NCAA Tournament Betting Picks: March 29th 2013
Michigan State vs. Duke
Prediction: Duke -2
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It’s no surprise to see the Blue Devils in the Sweet 16 as this team has lost one game all season with Ryan Kelly in the lineup. I’m a big believer in this team and the 2nd half dominance they showed over Creighton will carry over to their matchup against the Spartans. Not to take anything away from Michigan State, but this is a difficult matchup for the Spartans. Michigan State doesn’t defend the 3-point shot well and offensively could struggle with Duke’s interior defense making it hard for Nix and Payne to get easy looks. The Big Ten started to show they might not be all their made out to be, as Ohio State barely held on to beat Arizona and the Hoosier got rolled by Syracuse. Look for Duke to take control of this game in the second half and easily cover this small spread. BET THE BLUE DEVILS! -Steve Janus. Don’t miss out on our premium NCAA Tournament betting picks for March 29th 2013 at Touthouse.com

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Florida vs. Florida Gulf Coast
Prediction: Florida -13 -110 odds (March 29th 2013)
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Free College Basketball Prediction from Doc’s Sports: Take 880 Florida over Florida Gulf Coast (8 p.m., Friday, March 29) Sorry FGCU, but your glass slipper falls off Friday night! Look for the Gators to play some tough in-your-face defense against FGCU, and if the Gators slow down the Eagles I believe this game gets out of control early in the second half. Florida just too good to be dominated by these young Eagles, and the feel-good story of Florida Gulf Coast comes to an end again Friday night. Florida is 18-5 ATS in their last 23 NCAA Tournament games, and this streak continues Friday. There are some very heavy hitters out here in Vegas that are putting big money down on the Gators. That is the side we want to be on, and right now this looks like one of the few teams that might be able to challenge Louisville for the National Championship. Go with the Gators. Do not miss Doc’s Sports 10* NCAA Game on Friday night. Jump on board now with a veteran handicapper that has 42 years in the business.

LaSalle vs. Wichita State
Betting Prediction: Wichita State -4 -110 odds (March 28th 2013)
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Wichita State has too much inside the paint for La Salle, so we recommend laying the points with the Shockers in this game on Thursday night.

Wichita State has earned their way to the Sweet 16 with two impressive wins over Pittsburgh and Gonzaga. Both of those teams were ranked high in my power ratings so the Shockers get a lot of credit for those wins. Wichita State has played fantastic basketball since Ron Baker returned to the lineup. Baker missed time with injury, but his return to the court gives Wichita State more depth and more scoring punch. The Shockers should own the paint and the boards in this game against the 4-guard lineup of La Salle; the Explorers defense gives up 65% of their points from 2-point range.

La Salle is a team we actually like; we had a play and a lean on the Explorers in their first two tournament games. They were undervalued in those games compared to their opponents, but that is not the case tonight. La Salle had to win three games to get to the Sweet 16, and that is certainly commendable. But the opponents were weak, and La Salle is taking a major step-up in class here. They’ll need to be highly efficient from beyond the arc to stay competitive, but we just think their hot shooting will disappear and end their magical run tonight. Wichita State has too much inside the paint for La Salle, so we recommend laying the points with the Shockers in this game on Thursday night.

Iowa vs. Virginia
College Basketball Prediction: Virginia Cavaliers -4
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The Key: Iowa has covered the number in each of its last 8 games, but only one of these covers came in a true road game. I expect Iowa’s spread-beating streak to come to an end as it plays a true road game for the first time since Mar. 2. The Hawkeyes have been terrific at home this season, but they are only 2-8 in true road games. They’ve dropped 6 of their last 7 on the road with the lone win coming against lowly Penn State. These 6 defeats came by an average of 6.0 points. Virginia is one of the very best home teams in the country. It has won its last 20 at home by an average of 16.4 points. The Cavaliers are 15-6 ATS under coach Tony Bennett in home games against non-conference opponents. They have won these contests by an average score of 68.2 to 51.6. Lay the points.

