South Carolina vs. Texas A&M
Basketball Over-Under Betting Pick: Under 142.5 points (February 6th 2016)
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Both defenses are far ahead of the offenses in this one. Texas A&M ranks 7th nationally in defensive efficiency, SC ranks 28th nationally in defensive efficiency. The Aggies are off a very poor defensive performance for their standards as they allowed Vandy to put up 77 points on Thursday night. It was the 2nd highest point total they had allowed all season long. Head coach Billy Kennedy was not thrilled his team’s defensive effort and you can bet they will play MUCH better on Saturday. Let’s not forget that leading into Thursday’s game @ Vandy, the Aggie defense had held 4 of their last 5 opponents to 62 points or less including LSU & Iowa State, two very good offensive teams. For the season, A&M has held 16 of their 22 opponents this season to less than 70 points. The Aggies offensive numbers are decent but keep in mind they’ve played only 4 defenses that rank inside the top 30 the entire season. South Carolina’s defensive numbers are very good as we mentioned, but offensively this is a team that struggles to shoot the ball. They shoot just 47% from inside the arc (233rd nationally), 34% from beyond the arc (187th nationally), and 67% from the FG line (250th nationally). Since joining the SEC, A&M has faced the Gamecocks 4 times in games that totaled 114, 130, 132, & 142 points. Another low scoring affair here and we grab the UNDER.
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St. Mary’s vs. BYU
Betting Prediction: BYU -1.5 -110 odds (February 4th 2016)
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The BYU Cougars are 16-7 this season and they have won three of their last four games. BYU is averaging 83 points per game while shooting 45.6 percent from the floor. Defensively they are allowing 74.5 points and their opponents are shooting 42.8 percent. BYU is 11-0 at home and 7-3 in the WCC. The Cougars have a 16 game home winning streak at the Marriott Center and they have beaten Saint Mary’s in 11 of the 19 meetings. The St. Mary’s Gaels are 18-2 this season and they have won their last four games. Even with their impressive record the Gaels are just a bubble team to make the NCAA Tournament at this point. That is because the WCC is not very strong this season. St. Mary’s is averaging 78 points per game and they are shooting 53.5 percent while defensively they are allowing 59.8 points and their opponents are shooting 40.6. BYU is 5-0-1 against the spread following a game that they didn’t cover the point spread. This is the second straight road game for Saint Mary’s and they struggled with lowly Pacific their last time out. Saint Mary’s is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall. BYU is 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 home games.
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders
Betting Pick: Oklahoma State +6 points (February 3rd 2016)
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I just don’t trust the Red Raiders laying this many points at home against Oklahoma State. Texas Tech is playing with zero confidence right now and aren’t exactly in a great spot. The Red Raiders come in off a crushing 68-75 overtime loss at Arkansas, which followed two games against two of the elite teams in the Big 12 in West Virginia and Oklahoma. This isn’t a team with NCAA Tournament hopes and I could see them overlooking this game with a huge road showdown against rival Texas on deck. Texas Tech is just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 off a SU loss and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 against a team with a winning record. Oklahoma State is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 and 13-3 ATS in their last 16 after two straight games that finished under the total. Give me the Cowboys +6!
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Wichita State vs. Southern Illinois
Point Spread Prediction: Wichita State -17 points (February 3rd 2016)
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#21 Wichita State routed Southern Illinois on their home court by 25 points their first meeting and I don’t see any reason for circumstances to change for SIU here in Wichita tonight. The Shockers (16-5, 10-0) got off to a rough start this season but have finally figured things out. They are 14 of their last 15 and will try to make it 12 straight wins tonight in front of the home crowd. Despite the rocky start, the Shockers know that if they get into the big tournament they are primed for a deep run. The Super Duo Fred VanFleet and Ron Baker are together averaging over 27 points per game over the winning streak and combined for 41 in their last matchup against conference rival Evansville. This game really displayed the substance of this Shockers team as the Aces are the only team in the MVC who have been able to put up any kind of fight against Wichita with a narrow 3-point loss their first go-round. The Shockers responded their second meeting by taking an 11-point lead into halftime in enemy territory and never looking back. The SIU Salukis (18-5, 7-3) are currently tied with Evansville for 2nd in the MVC and will rely on Anthony Beane to pull the Salukis out of their recent slump. Beane is the league’s second highest scorer at 19.6 points per game behind Evansville’s DJ Balentine who the Shockers contained handily in their last matchup. I expect Coach Marshall to employ a similar defensive approach tonight and rely on his duo to take care of the rest. SIU has lost their last 6 games against Wichita by an average of 16 points. They were held to 37% shooting and only 1-11 from the arc during their first meeting. The Shockers are clicking on all cylinders right now and will take this one easily at home. Take Wichita State -17!
