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Archive for the ‘NCAA Basketball Picks’ Category

Villanova vs. North Carolina Championship Game Point Spread & Over-Under Betting Pick: April 4th 2016

VILLANOVA VS. NORTH CAROLINA CHAMPIONSHIP GAME OVER UNDER POINT SPREAD

Villanova Wildcats vs. North Carolina Tar Heels – 9:19pm ET April 4th 2016

NCAA Tournament Point Spread: The North Carolina Tar Heels are a 2.5 point favorite over the Villanova Wildcats in this years NCAA Championship Game. The over/under is set at 149.5 points.

Records: Villanova was 34-5 SU and 20-17-1 ATS this season with an over/under record of 20-17-1. North Carolina was 33-6 SU and 20-18-1 ATS this season with an over/under record of 21-18-0.

Public Perception: As of 8pm ET on April 3rd, 81% of the wagering public is betting that the Tar Heels will cover the point spread agains the Wildcats.

Past Meetings: The last time these two teams met was in 2013. UNC was a 5 point chalk in that game and the over/under was 143 points. Final Score: UNC 78 Villanova 71.

Recent Performance: Villanova is 9-1 SU and 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games. North Carolina is 10-0 SU and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games.

Notable Betting Trends: Villanova is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 NCAA Tournament games. Villanova is also 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous matchup. North Carolina is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 NCAA Tournament games and are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win. The over is 6-1 in Villanova’s last 7 vs. Atlantic Coast foes and 10-2 in their last 12 games following a SU victory. The over is 6-1 in North Carolina’s last 7 Tournament games.

Point Spread Pick: Villanova Wildcats +2.5
Over-Under Pick: Over 149.5 points.

Syracuse vs. North Carolina Point Spread & Over-Under Final Four Betting Pick: April 2nd 2016

SYRACUSE VS. NORTH CAROLINA POINT SPREAD PICKSyracuse Orange vs. North Carolina Tar Heels – 8:50pm ET April 2nd 2016

NCAA Tournament Point Spread: The North Carolina Tar Heels are a 9.5 point favorite over the Syracuse Orange. The over/under betting total for this Final Four matchup is 144.5 points (Note: Total opened at 147)

Records: Syracuse was 23-13 SU and 20-15 ATS this season with an over/under record of 18-17. North Carolina was 32-6 SU and 19-18-1 ATS this season with an over/under record of 20-18.

Public Perception: As of 4pm ET, 55% of the wagering public is betting that North Carolina will cover the point spread against Syracuse in this game.

Past Meetings: The last time these two teams met was on February 29th 2016. UNC was a 13 point favorite and the over/under was set at 146.5 points. Final Score: North Carolina 75 Syracuse 70.

Recent Performance: Syracuse is 5-5 SU and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games. North Carolina is 9-1 SU and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games.

Notable Betting Trends: Syracuse is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 NCAA Tournament games and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall. North Carolina is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The under is 4-1 in Syracuse’s last 5 NCAA Tournament games. The under is 13-5 in North Carolina’s last 18 vs. the Atlantic Coast conference.

Point Spread Pick: Syracuse +9.5
Over-Under Pick: Under 144.5 points

Villanova vs. Oklahoma Final Four Point Spread & Over-Under Betting Pick: April 2nd 2016

VILLANOVA VS. OKLAHOMA POINT SPREAD FINAL FOURVillanova Wildcats vs. Oklahoma Sooners – 6:09pm ET April 2nd 2016

NCAA Tournament Point Spread: Villanova is a 2.5 point favorite in this Final Four matchup. The over/under betting total for this game is 144.5 points (Note: Total opened at 150 points)

Records: Villanova was 33-5 SU and 19-17-1 ATS this season with an over/under record of 19-17-1. Oklahoma was 29-7 SU and 14-20 ATS this season with an over/under record of 15-19-0.

Public Perception: As of 2:30pm ET, 66% of the wagering public is betting that Oklahoma will cover the point spread against Villanova

Past Meetings: The last time these two teams took to the hardwood was on December 7th, 2015. Villanova was a 5 point favorite and the over/under was 145. Final Score Oklahoma 78 Villanova 55

Recent Performance: Villanova is 9-1 SU and 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games. Oklahoma is 8-2 SU and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games.

Notable Betting Trends: Villanova is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 NCAA Tournament games and 34-15-2 ATS in their last 51 non-conference games. Oklahoma is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 NCAA Tournament games and 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600. The under is 8-1 in Vilanova’s last 9 games vs. the Big 12 conference. The under is 12-2 in Oklahoma’s last 14 games overall and 20-8 in their last 28 neutral site games.

Point Spread Pick: Villanova -2.5
Over-Under Pick: Under 144.5 points.

George Washington vs. Valparaiso Point Spread & Over-Under Pick: NIT Championship: March 31st 2016

GEORGE WASHINGTON VS. VALPARAISO POINT SPREAD

George Washington vs. Valparaiso – 7:00pm ET March 31st 2016

NIT Tournament Point Spread: Valparaiso is a 2 point favorite against George Washington in this NIT Championship game. The over/under is set at 132 total points.

