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Washington vs. USC Basketball Point Spread & Prediction: February 28th 2015

WASHINGTON VS. USC BASKETBALL POINT SPREADWashington vs. USC
Basketball Prediction: USC -1 (February 28th 2015)
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There’s no question that both the Washington Huskies (15-12) and USC Trojans (10-18) are two of the worst teams in the Pac-12 this season. The Huskies have gone 4-11 in conference action while the Trojans have gone 2-14. The Huskies are getting outscored by 6.5 points per game in conference play, and the Trojans are getting outscored by 8.4 points per game.

I believe we’re getting great value on the Trojans as 1-point home favorites here. This will be Senior Night for them, which will only add to their motivation to get a win. They have been playing well here of late, beating Oregon State by 13, while only losing to Cal by 1 on the road, Stanford by 8 on the road, Oregon by 5 at home, Arizona State by 5 on the road, and Washington State by 4 at home in six of their past seven contests.

The Huskies really do appear to have packed it in and are just looking forward to the conference tournament. They have gone 1-8 SU & 2-7 ATS in their last nine games overall. A whopping six of their eight losses have come by double-digits during this stretch, while their only win came by three points against Washington State.

Making matters worse for the Huskies is that they are without arguably their two best players. Robert Upshaw, who is the team’s best rebounder and shot blocker, has been dismissed from the team. Shawn Kemp Jr. (9.9 ppg, 60.1% shooting) is doubtful to play today with a concussion.

Plays against any team (WASHINGTON) – average shooting team (42.5-45%) against a good defensive team (40-42.5%) after 15+ games, after four straight games allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher are 34-12 (73.9%) ATS over the last five seasons. Washington is 0-8 ATS after playing a road game this season. USC is 8-0 ATS after failing to cover two of its last three against the spread this season. Bet USC Saturday.

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Iowa State vs. Kansas State Point Spread & Prediction: February 28th 2015

IOWA STATE VS. KANSAS STATE POINT SPREAD BASKETBALLIowa State vs. Kansas State
Basketball Prediction: Kansas State +3.5 point spread (February 28th 2015)
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The Wildcats are should not be a home dog to the Cyclones. Iowa State is one of the more overvalued teams in the country and we are seeing an inflated line here due to the perception that the Cyclones will rebound from that ugly 70-79 home loss to Baylor on Wednesday. Iowa State is just 3-4 on the road inside Big 12 play, while Kansas State is 11-4 at home on the season and fresh off a home win over conference leader Kansas on Monday. Cyclones are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games off an upset loss as a home favorite, while Kansas State is 11-3 ATS in their last 14 home games played on Saturday and 8-1 ATS in their last 9 home games against strong offensive teams that are averaging 77+ points/game. Roll the Wildcats +3.5!

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Fairfield vs. Canisius Point Spread & Betting Pick: February 27th 2015

Fairfield vs. Canisius
Betting Pick: Fairfield +8.5 point spread (February 27th 2015)
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The Stags are showing some great value here as an 8.5-point road dog against the Griffins tonight. Fairfield comes into this contest off a 57-43 home win over St Peters, snapping a 10-game losing streak and I look for them to carry over that momentum against a Cansius team that just lost at home to Niagara 71-82 as a 10.5-point favorite. The Stags are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 after playing 2 straight at home and a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 when listed as a road dog of 6.5 to 12 points. Canisius on the other hand is just 11-28 ATS in their last 39 home games off a conference loss of 10 or more points. Roll the Stags +8.5!

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Arizona State vs. Utah Basketball Point Spread & Prediction: February 26th 2015

Arizona State vs. Utah
College Basketball Prediction: Arizona State +12.5 (February 26th 2015)
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This is a great spot to fade Utah as a massive home favorite, as the Utes are going to have a difficult time not looking ahead to Saturday’s huge showdown against Arizona. Not only will Utah be out for revenge against the Wildcats, but a victory would put them in a tie for 1st in the Pac-12 regular season standings. Going to be difficult for the Utes to give their full attention to the Sun Devils with that game just two days away. Arizona State is also coming in playing some of their best basketball. The Sun Devils have won 3 straight and 4 of 5 overall, which includes wins at home over Arizona and UCLA, along with a 10-point win at Washington. Arizona State will also be playing with a chip on their shoulder from a 17-point home loss to Utah back on Jan. 15. ASU is 11-3 ATS in their last 14 after playing 2 straight games as a home favorite and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 after failing to cover the spread in their last contest. Roll the Sun Devils +12.5!

