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Archive for the ‘NCAA Basketball Picks’ Category

Syracuse vs. North Carolina Point Spread & Pick from Alex Smart: January 26th 2015

SYRACUSE VS. NORTH CAROLINA POINT SPREAD BASKETBALLSyracuse vs. North Carolina
College Basketball Pick: Syracuse +11 point spread (January 26th 2015)
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Syracuse enters this game vs Nort Carolina off a disappointing 66-62 loss to Miami on Saturday at the Carrier Dome. Im pretty certain they were not concentrating on the task at hand and looking ahead to this game instead. Syracuse (14-6 for the year, 5-2 in the ACC) is talented despite of being offensively challenged, and immature in their approach to games despite of having one of the top coaches in basketball at the helm (Jim Boheim) ,Meanwhile, North Carolina (16-4 overall, 6-1 ACC) is now performing at the proverbial top of the performance spectrum . The Tar Heels have won 10 of their last 11 games, including the last five in a row. Thus thanks to these discrepancies we have a bloated underdog line to bet into.

Despite of what the talking heads might think, Im betting Jim Boeheim’s use of the 2-3 zone defense, gives fits to the Roy Williams Tar Heels one true weakness ,which is their perimeter offense. Other than Marcus Paige , the Heels trey conversion rate is just 43-160 from downtown, for a ugly .268 %. With good rebounding behind Michael Gbinije, and speedy transition, the Orange should score above their season average because of this. It must be noted that the Orange are 8-0 SU when they score 70 or more points in regulation.

While upset might be a difficult proposition to swallow ,taking the points in this contest does, however, seem quite palatable.

Tar Heels are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 vs. Atlantic Coast.Tar Heels are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Notre Dame vs. NC State Basketball Betting Pick from Brian Hay: January 25th 2015

NOTRE DAME VS. NC STATE BASKETBALL BETTINGNotre Dame vs. NC State
College Basketball Betting Pick: NC State +1.5 (January 25th 2015)
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The odds-maker must see something in Notre Dame I’m not watching. I saw both games against Georgia Tech (0-6 in ACC) and the Jackets could have easily beat the Irish twice. How is this team favored at NC State? The Wolfpack have already beat Duke by 12 on this floor and lost to North Carolina by two points. I like the fact NC State is coming off a loss at Miami-Florida. NC State won outright at South Bend last year 77-70 as a 7.5-point underdog. NC State plays very good defense too in Raleigh allowing 63 points a game. Plus with Notre Dame just joining the ACC a year ago it’s not like the Irish have ANY HISTORY in this building. Note Notre Dame 7-17 ATS when favored the last two years. The Irish are 0-12 ATS after playing a road game the past two years. NC State a perfect 6-0 ATS in ACC league play this year. Plus they are 8-1 ATS the last two years at home when the posted total is between 140 and 144 1/2. This is the first time this year we’ve seen the Irish play consecutive road games. I’m going to take a shot here with NC State as a home underdog in an unusual environment for Notre Dame. The Wolfpack shot only 42.7 percent in their two-point home loss to UNC while the Tar Heels lit it up for 55.6 percent. If these two teams come close to the identical shooting percentage NC State wins going away.

Auburn vs. Alabama Basketball Betting Pick from Tom Stryker: January 24th 2015

AUBURN VS. ALABAMA BETTING PICK BASKETBALL JANUARY 24TH 2015Auburn vs. Alabama
College Basketball Betting Pick: Alabama -11.5 (January 24th 2015)
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Off three consecutive straight up losses to South Carolina, Kentucky and Arkansas, Alabama will go for the jugular when its biggest rival Auburn comes to town.

With a home game against Florida up next followed by a trip to Kentucky, there is no way the Crimson Tide can overlook this battle. Alabama already owns a sub .500 record in the conference (2-3 SU) and head coach Anthony Grant’s boys need this victory in the worst way. Thankfully, UA has absolutely dominated AU in Tuscaloosa posting a tremendous 46-8 SU record. Also, at home taking the court off two or more straight up losses, the Elephants have been a solid investment notching a strong 40-8 SU and 25-13-2 ATS mark.

Led by first-year head coach Bruce Pearl, Auburn brings a mediocre 10-8 SU record to Coleman Coliseum on Saturday night. The road has given the War Eagle fits lately too. As a guest, AU owns a dismal 2-21 SU and 9-14 ATS record in its last 23 tries including a woeful 1-10 SU and 2-9 ATS in this set checking in off a straight up loss. Even worse, when facing a foe that hits the floor off two or more straight up losses, the Tigers own a weak 44-67-2 ATS mark including a miserable 0-23 SU and 8-14-1 ATS in this set priced as a pup of +6 or more.

