Washington vs. USC
Basketball Prediction: USC -1 (February 28th 2015)
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There’s no question that both the Washington Huskies (15-12) and USC Trojans (10-18) are two of the worst teams in the Pac-12 this season. The Huskies have gone 4-11 in conference action while the Trojans have gone 2-14. The Huskies are getting outscored by 6.5 points per game in conference play, and the Trojans are getting outscored by 8.4 points per game.
I believe we’re getting great value on the Trojans as 1-point home favorites here. This will be Senior Night for them, which will only add to their motivation to get a win. They have been playing well here of late, beating Oregon State by 13, while only losing to Cal by 1 on the road, Stanford by 8 on the road, Oregon by 5 at home, Arizona State by 5 on the road, and Washington State by 4 at home in six of their past seven contests.
The Huskies really do appear to have packed it in and are just looking forward to the conference tournament. They have gone 1-8 SU & 2-7 ATS in their last nine games overall. A whopping six of their eight losses have come by double-digits during this stretch, while their only win came by three points against Washington State.
Making matters worse for the Huskies is that they are without arguably their two best players. Robert Upshaw, who is the team’s best rebounder and shot blocker, has been dismissed from the team. Shawn Kemp Jr. (9.9 ppg, 60.1% shooting) is doubtful to play today with a concussion.
Plays against any team (WASHINGTON) – average shooting team (42.5-45%) against a good defensive team (40-42.5%) after 15+ games, after four straight games allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher are 34-12 (73.9%) ATS over the last five seasons. Washington is 0-8 ATS after playing a road game this season. USC is 8-0 ATS after failing to cover two of its last three against the spread this season. Bet USC Saturday.
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