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Arizona vs. Washington State
Basketball Betting Prediction: Arizona -10 points (February 3rd 2016)
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The Arizona Wildcats got their wake-up call with back-to-back losses to California and Oregon. They responded with an 80-63 blowout victory over Oregon State last time out, and now I look for them to put another beat down on Washington State tonight. The Cougars are probably the worst team in the Pac-12. They have gone 1-8 SU & 2-7 ATS in conference play this season and stand little chance of staying within double-digits of the Wildcats tonight. Arizona has dominated Washington State over the past five years, going 9-0 SU & 9-0 ATS in its last nine meetings with the last five all coming by 14 points or more. Take Arizona.
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Clemson vs. Wake Forest
Betting Prediction: Clemson -1.5 -110 odds (February 2nd 2016)
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The Tigers are showing some great value here as a small road favorite against the Demon Deacons. Wake Forest gave Virginia a scare in their last home game, which I think is playing into this line. At the same time, Clemson comes in off a 11-point loss at Florida State as a mere 4.5-point favorite. The Tigers haven’t lost back-to-back conference games to this point and Wake Forest has just 1 conference win and that was a mere 3-point win at home against NC State. I fully expect Clemson to want this game more and I just don’t see Wake Forest putting up much of a fight. Keep in mind the Demon Deacons are just 5-5 at home this year. Tigers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 after playing their previous game as an underdog, while the Demon Deacons are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games. Give me Clemson -1.5!
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LSU vs. Auburn
College Basketball Point Spread Pick: LSU -7 (February 2nd 2016)
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It’s the battle of the Tigers as LSU (13-8, 6-2) travels to play Auburn (9-11, 3-5) who leads the series 6-4 over their last 10 meetings with the winner of each game averaging nearly 10 points over their conference rival. As the spread is currently at 7, I expect this one to come down to whoever wins the game. Auburn has won 7 of 10 games at home this season and has leading rebounder (9.1 per game) Cinmeon Bowers back in the lineup after a suspension. Auburn lost steam in their last home game against Oklahoma State who outlasted the Tigers 74-63, so Auburn will look to Bowers to help them break this current 3-game slump. LSU who is 2-6 on the road is also coming off a disappointing 77-75 loss to #1 Oklahoma at home and will undoubtedly look to release some frustration on Auburn. LSU leads Auburn in every offensive category including points, assists and rebounds per game, and leads in 6 of 7 defensive categories as Auburn claims the edge on blocks at 4 per game to LSU’s 3.2. The game against Oklahoma proved to LSU that they are capable of hanging with Top 25 teams and I believe their confidence is high for this one tonight. Auburn will give it their best shot but fall short in the second half. If the game stays close, Auburn will play the fouling game to push LSU over the 7.5 spread difference. Take LSU -7!
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West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Iowa State Cyclones
Over-Under Betting Pick: Under 157 points (February 2nd 2016)
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This should be a great game between two very good teams. Both teams have some nice wins this season and are capable of beating anyone on their day. Iowa State has the better offense, but West Virginia has the better defense. The Mountaineers full court press can prove very disruptive to even the most organised offenses and does run valuable clock time off every possession.
These teams played twice last season and neither final score came close to this total. This is an important game for both teams and we expect to see the intensity levels up. The fact that Iowa State has gone UNDER in 5 straight games while scoring at least 72 points in 4 of those 5 games shows us that the books are setting the totals on the high side for the Cyclone’s games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Iowa State’s last 6 games when playing West Virginia
For our free pick, take the UNDER 157 points here.