Coach Grant’s kids are solid on the defensive end of the floor and they hit their free-throws. Those are two very important things to have especially when you’re laying double-digits. Put me down on the Crimson Tide in this huge rivalry game. Take Alabama. Thank you and best of luck, Tom Stryker.

Depaul vs. Seton Hall Betting Odds & Pick from Brian Hay: January 22nd 2015

Depaul vs. Seton Hall
Betting Pick: DePaul +10 (January 22nd 2015)
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This is simply too many points to give the scrappy DePaul Blue Demons who happen to be playing their most competitive basketball of the season right now.

The Demons trailed in their last game by 11 points in the second half at home to St. John’s, and were able to come back and win the contest outright in overtime. That win pushed DePaul to a perfect 6-0 against the spread in conference action this season with 4 outright wins!

As for the Pirates, they have won and covered in 8 of their 9 home contests this season, so you can understand why they are laying this inflated price. Problem is, Seton Hall has dropped 2 of their last 3 in Big East play, and they last played back on January 13th, so they may be a little slow starting laying this big number.

The series has been a 2-2 straight up split the past 4 series meetings, so my call is to take the double-digits and look for this one to be closer than expected.

Pepperdine vs. San Francisco Basketball Pick from Jimmy Adams: January 22nd 2015

PEPPERDINE VS. SAN FRANCISCO Pepperdine vs. San Francisco
College Basketball Pick: Pepperdine +3.5 (January 22nd 2015)
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I don’t know what it’s going to take for Pepperdine to get some respect in the betting market but we’ll gladly continue to take advantage until they do. The Waves are coming off of a nice victory over a tough Portland team on Saturday. Jett Raines and Stacy Davis lead this group, but it’s not all about scoring for them. They attack the glass and pull down rebounds. That will be crucial tonight as San Fran does have some size down low. Pepperdine does a good job of taking care of the ball and they shoot 75.3% from the free throw line. They don’t miss out on many free points which is always good when playing an underdog. The Defense is also sound, but where they’re really great is defending the 3 point line, as they’re ranked 2nd in the country against the 3 ball.

San Francisco is spiraling in the wrong direction as they’ve lost 5 of 6. They now sit at just 2-5 in the West Coast Conference and took a bad loss to Santa Clara over the weekend. This team is lacking an energy that it desperately needs right now. The Dons have the ability to score the ball, though it’s going to be a lot tougher against the Wave’s defense. SF is nothing special on defense and they really have no business laying chalk in this situation.

The Waves are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games and we’ll look for that trend to continue tonight. Take Pepperdine.

Minnesota vs. Nebraska Basketball Pick from Jimmy Adams: January 20th 2015

MINNESOTA VS. NEBRASKA BASKETBALL PICK JANUARY 20TH 2015Minnesota vs. Nebraska
College Basketball Pick: Nebraska -2.5 (January 20th 2015)
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Minnesota is in a downward spiral right now having lost 5 of 6. They were barely able to take down Rutgers last time out and now they must prepare for what’s sure to be a physical game in Lincoln. The Golden Gophers are playing terribly on the defensive end, as they’ve given up 70 points or more in 7 of their last 8 games. All facets of defense are really struggling. Rebounding has been a big issue and they aren’t playing with the toughness inside that is necessary when facing a team like Nebraska. Offensively their numbers look better than they truly are. Turnovers are a problem and we see Minnesota playing erratic basketball at times, forcing shots and playing undisciplined.

The Cornhuskers defense should really give Minnesota fits tonight. They’ve given up 66 points or less in 6 of their last 9. Playing at home gives them a real advantage as well, as the Gophers have been very spotty on the highway all season. Nebraska lost to Wisconsin last time out, but prior to that strung together a couple of nice victories vs. Rutgers and Illinois. This is most likely going to be an ugly game, and the Cornhuskers are more equipped to win that kind of a contest. They’re also in better current form and at home. Take Nebraska.