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San Diego vs. Gonzaga Point Spread & Prediction from Dave Price: February 26th 2015

SAN DIEGO VS. GONZAGA BASKETBALLSan Diego vs. Gonzaga
Basketball Prediction: San Diego +17.5 point spread (February 26th 2015)
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The Gonzaga Bulldogs are in a massive letdown spot here off one of their biggest wins of the season. They stormed back from double-digits down to beat St. Mary’s 70-60 on the road on Saturday. They won’t give San Diego their full attention in their first game back following that huge victory over the Gaels. The Toreros have played the Bulldogs very tough in recent meetings. They lost by 12 as 10.5-point home dogs in their first meeting of the season and will be out for revenge. They pulled off a 69-66 upset as 7.5-point dogs to the Zags last year, and only lost 56-59 on the road as 17.5-point dogs. Bets on road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points off two straight losses to conference opponents against an opponent off two or more consecutive road wins are 115-68 (62.8%) ATS since 1997. San Diego is 8-1 ATS in road games versus good defensive teams that allow 42% shooting or worse over the last two seasons. The Toreros are 8-1 ATS in road games revenging a home loss against an opponent of 10 points or more over the last three years. Take San Diego.

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LSU vs. Auburn Basketball Point Spread & Pick from Jimmy Boyd: February 24th 2015

LSU VS. AUBURN POINT SPREAD BASKETBALLLSU Tigers vs. Auburn Tigers
Basketball Pick: Auburn +5.5 point spread (February 24th 2015)
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LSU comes into this game off a win and cover at home in a 70-63 victory over Florida, while Auburn was absolutely embarrassed on the road in a 75-110 loss at Kentucky. I believe these recent results have created some great value here on Auburn as a decently priced home underdog.

Auburn went on the road and beat LSU 81-77 back on Feb. 5, so we know they are more than capable of hanging with this team. It’s also worth noting that Auburn responded well from a 87-101 blowout loss at home to Arkansas, as they followed it up with a 69-68 win at Georgia as an 11-point underdog.

While LSU will be out for revenge, they have not been able to string together wins in the month of February. LSU is just 3-4 SU this month and are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games against a team with a losing record.

Auburn on the other hand is a dominant 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 home games against a team that’s won more than 60% of their road games, 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 after failing cover the spread last time out and 12-2 ATS in their last 14 following back-to-back conference losses of 10 or more points. These trends combine to form a 82% (28-6) system in favor of the Tigers. Take Auburn!

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Xavier vs. St. John’s College Basketball Prediction from Jack Jones: February 23rd 2015

XAVIER VS. ST. JOHN'S BETTING PREDICTIONXavier vs. St. John’s
College Basketball Prediction: St. John’s -1 (February 23rd 2015)
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The St. John’s Red Storm (18-9) are showing excellent value as only 1-point home favorites over the Xavier Musketeers (18-10) tonight. I’ll gladly take advantage and back them at this great price Monday.

Both teams are playing their best basketball of the season coming into this game. The only difference is that Xavier is getting more credit for their recent stretch of solid play, which is evidence by this only being a 1-point spread in favor of the Red Storm when it should be 4-5 in my opinion.

Xavier has won four of its last five games overall, while St. John’s has won four of its last five games as well. The one loss for the Musketeers during this stretch actually came at home to St. John’s by a final of 70-78 on February 14th despite being 8-point favorites. The Red Storm shot 51.8% for the game. Obviously, Xavier will be out for revenge, but I don’t believe that’s a big enough factor to warrant them getting this much respect from oddsmakers.

The Red Storm have been very tough to beat at home. They are 14-3 at home this season, outscoring opponents by 9.0 points per game. Their three home losses have come to the likes of Duke, Villanova and Butler. Those are three of the better teams in the country, especially Duke and Villanova.

Xavier is just 4-6 in true road games this season and 5-8 in all games played away from home. It has lost to the likes of UTEP, Long Beach State, Auburn, DePaul and Seton Hall on the road this season. It’s obvious that the Musketeers are extremely vulnerable on the road when you consider they are 13-2 at home.

The Musketeers are 0-8 ATS when playing on one or less days’ rest over the last two seasons. Xavier is 2-9 ATS in road games after having won three of its last four games over the past two seasons. The Musketeers are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Xavier is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 road games overall. Bet St. John’s Monday.

