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Notre Dame vs. Kentucky NCAA Tournament Betting Prediction: March 28th 2015

NOTRE DAME VS. KENTUCKY NCAA PREDICTIONNotre Dame vs. Kentucky
NCAA Tournament Betting Prediction: Notre Dame +11 (March 28th 2015)
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After completely destroying West Virginia in their Sweet 16 matchup, there’s no doubt this line has been inflated in favor of the Wildcats. As hard as it is to go against Kentucky, the smart play here is to take the points with Notre Dame, who has now won 8 straight.

Unlike the Mountaineers, who rely almost exclusively on their press to generate offense, Notre Dame can score in the half-court and most importantly shoot the 3-ball. The Irish come in hitting 39.2% from behind the arc. They also have an offense that will force Kentucky’s bigs to play away from the basket, which is out of their comfort zone. Notre Dame is also a better defensive team than they get credit for.

Another factor here is that as big as this game is, it’s going to be extremely difficult for Kentucky to give Notre Dame their full respect after how easy they had it against West Virginia. I look for the Wildcats to come out a bit flat, which will allow Notre Dame to make a game of it early and gain the confidence needed to believe they can pull off the upset.

Kentucky is just 7-14 ATS this season after allowing 30 points or less in the 1st half of their last game and 8-18 ATS in their last 26 after holding their previous opponent to 33% or worse from the field. The Fighting Irish on the other hand is 11-1 ATS in their last 12 versus excellent teams that shoot 45% or better and allow 42% or worse. Take Notre Dame!

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Kent State vs. Northern Arizona CIT Point Spread & Pick: March 27th 2015

KENT STATE VS. NORTHERN ARIZONA CIT POINT SPREAD PICK MARCH 27TH 2015

Kent State vs. Northern Arizona
Point Spread: Northern Arizona -2 Over/Under 136 (March 27th 2015)
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ATS Trends:
Lumberjacks are 11-2-3 ATS in their last 16 games overall. Lumberjacks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Lumberjacks are 12-3-2 ATS in their last 17 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Lumberjacks are 3-1-2 ATS in their last 6 home games. Lumberjacks are 18-6-2 ATS in their last 26 games following a ATS win. Golden Flashes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Golden Flashes are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Golden Flashes are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Golden Flashes are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win. Golden Flashes are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.

Over/Under Trends:
Under is 4-1 in Lumberjacks last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Under is 12-4 in Lumberjacks last 16 home games. Under is 8-3 in Lumberjacks last 11 Friday games. Under is 10-4 in Lumberjacks last 14 home games following three or more consecutive road games. Under is 52-21 in Lumberjacks last 73 non-conference games. Under is 10-3 in Golden Flashes last 13 games following a S.U. win. Under is 13-5-1 in Golden Flashes last 19 overall. Under is 7-3 in Golden Flashes last 10 games following a ATS win. Over is 13-6 in Golden Flashes last 19 Friday games.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
No Trends

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Evansville vs. Louisiana Lafayette CIT Tournament Point Spread & Pick: March 26th 2015

EVANSVILLE VS. LOUISIANA LAFAYETTE POINT SPREADEvansville vs. Louisiana Lafayette
Point Spread: ULL -3 Over/Under 154 (March 26th 2015)
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ATS Trends:
Ragin’ Cajuns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win. Ragin’ Cajuns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Ragin’ Cajuns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win. Ragin’ Cajuns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Ragin’ Cajuns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games. Purple Aces are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. Purple Aces are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Purple Aces are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. Sun Belt. Purple Aces are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Purple Aces are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.

Over/Under Trends:
Under is 8-1 in Ragin’ Cajuns last 9 overall. Under is 8-1 in Ragin’ Cajuns last 9 games following a S.U. win. Under is 7-1 in Ragin’ Cajuns last 8 games following a ATS win. Under is 6-1 in Ragin’ Cajuns last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 4-1 in Ragin’ Cajuns last 5 non-conference games. Under is 5-1 in Purple Aces last 6 Thursday games. Over is 5-1 in Purple Aces last 6 games following a ATS win. Over is 4-1 in Purple Aces last 5 road games. Over is 4-1 in Purple Aces last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Over is 5-2 in Purple Aces last 7 games following a S.U. win.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
No Trends

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North Carolina vs. Wisconsin Tournament Pick from Dave Price: March 26th 2015

North Carolina vs. Wisconsin
Tournament Betting Pick: Wisconsin -6 (March 26th 2015)
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Wisconsin (33-3) hasn’t been as dominant as most would expect up to this point. It has failed to cover the spread in each of its first two games. It won 86-72 as 20.5-point favorites over Coastal Carolina while allowing 48.3% shooting. It won 72-65 over Oregon as 12.5-point favorites as Joseph Young went off for 30 points for the Ducks. Because the Badgers are 0-2 ATS in the tournament, I believe this line has been set lower than it should be as the oddsmakers have adjusted. UNC was nearly knocked out by Harvard in the first round in a 67-65 victory. The Tar Heels are expected to be without key big man Kennedy Meeks, who is nursing an ankle injury. Not having him against this big Wisconsin lineup would be a huge blow for the Tar Heels. The Badgers are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 non-conference games. Wisconsin is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 vs. ACC opponents. The Tar Heels are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Take Wisconsin.