Records: George Washington was 27-10 SU and 17-16-1 ATS this season with an over/under record of 18-16. Valparaiso was 30-6 SU and 17-15 ATS this season with an over/under record of 16-17.

Public Perception: As of 3pm ET, 55% of the wagering public is betting that George Washington will cover the point spread over Valparaiso.

Past Meetings: No meetings

Recent Performance: GW is 7-3 SU and 5-5 ATS in their last 10 games. Valparaiso is 9-1 SU and 4-6 ATS in their last 10 games.

Notable Betting Trends: GW is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600 and 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous matchup. Valpo is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games played at a “neutral” venue. The over is 6-1 in GW’s last 7 games overall and 4-1 in their last 5 games following a SU win. The over is 4-1 in Valpo’s last 5 games after a loss ATS.

Point Spread Pick: Valparaiso -2
Over-Under Pick: Over 132 points

Valparaiso vs. BYU Basketball Prediction from Scott Rickenbach: March 29th 2016

VALPARAISO VS. BYU BETTING

Valparaiso vs. BYU
College Basketball Prediction: BYU +2.5 (March 29th 2016)
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*28-15, 65% run for Scott “The Bulldog” Rickenbach with Premium Picks in Basketball although a tough 1-2 on the hardwood Monday (2-2 including free pick win) followed a PERFECT 3-0 Hoops SWEEP Sunday which included 2-0 in The Big Dance! LOCKED and LOADED with 5 more BIG PLAYS Tuesday! Here is your Free Pick for Tuesday: Scott “The Bulldog” Rickenbach NCAA *1* Tuesday Free Pick Brigham Young Cougars +2.5 vs Valparaiso Crusaders @ 7 PM ET – Waiting on this one paid off as it has moved up to a 2.5 as of late morning Tuesday and it’s now “go time” with the Cougars. BYU is 8-4 ATS in non-conference games this season and also 8-3 ATS when off of a game where they allowed 80 points or more. In NIT action, Brigham Young has a long-term mark of 9-4 SU (and also has just 4 ATS losses in that span as well). In comparing these two teams the Cougars certainly have the much more explosive offense. Even though the Crusaders have better defensive numbers, Valparaiso has not played nearly the schedule that BYU did this season. That said, I feel strongly that value lies with the underdog in this match-up. Note also that Valparaiso is 4-7 ATS in their last 11 games against teams with a winning record. Additionally, the Crusaders are 3-6 ATS when playing with 5 or 6 days of rest. That ATS stat spans the last 3 seasons. The Cougars have shot at least 38% from three point land in each of their last five games and their hot outside shooting will be the difference maker in this match-up. Consider a small play on the Brigham Young Cougars +2.5 as it is my Free Pick for Tuesday. Best of luck always, Scott

San Diego State vs. George Washington Betting Odds & Pick from Mark Franco: March 29th 2016

SAN DIEGO STATE VS. GEORGE WASHINGTON

San Diego State vs. George Washington
Betting Pick: San Diego State -3.5 (March 29th 2016)
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After opening the NIT with three impressive home wins, No. 2 seed San Diego State heads across the country Tuesday to face fourth-seeded George Washington in the semifinals at Madison Square Garden in New York. The Aztecs rolled past IPFW, Washington and Georgia Tech by a combined 55 points and will need another balanced effort to get past the Colonials, who averaged 83.7 points in wins over Hofstra, Monmouth and Florida.

The key matchup Tuesday will be in the frontcourt, where the Colonials’ tandem of Tyler Cavanaugh and Kevin Larsen needs another productive outing against the Aztecs’ athletic trio of Shepard, Skylar Spencer and Malik Pope.The Aztecs hold opponents to a 60.5 scoring average. The Aztecs are 26-1 when scoring at least 67 points.

Colonials are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Aztecs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Lay the small number with the much better defensive team in San Diego State.

George Washington vs. San Diego State Point Spread Pick from Jack Jones: March 29th 2016

GEORGE WASHINGTON VS. SAN DIEGO STATE POINT SPREAD PICK

George Washington vs. San Diego State
Point Spread Pick: San Diego State -3.5 (March 29th 2016)
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The San Diego State Aztecs are the best team left in the NIT. They certainly deserved to play in the NCAA Tournament, but they are making the most of this NIT experience by cruising into Madison Square Garden playing better than anyone.

It has been three straight blowouts for the Aztecs to get to this point. They beat IUPU-Fort Wayne by 24, Washington by 15, and Georgia Tech by 16. I would argue that Georgia Tech was the second-best team left in the tournament with the way they were playing heading into that 16-point loss.