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Oregon Ducks vs. Arizona State Sun Devils
Basketball Betting Pick: Under 152 points -110 odds (January 31st 2016)
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Scott ‘The Bulldog’ Rickenbach NBA *1* Free Pick UNDER 152 in Arizona State vs Oregon @ 8:30 PM ET Sunday – The Sun Devils last 23 match-ups with Oregon have resulted in 16 unders! When Arizona State has hosted the Ducks it’s been an under in 9 of the last 11 meetings! The Sun Devils have been on a recent run of overs in the current season but they actually played solid defense in their win over Oregon State Friday. Arizona State held the Beavers to 68 points in that game and ASU knows it is going to take another solid defensive effort if they want to get another Pac 12 win on Sunday evening against Oregon. The Ducks are off of a rare poor performance on defense where they allowed 61% shooting in their win at Arizona. That game snuck over the total but the Ducks prior 8 games with a posted total had resulted in 6 unders! 11 of Oregon’s 15 games against teams with a winning record this season have resulted in unders. Also, when Arizona State is off of a win against a conference foe the past two seasons the under has resulted in the next game 13 of 18 occurrences. Also, in home games with a posted total in range of 150 to 154.5 points, the under has gone a perfect 3-0 in Sun Devils games the past three seasons. Consider a small play on the UNDER 152 in Arizona State as it is my Free Pick for Sunday. Best of luck always, Scott
Scott ‘The Bulldog’ Rickenbach is 24-16 (60%) run his last 40 Free Picks after another winner Saturday. In terms of his star rated picks, Rickenbach is currently on a 16-6 NBA run with sides and a 6-1 College Hoops run with totals. The Bulldog ranks among the top NFL cappers with a 30-14 (69%) mark in the NFL playoffs the past 4 YEARS combined! He also is 5-1 (83%) his L6 Super Bowl picks and he’s got the side AND the total ready to go for Super Bowl Sunday. ULTRA RARE – both Super Bowl picks are *10* Top Plays! Also, The Bulldog has 6 plays Sunday (2 NBA/4 NCAAB) including 3 HUGE Top Plays! Remember he wrapped up the College Football season with a PERFECT 9-0 Run and now it’s time to get your Super Bowl picks from a long-time NFL leader! Also, The Bulldog is ready for another BIG Sunday (including some very STRONG situational EDGES) so make sure you are ON BOARD with an ALL SPORTS SUB so you don’t miss a SINGLE massive TOP PLAY in the coming week and month!
Memphis vs. SMU
Basketball Betting Prediction: SMU -9 -110 odds (January 30th 2016)
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It’s been a crazy couple of days in COLLEGE HOOPS with surprising upsets and last-minute losses, but Jamie’s been on the winning side of it all in Top Hoops plays this week! Lots of exciting COLLEGE HOOPS action on tap again for today including 2 Big12/SEC Challenge winners! Let’s start with a 1* Free Pick on SMU -9!
With the pressures of an undefeated season behind them now, the #13 SMU Mustangs (18-1, 7-1) host the Memphis Tigers (13-7, 4-3) in Dallas. The Mustangs suffered a disappointing 89-80 loss, their only of the season in which they are barred from any post-season play, to the Temple Owls on Sunday where the Owls hit 14 3-pointers in the game. SMU may not have to worry about the 3-pointer on Saturday, but the Tigers do as Larry Brown’s high-octane offense ranks 12th nationally in 3-point percentage at 40.6. The Mustangs do have to respect the Tigers defensive field goal percentage where they rank 13th nationally and ponder whether the Mustangs would even be up for this game. But even though SMU’s undefeated season is gone, the Mustangs still have something to shoot for – they are the only 1-loss D1 school left. SMU is trying to make a statement this season, and I don’t think they will let up at this point. Memphis has lost all 3 of its games against Top 25 teams this season by over 6 points. We expect this game to be over by halftime, so take SMU -9!
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