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Michigan State vs. Oklahoma Tournament Betting Prediction: March 27th 2015

MICHIGAN STATE VS. OKLAHOMA TOURNAMENT PREDICTION MARCH 27TH 2015

Michigan State vs. Oklahoma
NCAA Tournament Betting Pick: Oklahoma +116 (March 27th 2015)
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Take the Oklahoma Sooners on the moneyline as your NCAA-B Tournament Sweet 16 free pick for Friday night. This pick falls into one of my NCAA-B systems and the Sooners should be favored in this game however public perception says that the Spartans are the better team so the books have adjusted the line accordingly. The Sooners play out of the toughest conference in the country while the Spartans play out of the 4th toughest conference according to the RPI ranks. Michigan State has played solid defensively so far and that is why they made it to the Sweet 16 however Virginia should have beat them by double digits is you watched the game and looked at the game recap. Virginia had 17 more shots than Michigan State but they shot just 29.8% from the field and went just 2-17 from beyond the arc. Virginia just had an off game offensively and that will not happen against this Sooners team that averaged 71.9 ppg this season and has time to prepare for the Spartans. The Sooners will dominate the boards like they have done over their last 5 games averaging 40.6 rpg compared to their opponents who are averaging just 32.8 rpg against them. Defensively the Sooners have allowed an average of just 63 ppg over their last 5 games which is good enough to beat any team. The Sooners are the better FT shooting team hitting 73.8% on the season compared to Michigan State who shot just 63% from the line and this is a huge advantage for the Sooners if the game is on the line. The Sooners also happened to play a pretty darn good Wisconsin Badgers team earlier in the season and they out-rebounded the Badgers but turned the ball over 21 times against a Badgers team that averaged just 7 turnovers per game this season. The Sooners would have won that game if it was not for so many turnovers as they trailed by just 1 point at the half against the best team in the Big Ten Conference and now they face the 3rd best team in the Big Ten. The Sooners are 15-6 SU in their last 21 games when playing a good defensive team like the Spartans who allow less than 64 ppg and I do not anticipate this game to be close Friday night. Look for this line to move to favor the Sooners before Friday so get your wagers in now. Play the Oklahoma Sooners with confidence Friday night. In Winning, Vernon Croy

Vanderbilt vs. Stanford Point Spread: NIT Tournament Pick: March 24th 2015

VANDERBILT VS. STANFORD NIT POINT SPREAD PREDICTIONVanderbilt Commodores vs. Stanford Cardinal
Point Spread: Stanford -4 Over/Under 146 (March 24th 2015)
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ATS Trends:
Cardinal are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games. Cardinal are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 Tuesday games. Cardinal are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Cardinal are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games overall. Cardinal are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. Southeastern. Commodores are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Commodores are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games. Commodores are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Commodores are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. Commodores are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall.

Over/Under Trends:
Under is 4-0 in Cardinal last 4 home games. Under is 8-2 in Cardinal last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Under is 9-3-1 in Cardinal last 13 overall. Over is 6-2-1 in Cardinal last 9 games following a S.U. win. Over is 6-2 in Cardinal last 8 games following a ATS win. Over is 4-1 in Commodores last 5 games following a ATS win. Over is 3-1-1 in Commodores last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Over is 5-2 in Commodores last 7 overall. Under is 12-5-2 in Commodores last 19 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 27-13-2 in Commodores last 42 road games.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
No Trends

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Miami vs. Richmond Point Spread: NIT Tournament Pick: March 24th 2015

MIAMI VS. RICHMOND POINT SPREAD PICK NIT TOURNAMENT

Miami vs. Richmond
Point Spread: Richmond -2 Over/Under 133 (March 24th 2015)
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ATS Trends:
Spiders are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Spiders are 10-3-2 ATS in their last 15 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Spiders are 10-26-3 ATS in their last 39 non-conference games. Spiders are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Tuesday games. Spiders are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. Atlantic Coast. Hurricanes are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. Atlantic 10. Hurricanes are 13-5-1 ATS in their last 19 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Hurricanes are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS win.