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March Madness Betting Picks: March 22nd 2013
Prediction: Kansas -20.5
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UK comes into the Big Dance a #1 seed for the 3rd time in 4 years. the Jayhawks won and covered 10 of their L11, with post-season victories of 28, 15, and 16 points. McLemore (16.4 PPG) leads a starting unit that has four players averaging DDs as all five starters combine for 27 RPG. On offense, Kansas has it all…sharp-shooters, speed, size, and strength, shooting a remarkable 48% from the field. Jeff Withey has 129 blocks and his front court of 6’8″, 6’9″, and 7’0″ Big men are the #1 defensive team in the nation holding foes to just 36% shooting. W KY is 20-15 and is known for being a very methodical and low scoring team, averaging a mere 67.2 PPG. Their tallest starter is 6’4″ and overall, the Hilltoppers don’t shoot the “3″ particularly well at 32.4%. They can not and will not penetrate the paint on Kansas here, nor can they shoot the perimeter. UK will show the South’s other top-seeds (Georgetown, Florida, Michigan, and VCU) just who is boss here. Take Kansas. Thank you. -Joseph D’Amico

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New Mexico State vs. Saint Louis
March Madness Betting Prediction: Saint Louis -9.5 (March 21st 2013)
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St. Louis has won and covered 15 of their L16. They are a very well-balanced unit. Five players are either flirting with or posting DDs with Dwayne Evans leading the team in both scoring (13.1PPG) and rebounds (7.7 RPG). They play very methodically on offense forcing foes to adjust to their game. It is the Billikens “D” that truly stands out. They led the Atlantic 10 in both scoring defense and TO margin. They rank 19th , yielding a mere 58.1 PPG and allowing just 41.3% FGs. 6’11″ 240 lb Rob Loe and 6’9″ 240 lb Cody Ellis will play very physical against New Mexico State’s 7’5″ 355 lb, Sim Bhullar. The Center averages 10.2 PPG and 6.5 RPG . NM State won 5 straight but those wins were against Louisiana Tech, Texas Arlington twice, Idaho, and Texas State. The only solid team they had faced this season was back-to-back contests vs. New Mexico in December in which NM State lost and failed to cover both. Because of their 2 Big men, the Aggies can rebound. However, their overall offensive stats are 68 PPG, 32% 3-pointers, and 65.6% FTs. On “D” , they just give up tons of points and are very vulnerable vs. teams that can shoot from beyond the arc. The Billikens are 4-0 ATS their L4 non-Conference games, 6-1 ATS their L7 games played on neutral sites, and 20-6 ATS their L26 games played overall. Take St. Louis. Thank you. If you found this March Madness prediction on the New Mexico State vs. Louisville matchup useful, be sure to purchase a premium package from Joe today!

College Basketball Tournament Picks: March 21st 2013
Montana vs. Syracuse
Prediction: Montana +12.5
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After a PERFECT 5-0 SWEEP Wednesday, Matt is ready to get his college basketball tournament picks going and he does so with a MASSIVE Thursday card!

Thursday features many intriguing matchups including this one as Montana looks to take down Syracuse which would make it six straight years a 13 seed has defeated a 4 seed. We have seen Syracuse in this position before. As a number four seed back in 2005, the Orange lost to number 13 seed Vermont and if they are not careful, they could be a victim once again. The regular season ended horribly for Syracuse which lost four of its last five games and turn what was a very impressive season to one that was pretty average. But then the Orange gave their fans some life with wins over Seton Hall, Pittsburgh and Georgetown. Then after building a big lead over Louisville, they allowed a 27-3 run and the questions once again came out. Montana has responded very well after the loss of forward Mathias Ward who was lost for the season in February with a foot injury. He was the leading scorer at the time, averaging 14.8 ppg and after going down, the Grizzlies has to rely more on their backcourt and Will Cherry and Kareem Jamar have not disappointed as they account for 38 percent of the team’s scoring. Overall, the Grizzlies have a 6.1 ppg scoring margin and they have won six straight games so momentum is clearly on their side. Syracuse got a pretty bad draw as well as it has to head out to San Jose for its first set of games. The Orange could have some issues against the Grizzlies matching up with their great outside shooting. Montana meanwhile has a shorter trip and got a better than expected seed as head coach Wayne Tinkle said Montana’s close games with some of the top Mid-Major programs in the nation like South Dakota St. and Davidson, as well as their first game against Colorado St., helped the Grizzlies snag a higher seed. Montana is 16-4 ATS in its last 20 games following a conference win by three points or fewer while Syracuse is 8-17 ATS in its last 25 games following a loss by 15 or more points. A 13 seed has defeated a 4 seed in each of the last five years, including twice in 2008. While the outright upset is not out of the question, the generous amount of points here makes this a play on Montana. Play (737) Montana Grizzlies

