basketball Pick: December 8th 2014

UC Santa Barbara vs. SMU
College Basketball Pick: SMU -6.5 (December 8th 2014)
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Larry Brown has his SMU Mustangs off to a nice 5-3 start and their actually better than their record indicates. The Mustangs have played the 16th ranked schedule in the nation with 2 of their losses coming to teams ranked in the top 25. UCSB is far from a top 25 ranking, and they’ll have their hands full tonight on the road.

SMU is getting the job done on the offensive side of the court. Nic Moore, Yanick Moreira, and Ben Moore are all averaging double figures. Keith Frazier is right behind at nearly 10 points per game, so they’re doing a very good job of spreading the ball around. SMU is also more battle tested than many might think, as they’ve played the 16th toughest schedule in the nation. Don’t overlook that stat, as it gives them a huge advantage when an inferior opponent like UCSB comes into their arena.

Santa Barbara is far from chop liver. They too have played a difficult schedule and have a winning record. However, they haven’t won a game on the road all season and haven’t beaten a team of any significance either. Take SMU.