Over/Under Trends:
Over is 5-0 in Spiders last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Over is 7-1 in Spiders last 8 Tuesday games. Over is 4-1 in Spiders last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Over is 8-2 in Spiders last 10 home games. Over is 13-5 in Spiders last 18 overall. Under is 6-2-1 in Hurricanes last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 3-1-1 in Hurricanes last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Under is 13-5 in Hurricanes last 18 Tuesday games. Over is 5-2-1 in Hurricanes last 8 non-conference games. Under is 5-2 in Hurricanes last 7 games following a S.U. win.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
No Trends

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Gonzaga vs. UCLA NCAA Tournament Betting Prediction: March 27th 2015

GONZAGA VS. UCLA PREDICTION NCAA TOURNAMENT

Gonzaga vs. UCLA
NCAA Tournament Betting Prediction: UCLA +8.5 (March 27th 2015)
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No Cinderella this year in March Madness, but UCLA remains the highest seed in this tourney (#11) and Vegas oddsmakers know they are going to get a ton of action on the Zags here and have inflated this line to take advantage of that, and also the fact these are west coast teams which also attract attention at the counter in Vegas money-wise. Vegas opened with Gonzaga as a point favorite and the line has dropped to 8.5 as of Tuesday.

UCLA gave highly respected and highly touted Arizona team all they wanted in the PAC 12 Tourney, losing by 6 to one of the nations best teams. They beat a solid SMU team on a gift from the refers no doubt, but the fact remains they won and beat a damn good 4 loss team there and also they just flat out beat up UAB in the round 2 and did not spend and extraordinarily amount of energy to do so. Any Steve Alford coached team as we all know is going to be fundamentally sound and have good guards.

Gonzaga is a damn good team, I have no doubts about that at all, but the fact remains when they step up in class and have to play someone above the pay grade of a St. Marys they struggle, and their record against PAC 12 teams is not impressive going just 3-7-1 ATS their last 11 against PAC teams. In comparison to their round 1 game laying 17 points to North Dakota State, a game they won by 10 points, laying over 8 here against a team who has nothing to lose and is a well coached and battle tested team, I will take the points all day long. Nothing comes easy this time of the tourney.

UCLA and the points (+8.5) NIT is at 5-1 ATS and I have Owned this Tourney non stop for the last 10 years running. Also Sweet 16 Plays out Wednesday and Thursday and look for some serious winners upcoming.

Illinois State vs. Old Dominion Point Spread & Prediction: March 23rd 2015

Illinois State vs. Old Dominion
Prediction: Old Dominion -4 point spread (March 23rd 2015)
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Old Dominion is one of the four #1 seeds in the NIT and are 18-0 at home with a stifling defense allowing just 52.4 points per game. I kind of suspect the Illinois State win over Wisconsin-Green Bay at home last week was a little tainted. In the 10-point win the Redbirds had a 33-13 edge in free throw opportunities and were +21 at the charity stripe. They trailed 31-24 at the half before the parade of free throws in the 2nd half. But after watching non-athletic Northern Iowa last night against Louisville (disparity athletically a joke), I wonder how good the Missouri Valley really is (no offense to Wichita State). Illinois State beat Old Dominion earlier this year at home. But it was the game after ODU had just defeated LSU. The Redbirds started the game 9-0 and Old Dominion was a horrible 2-of-17 from beyond the arc. The last time Old Dominion lost a home game was last February (2014) to Louisiana Tech. But this year they beat LA Tech on their home floor by 19-points attaining their revenge. Old Dominion beat VCU, Richmond, and Georgia State on this floor this year. Illinois State ended their season a year ago losing at Siena by a dozen in the CBI tournament in their first post-season road game. ODU has two senior starters in Arledge and Ross that you can be sure want to remain perfect at home. ODU is 11-3 ATS in their last 14 non-conference games; 17-7 ATS in their last 24 home games; and have covered four straight home teams versus an opponent with a winning record. Illinois State 1-5 ATS recently after a straight-up win. Illinois State on the road allows 65.8 points per game on the road or more than 13 points higher than ODU yields at home.

Dayton vs. Oklahoma NCAA Tournament Pick from Dave Price: March 22nd 2015

Dayton vs. Oklahoma
NCAA Tournament Pick: Dayton +4.5 (March 22nd 2015)
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The Dayton Flyers (27-8) made a run to the Elite 8 last year in the NCAA Tournament despite starting from the First Four. They are at it again in 2015 thanks to the play of steady veterans Jordan Sibert and Dyshawn Pierre, who combined for 35 points in their 66-53 dismantling of Providence following their 56-55 win over Boise State in the First Four. Dayton played Boise State in its home gym, and it is playing the Round of 64 and the Round of 32 just 1.5 hours away from campus in Columbus, Ohio. That home-court advantage will serve the Flyers well in this one. The Flyers are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 non-conference road games. Dayton is 17-7 ATS in its last 24 neutral site games, including 5-1 ATS in its last six NCAA Tournament contests. Take Dayton.

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