George Washington is easily the worst of the four teams left in the NIT. It has squeaked by with a couple of narrow home wins over Hofstra (by 2) and Florida (by 5) by a combined 7 points. The Colonials will meet their match tonight in the Aztecs, who hold opponents to 60.5 points per game and 37.1% shooting on the season.

San Diego State is 10-3 ATS after playing a game as a home favorite this season. George Washington is 1-9 ATS versus very good teams who outscore their opponents by 8-plus points per game after 15-plus games over the last two seasons. The Colonials are 0-7 ATS versus good defensive teams who allow 64 or fewer points per game after 15-plus games over the last two years. Bet San Diego State Tuesday.

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Villanova vs. Kansas Over-Under Betting Pick & Point Spread: Elite Eight: March 26th 2016

VILLANOVA VS. KANSAS OVER UNDER TOURNAMENT

Villanova Wildcats vs. Kansas Jayhawks – 8:49pm ET March 26th 2016

Elite Eight NCAA Tournament Point Spread: The Kansas Jayhawks are a 2 point favorite over the Villanova Wildcats. The over/under betting total for this game is 144.5 points.

Records: Villanova was 32-5 SU and 18-17-1 ATS this season with an over/under record of 19-16-1. Kansas was 33-4 SU and 24-11 ATS this season with an over/under record of 13-21-1.

Public Perception: As of 5:20pm ET, 74% of the wagering public is betting that the Kansas Jayhawks will cover the point spread against the Villanova Wildcats.

Past Meetings: These two teams last met in 2013. Kansas was a 4.5 point favorite and the over/under was set at 154 points. Final Score VILL 63 KU 59

Recent Performance: Villanova is 8-2 SU and 5-5 ATS in their last 10 games. Kansas is 10-0 SU and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games.

Notable Betting Trends: Villanova is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. the Big 12. Kansas is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games, 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games overall and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 NCAA Tournament games. The under is 7-1 in Villanova’s last 8 games vs. the Big 12. The under is 15-7-1 in Kansas’ last 23 games overall and 26-7 in the last 33 NCAA Tournament games they have played.

Point Spread Pick: Kansas Jayhawks -2
Over-Under Pick: Under 144.5 points

Elite Eight Over-Under & Point Spread Pick for the Oklahoma vs. Oregon matchup on March 26th 2016

OKLAHOMA VS. OREGON POINT SPREAD OVER UNDEROklahoma Sooners vs. Oregon Ducks – 6:09pm ET March 26th 2016

Elite Eight NCAA Tournament Point Spread: Oregon is a 1 point favorite against Oklahoma. The over/under betting total for this game is set at 153 points.

Records: Oklahoma was 28-7 SU and 13-20 ATS this season with an over/under record of 15-18. Oregon was 31-6 SU and 21-13 ATS this season with an over/under record of 15-19.

Public Perception: As of 4:15pm ET, 51% of the wagering public is betting that Oklahoma will cover the point spread against Oregon.

Past Meetings: No recent meetings between these two teams.

Recent Performance: Oklahoma is 8-2 SU and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 matchups. Oregon is 10-0 SU and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 matchups.

Notable Betting Trends: Oregon is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. the Big 12, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a SU win and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 NCAA Tournament games. Oklahoma is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 NCAA Tournament games, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600. The under is 5-0-1 in Oklahoma’s last 6 games vs. Pacific 12 opponents and 11-2 under in their last 13 games overall. The under is 7-3 in Oregon’s last 10 games overall.

Point Spread Pick: Oregon Ducks -1
Over-Under Pick: Under 153 points.

NJIT vs. Columbia NIT Tournament Point Spread Pick from John Ryan: March 27th 2016

NJIT VS. COLUMBIA NIT POINT SPREADNJIT vs. Columbia
NIT Tournament Point Spread Pick: Columbia -10 (March 27th 2016)
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Ryan’s SIM Algorithm nailed the NIT 50* Game of the Year w/Valpo covering by 12 ½ points. These are the highest/strongest possible grading produced by his proven SIM Algorithm that has hit 61.6% ATS spanning 138 releases. Featured is a perfect 100% game situation.

10* graded play on Columbia as they take on NJ Institute of technology in the semifinals of the College Insiders Tournament set to start at 6:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Columbia will win this game by more than 14 points. For a semifinal gamer in any level of Tournament action, this is a significant mismatch. Columbia has match edges in all of the major aspects of a basketball game. They shoot better, move the ball better, execute at a much higher efficiency rate and shoot far better from then free throw line.

Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Fundamental Discussion Points Columbia ranks 35th in the nation with a 1.137 shooting efficiency quotient and will executing against a NJIT defense that ranks 193rd with a 1.079 opponent shooting efficiency quotient. Further, Columbia ranks 35th with a 54% effective shooting percentage and NJIT ranks 235th with a 51.2% opponent effective shooting percentage. Perhaps, most important in this matchup is the fact that Columbia ranks 19th in the nation averaging just 10.9 turnovers per game. By comparison, NJIT ranks 193rd in the same category. Take Columbia.