Texas vs. TCU Basketball Pick from Jimmy Adams: January 19th 2015

TEXAS VS. TCU BASKETBALL PICKTexas vs. TCU
Basketball Pick: Texas -2 (January 19th 2015)
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TCU is coming off of a much needed win vs. Texas Tech over the weekend. Trent Johnson’s squad had been 0-3 in conference after a 13-0 start to the season, so that was pretty much a must win for this group. Kyan Anderson is TCU’s best player, averaging 13.9 points per game. I’m worried about how he’ll match up with all of the athletes that Texas will bring to the table tonight. The Horned Frogs really focus on getting it done at the defensive end, and again, is sure looks like they’re in over their heads here.

Texas showed that they’re a force to be reckoned with over the weekend as they tore apart a West Virginia squad that had much wise guy support. The Longhorns are stacked with tremendous athletes that TCU won’t know what to do with. Freshman Myles Turner averages 11.6 ppg, but does a whole lot more than score. He can rebound and defend at a high level, especially for a frosh. Turner also does the little things that don’t necessarily show up in the box score. He alters shots in the lane, passes with efficiency, doesn’t turn it over often, etc… This is his team in the future. For now, however, Jonathan Holmes gets to run the team.

I can’t see the Horned Frogs shutting down these two guys alone. Then you throw in players such as Cameron Ridley and Isaiah Taylor and it’s going to be a long night for TCU. Take Texas.

Oregon vs. Washington Basketball Pick from Dave Price: January 18th 2015

Oregon vs. Washington
NCAA Basketball Pick: Under 141 points (January 18th 2015)
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Oregon fits into an awesome “unders” situation today. Consider that when the total is 140.0 to 149.5, playing the under on teams like Oregon that have attempted 10 fewer free throws than its opponents in each of its last two games has produced a 39-6 (87%) mark since 1997 as long as it has a shooting percentage of 45.0-47.5% on the season and is up against a team that shoots 42.5-45.0%, which is the case here. This system is a perfect 10-0 the last five seasons. It is also worth noting that the Ducks are 6-0 “under” in road games the last two seasons following a game where they gave up 80 points or more. In other words, Oregon doesn’t get to the free throw line a lot to score points when the clock is stopped. They shoot just 17 free throws per game on the road. They will tighten the screws defensively after their worst defensive effort of the season and should find success doing so against an average shooting team. Take the under.

LETHAL 12-4 (75%) L16 NFL 7* Top Plays! Price’s 7* NFL Playoffs GAME OF THE YEAR goes in Sunday’s NFL Championship 2-Pack! He also builds on his DOMINANT 31-14 (69%) NBA totals run with his NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK!

Belmont vs. Murray State Point Spread & Pick: January 15th 2015

BELMONT VS. MURRAY STATE POINT SPREAD JANUARY 15TH 2015Belmont Bruins vs. Murray State Racers
Point Spread: Murray State -8 Over/Under 152 (January 15th 2015)

ATS Trends:
Racers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 Thursday games. Racers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Racers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win of more than 20 points. Racers are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 vs. Ohio Valley. Racers are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a ATS win. Bruins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games. Bruins are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss. Bruins are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Bruins are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Bruins are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. Ohio Valley.

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Over/Under Trends:
Over is 7-1 in Racers last 8 Thursday games. Over is 5-1 in Racers last 6 vs. Ohio Valley. Over is 12-3 in Racers last 15 games following a ATS win. Over is 5-2 in Racers last 7 overall. Over is 5-2 in Racers last 7 games following a S.U. win. Over is 3-0-1 in Bruins last 4 vs. Ohio Valley. Over is 4-1-1 in Bruins last 6 overall.

Head-to-Head Trends:
No Trends Available

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Oregon State vs. Washington Basketball Point Spread & Pick: January 15th 2015

OREGON ST. VS. WASHINGTON SPREAD PICK JANUARY 15TH 2015Oregon State Beavers vs. Washington Huskies
Point Spread: Washington -7 Over/Under 123 (January 15th 2015)

ATS Trends:
Huskies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Huskies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. loss. Huskies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss. Huskies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Huskies are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Beavers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win. Beavers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. Pacific-12. Beavers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win. Beavers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Beavers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.

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Over/Under Trends:
Under is 4-1 in Huskies last 5 home games. Over is 3-1-1 in Huskies last 5 games following a S.U. loss. Under is 5-2 in Huskies last 7 overall. Under is 5-2 in Huskies last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Over is 6-2 in Beavers last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Over is 5-2 in Beavers last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Over is 15-7-1 in Beavers last 23 games following a ATS win.

Head-to-Head Trends:
Over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Washington. Beavers are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Beavers are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Washington.

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