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Miami Ohio vs. Akron Point Spread & Pick from Tom Stryker: February 21st 2015

MIAMI OHIO BASKETBALL POINT SPREADMiami Ohio vs. Akron
Basketball Pick: Akron -10 (February 21st 2015)
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Off last Saturday’s Valentine’s Day road loss at Eastern Michigan and Wednesday’s two-point home loss to Toledo, Akron won’t screw around when Miami visits tonight. The Zips only have two of their remaining five regular season games inside Rhodes Arena and they need to win them both to have a shot at the MAC East title.

The fact that this MAC war is being fought in Akron truly helps the Zips. At home in this series, UA holds an impressive 11-0 SU and 8-3 ATS record. Also, as a MAC host, Akron has assembled a powerful 84-14 SU and 61-34-3 ATS mark in Rhodes Arena including a tremendous 29-3 SU and 25-6-1 ATS in this set provided its opponent played on the road in their last game.

Off a pair of SU and ATS wins over Ohio and Bowling Green, Miami is ripe for a beating too. When coming off a straight up victory over the Falcons, the RedHawks have struggled in their next contest posting a soft 11-20-1 ATS record. Also, when coming off back-to-back pointspread victories, Miami has been a poor investment notching a weak 12-21-1 ATS mark in its last 34 lined games including just 6-17 ATS in this set provided the RedHawks take the floor off a straight up win as well.

Off two consecutive straight up losses and with a trip to Buffalo to meet the Bulls on deck, the Zips can’t afford to fall asleep here. The RedHawks are playing better but not quite good enough to go into a hostile environment like Rhodes Arena and pull off the upset. UA gets back on track. Take Akron. Thank you and best of luck, Tom Stryker.

Florida vs. LSU Basketball Point Spread & Prediction from Jimmy Boyd: February 21st 2015

Florida Gators vs. LSU Tigers
Prediction: Florida +4 point spread (February 21st 2015)
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The Gators have been a major disappointment at 6-7 inside SEC play, but the thing you can’t overlook is just how close this team is to being one of the top teams in the conference. Each of Florida’s last 5 losses have come by 7-points or less.

This may seem like a favorable line to back LSU at home, who went on the road and beat Florida 79-61 earlier this season, but I think the value here is with the Gators. Revenge is a huge motivator and Florida had won each of the previous six meetings prior to that loss at home earlier this season. The Gators are also a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games when listed as a road underdog and 23-11 ATS in their last 34 off a close win by 3-points or less.

Adding to all of this is a strong system in play backing a fade of LSU. Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points, who are an average ball handling team (14.5 to 17.5 turnovers/game against a team that creates 14.5 or fewer turnovers, in a game involving two average 3-point shooting teams (32% – 36.5%) are 58-104 ATS over the last 5 seasons. That’s a 64% system in favor of the Gators. Take Florida!

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California vs. Stanford Point Spread & Prediction from Jack Jones: February 21st 2015

CALIFORNIA VS. STANFORD BASKETBALL POINT SPREADCalifornia vs. Stanford
Basketball Prediction: California +10 point spread (February 21st 2015)
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The California Golden Bears continue to lack the respect they deserve from oddsmakers today as 10-point underdogs to the Stanford Cardinal. They come into this game playing some of their best basketball of the season, and I look for it to carry over to this game Saturday.

California is 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in its last six games overall. It has gone on the road and beaten Washington State 76-67 as 2.5-point dogs, Washington 90-88 as 6.5-point dogs, and Colorado 68-61 as 7-point dogs. It also beat USC and UCLA at home, and its only loss came by 15 at Utah as 17.5-point dogs.

Stanford is reeling coming into this contest. It has gone 1-4 SU & 0-5 ATS in its last five games overall, yet it continues to be overvalued as a double-digit favorite here. Its only win during this stretch came 78-70 at home against USC as 14.5-point favorites, which was far from impressive.

The Golden Bears will be out for revenge in this game after losing at home to Stanford 69-59 on January 14th back when they were playing their worst basketball of the year. It came right in the middle of a six-game losing streak. Home-court advantage has meant nothing in this series here of late. In fact, the road team is a perfect 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.

California is 38-21 ATS in its last 59 road games following a road loss. The Golden Bears are 47-22 ATS in their last 69 road games after playing a game as a road underdog. California is 4-0 ATS in its last four road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Bet California Saturday.

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