New Mexico vs. Harvard
NCAA Tournament Prediction: Harvard +11 (March 21st 2013)
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I’m backing the Harvard Crimson as a double-digit underdog in the opening round of the 2013 NCAA Tournament. I believe they have what it takes to upset New Mexico here, but I’m just taking the points for some insurance in a game that will go right down to the wire.

Harvard has gone out West and played some very good teams tough this year. It won at California 67-62 as an 11-point underdog, and lost at St. Mary’s in the closing seconds 69-70 as a 12-point underdog. Both of those teams will be playing in the NCAA Tournament.

Those weren’t the Crimson’s only impressive showings on the road, either. They lost at UMass 64-67 as an 11-point underdog, won at Boston College 79-63 as a 4-point dog, lost at UConn 49-57 as a 9-point dog, and lost at Memphis 50-60 as a 13.5-point dog. As you can see, Harvard is certainly battle-tested heading into this one.

Harvard is 6-0 ATS in road games after allowing 65 points or less 2 straight games this season. The Crimson are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Harvard is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games vs. a team with a winning record. The Crimson are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games. Bet Harvard Thursday.

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NCAA Tournament Basketball Picks: March 22nd 2013
Albany vs. Duke
Prediction: Duke -17.5
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Free NCAA Tournament pick from Doc’s Sports. #824 Take Duke over Albany (Friday 12:15 pm CBS) The Blue Devils were knocked off in the Round of 64 last season and thus you can be sure that they will not take this game lightly on Friday. To be honest, this is just a completely different team with Ryan Kelly as they have only lost one time this season when he plays. Duke would have covered today’s posted number in three of the last four years winning those games by 42, 29, & 24 points respectively. The way mid-majors beat high seeds is by shooting it well from the three point line and I just do not believe that the Great Danes have that ability since Duke has outstanding guards. Albany scores just over 64 points per game and that is 250th in the country. Expect Duke to jump on them early and then cruise to a victory. Do not miss Doc’s Sports NCAA Tournament Card highlighted by action on all 4 days plus some key futures bets you cannot afford to miss. Get all of this action now and let 42 years of handicapping experience work for you.

VCU vs. Saint Louis
Point Spread: Saint Louis -3 Over/Under 135 (March 17th 2013)
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ATS Trends:
Billikens are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 Sunday games. Billikens are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Billikens are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games. Billikens are 19-5-2 ATS in their last 26 games following a ATS win. Billikens are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games following a S.U. win. Rams are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games overall. Rams are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 vs. Atlantic 10. Rams are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Rams are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.

Over/Under Trends:
Under is 4-1-1 in Billikens last 6 overall. Under is 4-1-1 in Billikens last 6 vs. Atlantic 10. Under is 3-1-1 in Billikens last 5 games following a ATS win. Under is 3-1-1 in Billikens last 5 games following a S.U. win. Over is 7-3 in Billikens last 10 Sunday games. Over is 4-0 in Rams last 4 games following a ATS win. Over is 5-0-1 in Rams last 6 Sunday games. Over is 7-2 in Rams last 9 overall. Over is 7-2 in Rams last 9 vs. Atlantic 10. Under is 6-2 in Rams last 8 neutral site games.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
No Trends

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